load forecasting
No PJM dispatchers have yet tested positive for COVID-19, according to officials from the RTO, while planning to deal with the pandemic continues.
MISO is gradually improving its ability to forecast load in the face of widespread community measures to halt the COVID-19 pandemic.
The pandemic was such an unprecedented shock to the system that PJM is trying to stop its near-term load forecasting algorithm from using it in modeling.
The tamest winter in recent memory brought no emergencies for MISO, though the RTO’s South region was the subject of three weather-related alerts.
MISO’s weekday loads are looking more like weekends as social distancing measures to lessen COVID-19 cases take hold in more states in the footprint.
PJM’s Reliability Pricing Model is acquiring more capacity than needed, leading to dirtier, less efficient generation and excessive costs for consumers.
MISO predicts energy usage this spring will peak at 100 GW in May, with about 134 GW of total capacity available.
CAISO’s load conformance practices do not inappropriately deny generators shortage pricing, FERC said in response to a challenge by NRG.
PJM under-forecasted the peak hour load on three days in January, the Operating Committee heard.
PJM staff told the Operating Committee questions still remain about why its load forecast veered so far off course during a hot spell in early October.
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