Page 1287 – RTO Insider

August 7, 2017

Con Ed Earnings Down; PSC Rules on Subway Outage, Solar Pilot

By Michael Kuser

Consolidated Edison on Thursday reported its second-quarter net income dropped almost one-third from a year ago, mainly reflecting changes in rate plans and regulatory charges and the impact of weather on revenues from the company’s district-energy steam system.

The company posted $175 million in net income for the quarter ($0.57/share) on $2.63 billion in revenue, compared with $232 million ($0.78/share) on $2.79 billion in revenue in 2016.

Adjusted earnings — which exclude the gain on the sale of a solar electric production project, the impairment of a solar electric production investment in 2016 and the mark-to-market impact of the company’s Clean Energy Businesses — were virtually equal to last year at $178 million ($0.58/share) versus $179 million ($0.60/share) in 2016.

The new electric rate plan for Consolidated Edison Company of New York (CECONY) included changes in the timing of recognition of annual revenues between quarters. Operations and maintenance expenses for CECONY for the second quarter and first half reflect lower pension costs and lower regulatory assessments and fees.

CEO John McAvoy said the company has begun installing smart meters and offering customers new products such as smart air conditioners and Wi-Fi-enabled thermostats.

NYPSC Actions

The New York Public Service Commission on Aug. 2 approved a pilot 3-MW solar project by CECONY aimed at saving low-income customers money on their utility bills (16-E-0622). Con Ed will place the solar panels on rooftops and property owned by the utility.

con ed nypsc earnings — Solar panels | *ConEd*

The commission also directed the utility to change the way it tries to collect money from delinquent customers (16-M-0501). Specifically, Con Ed must propose a process for executing deferred payment agreements and make the company’s meter-seizures “much more straightforward,” the order said.

“To prevent backsliding, Con Edison is required to provide quarterly updates to commission staff to ensure the new procedures are being properly executed,” PSC Chair John B. Rhodes said.

The Public Utility Law Project of New York had requested that the commission examine the utility’s methods of seizing customers’ electric or gas meters for unpaid bills, as well as the way it negotiates deferred payment agreements.

The commission also voted to issue an order on Con Ed’s response to a power outage April 21 that cut electricity to the Seventh Avenue subway station and led to a loss of the subway signals (17-E-0428).

Although the order was not immediately available, it is expected to require the company to create a stockpile of emergency generators that could be deployed anywhere in the system within 30 minutes take actions, as laid out in a July 26 letter from Rhodes.

He also said Con Ed would need to replace its aluminum cables with failure-resistant copper cables and install backup electric lines to eliminate single points of failure. It also must analyze power supply and power quality affecting the subway’s signal system.

Gov. Andrew Cuomo said last week that power-related issues caused more than 32,000 subway delays in the last year.

August 7, 2017

Berkshire Hathaway Energy Earnings Up on Solar Rebound

By Rich Heidorn Jr.

Berkshire Hathaway Energy reported a $38 million increase in earnings for the second quarter over a year earlier, largely because of improved performance of BHE Renewables.

The renewable unit saw net income increase $39 million due primarily to higher generation at the Solar Star projects, which were hobbled by transformer-related forced outages in 2016. It also benefited from earnings from tax equity investments reaching commercial operation and additional wind and solar capacity placed in service.

Berkshire Hathaway Energy earnings — Buffett

BHE Transmission’s earnings dropped by $15 million from lower earnings at AltaLink and BHE U.S. Transmission, which saw lower income from Electric Transmission Texas because of new rates that took effect in March.

Oncor Hearing Set

BHE is awaiting an Aug. 21 U.S. bankruptcy court hearing on its proposed $9 billion acquisition of Energy Future Holdings’ Texas utility Oncor. BHE’s bid is being opposed by EFH’s largest creditor, Elliott Management, which won an 11-day delay in the hearing after telling the bankruptcy court on July 26 that 10 other investors are interested in joining it in a competing bid. (See PUCT Staff Welcomes Buffett’s Oncor Bid; Debtor Miffed.)

Elliott’s $9.3 billion offer values Oncor at $18.5 billion including debt, exceeding the $18.1 billion valuation in BHE’s all-cash deal.

BHE said July 26 that it supports Oncor’s rate settlement with Texas regulators and its agreement to swap $400 million of assets with Sharyland Utilities. “The rate settlement contemplates a stronger financial structure for Oncor, with more owner-funded equity to fund proposed projects and investments in the grid,” BHE said.

Pending approval by Texas regulators, Sharyland would take over 258 miles of 345-kV transmission from Oncor in exchange for Sharyland’s distribution network and retail delivery customers. “Oncor will be welcoming thousands of new customers, many of which are located in areas that have seen significant load growth, like the Permian Basin,” said Oncor CEO Bob Shapard.

The proposed swap was submitted to the Public Utility Commission of Texas on Friday (Docket No. 47469).

August 4, 2017

CAISO Flex Capacity Effort Targets Increased Variability

By Jason Fordney

CAISO is developing new tools to deal with the variable output from the increasing amount of renewable and non-dispatchable generation on its grid, an effort that could bring fundamental changes to California’s resource adequacy rules.

The tools are meant to deal with the highly variable output of new wind and solar generation and changes in net load on the CAISO grid. The grid operator must not only properly balance generation and demand, but also avoid reliability violations and accommodate policy objectives such as renewable integration.

CAISO flexible capacity renewables — | *CAISO*

“The system is evolving and the challenges are evolving,” CAISO Principal of Renewable Generation Clyde Loutan said in an stakeholder call Wednesday. He added that “we are encountering operational challenges on the system that we need to understand.”

Through its Flexible Resource Adequacy Criteria and Must Offer Obligations 2 (FRACMOO2) proceeding, the ISO is proposing to introduce new variations of its flexible resource adequacy capacity product, which is intended to increase the ramp rate of the flexible capacity fleet that is becoming more critical to integrating new renewables.

The bulk of the current proposal is designed as short-term modifications to the flexible capacity criteria to emphasize start-up and minimum run times. CAISO is exploring the use of intertie resources but does not yet have a specific proposal. It hopes to have a program in place in time for the 2020 resource adequacy year. A separate initiative will develop a long-term flexible capacity solution and a resource adequacy roadmap in conjunction with the California Public Utilities Commission.

“The proposed short-term solution is unlikely to be sustainable long-term because the forecasted three-hour net load ramps could exceed the available flexible capacity in several years under this proposal without additional enhancements,” CAISO said in its revised straw proposal.

The package is designed to address the changing characteristics of the grid as CAISO requires quicker ramping speeds within shorter time cycles. While the steepest three-hour net load ramp in 2015 was about 10,600 MW, those ramps are projected to reach about 16,800 MW by 2020, with one ISO estimate putting hourly ramps as high as 7,000 MW by that time. New flexible capacity products would be designed to address variability and uncertainty down to five-minute increments.

The proposal is divided into an operational aspect and a capacity procurement workstream, Johannes Pfeifenberger of the Brattle Group said in a presentation during the call. Brattle has been developing a proposal for CAISO’s flexible capacity procurement framework. Addressing the issue requires a better understanding of the physical capability of the system and flexible and non-flexible resources, he said.

There was broad opposition to a previous ISO flexible capacity proposal, according to a CAISO presentation. Critics contended that the plan conflated three separate drivers that should be dealt with more independently: curtailment of renewables, risk of generation retirements and maintaining a reliable grid.

During the Aug. 2 call, CAISO officials were asked if they have considered putting more limits on how quickly variable resources are allowed to ramp up or down, as is done in ERCOT.

“We are trying to look at all solutions right now,” Loutan said. But ERCOT has different operating characteristics, less non-dispatchable generation and different frequency requirements, he said, noting also that Texas is not interconnected with other regions, unlike California.

CAISO said it has been considering limiting the ramp rate of renewables to manage swings in generation output, but oversupply and minimum load requirements put more focus on flexible resources and start times of flexible capacity resources. The ISO proposed to require a flexible capacity resource have a start-up time of less than 4.5 hours and minimum run time of less than 4.5 hours.

CAISO is accepting comments on FRACMOO2 until Aug. 16, with a draft final proposal planned for December. The initiative also requires coordination with the PUC and other agencies with generation resource adequacy jurisdiction.

The ISO hopes to submit a final product to the Board of Governors next summer, followed by implementation in 2020.

August 4, 2017

NYPSC Pushes Ahead with ESCO Investigation

By Michael Kuser

The New York Public Service Commission on Wednesday rebuffed an appeal by a trade group seeking to prevent evidentiary hearings in the commission’s investigation into overcharging by energy service companies (ESCOs).

The commission rejected separate requests by the Retail Energy Supply Association and Direct Energy Services to halt the evidentiary phase of the proceedings, currently slated to begin in October, although it did grant one appeal.

nypsc energy service companies esco — ALJ Julia Bielawski

“For the commission to entertain an interlocutory appeal — an appeal from a judge’s ruling — at this early stage in the evidentiary process of a proceeding is extraordinary, and it’s up to appellants to show extraordinary circumstances to warrant the commission’s intervention at this point,” Administrative Law Judge Julia Bielawski told the PSC. “Here, typically a discovery dispute would not rise to that level. Here, however, one of the arguments presented by the appellants meets that criteria, so the recommendation is for the commission to entertain this appeal.”

Bielawski was citing the appellants’ assertion that a commission requirement to release certain customer data violates uniform business practices, commission policy and existing contracts.

Commission Chair John B. Rhodes agreed to reverse that one part of the PSC’s May 2017 order while dismissing the other appeals. The commission voted with him.

“The record is clear that certain ESCO customers have paid much more for their energy than necessary,” Rhodes said. “We have cracked down on bad-acting ESCOs, and we have banned ESCOs from serving low-income consumers.

“I’ve been observing the ESCOs using every legal, procedural move that I can imagine — and I’m a regulatory attorney of some years standing — to slow down and limit this proceeding,” Commissioner Gregg C. Sayre said. “I look forward with very great interest to the record now — and may I say, finally — being developed in this case. Even more, I look forward to having an opportunity to make some decisions regarding what appears to be a troubled market.”

A state Supreme Court judge in June ruled that the commission has “the very broadest of powers” to regulate ESCOs and utility rates, especially when seeking to prevent the overcharging of low-income customers. (See Court Backs NYPSC on Regulating Retail Sales.) The court’s Appellate Division last month upheld its conclusion that the commission has authority to cap prices of ESCOs at utility rates.

PSC Affirms REV Order

The PSC also ruled against a petition to rehear or reconsider the order adopting a regulatory and policy framework and implementation plan in the Reforming the Energy Vision case, also commonly known as the Track 1 — or REV framework — order.

Assistant Counsel Ted Kelly said, “The Track 1 order applied the general presumption against utility ownership of generation to these distributed energy resources. I identified several limited exceptions to that rule; in particular, one exception provides for utility ownership of [DER] to enable lower- and moderate-income customers to benefit from those resources.”

Several nonprofit organizations had asked the commission to eliminate that exception.

“Utility ownership of DER was one of the most controversial issues in our Track 1 order,” Sayre said. “We made a compromise between always allowing utilities to own DERs and put them in the rate base, or never. I think we made a good compromise.”

ConEd plant on the East River at 15th Street in Manhattan, New York City

The commission also approved a 3-MW solar project by Consolidated Edison in New York City aimed at saving low-income customers money on their utility bills. Con Edison will place the solar panels on rooftops and property owned by the utility.

August 4, 2017

NRG CEO Hopeful About ZEC Suits, Company Future

By Peter Key

NRG Energy CEO Mauricio Gutierrez said Thursday that his company is optimistic that FERC and U.S. courts will find that the zero-emission credits (ZECs) being issued to nuclear generators by two states are harmful to the market and consumers.

Mauricio Gutierrez NRG zero-emission credits ZECs — NRG Energy CEO Mauricio Gutierrez | *NRG*

Speaking during NRG’s second-quarter earnings conference call, Gutierrez was also bullish on the company’s future as a power generator and retailer, in part because of the location of its generation assets.

Additionally, he said that although the asset sales included in a transformation plan launched last month may not be completed by the end of the year, he expects the company will be able to announce them all by then.

NRG earned $99 million ($0.36/share) from continuing operations during the quarter, after losing $163 million ($0.25/share) a year earlier. That beat the Zacks consensus analysts’ estimate of a 5-cent/share loss. Both sets of figures excluded the results of GenOn Energy, which filed for bankruptcy in June and will become the property of its senior noteholders.

NRG’s revenue was $2.7 billion in the most recent quarter, up from $2.25 billion a year ago, but short of the consensus estimate of $3.03 billion.

The company is a plaintiff in lawsuits against ZEC programs in Illinois and New York, both of which were dismissed last month. (See New York ZEC Suit Dismissed.) The subsidies also prompted requests for FERC to extend the minimum offer price rule (MOPR) to existing units.

Initial briefs are due Aug. 28 in the plaintiffs’ appeal of the ruling on the Illinois ZECs case, which is pending before the 7th U.S. Circuit Court of Appeals. The plaintiffs plan to ask the 2nd Circuit to review the New York ruling.

When asked why he was so confident that the cases will be ultimately decided in NRG’s favor, Gutierrez said, “We think that we have a strong case, and with new FERC commissioners coming in, I think there will be a fresh look, a fresh perspective on the validity of our case and the potential impact that these out-of-market subsidies can have in the competitive markets.”

Another analyst on the call pointed to continued renewable subsidies while, outside Texas, load growth in NRG’s markets is flat. He asked if those developments concerned Gutierrez, as NRG will be left with a generation portfolio without renewables once the company finishes its planned asset sales.

Gutierrez said NRG would have a chance to rebalance its portfolio once its transformation process is completed and that its “generation is within the load pocket of the Chicago area, New York City or southwest Connecticut, and that these assets benefit significantly from capacity prices that have been very robust and continue to be robust as far as 2020 [or] 2021.”

As for NRG’s retail business, Guiterrez said the company has looked at best practices in other retail industries for ideas and concluded that it should build up its information technology infrastructure and analytics.

“So the way I characterize this effort is, in the last three years, we grew our business roughly by $200 million,” he said. “What we’re saying is that in the next three years, we are going to grow it by $200 million.”

[Editor’s note: Quotes from conference call courtesy of Seeking Alpha.]

August 4, 2017

FERC Quorum Restored as Powelson, Chatterjee Confirmed

By Rich Heidorn Jr.

The Senate on Thursday night confirmed Pennsylvania regulator Robert Powelson and GOP aide Neil Chatterjee to FERC, effectively restoring the quorum the commission lost six months ago.

Swearing in at their Senate confirmation hearing left to right: Brouillette, Chatterjee and Powelson | © *RTO Insider*

Confirmation of the two Republican nominees was never in doubt in the GOP-controlled Senate, but their nominations languished for almost two months after the Senate Energy and Natural Resources Committee approved them on a 20-3 vote June 6, as Democrats reportedly held out for an assurance that the Senate would also move on Democratic nominee Richard Glick.

That hurdle was cleared when the committee announced it had scheduled a Sept. 7 confirmation hearing for Glick, general counsel for the Democrats on the panel, and Republican attorney Kevin McIntyre, whom President Trump nominated as chairman. That action came after the White House, which had announced Trump’s intent to nominate Glick in late June and McIntyre almost a month ago, formally submitted their nominations to the Senate on Wednesday.

Excitement, then a Nervous Wait

Powelson, a member of the Pennsylvania Public Utility Commission, and Chatterjee, senior energy policy adviser to Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-Ky.), were included on the 1 p.m. Senate Executive Calendar Thursday. That set off a flurry of excitement in the offices of energy lawyers and interest groups with issues before the commission.

Dan Brouillette, who had his confirmation hearing alongside the FERC nominees in May, was confirmed by the Senate as deputy secretary of energy shortly after noon. But doubts that Powelson and Chatterjee would win a vote before the Senate began its August recess grew later in the day. The upper house will not return until Sept. 5.

Sen. Lisa Murkowski (R-Alaska), chairwoman of the Senate energy panel, took the Senate podium at about 6:30 p.m. to request a vote after a lengthy quorum call — when the Senate remained in session but no action was taking place on the floor. The nominees were confirmed by a unanimous voice vote.

Chatterjee, of Kentucky, will replace Tony Clark, whose term expired last Sept. 30. Powelson is replacing Philip Moeller, whose term expired in October 2015.

Murkowski called Chatterjee “an invaluable asset” to her and her committee staff. “Extremely committed and dedicated. And it’s just been a real pleasure to work with him,” Murkowski said on the floor after the vote. “I don’t know Mr. Powelson as well, but having had an opportunity to advance his name before the Energy committee for confirmation too, I know that the … credentials that he will bring to the commission are greatly appreciated.”

Murkowski said restoring FERC’s quorum was essential to building new energy infrastructure. “In order to proceed with much of this you have to have the FERC actually operating: Working to review the permits; working through the ratemaking cases. It is substantive work. It is challenging work. It is work that has now been stopped up for months and months. So, knowing that FERC will be able to commence its operations again with a quorum is really good news today.”

Backlog to Clear

Once the two are sworn in, the commission will be able to resume work on the hundreds of contested dockets that have languished since February, when Chairman Norman Bay resigned after Trump named Cheryl LaFleur acting chair. The commission typically does not meet in public in August. Its next open meeting is scheduled for Sept. 20.

With only LaFleur and Commissioner Colette Honorable, the commission lacked the three-member quorum required to issue most significant orders. LaFleur was left alone on the commission when Honorable left once her term expired June 30.

FERC staffers have been able to issue only delegated orders; contested dockets and rulemakings have been at a standstill. As a result, LaFleur said, the commission has issued only a fraction of the 100 commission-authorized orders it averages a month.

Glick would replace Honorable for a term expiring in June 2022. McIntyre would finish Bay’s term and be reappointed for a term expiring June 2023. (See Trump Names Energy Lawyer McIntyre as FERC Chair.)

Turnover

In an interview in May, LaFleur noted that the four new commissioners will represent the biggest turnover at the commission since at least 1993. LaFleur joined the panel in July 2010. (See LaFleur Braces for ‘FERC 2.0’ Under Trump.)

In addition to the backlog of routine but contested orders they must clear, the new commissioners also will have to deal with another series of federal-state jurisdictional issues — moves by policymakers in RTO states to subsidize in-state generation. (See RTO Markets at Crossroads, Hobbled FERC Ponders Options.)

The confirmations were greeted with relief by many — but not all — stakeholders.

“Happy day!” tweeted LaFleur. “Very excited to work with new Commissioners Chatterjee and Powelson!”

Edison Electric Institute President Tom Kuhn said Chatterjee and Powelson “bring a wealth of experience, and a strong commitment to public service.” Kuhn said EEI’s priorities for FERC are “improving the functioning and price formation in wholesale markets, updating the transmission planning process, streamlining the siting and permitting process, developing predictability for the return on equity (ROE) in order to attract investment, and ensuring reliability and energy grid security.”

“We appreciate the Senate’s action to confirm both Robert Powelson and Neil Chatterjee,” said Jim Matheson, CEO of the National Rural Electric Cooperative Association. “Restoring FERC’s quorum will allow the commission to move forward on critical co-op issues such as access to a diverse power supply and the certification of natural gas pipelines.”

Advanced Energy Economy said it hoped the new commissioners will be receptive to “an energy system that encourages innovation and allows all technologies to compete fairly in wholesale markets while also respecting the right of states to set policy goals of their own.”

“We believe that market rules should not lock in old technologies at the expense of newer ones that can do more for less,” the group continued in a statement. “With a quorum restored at FERC and two more nominations pending, we look forward to working with the commissioners to remove all barriers to advanced energy technologies competing in wholesale electricity markets.”

Pipeline protestors outside Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer’s (D-N.Y.) office in Washington. | *Beyond Extreme Energy*

Some environmental activists, however, would rather the commission remain unable to approve new interstate gas pipelines. (See Pipeline Foes Like Hobbled FERC Just the Way it is.) The activist coalition Beyond Extreme Energy said that two dozen protesters blockaded the front door at the D.C. office of Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer (D-N.Y.) Thursday, resulting in arrests. The protesters carried a banner asking Schumer to oppose the FERC nominees and the Energy and Natural Resources Act of 2017 (S 1460), which environmentalists have labeled the “Dirty Energy Bill.”

August 4, 2017January 3, 2024

Stakeholders Hash out Future of DER at OMS Workshop

By Amanda Durish Cook

MADISON, Wis. — MISO state regulators and industry officials gathered this week to discuss how the region’s electricity sector will accommodate the budding growth of distributed energy resources within the RTO’s footprint.

While the outlook of participants at the Organization of MISO States’ Aug. 1 DER workshop ranged from cautious to optimistic, nearly all agreed that the industry could be confronting a profound transformation as energy resources become increasingly decentralized.

“DER, this is really just a fad, right? We don’t need to concern ourselves with this,” joked Wisconsin Public Service Commissioner Mike Huebsch. “In all seriousness, that’s what some were saying a few years ago, but it’s clearly not a fad.”

Missouri Public Service Commission Chairman Daniel Hall said DER is fast becoming a national policy issue.

“We are witnessing technological advances to accommodate the growing demand for DER,” he told a crowd of utility executives, regulators, renewable energy advocates and RTO officials at the workshop, sponsored by the Wisconsin Public Utility Institute and the Wisconsin Energy Institute.

“I think of this as potentially the creation of a new industry,” said Suedeen Kelly, a partner at the law firm Jenner & Block. DERs and microgrids are introducing electricity to far-flung regions of developing countries, she said.

“Is it going to be as dramatic a change in the U.S.? I don’t know yet. Are we going to move to a country of microgrids? Personally, I doubt it — but maybe,” Kelly said. “I think most of the decisions that state regulators have to make can fall into three categories: Who’s going to be allowed to own them? Who’s going to be allowed to dispatch them? How are they going to be compensated?”

Kelly said each state would likely tackle these questions on its own.

“We have a lot of time to figure out the dispatch question — who and how and all that,” said Mike Bull, director of policy at the Center for Energy and Environment.

Bull said he expects DER owners, rather than regulators, to come forward with policy ideas, noting that regulators are often reactive rather than proactive.

DER: Enemy — or BFF?

“DERs are advancing at a pace that I’m not sure any of us grasp,” said Lauren Azar, a former Wisconsin PSC commissioner, and current energy consultant and attorney.

Azar said states must work together to take the lead on policy issues and set aside regional differences. “It’s not surprising that whenever a huge new region comes into MISO, that it’s going to take some time to build some trust,” she said, referring to the integration of MISO South.

MISO Vice President of System Operations Todd Ramey said DERs could reach 20 GW in the RTO by 2030. MISO underestimated the adoption of customer DERs in its past modeling, he noted, and the RTO’s main concern remains forecasting substation-level requirements as early as possible, anywhere from two or three days to five minutes ahead ― a schedule MISO intends to maintain even with the increased penetration of DERs.

When Azar asked if anyone in the audience was surprised at the rate of electric vehicle adoption, she was met with a scattered raising of hands.

“OK, well you guys are more prescient than I am,” she said to laughter.

Azar said the grid is remarkable in its dynamism and ever-changing flows. “This year’s enemies are next year’s BFFs,” she said. “As state regulators, you have the luxury of taking the economic long view. You should not be driven by what your utility’s dividends are right now.”

Azar expressed regret about her 2011 vote against allowing aggregated demand response in Wisconsin and said she now realizes DR strengthens the nation’s grid and economy. She advised states against becoming too wrapped up in their own needs to notice what is good for the nation as a whole.

She noted that last year’s Notice of Proposed Rulemaking requiring RTOs to remove market barriers for storage and DERs indicates that FERC is inclined to allow for state regulation of aggregated DERs and energy storage above 100 kW. The NOPR is reminiscent of FERC Order 719, she said.

She advised states to encourage a regulatory structure in which new technologies are allowed to “bubble up” in non-discriminatory fashion and are properly monetized.

The Elvis Paradox

Tim Noeldner, WPPI Energy vice president of rates and special projects, said his company expects “slow and steady growth” in DERs and will leave a small planning gap for the resources to fill. “We go into the future a little bit short,” he explained.

Entergy Director of Regulatory Research Andrew Owens said 4% of New Orleans households with rooftop solar are spread throughout all socioeconomic corners of the city, a result of falling costs and generous tax credits.

“Is that an opportunity or a threat? Right now, we have no grid visibility of it other than locations and zip codes. We can do desktop modeling of it, but it’s not real,” Owens said. He said a mix of policy, pilot projects and partnerships are needed for a steadier transition, and can help scale New Orleans Mayor Mitch Landrieu’s lofty climate action goal of 255 MW of solar capacity within the city in the next decade, up 215 MW from today.

Owens also cautioned against the simple extrapolation of present DER trends, referring to the “Elvis Presley Paradox,” which he said holds that the number of Elvis impersonators increased from about 30 at the singer’s death in 1977 to around 50,000 by the mid-1990s — a growth rate that would translate into every third person in the world being an Elvis impersonator by now.

At some point, Owens said, there won’t be usable space for solar, and a willing tide of customers will abate.

Former FERC Commissioner Tony Clark, now a senior adviser with law firm Wilkinson Barker Knauer, said DERs could affect the future in one of three ways.

“You can make a case that things will look not much different than today ― I don’t think that’s the case,” he said. On the other hand, one could assume the “Elon-Musk-on-steroids version of the world takes over,” and electric vehicles are in every garage and residential heaters are able to store energy, making houses self-contained units.

Future reality is likely to be found somewhere in the middle, according to Clark.

“I personally think the most likely scenario is, moving forward, you literally have more power at the edges of the grid and figuratively more power in the hands of the consumers. … It’s still a network grid, but a more nimble grid,” Clark said. “I’d think that’s the most likely scenario. … Distribution services will still play an extraordinarily important role.”

University of Wisconsin engineering professor Bob Lasseter, who studies the penetration of DERs, said that microgrids provide the most promising means of integrating substantial amounts of distributed sources. However, a decentralized grid works best autonomously — not micromanaged by grid operators — and spared from extensive communications and controls.

“I believe that this bottom-up model is really going to work,” Lasseter said. “Microgrids are getting killed because there’s too much managing of loads.”

Supersized Battery

Residential DERs can help grid planners avoid costly transmission projects by lowering demand, said Amy Heart, director of public policy at solar advocacy group SunRun. “Imagine having customers excited about rate cases because they’re helping to generate savings,” she said.

Kelly said that the electric industry has traditionally rewarded investment because expansion has long been necessary. “Now? Not so much,” she said, adding that the industry needs to find methods to reward avoiding costly investments.

Grid investment is still paramount, Michigan Public Service Chairman Sally Talberg said, and new technologies to accommodate DERs could be incorporated into the upgrade of Michigan’s aging infrastructure.

“We’ve got breakers that are 70 years old. … It’s like driving a car without a steering wheel ― and this is not an autonomous car,” Talberg said. She envisioned grid upgrades that accommodate two-way energy flows and the grid itself upgraded to become “a large storage battery.”

More Visibility, Please

RTO executives, meanwhile, are seeking historical and operating data to plan for DERs.

Resource visibility is the key to modeling grid planning, MISO’s Ramey said. “I need to know where it’s at, what size and dynamic impacts,” he said. “Today, MISO has no role in integration [of DERs], but we need that data to ensure reliability.”

CAISO Manager of Transmission Planning Jeff Billinton said DER information needs to be incorporated into transmission planning and NERC reliability models years in advance. ERCOT Chief Operating Officer Cheryl Mele said RTOs need to know whether it will be the resources or the distribution companies that will provide production data.

Utility executives are also calling for more DER visibility.

Joe McGovern, Alliant Energy’s director of electrical engineering, said DER use is no longer a simple issue of interconnection. “It went from an engineering problem to a broader market issue very quickly,” he said. Stakeholders, generation owners, customers and developers must be educated on the potential impacts. He said he’d like to see a distribution system that runs like a software platform and is easily accessible.

Commonwealth Edison Director of Energy Policy Chris Foley said his company is giving “a lot of thought to the utility of the future” but is not yet moving to a distribution system operator model in which the utility co-optimizes distributed resources.

Baked-in Distribution Costs?

Clark said he said he would attempt to make attendees “uncomfortable,” reminding them that FERC could intervene and issue regulations for DERs if their growth went unchecked and had an adverse impact on rates.

“Consider me the Scaramucci of the workshop,” he joked, referring to the foul-mouthed former White House communications director.

“I thought he was going to cuss like Scaramucci did,” Arkansas Public Service Commission Chair Ted Thomas teased.

“That was the Midwestern version,” Clark replied.

Noeldner said WPPI supports a retail rate in which distribution costs are built in.

EnerNOC Director of Regulatory Affairs Greg Geller added that DER-owning customers need to reap the financial benefit of the value they are helping to create and suggested attaching a value to “peak shaving,” when customers help reduce demand at peak times.

State regulators must recognize the “push and pull” of customers influencing policy, said Tyler Huebner, executive director of Renew Wisconsin. “What we see is, the worse the net metering policies are [in a state], the bigger rush there is to install storage,” Huebner said.

OMS Executive Director Tanya Paslawski said the DER workshop served as a “good starting point” for future discussions within her organization. RTO officials last month asked OMS for policy ideas on a common DER definition and market rules. (See “MISO Asks OMS for DER Ideas,” OMS Issues EE Market Participation Opinion.)

“We’re not in any emergency situation in MISO ― or any RTO for that matter ― but this is something that is picking up steam … and there are a lot of moving parts to consider,” Paslawski said.

MISO participants will resume their DER conversation again in September at a full board meeting in which stakeholders will debate DER treatment as a “hot topic” discussion item. The RTO also continues to develop a common definition and market rules for the participation of energy storage in its markets. (See MISO Rules Must Bend for Storage, Stakeholders Say.) MISO’s Steering Committee last month voted to approve the creation of an energy storage task force, which will report its findings and discussions back to the committee.

August 3, 2017

Solar Eclipse Prep Nearly Complete at CAISO

By Robert Mullin

CAISO is nailing down its final preparations for the Aug. 21 solar eclipse, which is expected to take about 5,600 MW of utility-scale and rooftop solar generation off the California grid during morning hours when those resources would typically be ramping up output.

Still, the grid operator expressed confidence in its ability to avoid service outages stemming from the event, despite having to support an upward ramp of about 70 MW/minute heading into the eclipse and a downward ramp of 90 to 100 MW/minute coming out.

“We will ramp up generation to compensate for lost solar production, and there is plenty of capacity to meet need,” the ISO said in a FAQ published on its website. “It is not unusual for the ISO grid operators to manage ramps this large on certain days.”

CAISO currently has about 10,000 MW of utility-scale solar interconnected into its system, and its typical morning ramps average about 29 MW/minute.

The extra capacity will mostly come from traditional generating resources. (See CAISO Solar Eclipse Prep Relies on Conventional Mix.) With California’s water levels still relatively high after a wet winter, CAISO expects to have access to about 6,000 MW of flexible hydroelectric capacity in mid-August. The ISO has also been working with gas pipeline companies, utilities and generators to procure additional reserve and regulation capacity, both of which will be needed to grapple with the potential for oversupply and frequency regulation issues after the eclipse, as solar rapidly ramps up its output.

Tasks Completed

Begun last year, CAISO’s preparations for the eclipse have been extensive.

The ISO said it has consulted with the forecasting team that helped grid operators in Europe prepare for a 2015 eclipse, which especially affected Germany’s 40 GW of installed solar capacity. The ISO has developed its own event-day forecast using Aug. 22, 2016 — also a Monday — as the basis for projecting expected demand the morning of the eclipse. The ISO’s model assumes full sun, no “extraordinary” conservation measures and higher obscuration rates (representing the proportion of the sun obscured by the moon) in Northern California, along with a corresponding loss with rooftop solar output there.

caiso eclipse rooftop solar — The eclipse will have its greatest impact on solar generation in Northern California, where “obscuration” rates will be above 75%. | *CAISO*

The ISO has also completed a market simulation for the day of the eclipse and conducted “tabletop exercises” and training for real-time grid operators. It has also refined its renewable forecasts — in part by comparing them with third-party forecasts — and coordinated with natural gas companies to plan for increased output from gas-fired power plants.

The grid operator is also working with Western Energy Imbalance Market (EIM) participants to “incorporate eclipse impacts in their power schedules, maintain full operational energy transfers, and collaborate on forecasting.” CAISO expects the eclipse to have some impact on 1,700 to 2,000 MW of solar generation in neighboring EIM areas.

Still to Come

A week ahead of the eclipse, CAISO plans to “refine” its resource and load forecasts and update market participants about any changes to its reserve needs. Two days before the event, it will hold a conference call with market participants “to facilitate coordination and transparency,” the FAQ said.

Finally, on the morning of the eclipse, the ISO will ensure that its real-time forecasts are transferred into the ISO system in order to prepare generation and optimize the transmission network.

And while the ISO is not expecting the need for conservation measures, it did encourage electricity consumers to keep those measures in mind on the day of the eclipse.

“The ISO predicts the typical consumer will not notice the grid management challenges and balancing strategies,” CAISO said. “However, energy efficiency is always helpful to curb spikes in need for power and to lower consumer electricity bills during times of high demand.”

August 3, 2017

Va. Data Centers, Residential Growth Boost Dominion Demand

By Rich Heidorn Jr.

Data centers and residential customer growth are driving increased electric demand for Dominion Energy in Virginia, with weather normalized sales up about 2% for the first half of the year.

New customer connections in the first six months jumped 7% over 2016, and the company connected five new data centers between April and June, company officials said in their second-quarter earnings call Wednesday.

CEO Thomas Farrell said an anticipated increase in federal defense spending under the Trump administration would “provide strong support for the Virginia economy, which is the largest recipient of defense dollars in the nation.”

“All of these factors support our expectation that annual electric sales growth of at least 1% will continue,” Farrell added.

The company reported second-quarter earnings of $390 million ($0.62/share), a drop from last year’s $452 million ($0.73/share). Operating earnings for the quarter were $421 million ($0.67/share) versus $441 million ($0.71/share) for 2016. The main difference between reported and operating earnings were costs related to Dominion’s acquisition of Questar.

Operating revenue was $2.81 billion, up 8% from almost $2.6 billion a year earlier. The company is predicting earnings growth of at least 10% in 2018.

Transmission spending will contribute to that growth. Dominion added $327 million in transmission assets in the first half of the year, and the company plans to invest $800 million in transmission annually for at least the next decade.

Extensions for Va. Nukes, Subsidy for Millstone Sought

dominion energy virginia — Cove Point Liquefaction Project | *Dominion Energy*

Farrell said company officials are “working very hard” to win financial support from Connecticut lawmakers for its Millstone nuclear plant. He did not respond to an analyst’s question on whether the company would share Millstone’s financials to rebut criticism that the plant is already profitable and doesn’t need assistance.

However, he said the company will participate in the study ordered by Gov. Dannel Malloy last month. The state’s Department of Energy and Environment and Public Utilities Regulatory Authority are to report to the legislature on the plant’s financials in January 2018. (See CT Gov Orders Financial Analysis of Millstone Plant.)

Paul D. Koonce, CEO of Dominion’s Power Generation Group, said that the timing of legislative action depends on the resolution of the Connecticut budget, which he hopes lawmakers will complete by Labor Day.

Meanwhile, the company has begun the process for winning license extensions for its North Anna and Surry nuclear plants in Virginia. Officials said state legislation will allow the company to recover through a rate rider the costs of extending the plants’ lives, which could be as much as $4 billion.

Company officials also provided updates on several projects:

Farrell reiterated the company’s plans to add as much as 2,000 MW of offshore wind if two test offshore wind turbines planned for 26 miles off Virginia Beach “demonstrate that they work well in these waters and produce the kind of capacity that we expect.” (See Dominion Plans 12-MW Offshore Wind Project, 2nd in US.)
The Cove Point Liquefaction Project is 95% complete, on target for the beginning of commercial service later this year.
Construction of the Atlantic Coast Pipeline project should begin in November, assuming FERC restores its quorum by the end of September. “There’s certainly some vocal opposition in some isolated localities, but overall, folks in Virginia support the pipeline as they do in West Virginia [and] North Carolina, and we expect to get all the necessary permits later this fall,” Farrell said. Dominion won’t discuss potential expansion of the pipeline until it has the FERC permit in hand, he said.
The 1,588-MW Greensville County combined cycle plant is almost half complete and is on time and on budget with commercial operations expected late 2018.
The company said it expects to select sites later this year for one or more pumped-storage facilities in Southwest Virginia. The General Assembly approved recovery of the facilities’ costs through a rider.

dominion energy data centers virginia — Greensville County combined cycle plant construction | *Dominion Energy*

Solar

The company said data centers, military installations and the state government are driving demand for renewables. Three facilities totaling 119 MW went into commercial operation in the second quarter. In total, the company expects to add 438 MW of solar this year and another 200 MW by the end of 2018, bringing its total to 1,800 MW. The company’s integrated resource plan calls for up to 5,000 MW of solar by 2032.

“Solar uses a lot of land, and that’s beginning to become obvious to people as maybe not quite as obvious to folks in the West, where vacant land is abundant,” Farrell said. “So we’re exploring all of our options to meet our customers’ demands for decades to come. That’s part of why we’re looking at the relicensing of North Anna and Surry as well, and pump storage in the Virginia mountains.”

On Thursday, the company announced it has acquired two 5-MW solar facilities and plans to purchase two other solar farms totaling 10 MW later in the third quarter from Strata Solar, of Chapel Hill, N.C.

[Editor’s note: Quotes from the earnings call are according to a transcript by Seeking Alpha.]

August 3, 2017

Entergy Q2 Earnings Beat Expectations

By Tom Kleckner

With its merchant nuclear power plants all but part of history, Entergy reported second-quarter earnings Wednesday that almost doubled investor expectations.

The New Orleans-based company said second-quarter profits were $409.9 million ($2.27/share), compared with $567.3 million ($3.11/share) a year ago. A Zacks Investment Research survey of Wall Street analysts had forecasted earnings of $1.20/share.

Entergy took a $152.3 million loss related to its plans to sell or close its five Entergy Wholesale Commodities nuclear plants. (See Entergy, Consumers Announce Closure of Palisades Nuke and Entergy to Shut Down Indian Point by 2021.)

At the same time, the company has received final regulatory approval to build a pair of nearly identical 990-MW combined cycle gas-fired plants in Louisiana and Texas. The Lake Charles Power Station in Westlake, La., is expected to go online in 2020, while the Montgomery County Power Station near Houston should begin operations in 2021.

entergy earnings q2 2017 — Entergy’s Vermont Yankee nuclear plant, closed in 2014.

“These projects will contribute to our portfolio transformation efforts to replace older, less efficient plants with new generation,” Entergy CEO Leo Denault told analysts during a Wednesday earnings call, pointing to state-of-the art emission controls that capture and use waste heat to boost generation. “They are an important part of our strategy to meet our voluntary commitment to develop an electric system that is well-positioned to operate in a carbon-constrained economy.”

Denault said the two plants are expected to provide Entergy’s Louisiana and Texas customers at least $3 billion in combined net benefits and lower production costs. The plants are also expected to provide thousands of jobs during construction and generate more than $2 billion in economic activity for their local communities, he said.

Entergy has also amended its application for the proposed New Orleans Power Station, which has encountered opposition from the City Council. Denault said the company has renewed its request for the original 226-MW combustion turbine but also proposed a 128-MW unit as an alternative.