November 17, 2024

Study to Weigh Aliso Canyon Shutdown

By Jason Fordney

California regulators last week advanced on a plan to study the potential for eliminating the Aliso Canyon natural gas storage facility.

The move came as Southern California Gas reiterated warnings about the impact of gas shortages on grid reliability this summer.

The state’s Public Utilities Commission issued a draft request for proposals to develop an “Aliso Canyon Reliability and Economic Analyses.” The central question to be answered, according to the draft: “should the commission reduce or eliminate the use of the Aliso Canyon storage facility, and if so, under what conditions and parameters, and in what time frame?”

The commission seeks public comment on the draft by June 29 and expects to issue the RFP on July 6. It is considering what elements of the proposal work or could be improved, if any important questions are missing and whether instructions are clear.

Location of Gas Leak at Aliso Canyon Natural Gas Storage Facility | SoCalGas

Injections into the 86 Bcf facility near Los Angeles have been halted since the leak was discovered in October 2015. The restriction was kept in place even after the leaking well was finally plugged in February 2016.

State Senate Bill 380 prohibited reinjection of gas into Aliso until completion of a safety review and required the PUC to determine whether use of the facility can be reduced or eliminated while still maintaining electric and gas reliability.

Winning bidders on the RFP will be required to hold stakeholder workshops and public hearings, as well as perform hydraulic model analysis of the reliability of the Aliso system under a variety of scenarios, using forecasted electricity demand and contribution of renewables to the generation mix.

The PUC is looking for bidders experienced with Synergi Gas software — or an equivalent — and working on gas-electric coordination. Also desired is a background running community forums and “developing models to assess the market, consumer and economic impact of significant changes to the natural gas or related markets.”

Bidders’ proposals are due on Aug. 24, and the contract award date is tentatively set for Sept. 29.

| California Public Utilities Commission

SoCalGas last week repeated a May warning directed at the PUC, California Energy Commission and CAISO about Aliso Canyon. (See California Grid Emergency Comes Days After Reliability Warning.)

“From our perspective, we are cautiously optimistic that, based upon the CAISO forecast, we will be able to meet the demands on our system. Of course, this is dependent on there being no unplanned outages on either the electric or gas systems,” SoCalGas CEO Bret Lane said in a June 16 letter.

Lane’s letter was accompanied by another June 13 letter from a group of municipal utilities to State Sen. Henry Stern, saying that they have serious concerns with the continuing moratorium on injections that the legislature required until a root cause of the leak is identified. The analysis is not needed because the wells have been retrofitted and gas no longer flows into outer casings, the practice that led to the gas leak, the utilities said.

“We are concerned that the bill constrains the transmission of natural gas, which could limit local electric supply, resulting in electric outages,” says the letter from Burbank Water and Power, Pasadena Water and Power, and Vernon Public Utilities.

The utilities also said that the legislation failed to define a process for emergency gas injections, “suggesting that a response to a blackout might come too late.” They backed SoCalGas’ recommendation that the current gas inventory at Aliso Canyon be increased to prevent blackouts.

The utilities caution that temperatures were moderate last year, which has so far not been the case this year. A heat wave last week swept areas of California, cutting electricity to about 190,000 Pacific Gas and Electric customers and prompting CAISO to issue a conservation alert. (See California Heat Wave Prompts CAISO Flex Alert.)

Industry Vets Talk Challenges at MISO Annual Stakeholders’ Meeting

By Amanda Durish Cook

BRANSON, Mo. — Energy industry veterans mused on the state of energy innovation and the future of the sector during a panel discussion at MISO’s annual stakeholders’ meeting last week.

miso annual stakeholders' meeting
Voss | © RTO Insider

Thomas Voss, retired chairman of Ameren and a self-proclaimed devotee of innovation, said microgrids and rooftop solar are gaining traction.

“In California, it’s completely changed the planning process. Lines that they thought would be overloaded were fine because of rooftop solar,” Voss said during the June 21 panel. “Now there’s winner and losers, and it might not be as fair as it should be, but hopefully we can come together and solve that.”

William Mohl, a former Entergy executive, said MISO has the luxury of studying what the RTOs on the coasts are doing with renewables and storage and waiting until it becomes economic to implement the results.

James Jura, former CEO of Associated Electric Cooperative Inc., recounted how he used to ask industry participants if they had heard of Elon Musk before he was a household name: “I said, ‘You have to look him up because he’s going to get between you and your member-owners.’”

Libby Jacobs, former chair of the Iowa Utilities Board and former Organization of MISO States president, said FERC will need to address the public appetite for renewables with orders or possible rulemaking.

miso annual stakeholders' meeting
Jacobs | © RTO Insider

“I do see energy storage as one of the coming-together points of what regional, state and national entities can do,” she said. MISO has tentatively scheduled a July 24 common issue meeting to discuss how storage might fit into its market and could convene a task team to craft new rules. (See MISO’s Next Step on Storage: ‘Common Issues’; Task Team?)

Voss said with load growth flat nearly nationwide, it’s time for state regulators to determine whether current energy policies will still make sense when demand eventually rises again.

Mohl agreed. “Slow load growth hides a lot of sins,” he said, adding that baseload resources are no longer being tested regularly for reliability.

Capacity is still not properly priced for merchant generation, Voss said, maintaining that suppliers have no incentive to build any new generation — especially in Southern Illinois. “I don’t think the capacity problem has been solved anywhere in the country. There’s no drive to build anything new,” he said.

Mohl added that low margins and low gas prices are pricing some longtime generators out of the market.

“There are some that say, ‘Well, they should just leave the market,’ but we don’t want all of them to leave the market,” he said, adding that capacity needs to be priced properly.

miso annual stakeholders' meeting
Mohl | © RTO Insider

As the industry moves away from coal — and even nuclear — generation, RTO leaders, regulators and utilities will require more defined plans for upgrading natural gas infrastructure and pipelines, Mohl said.

“I think a lot of times people hope and pray that it’s there when they need it, but what I don’t see is a more intentional plan. … If you get down to renewables and natural gas and remove baseload generators, there’s inadequate infrastructure,” he said.

“There’s a big disconnect there,” Voss agreed. “There hasn’t been enough attention on, ‘Is the firm supply of gas really firm?’”

“Right now, it really doesn’t matter. But it will,” Mohl added.

Jacobs predicted increased difficulty in siting new pipelines and transmission alike because of a surge in environmental activism. “I think 10 years ago, regulators would have asked, ‘Why are there police, bomb-sniffing dogs at your meetings?’” she said.

PJM Stakeholders Seek Story Behind Dispatch Data

By Rory D. Sweeney

VALLEY FORGE, Pa. — The plethora of data PJM provides is only useful if the grid operator also explains what it all means, stakeholders told RTO staff last week at a special session of the Market Implementation Committee on providing transparency in how market prices are developed.

pjm dispatch data
Horstmann | © RTO Insider

John Horstmann of Dayton Power and Light said that stakeholders are not always as informed as staff about what is significant in the numbers and what is not.

“I think we’re looking for more than just raw data,” Calpine’s David “Scarp” Scarpignato said. “We’re looking for some kind of meaning.”

Staff acknowledged the need for explanation. The meeting adjourned early, with Rami Dirani, PJM’s facilitator of sessions on the topic, agreeing to develop a presentation on what data the RTO can provide and some ideas regarding the best way to provide them. The presentation, scheduled for the committee’s next meeting July 11, will also address confidentiality and critical energy infrastructure information (CEII) considerations, he said.

Gary Greiner of Public Service Electric and Gas said that he wants to go beyond price spikes and trends and “get a seat alongside of the dispatcher as they’re making their reliability decisions” to know why units are dispatched out of market, why those units weren’t economic and why that isn’t anticipated. PJM’s current practice of reviewing the past month’s results loses the advantages of instantaneous feedback, he said.

“I don’t know that that’s a good model for price formation,” he said.

Acknowledging confidentiality and competitive concerns, Greiner urged PJM to provide the most granularity possible to help market participants understand system dynamics, such as where circumstances are changing and what’s causing it. And while he also acknowledged the importance of not making dispatchers so preoccupied with how their actions will be perceived that they hesitate to make the right decisions, he cautioned against relying on a dispatcher’s “experience and intuition” to dictate a “significant portion” of dispatch.

“As much of that as we can push into the algorithms embedded in the models, the better we are — and we won’t know that unless we can see it,” he said.

pjm dispatch data
Greiner (left) and PJM’s Paul McGlynn | © RTO Insider

The goal for PSE&G, he said, is to make decisions as predictable as possible so market participants can anticipate situations and act on them as quickly as possible.

“I don’t have a sense of what’s going on there,” he said. “When dispatchers are taking out-of-market actions, I’d like to know what they are and why they’re taking them … to get closer to a more transparent dispatch that we all understand.”

Joe Ciabattoni, who manages PJM’s market coordination, said MISO’s forecast reports offer more granularity, which PJM is studying and plans to include in its reporting. PJM’s security-constrained economic dispatch engine provides forecasts of various intervals, including “very short-term,” “short-term,” “intermediate-term” and “real-time,” he said, adding that staff will consider what data from each category could provide meaningful information for stakeholders.

“Historically, we’ve always reported on the overall forecast because years ago, before we had sophisticated applications, that’s all that really mattered,” he said.

Dirani said he would begin compiling information in response to the group’s interests. He asked stakeholders to provide, as soon as possible, any additional issues PJM should examine and be prepared to fully evaluate all of them for the next meeting.

“I have some homework,” he said. “So do you.”

Planners: MISO Near-Term RA Sufficient

By Amanda Durish Cook

BRANSON, Mo. — MISO will have adequate generation over the next five years to address its changing resource mix and the adoption of new technologies, planning staff told RTO leaders last week.

Low electricity demand plays a big part in the brighter forecasts and more optimistic tone adopted by MISO when discussing future resource adequacy, staff say.

“Energy efficiency has made our load essentially flat since 2008,” Clair Moeller, MISO executive vice president of operations, said during a June 20 meeting of the Board of Directors’ System Planning Committee.

The RTO’s annual resource adequacy survey published jointly with the Organization of MISO States earlier this month found that low demand will leave its footprint flush with capacity through at least 2022. The survey showed a 2.7- to 4.8-GW regional surplus over the next five years, while last year’s survey predicted a 0.4-GW shortfall by 2018 if no new generation came online. (See Capacity Survey Shows MISO in the Black.) MISO expects peak loads of more than 130 GW by 2032. Current summer peak is expected to hit about 125 GW.

miso resource adequacy
Currie | © RTO Insider

Director Phyllis Currie asked what MISO is receiving from states in terms of resource planning.

Jennifer Curran, MISO vice president of system planning, pointed to a new level of fuel diversity in states’ integrated resource plans, which typically chart a resource mix that is one-third each coal, natural gas and either wind or nuclear generation.

“The old days were a preponderance of coal; the new days are a preponderance of gas,” Moeller said.

Wind projects still occupy about a 67% share of the current 32 GW of new generation in the RTO’s interconnection queue. Moeller expects fewer wind projects to enter the queue as federal production tax credits are phased out.

Planners think batteries do not yet make financial sense in the MISO footprint. “We think we have some time to work through how to do the math to optimize storage,” Moeller said.

However, MISO is hedging bets this year by introducing a fourth 2018 Transmission Expansion Plan 15-year future scenario that envisions a surge in rooftop solar, localized storage devices and electric vehicle use. (See “MISO Tweaks 4th and Newest MTEP Future,” MISO Planning Advisory Committee Briefs.)

“Now the electric vehicle folks are sure this is going to happen, and the solar collector folks are sure this is going to happen,” Moeller joked. “We’ll see. What we need to ensure is that we have the grid for the future when the future gets here.”

miso resource adequacy
| MISO

MISO still expects emerging technology like solar to increase the complexity of transmission planning and noted that demand-side programs have the potential to “fundamentally change load levels and shapes.”

Moeller noted that the Department of Energy forecasts even higher future solar penetration than MISO’s highest predictions.

“We’re not quite sure where their optimism comes from, but that’s where it is,” Moeller said.

An Energy Information Administration report released early this year projects that the U.S. will add nearly 70 GW of new wind and solar photovoltaic capacity from 2017 to 2021. Solar will be one of the “most competitive sources of new generation” by 2022 and will represent more than 50% of new capacity additions between 2030 and 2040, according to the agency.

UPDATE: FERC’s Colette Honorable Says Goodbye

WASHINGTON — In their closing remarks at Thursday’s annual technical conference on reliability, acting FERC Chair Cheryl LaFleur and Commissioner Colette Honorable talked as if the event would be Honorable’s last public appearance as a commissioner.

It was indeed.

“Parting is such sweet sorrow! My last day as a FERC commissioner will be this Friday. It has been an honor. Thank you!” Honorable tweeted late Monday night.

“When we sat in this [commission meeting] room last month, I said, ‘I hope this won’t be the last time we’re in this room together,’” LaFleur began.

“And it wasn’t!” interjected Honorable, whose term ends June 30. (See No 2nd Term for FERC’s Colette Honorable.)

“And I equally hope that today, but I’m less sanguine that there’ll be a lot of other times,” LaFleur continued. “I think you’ve brought so much … to the commission, particularly with your focus on customers and your constant reminders about the need to work with our state colleagues. … I will really miss having you here.”

Honorable thanked FERC staff at length and told LaFleur that “It’s been an honor to work with you.

“This has been the highest honor of my professional career,” she concluded. “And it’s so much so because of the men and women I’ve done it with. So thank you so much.”

— Michael Brooks

MISO South Outages Worry RTO, Monitor

By Amanda Durish Cook

BRANSON, Mo. — MISO staff and the Independent Market Monitor agreed that the RTO’s markets performed as they should have this spring, but both found a surge in MISO South outages troubling.

MISO reported an average 69.2 GW of load March through May, up 1.3% from 68.3 GW in spring 2016. Executive Director of Strategy Shawn McFarlane said hotter-than-normal spring temperatures contributed to the load increase. The RTO hit a 92.2-GW spring peak on May 16.

miso south outages
MISO Markets Committee of the Board of Directors meeting | © RTO Insider

The average spring real-time energy price was $29.96/MWh (the Monitor reported an average $29.90/MWh), a 39% increase from spring 2016, driven by a sharp increase in gas prices, MISO said. Market Monitor David Patton said natural gas prices rose 57 to 65% year-over-year, with the highest price spikes in Texas and Louisiana.

McFarlane said the higher load, combined with forced outages, caused high real-time congestion on multiple days, particularly in the South and Central regions.

MISO racked up $467 million in congestion during the quarter, Patton said during his quarterly report delivered on the first day of summer to the Markets Committee of the Board of Directors. He cited higher gas prices as a contributor to the rise in congestion, saying “gas-fired units are often marginal when generation is redispatched to manage network flows.”

“MISO experienced the most congestion of any other RTO in the country … almost half a billion dollars,” Patton said. He repeated his proposal for relieving congestion: that MISO and its neighbors transfer the control of border constraints when one RTO has more relief on a flowgate than the other.

miso south outages
Bonavia | © RTO Insider

“A good reminder that there is always work to be done at the seams to improve things for our constituents,” Director Paul Bonavia said.

The congestion was also because of high planned outages in MISO South, Patton said, adding that the RTO should seek additional authority to approve and coordinate outages. Expanding the authority of the RTO, which is currently limited to a “reliability review,” will be one of the recommendations in his annual State of the Market Report this month.

Under its Business Practices Manual, MISO can only “recommend [an outage] schedule that maintains system security and minimizes adverse impacts.” Owners and operators submit planned maintenance outage schedules for generators 10 MW and above to MISO for a minimum rolling 24-month period. The RTO studies the impact of all transmission and generator outages and works with owners to reschedule when an “outage analysis indicates unacceptable system conditions” or when a zonal maintenance margin is reached. “We have to not schedule ourselves into emergency situations. The ability to schedule them to minimize their effects will be a significant savings,” Patton said.

There is no need for all resources to schedule their maintenance outages in the spring and fall shoulder months, Patton continued, noting that capacity often exceeds winter load in the South by so much that it becomes “stranded” because of the limit on South-to-North transfers. “Economic opportunities likely exist to shift outages from shoulder to winter months,” he said.

Outages in MISO South removed as much as a 34% share of capacity during the spring, and outages in MISO Midwest took about 25% of capacity. Last year, spring outages took out 15% in the South and 14% in the Midwest. As a consequence, real-time congestion cost increased more than 50% over last winter and the prior spring quarter, according to the Monitor.

Patton also noted that the transmission and generation outages and extreme weather in the South led to 22 days of conservative operations in load pockets and three days with maximum generation alerts in April. An emergency maximum generation event on April 4 was spurred by the loss of a large nuclear unit, apparently Entergy’s Grand Gulf 1 in Mississippi, which the Nuclear Regulatory Commission reported going out of service because of a condensate leak.

Director Baljit Dail asked if there was a reason behind the spate of outages. “It just struck me as a massive increase. … It was two-and-a-half times what we normally have,” he said.

Staff agreed the outages were higher than the usual crop of shoulder-season outages.

“We do agree with Dr. Patton’s suggestion that a higher degree of coordination would be useful,” Chief Operating Officer Richard Doying said.

Bonavia said he once commiserated with control room operators over the challenges of handling summer heat but was told it was the shoulder months that caused the most anxiety. “They’re ready on those hot summer days when demand is screaming. … It’s those shoulder periods when the weather is volatile and the storms kick up that worry them,” Bonavia recounted.

Patton also praised the rollout of MISO’s extended locational marginal pricing (ELMP), which he said was responsible for about a 10% decrease in real-time revenue sufficiency guarantees paid out to market participants in the spring. However, Patton said he is still recommending that the RTO expand ELMP further to allow all generators with two-hour minimum run times to set prices, instead of MISO’s change, which added online resources with one-hour start-up times. MISO contends that the Monitor’s price-setting expansion would not be worth the expensive software change. (See “MISO Officially Expands ELMP,” MISO Market Subcommittee Briefs.)

ISO-NE PAC Briefs: June 21, 2017

WESTBOROUGH, Mass. — ISO-NE Director of Regional Planning Mike Henderson on Wednesday presented the schedule for stakeholder comments on the grid operator’s 2017 Regional System Plan, which are due July 24. The plan will be discussed at the August Planning Advisory Committee ahead of a Sept. 14 public meeting in Boston. The draft plan will be posted online by July 7.

“Our view is that the report should be viewed as a [critical energy infrastructure information] document,” Henderson told the PAC during a June 21 teleconference. “In past years, we have noted some, frankly, mistakes that the ISO made in the report where we may have inadvertently included some CEII materials, and as a draft document, that would present a major issue. … We’d hate to see something that does not reflect your [PAC members] input … put out in the public domain.”

Transmission planner Jon Breard presented an update on transmission projects and asset condition as part of the RSP drafting process. One participant asked if, based on the presentation, the growth in transmission spending was coming to an end in 2019.

“I’d be careful about ‘coming to an end,’” said Brent Oberlin, director of transmission planning. “It’s just what we have planned so far [is] really slowing down, and that’s our expectation going forward.” He added that the RTO must still complete reassessments for Maine, New Hampshire and central Massachusetts.

RTO will not Conduct Public Policy Tx Study for 2017

Oberlin presented ISO-NE’s conclusion that no federal or state public policy requirements are currently driving transmission needs, precluding the need for a special study on the subject this year. The RTO’s position aligns with a similar assessment submitted by the New England States Committee on Electricity (NESCOE) last month. (See ISO-NE: Won’t Override States on Public Policy Tx Needs.)

A May 16 letter from the Conservation Law Foundation asked the RTO to conduct the analysis despite NESCOE’s conclusion. NESCOE responded that ISO-NE should evaluate potential projects only after states have indicated transmission needs resulting from their policies.

Paul Dumas of Avangrid asked when the Tariff stipulates that the RTO must start another public policy process.

“At least every three years,” Oberlin said. “So the farthest that we would go out would be initiating the process in 2020. I think we’re going to keep an eye on where the states are with [requests for proposals] and things like that and make our determination if we would go earlier.”

Eversource to Replace ‘Vintage 1950’ Equipment

Eversource Energy’s George Wegh presented CEII material on the utility’s work to modernize several outdated substation control houses in its Eastern Massachusetts service territory. Wegh apologized for informing the PAC after the work had already started. He said Eversource would fix whatever internal communications problem created the lapse in planning protocol.

Two of the control houses being refurbished are “vintage 1950” and still use some of the original equipment, including analog meters and electromechanical relays.

Woodpecker Woes on 345-kV Lines in Eastern Mass.

iso-ne planning advisory committee
Woodpecker damage, pole rot and splitting | Eversource

Eversource’s Chris Soderman presented evidence of woodpecker damage and decaying support structures along a 345-kV line in Eastern Massachusetts and similar problems on the Southern Connecticut Loop, where the company will not only replace structures but install optical ground wire to enhance communications and reliability.

The company will replace with steel approximately a fifth of the 262 wooden structures along the 29-mile Northfield-to-Ludlow line in Massachusetts. The estimated $8 million cost includes installing new hardware and insulators.

iso-ne planning advisory committee
Southern Connecticut Loop | Eversource

Along the Connecticut line, which runs about 38 miles, Eversource will spend an estimated $68 million to replace 258 structures, many of which have decaying, laminated wood cross arms. Soderman emphasized that the light-duty weathering steel poles being installed on both projects were not custom ordered but off-the-shelf equipment.

National Grid Implements Reliability Scheme on Tx Circuits

Jack Martin of National Grid presented the utility’s plans to install dual high-speed protection systems on 45 major transmission circuits over the next decade to meet standards set by the Northeast Power Coordinating Council.

NPCC Directory 1 mandates that all New England transmission owners meet the performance reliability requirements on Bulk Electric System elements by Sept. 10, 2025.

National Grid will pursue a five-stage rollout and estimates the cost for Phase 1 at $1.8 million. The company expects substantially higher costs for the ensuing phases, which include significant installation of optical ground wire and a number of control house rebuilds. The utility has started conceptual engineering for the other four phases and will update the PAC once it has estimated the costs.

— Michael Kuser

CAISO Seeks to Drop Outdated Planning Role

By Jason Fordney

CAISO last week proposed to eliminate from its Tariff an annual state transmission concept plan that it says is obsolete because of changes at the federal level.

The move has support from Southern California Edison and the California Office of Ratepayer Advocates (ORA).

CAISO has developed the Statewide Conceptual Plan each year since 2010 as part of its lead role in the California Transmission Planning Group (CTPG), the transmission owner and operator group once responsible for coordinating local and regional planning across the state under FERC Order 890.

But since the implementation of FERC Order 1000 — the federal process that supersedes the previous planning process — the CTPG is no longer operating, and utilities have generally stopped responding to CAISO’s conceptual plan.

“There is little if any value in the ISO alone developing the conceptual statewide plan, and it detracts limited ISO resources from focusing efforts on the extensive and important planning activities they must otherwise undertake,” CAISO said in its draft proposal.

caiso roe joint venture ferc order 1000 transcanyon
CAISO Says the Annual Conceptual Transmission Plan is Obsolete | Berkshire Hathaway Energy

The planning process under Order 1000 now covers regional and interregional planning, and the CTPG has not held a meeting in four years, has none scheduled and has no chairperson. The ISO Tariff still requires the grid operator to develop the plan to determine transmission requirements to meet reliability, economic and public policy needs.

SCE, the state’s second largest investor-owned utility, said it “concurs with the proposal’s conclusions and the recommendation to remove the Conceptual Statewide Plan from the California ISO Tariff.”

ORA agreed that the conceptual plan “no longer serves its intended purpose” but said the impact of eliminating the plan should be evaluated after the completion of the next interregional transmission planning process. It should be determined whether the revised process adequately incorporates California’s specific transmission needs into interregional plans, the agency said.

Order 1000 identified CAISO as a planning region with Pacific Gas and Electric, SCE and San Diego Gas & Electric as members. Other participants in the conceptual plan are now associated with WestConnect as a planning region.

“Absent the active participation of all statewide planning entities in developing a conceptual statewide plan, development of the plan amounts to little more than a unilateral ISO exercise,” CAISO said.

The ISO is asking that stakeholders submit comments on the final draft proposal by June 29.

After 10 Years, Time to Prune Reliability Standards, FERC Told

By Michael Brooks

WASHINGTON — A decade of mandatory standards has improved the grid’s reliability, but it’s time for regulators to prune unnecessary rules, speakers told FERC on Thursday.

At its annual technical conference on reliability, the commission delved into the weeds on compliance enforcement, gas-electric coordination and cybersecurity (AD17-8).

ferc reliability
FERC Technical Conference underway | © RTO Insider

NERC received accolades from many who spoke at the conference for its continual improvement of the grid’s reliability; its transparency and coordination with other stakeholders; and its Reliability Assurance Initiative, a risk-based approach to compliance enforcement approved in 2015 that allows facilities to self-log minor violations — and NERC to focus on the most serious issues. The initiative also included the creation of Inherent Risk Assessment (IRA) profiles for facilities, which help NERC decide what standards to focus on.

FERC’s conference came days after the 10th anniversary of the first mandatory reliability standards under FERC Order 693 and a week after NERC released its State of Reliability report, from which CEO Gerry Cauley recounted some key statistics in his opening remarks. (See NERC: Despite Solid 2016, Grid Threats Remain.)

ferc reliability
Cauley

“Bulk Power System reliability remains very high and continues to show year-over-year improvement,” Cauley said. “Industry has been very responsive to our risk-based approach and has been shifting resources to fix the most critical challenges to reliability. … These standards have had a major impact on reducing risk. Over time, we’ve seen a dramatic decline in the number and severity of compliance violations.”

But Cauley and many other panelists said it was time for another “Paragraph 81” process, referring to a provision in the commission’s March 2012 approval of NERC’s Find, Fix, Track and Report process that directed the organization to identify requirements that do little to protect reliability and could be removed. FERC ended up approving the retirement of 34 such requirements (RC11-6, et al.).

“It may be time to focus again on streamlining the requirements to ensure the investment in compliance is commensurate with the reliability gains,” Cauley said.

Risk-Based Approach

Speaking on behalf of the Large Public Power Council, Steven Wright, general manager of the Chelan Public Utility District in Washington state, wanted to go a step further. The risk-based approach hasn’t reduced Chelan’s documentation requirements: Of the 1,236 requirements and sub-requirements applicable to the utility, only four qualify for self-logging, Wright said.

He suggested that entities be granted waivers from certain standards if the IRA indicates their implementation of them doesn’t affect the grid.

Cauley disagreed with that idea, calling it an “optional menu.” NERC’s Regional Entities “legally have the discretion today to monitor and enforce whichever standards we feel suit an individual entity. And that’s really the purpose of the Inherent Risk Assessment. … I think the regions could do a better job of explaining that and explaining what could be looked at.

“But I don’t think it makes sense to take a North American set of standards and create sort of a little checklist matrix for each entity. The standards are the standards.”

Wright also suggested that there be more incentives for entities’ standard compliance, which Commissioner Colette Honorable pushed back on.

“I have a 16-year-old daughter, and she gets good grades. But I think she could get better grades,” she said. “So do I reward her for … getting the grades she should be getting anyway?”

Wright did not directly respond to the question of carrot vs. stick, but he made clear he felt LPPC’s members haven’t gotten enough “bang for our buck.”

“We are spending a lot of money” on IRAs and Internal Controls Evaluation, another RAI component, he said. “And I think it’s a good thing because we’re improving reliability, but if we can find efficiencies we should get them.”

‘Special Assessment’ on Gas Dependence

Acting FERC Chair Cheryl LaFleur asked what the commission or NERC should be doing to account for the increasing reliance on natural gas pipelines for baseload power. She pointed out that FERC has no jurisdiction over the reliability of natural gas pipelines (which belongs to the Transportation Department’s Pipeline and Hazardous Materials Safety Administration), but it does have jurisdiction over those who burn the gas.

LaFleur

“Should we be changing our planning standards in some way to take that potential loss of the pipeline into account or the gas storage” site? she asked. “Aliso Canyon brings that into the front of the discussion.”

Cauley responded that NERC is working on a special assessment report on the issue. The organization has been analyzing key pipelines and storage facilities and the potential impact of losing them on the grid.

“It will be clear from this report, I believe, that you should be planning for the loss of a most critical, most impactful facility, including if it’s on a gas system,” he said. “I am concerned that you have certain reliability standards and expectations on an electric system and what I consider a foundational piece — the fuel deliverability piece — doesn’t have an equivalent.”

ferc reliability
Hoffman

Patricia Hoffman, acting assistant secretary of the Energy Department’s Office of Electric Delivery and Energy Reliability, suggested that grid operators do assessments to determine how dependent regions are on one fuel source.

Cybersecurity

The threat of cyberattacks took up a sizeable portion of the daylong conference.

NERC Chief Security Officer Marcus Sachs revealed that the organization had only learned about the most serious threat to date — malware known as CrashOverride — days before it was made public by two cybersecurity firms earlier this month. The program, which can control circuit breakers via supervisory control and data acquisition (SCADA) systems, was used last December to briefly cut power to about one-fifth of Kiev, Ukraine. (See Experts ID New Cyber Threat to SCADA Systems.)

Sachs recounted that NERC learned of CrashOverride on the afternoon of Friday, June 9. ESET, a Slovakian antivirus software provider, had contacted Maryland-based Dragos, asking it to review its findings before it publicized them on Monday. Dragos then contacted NERC, which worked over the weekend reviewing ESET’s work and producing a report. Dragos also produced its own report over the weekend.

ferc reliability
Sachs

“If we didn’t have those public-private partnerships already existing, we would have failed that weekend, and you would have had a huge media splash on Monday morning that none of us would have been ready for,” Sachs said.

Many experts believe hackers based in Russia are behind the attacks on Ukraine, which Sachs said has been under “relentless assault” for the past couple years: Banking, railroads and Internet service providers have all experienced disruptions.

But while everything points to Russia, it is also possible individuals posing as Russians are behind the attacks, Sachs said.

Speaking to RTO Insider, Sachs pointed to the Solar Sunrise incident in 1998, in which two teenagers from California attacked Defense Department systems and led the military to believe they were from Iraq. “Just because it looks like a duck, smells like a duck, quacks like a duck — it may be a moose,” he said.

There was considerable discussion about understaffing at the entities responsible for protecting against cyber threats. Many agreed that the supply of qualified cybersecurity workers is too small to meet the very high demand.

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Scott

“At the state level, we’re generally not staffed for this type of thing,” New Hampshire Public Utilities Commissioner Robert Scott said. “We don’t have the expertise.”

“The electric utility, 30 years ago, was the place to go to out of college,” said Greg Ford, CEO of Georgia System Operations, a cooperative that provides power to half the households in the state. “Today it’s harder and harder to lure those college students.”

“It’s easier to find individuals who are familiar with cybersecurity when it comes to traditional [information technology] and Windows-based infrastructure,” said David Ball, director of AEP Transmission Dispatching. “The more difficult skill set to find today is … a power-based background” and familiarity with SCADA.

“People with these type of skills are very marketable and they’re very mobile,” Scott agreed. “At the state level, we can’t hope to attract those type of people.”

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Honorable

Sachs pointed out, however, that middle and high schools are increasingly sponsoring competitive cybersecurity exercises and students are competing in “hack-a-thons.”

“This is good news,” he said. “And it’s something we need to leverage. … Getting into cybersecurity is absolutely what we want these young kids to do.”

“All I can say to that is ‘Amen,’” Honorable replied.

MISO BoD Briefs: June 22, 2017

BRANSON, Mo. — The MISO Nominating Committee has waived Board of Directors term limits and unanimously voted to allow current Director Baljit Dail to stand for an additional term, board Chairman Michael Curran said last week.

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Curran (L) and Dail | © RTO Insider

Dail, who this year reached the board’s limit of three three-year terms, will be included on a slate of qualified candidates being prepared by consulting firm Russell Reynolds.

With five first-time directors added since 2015, the veteran agreed to seek re-election for an additional three-year term, but that required the waiver. (See “Committee Could Lengthen Board Member’s Tenure,” MISO Board of Directors Briefs.)

Curran said the committee approved the waiver with an understanding that it should be used sparingly.

“Only in very unique situations should we hand out a waiver. It’s not something that we should use all the time,” Curran said at a June 22 board meeting. The committee cited Dail’s much-needed information technology experience as the reason for the waiver.

The board is unlikely to confront another waiver situation within the next six years based on the terms of current directors, Curran said.

The terms of Thomas Rainwater and Paul Bonavia also expire at the end of this year, but neither have reached the term limit and both will seek re-election.

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L to R: Alliant Energy’s Mitch Myhre, Madison Gas and Electric’s Megan Wisersky and Wisconsin Public Service’s Chris Plante at the June 21 Advisory Committee meeting. | © RTO Insider

At the June 21 Advisory Committee meeting, Wisconsin Public Service’s Chris Plante said retaining Dail for an additional term can help educate MISO’s newer board members and keep valuable institutional knowledge in the board.

“This should not be seen as a routine thing,” cautioned Arkansas Public Service Commissioner Ted Thomas.

MISO Reports Likely Year-End Overage; Board Urges Staff Stick to Budget

MISO expects to finish the year 1.2% over budget, Chief Financial Officer Melissa Brown said during a quarterly finance report to the board.

Year-to-date, MISO is $1.5 million under budget, mostly because of late start times on projects and delayed employee travel, according to Brown. The RTO will also save about $1.1 million during the year, in part because of the cancellation of a forward capacity market in retail-choice areas. Still, that savings will be erased by a lower-than-expected employee vacancy rate, resulting in an unexpected $1.5 million spend.

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| MISO

Brown expects the unusually low vacancy rate will persist for the remainder of the year. That, coupled with unforeseen expenses related to upgrading IT systems and miscellaneous overages, could push spending to $241.4 million, against the 2017 budget of $239.1 million. However, expenses could range anywhere from $238.8 million to $241.9 million.

Curran said the RTO should be able cover the forecasted overages with reductions in other spending. “We’re hopeful that we can dial that in with six more months to go,” Curran said, adding that savings shouldn’t come at the expense of project progress.

With labor costs comprising about 60% of MISO’s annual budget, it will be difficult to find cuts that don’t impact labor, Brown said.

Director Todd Raba also requested that the RTO make up the overage with other cutbacks.

Additionally, MISO has so far spent about $15.1 million of its $29.9 million capital budget, which should leave spending on target by year-end, according to Brown.

— Amanda Durish Cook