November 21, 2024
Prices, Renewables Rise in New England Capacity Auction
ISO-NE's capacity clearing price for FCA 18 increased by almost $1/kw-month over FCA 17 (38%), continuing the RTO's history of volatility. The auctions resulted in a single "rest of pool" price except for FCA 15 and 16, when regions priced separately.
ISO-NE's capacity clearing price for FCA 18 increased by almost $1/kw-month over FCA 17 (38%), continuing the RTO's history of volatility. The auctions resulted in a single "rest of pool" price except for FCA 15 and 16, when regions priced separately. | ISO-NE
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ISO-NE's capacity prices cleared at $3.58/kW-month in FCA 18, a nearly $1 increase over last year.

[Editor’s Note: This story was updated to correct some details of the capacity awards.]

ISO-NE’s capacity market continued its rollercoaster ride as prices for Forward Capacity Auction 18 rose to $3.58/kW-month, a nearly $1 increase (38%) over last year and the second highest “Rest-of-Pool” price since FCA 13. 

The RTO, which completed the auction after four rounds of bidding on Feb. 5, filed its results for FERC approval Feb. 21 (ER24-1290). The RTO asked FERC to set a deadline of April 8 for comments.  

The auction for the June 1, 2027-May 31, 2028, delivery year procured 31,556 MW of capacity — slightly above the 30,550-MW net installed capacity requirement (ICR) — from about 950 resource obligations, ranging from 7 kW (Sunnybrook Hydro 2) to the Seabrook and Millstone Point Unit 3 nuclear plants at 1.2 GW each. The capacity will cost ratepayers about $1.3 billion. 

Last year, prices cleared at $2.59/kW-month in all zones and import interfaces except for the New Brunswick interface, which cleared at $2.551. (See FCA 17 Shows Clean Energy Boost, Endgame for Coal in New England.) 

ISO-NE’s calculation of the quantity of capacity procured is based on the amounts for June 2027. Among fuel types, natural gas led with 13,817 MW (44% of the total), followed by fuel oil and nuclear at 11% each, and hydropower at 10%.

Demand response contributed 2,614 MW (8%), followed by electricity used for energy storage (5.8%)

Solar (2.2%) and wind (1.7%) trailed kerosene at 3%, although their combined total of 3.9% was up from about 3% in last year’s auction.

Imports contributed 1.5%.

New resources represented 1,484 MW, 4.7% of the total, including 741 MW of storage, 185 MW of wind and almost 53 MW of solar.

In total, the RTO said, emissions-free renewable generation, storage and demand resources contributed about 40% of the total at almost 1,085 MW. 

ISO-NE capacity demand curve, net installed capacity requirement (net ICR) and net cost of new entry (net CONE) for Forward Capacity Auction 18 | ISO-NE

Zones

The auction set separate zones for Northern New England (New Hampshire, Vermont and Maine load zones), Maine (modeled as a nested export-constrained zone within NNE), and the Rest-of-Pool. 

The ROP included Southeastern Massachusetts, Rhode Island, Northeastern Massachusetts/Boston, Connecticut and Western/Central Massachusetts.  

The descending clock auction started in each zone at $14.525/kW-month, resulting in a clearing price of $3.58/kW-month for all zones and imports over the New York AC ties (122.89 MW), New Brunswick external interface (70 MW), Hydro-Québec Highgate external interface (18.17 MW) and the Phase I/II HQ Excess external interface (253.78 MW). 

There were no active demand bids for the substitution auction and the RTO did not reject any retirement delist bids for reliability reasons.

Capacity MarketCoalDemand ResponseEnergy StorageHydropowerISO-NENatural GasNuclear PowerOnshore WindUtility-scale Solar

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