By Rory D. Sweeney

PJM staff will recommend that the RTO’s Board of Managers approve its own capacity repricing proposal next month, ignoring an endorsement vote scheduled for Jan. 25 on an alternative proposal that had garnered more stakeholder support.

PJM CEO Andy Ott announced the decision Tuesday in a letter to stakeholders.

In addition to describing revisions to PJM’s proposal, Ott made the case for why the RTO’s proposal needs to be filed for FERC approval now and is superior to the proposal from PJM’s Independent Market Monitor.

“I do not make this recommendation lightly, recognizing valid concerns arise with any course of action PJM may take, including capacity repricing,” Ott wrote. “Despite all of our collective efforts in the stakeholder process, a workable consensus solution — or even a shared agreement on the nature and extent of the problem to be solved — appears unlikely.”

The filing would be the culmination of the Capacity Construct/Public Policy Senior Task Force (CCPPSTF) that dominated PJM stakeholder work in 2017. PJM said its plan would accommodate generator offers from state-subsidized plants by allowing them to bid into capacity auctions but ensure they don’t suppress competitive prices by removing those offers in a second “repricing” stage of the auction.

Several proposals like PJM’s arose to address perceived flaws in the concept, but the IMM’s proposal — fueled by concerns that PJM would unilaterally file its proposal without a clear stakeholder mandate — was the only one to receive endorsement to move forward, albeit slowly. The IMM’s “MOPR-Ex” proposal would extend the minimum offer price rule to all units indefinitely. (See MOPR-Ex Faces Uphill Battle as PJM Declines Recommendation.)

Ott’s Argument

Ott said PJM needed to seek approval quickly because of growing threats to PJM’s markets. He cited FERC’s rejection of the RTO’s 2012 MOPR compromise, the failure of a court challenge to Illinois’ zero-emissions credits program, and the “distinct potential” for additional state subsidies this year — likely a reference to New Jersey legislators’ consideration of a ZEC-style program. (See On Remand, FERC Rejects PJM MOPR Compromise and NJ Lawmakers Pass on Nuke Bailout in Lame Duck Session.)

Ott said he agrees with the Monitor that MOPR-Ex “offers the most economically sound response to the issue” and “the most direct and effective means to preserve price integrity” necessary for the capacity market to work. But he said PJM’s proposal is superior to MOPR-Ex because it is “substantially less punitive and less likely to frustrate the operation of state programs.”

“PJM believes it is vital for the regional market design to respect individual state interests while protecting consumers in other states from potential cost shifts,” Ott wrote. “While MOPR-Ex would not prevent state programs from providing support to individual generators, it would most likely exclude generators obtaining this support from clearing the PJM Capacity Market. PJM believes this approach is not sustainable and does not strike an appropriate balance between legitimate state interests and wholesale market integrity.”

IMM Response

In an emailed response, the Monitor said it agrees with PJM that there is a conflict between state subsidies and competitive wholesale power markets.

“But the IMM disagrees with PJM’s conclusion that PJM must reflect state interests even when state subsidies conflict with the operation of a competitive wholesale power market,” Monitor Joe Bowring said. “PJM’s capacity repricing proposal would permit state subsidized resources to push competitively offered resources out of the capacity market. That outcome is inconsistent with competition.”

Bowring took issue with Ott’s characterization of MOPR-Ex, saying that it’s not punitive to require competitive offers and “prevent subsidized, uneconomic resources from pushing competitive, economic resources out of the market.”

He reiterated his oft-repeated refrain that “subsidies are contagious.”

“If one subsidy program is permitted to undermine the PJM capacity market, others will follow,” Bowring wrote. “The MOPR-Ex approach would provide a disincentive for subsidies and would require individual states to bear the costs of state subsidies rather than spreading the costs across the other states in PJM.”

Next Steps

Ott said PJM would request FERC approve its proposal for an effective date after the 2021/22 Base Residual Auction in May. He promised that “PJM will actively listen, consider, and engage on alternative design suggestions that stakeholders might offer in the course of the FERC proceeding.”