Looking Ahead: Winter 2014-15

PJM officials have identified several changes they’d like to make before next winter, including winter start testing for generators and better controls on generation imports (see related story, PJM May Offer Firm Fuel Premium.) Executive Vice President for Operations Mike Kormos said Tuesday that the RTO also needs to improve its tracking of dual-fuel generators.

Based on their presentations at the FERC technical conference on winter 2013-14, here’s how MISO and the Northeast RTOs are planning to cope with winter 2014-15.

MISO Capacity

MISO officials had been warning as recently as last November that they faced a capacity shortfall of as much as 5 to 7 GW in 2016-17 due to the loss of coal-fired generation.

In January, however, officials said a survey of load-serving entities had cut the projected shortfall to 2 GW. Since then, MISO has reduced the projected shortfall further to 500 MW, Eric Callisto, chairman of the Wisconsin Public Service Commission and president of the Organization of MISO States, told the conference.

FERC Commissioner Philip Moeller noted that the projection assumed a 0.75% decrease in demand.

“The number that surprised me most was residential going up, but industrial down,” Moeller said. “But if it turns around, as we hope it does, then your assumptions start getting shaken real quickly.

“The ‘load is flat’ [assumption] gave us a little pause,” Callisto responded. “But I don’t think that it is too far from that.” He said MISO is seeking an independent verification of the load forecasts.

In addition to the capacity concerns, MISO said it is looking for ways to ensure demand response doesn’t distort price signals.

ISO-NE

ISO-NE says plant retirements will make next winter even more challenging unless temperatures are unusually mild.

Salem Harbor Power Station, a 720 MW coal- and oil-fired generating plant, and the 604 MW Vermont Yankee nuclear plant are scheduled to close this year, eliminating more than the amount of capacity procured through this year’s winter reliability program.

ISO-NE says its biggest change for next winter is the “Offer Flexibility” project, which will allow generators to update their offers in real-time to reflect changing fuel costs. The initiative, which takes effect in December, was approved by FERC in October (ER13-1877).

The ISO is also working with stakeholders to change uplift allocation and to increase incentives for load to bid into the day-ahead market — an effort to improve the accuracy of its day-ahead commitments.

ISO officials also expect benefits from a FERC order approving ISO rules requiring oil units to maintain fuel inventories. If that rule proves insufficient, the ISO says it will consider other measures, including incentives for dual fuel units.

The biggest potential improvement, however, won’t be any help for next winter.

“Just one more big [natural gas] pipe would help a lot,” said ISO New England’s Vice President of System Operations Peter Brandien. “Even if we make pipeline investments now, I’ll probably have to get through three or four more winters” without it.

NYISO

NYISO says it is considering market rule changes to address concerns over generator de-rates and problems obtaining fuel supplies.

It will also run planning scenarios to evaluate dual fuel inventory capability and fuel replacement rate capabilities under sustained cold weather conditions.

Improving operator awareness of their generators’ fuel status and pipeline system conditions is also on the ISO’s to-do list.

It also says it will “coordinate” with PJM and ISO-NE, if either RTO considers raising its $1,000/MWh bid cap. (See Stakeholders Preview Offer-Cap Debate.)

In October, the state Public Service Commission approved a contingency plan to respond to the potential closure of the 2,045 MW Indian Point nuclear power plant. The PSC’s order includes building and upgrading transmission and a plan to improve the energy efficiency of larger power users.

April 3, 2014

Winter 2013-14 by the Numbers

PJM wasn’t the only place the winter of 2013-14 made its mark in the record books.

MISO, the Southwest Power Pool and NYISO also hit all-time winter peaks during January’s polar vortex, while ISO New England came up just short.

January 2014 holds eight of PJM’s top 10 winter demand days, including the top spot, 141,846 MW, set Jan. 7. Many areas in MISO, meanwhile experienced their coldest winter in two decades.

PJM and other regions called on demand response, emergency energy purchases, and public appeals for conservation. On Jan. 7, PJM dispatched about 2,000 MW of DR during the morning and evening peaks while NYISO called on 900 MW. PJM also called on more than 2,500 MW of DR Jan. 23 and 28. ISO-NE’s winter procurement program provided 21 MW of demand response on five occasions.

None of the RTOs or ISOs cut firm load.

Natural Gas Prices

While power demand wasn’t as high later in January, natural gas prices hit record highs in some eastern markets that supply PJM, New York and New England. On Jan. 22, prices at Transco Zone 6 (non-NY) peaked at $123/MMBtu, while prices at Transco Z6 NY and Transco Z5 reached $120/MMBtu.

Most other U.S. gas price hubs traded below $6/MMBtu during the coldest days, although Henry Hub hit $7.92/MMBtu in February, the highest since Hurricane Ike in September 2008.

Generator Outages

The RTOs struggled not only because of record demand but also because of mechanical failures and fuel supply problems. More than one-quarter of the installed capacity in PJM and MISO was idled on Jan. 6 and 7.

Fuel supply problems were responsible for more than half the outages and derates in NYISO, three-quarters of those in SPP and all of those in ISO-NE, according to FERC.

In contrast, lack of fuel was responsible for only one-quarter of the lost generation in PJM. About 5,000 MW of combustion turbines failed to start when called in early January.

Late in January, gas curtailments and start failures for combustion turbines both declined in PJM. Frozen coal and a lack of gas and oil caused outages of as much as 8,000 MW, however.

In much of the country, insufficient fuel oil and coal supplies kept plants from operating.

Barge deliveries were hampered by weather and an inability to transport through shallow water. Ice and sustained cold closed barge operations for a time on the Allegheny River.

Trucks and drivers were also in short supply. At ISO-NE’s request, the governor of Massachusetts approved extended hours for truck drivers transporting fuel.

MISO was challenged by an explosion on the TransCanada pipeline Jan. 25 and limited rail capacity, which pinched coal supplies.

“Some [coal] companies said they were only getting half of what they ordered,” Eric Callisto, chairman of the Wisconsin Public Service Commission, told the FERC technical conference. Some plants “were down to a 10- or five-day supply this winter.”

Rail deliveries “were an ongoing concern years ago,” he added. “It still is.”

Commissioner Tony Clark suggested that one reason that railroads are struggling to complete coal deliveries “is directly related to the lack of pipeline capacity for oil products. Railroads are using all their power to getting oil out” of the region from increased oil production. “It is all interconnected,” Clark said.

Drivers of High Prices Changed

In early January, high prices were driven primarily by record loads, which forced PJM and other operators to dispatch their most expensive generators. LMPs crested at $2,000/MWh for some hours in PJM and MISO while average real-time prices during ranged between $300-$700/MWh during peak hours.

ISO New England had energy market costs of $5.05 billion this winter, almost equal to the $5.2 billion spent in all of 2012. Almost two-thirds of average daily real-time prices were above $100/MWh, versus less than 30% in the winter of 2012-13.

Like PJM, NYISO also won FERC approval for a waiver to lift its $1,000/MWh energy offer cap. Although natural gas prices in NYISO quadrupled from December to January, power prices increased only 176% as oil displaced gas.

Rarely used oil-fired generators were called into service and some dual-fuel units switched to oil due to high gas costs or uncertain supplies.

On many days, oil-fired generation was more economical to dispatch than natural gas units, a rare occurrence since the arrival of cheap shale gas.

In New England, where natural gas prices nearly doubled from the previous winter, oil was ISO-NE’s fuel of choice for more than half of the winter, including 23 days in January. The ISO’s “winter reliability program” funded inventories of 2.7 million barrels of oil, and the ISO burned 1.9 million barrels of that. “We ran oil units hard,” said Peter Brandien, vice president of system operations.

In NYISO, oil-fired generation was cheaper than gas for eight days in December and 18 in January. Oil-fired generation was able to obtain sufficient fuel deliveries at rates close to their oil-burn rates for only short periods, however.

The phenomenon was seen across the country as well. NRG Energy reported burning 1.1 million barrels of oil in January versus 800,000 in all of 2013.

Uplift

In addition to high LMPs, the severe weather was reflected in uplift as generators sought reimbursement for costs not captured in energy prices and ancillary product sales.

In PJM, uplift for January totaled about $540 million, more than two-thirds what the RTO spent in all of 2013. Most of the uplift came between Jan. 21 and 29.

ISO-NE had uplift of $73 million in January, more than half its 2013 total.

April 3, 2014February 16, 2024

States Seek Answers to High Prices

The winter’s high gas and power prices have busted budgets and left state regulators and consumer advocates scrambling for answers.

“Our sources of emergency funding [for low income customers] are running out, arrearages are going up,” Maryland Public Service Commissioner Lawrence Brenner told the FERC technical conference Tuesday. “It’s a bad situation.”

Paula Carmody, head of the Maryland Office of People’s Counsel, said many retail electric customers with variable rate plans saw their bills jump as much as four-fold. Customers don’t understand the terms of their contracts and what would trigger rate hikes, she said.

Citing PJM’s high outage rates in January, Carmody called on FERC to investigate whether generator operators had properly maintained their units. PJM should examine whether it has sufficient incentives for maintenance and penalties for nonperformance, she said.

She also echoed the call by the Consumer Advocates of PJM States for an investigation into whether market manipulation or withholding contributed to the high prices. “There needs to be a thorough review of potential market power abuse,” said Carmody, who acknowledged she had no evidence of improprieties. “Either address it or take it off the table.”

The PJM Market Monitor told FERC in a filing last week that seven generators that sought reimbursement for operating costs above the RTO’s $1,000/MWh offer cap had inflated their claims. The Monitor’s report concluded that all but $9,118 of the nearly $584,000 in requested make-whole payments should be rejected. (See Stakeholders Preview Offer-Cap Debate.)

FERC officials told the conference Tuesday that the commission’s Office of Enforcement has found no evidence of manipulation or withholding to date. Although staff is continuing its review, its preliminary conclusion is that natural gas spot prices were driven by “high demand, pipeline flow restrictions, covering of physical short positions and concern for pipeline penalties.”

Enforcement Tools

FERC’s Division of Analytics and Surveillance, created in 2012, uses computer algorithms to analyze public and non-public data for anomalies that could suggest market manipulation.

Among the sources screened are market data from PJM and other RTOs, including offers, uplift and outages; Financial Transmission Rights holdings; e-Tags; transactions on the Intercontinental Exchange; Electronic Quarterly Reports; and Form 552, which records natural gas trades.

Staff also used its recently granted access to the Commodity Futures Trading Commission’s Large Trader Report to identify companies’ financial incentives at volatile trading hubs.

The screens, built by division staff based on market rules and known manipulative schemes, generated multiple alerts in January and February for New England, the Mid-Atlantic, the Midwest and California, FERC said.

Enforcement staff responded by conducting discussions with RTO and market monitoring officials. It also issued data requests to some companies and conducted “dozens” of interviews with generators, gas suppliers and traders to gather intelligence on operations and bidding behavior.

April 3, 2014February 16, 2024

PJM May Offer Firm-Fuel Premium

By David Jwanier, Ted Caddell and Rich Heidorn Jr.

WASHINGTON — PJM may propose changing capacity market rules to provide premiums for nuclear plants and others with firm winter fuel supplies, Executive Vice President for Operations Mike Kormos said Tuesday.

Kormos floated the proposal at a Federal Energy Regulatory Commission technical conference on the impacts of the record-breaking winter. The proposal received a positive response from acting FERC chair Cheryl LaFleur and Commissioner Philip Moeller.

Kormos also reiterated proposals previously announced by PJM officials to limit unpredictable interchange swings that lead to uplift and to require generators to conduct winter start tests.

Although the date was April 1, participants in the conference made clear that the stresses the winter put on the electric system was nothing to fool around about.

“Reliability was sustained but in several instances was close to the edge,” LaFleur said in opening the day-long session.

“We have to assume we’ll have another winter not just like this year, but perhaps even worse,” said Moeller. He said state regulators could reduce the stress of peak demand days by exposing consumers to real-time prices.

“This winter was an example of the very thing that keeps me up at night,” said Donald Schneider, president of FirstEnergy Solutions. “How did we, as regulators and operators responsible for keeping the lights and heat on for our customers, get to a place where we were nearly 500 megawatts away from depleting all synchronized reserves on the system?”

In January, PJM broke its winter demand record, with average loads 20,000 to 40,000 MW above normal — the equivalent of 20 to 40 nuclear plants, Kormos noted. Forced outage rates were two to three times higher than normal, the worst since the ice storms of 1994. PJM saw about $500 million in uplift costs in January — equal to 70% of the total uplift for all of 2013.

MISO, NYISO and SPP also set new winter demand records, while ISO-NE fell just short of its all-time high. (See related story, Winter 2013-14 By the Numbers.)

In addition to FERC staff, 22 panelists spoke during the session, including Maryland Public Service Commissioner Lawrence Brenner and Paula Carmody, head of the Maryland Office of People’s Counsel. Numerous PJM staffers and stakeholders listened from the audience. FERC will accept comments in the docket (AD14-8) until May 15.

Many of the panelists focused on the high power and natural gas prices and challenges aligning the gas industry to generators’ needs. The Consumer Advocates of PJM States and others have asked FERC to investigate whether market manipulation or withholding contributed to the high prices. Commissioner John Norris said FERC has seen no evidence of manipulation or withholding. (See related story, States Seek Answers to High Prices.)

Maryland’s Brenner was one of several speakers who cautioned against responding to the challenges with a pipeline- and generation-building spree, saying reliability needs must be balanced against costs.

Instead, he said RTOs should redouble their efforts to improve the coordination of energy and capacity across seams. “If you do it right, you are going to solve so many other issues,” he said.

Gas Rule Changes Needed

FERC staff told the conference that the high gas prices resulted largely from unusually high demand in both the Northeast and Southeast on the same days in January.

Kormos said PJM’s costs were inflated not only by high commodity prices but by “take or pay” provisions and other rules that limited flexibility.

On Friday, Jan. 10, for example, some gas-fired generators told PJM that they would have to purchase gas and run through the entire Martin Luther King Jr. holiday weekend to ensure their availability the following Tuesday morning.

“The relative lack of transparency of these secondary markets, which often bundle transportation and supply, left PJM in [an] untenable position,” Kormos said in a statement submitted to FERC. “Under normal market conditions, natural gas prices of a $100 per MMBtu result in gas-fired units being utilized as reserves or peaking units, generating only a few hours at high costs to meet peak load requirements. During the extreme cold weather events of January, PJM was required to schedule these high-cost peaking units over an extended duration, or risk the peaking units being altogether unavailable.”

Kormos said more changes are required than simply realigning gas nomination and scheduling. (See FERC: Six Months to Move Gas, Electric Schedules.)

“While we appreciate moving the gas day, we’d like them to work weekends,” he said to laughter from the audience.

Gas pipeline officials who spoke later insisted their companies also work seven days a week. The challenge, they said, is coordinating with the owners of gas available for resale, some of whom don’t run round-the-clock operations.

Attorney Donald Sipe, who represents the American Forest and Paper Association, proposed creation of an information and trading platform to allow a better match of real-time supplies and fuel demand. Sipe said such a platform would take bids for gas and pipeline capacity and provide a central clearing mechanism, applying lessons learned by RTOs.

“We had exactly the same set of problems 25 years ago in the electric industry,” Sipe said. “What changed was not the laws of physics. What changed was better processing of information.”

“We think this can be done incrementally,” Sipe added. “We don’t think you have to suddenly establish an RTO for gas.”

The proposal was greeted warily by other panelists. “I would urge a thorough evaluation from an engineering perspective of where we’re heading,” said FirstEnergy’s Schneider.

“There’s a lot of complications when you start to look at the physics of the molecules that have to be moved,” said James Stanzione of National Grid.

Abe Silverman, of NRG Energy, said the commission should implement easier changes before embarking on an “[Order] 888 kind of restructuring for the gas side.”

Moeller, who asked for Sipe’s inclusion on the panel, said he’d like to explore his idea. “It’s a very inefficient market right now,” he said.

Capacity Market Changes

Moeller also said he found PJM’s proposal for providing more capacity revenue to nuclear plants “very intriguing,” although not a short-term fix. “If we do it in the capacity market that’s four or five years away” taking into account the three-year forward market and time for the stakeholder process, he said in an interview after the session. (See related story, Looking Ahead – Winter 2014-15.)

In her closing remarks, LaFleur also expressed support: “We are open to proposals to price more fuel security into capacity,” she said.

FirstEnergy’s Schneider also appeared to back the concept. “You cannot have the backbone of the electric system … operated on an essentially `just-in-time’ interruptible fuel supply,” he said.

Kormos cautioned that PJM had not crafted a specific proposal. He said such an initiative would likely cover not only nuclear plants, which typically refuel once every 24 months, but also oil and coal generators with on-site storage and annual demand response.

Including gas generators would require defining “What does it mean for a gas unit to have firm transmission and supply?” he added. “If prices hit $100 [per mmBtu] can they sell it?”

Winter Start Test

Kormos reiterated two proposals made in stakeholder meetings last month.

One, prompted by the high outage rates in January, would require generation operators to run start-up tests on their units before the coldest winter weather arrives. (See Winter Testing May Be on the Horizon.)

Kormos noted that PJM plants scheduled for retirements had outage rates of 40% to 50%. “They’re not putting a lot of money in these units,” Kormos said. “A lot of generation is struggling to make money. We’re just not seeing the [operations and maintenance spending] we used to see.”

Interchange

Kormos also said PJM may need to change its rules for scheduling imports from neighboring regions because the RTO’s ability to forecast interchange is “horrible.”

Expecting 5,600 MW in imports for the evening peak on Jan. 7, PJM operators dispatched demand response and high-cost gas generators. When actual interchange came in almost 3,000 MW higher, operators had to absorb the costs of the other resources as uplift.

If interchange is unpredictable, Kormos said, “It’s not saving the customers money.”

At the Market Implementation Committee meeting last month, some PJM stakeholders expressed concern over a proposal that would allow dispatchers to cut interchange ramp limits with little advance notice. (See Ramp Limits Cause Stir at MIC.)

On Tuesday, Kormos said PJM might consider requiring interchange transactions be scheduled two or three hours in advance so that operators can avoid having too much supply. Current interchange rules allow scheduling with only 15 minutes’ notice.

Kormos said the unexpected imports contributed to PJM’s $500 million in uplift costs in January. Said Kormos: “Half a billion is a lot of money, even in PJM.”

April 1, 2014

State Briefs

Pepco Gets About Half Of Requested Rate Increase

The Public Service Commission approved a $23.4 million distribution rate increase for Pepco, about half of the $44.8 million the utility had requested. The PSC also approved an overall 7.65% rate of return, which includes a 9.4% return on common equity, less than the 10.25% ROE Pepco sought.
The decision means most residential customer rates will rise about $3.75 per month. The commission said that for most residential customers, who buy their supply through Pepco’s standard offer service, the increase would be offset by a lower Standard Offer Service that will effectively lower monthly bills by around $6.

More: DC Public Service Commission

ILLINOIS

ComEd 2013 Reliability Highest in Utility’s History

Commonwealth Edison said its system reliability in 2013 was the best in company history, with 300,000 fewer customer interruptions than previously. The utility credits the performance to the $2.6 billion of investments it is making over 10 years by authority of the state’s Energy Infrastructure and Modernization Act. The investments include smart grid technology and infrastructure upgrades. ComEd said its reliability and Illinois’ competitive power supply market are key reasons that businesses like Airgas and others have committed to building new facilities in the utility’s territory.

More: Commonwealth Edison

FirstEnergy to Impose Polar Vortex Surcharge

FirstEnergy will impose a one-time charge of between $5 and $15 on customer bills in June to cover unexpected costs incurred during January’s polar vortex.
A company spokeswoman said the surcharge will affect 220,000 of its 670,000 Illinois customers living in Rockford and 97 other municipalities in northern Illinois.
Constellation, owned by Exelon, and Integrys Energy Services, which supplies the city of Chicago, said they don’t intend to impose a similar charge on customers.

More: Crain’s Chicago Business

INDIANA

Efficiency Program Killed; Pence Orders a Redesign

Gov. Mike Pence signed legislation killing the state’s two-year-old energy efficiency program, Energizing Indiana, but ordered the Indiana Utility Regulatory Commission to give him plans for a redesigned program that he could introduce next year.

The bill started as a measure to let large industrial users opt out of the program — which is paid for by a fee on utility bills — but quickly became a complete de-funding of the program. Pence said he supported energy-efficiency efforts and was unhappy that lawmakers had not worked out a compromise to let it continue with changes.

More: Indianapolis Star

MARYLAND

Bill to Let Green Energy On Farmland Advances

Pinnacle Wind Farm (Source: White Construction, Inc.)

The state Senate approved a bill allowing some green-energy equipment on land set aside in Maryland’s agricultural land preservation program. Farmers could contract with wind, solar or other companies for revenue in addition to their payments for keeping the land in the preservation program.

The House has passed a similar bill. Both versions prohibit placement of wind turbines where lawmakers fear they would interfere with radar at Patuxent Naval Air Station.

More: The Baltimore Sun

NEW JERSEY

Lawmakers Try for RGGI Again After Court Decision

Lawmakers have renewed efforts to force the state to rejoin a multistate greenhouse gas reduction pact just two days after an appellate court found that Gov. Chris Christie’s administration was not allowed to scrap related cap-and-trade regulations without proper rulemaking.

The Senate Environment and Energy Committee voted 3-1 to send a bill that would require the state’s participation in the Regional Greenhouse Gas Initiative (RGGI) to the full Senate for consideration.

Christie, who announced in May 2011 that the state would back out of RGGI, has shot down previous legislative attempts to reverse that decision.

More: NJSpotlight

NORTH CAROLINA

Investor Funds Pressure Duke; Ash Woes Continue

Large institutional investors demanded that Duke Energy’s board of directors launch independent investigations of the Feb. 2 coal ash spill at Duke’s Dan River plant and the questions that have arisen since about other ash facilities.

“These events, and Duke’s response to them, have shaken investors’ confidence in Duke and its board,” the investors, which include public funds in California, Connecticut, Illinois, Oregon and Pennsylvania, said in a letter to the board.

Duke CEO Lynn Good said an internal task force and outside experts are reviewing all sites and are scheduled to report by the end of May. She said Duke would move ash from three plants and speed up closure of another basin.

Meanwhile, the state Department of Environment and Natural Resources (DENR) issued a citation to Duke for a crack in an earthen ash pond dam at the Cape Fear River, where the company was cited March 20 for illegal dumping of ash.

More: ABC News; Triad Business Journal; Reuters; Los Angeles Times

Appeals Court Rejects Duke Merger Challenges

The North Carolina Court of Appeals upheld the Utilities Commission approval of Duke Energy’s 2012 acquisition of Progress Energy. Rejecting challenges from activist group NC WARN and the city of Orangeburg, S.C., the court said it was not its “role to second-guess the determination of the commission” where its decision was supported by evidence.

NC WARN had argued that the merger would not be good for residents, particularly the poor, and that the companies did not address the merger’s risks. The group said it would appeal the ruling to the state Supreme Court.

More: News & Observer

OHIO

Cracks in Davis-Besse Getting NRC Scrutiny

Davis-Besse Nuclear Power Station (Source: FirstEnergy)

Engineers are examining concrete samples from the Davis-Besse nuclear plant’s shield building to see if it is still strong enough to protect the reactor. Some tiny cracks in the building have been found since the first “laminar” cracks were found in 2011. Owner FirstEnergy will report on the matter to the Nuclear Regulatory Commission by late spring or early summer. The matter was discussed at NRC public hearings last week to talk about potential environmental impacts from a 20-year operating license extension.

More: The Blade

AEP Goes to High Court To Keep Fuel Overcharges

Recovery of overpayments, or retroactive ratemaking? That’s the question before the state Supreme Court in American Electric Power-Ohio’s challenge to an order to credit customers for $35 million in excess coal costs. The company was able to impose charges under a fuel adjustment clause before the Public Utilities Commission conducted a review of the charges’ reasonableness and prudence. The PUC ultimately determined that the utility had charged too much and ordered it to credit the overpayments against current fuel charges.

AEP’s arguments, together with a state Supreme Court decision in February that allowed the company to keep $368 million in past overcharges, show that “regulation is out of balance in the utilities’ favor and to the customers’ disfavor,” the Ohio Consumers Counsel office said.

FirstEnergy is mounting a similar challenge over a 2013 PUC ruling that FirstEnergy companies overcharged $43 million for renewable energy credits.

More: Midwest Energy News

Efficiency Debate Begins; FirstEnergy Urges Changes

As Republicans plan a bid to freeze state mandates for renewable energy and energy efficiency, FirstEnergy is urging customers to lobby lawmakers to amend the efficiency rules.

Proponents of energy efficiency, however, have been circulating American Electric Power’s case studies showing how its 2013 voluntary program has saved Ohio industrial customers millions of dollars.

The dueling scenarios argue either that the mandated efficiency programs over the coming decade will save billions of dollars or that they will increase electric rates by billions of dollars.

Republicans were poised to propose a bill that would freeze for up to three years a 2008 bill in support of energy efficiency and against new coal production while the law’s merits are studied. Opponents argue the freeze would ultimately become permanent.

More: The Plain Dealer

Car Dealers Say Tesla May Have Three Direct Outlets

Tesla Car (Source: Tesla) — (Source: Tesla)

Tesla Motors has made a deal with the Ohio Automobile Dealers Association to keep the electric car company’s two existing direct-sales locations open, as well as to open one more. Assuming the legislature approves the agreement, Tesla will have won a significant victory in Ohio over an argument it is having in other states. Under the agreement, however, no other carmaker could avoid going through auto dealerships.

The company is barred from direct sales in New Jersey, Texas and Arizona, and is fighting dealer-protective legislation in New York.

More: The Wall Street Journal

PUC Maintains Status Quo On Regulated Pricing

State regulators concluded their investigation into Ohio’s electricity market without recommending major changes to the system. The Public Utilities Commission looked at a number of issues in the 15-month probe, including whether to eliminate regulated pricing.

Alternative suppliers, including IGS Energy and Direct Energy, had argued that regulated pricing is an impediment to a competitive market and customers should be nudged to engage with the market. If there was no standard price, customers would need to shop for a plan or be automatically assigned to one.

Consumer advocates urged the PUCO to retain the current pricing system, which they said is an essential protection for customers.

The most visible change for consumers is that the logo of alternative suppliers will soon appear on the electricity bill.

The opinion may be Todd Snitchler’s last act as chairman. He chose not to seek reappointment after three years on the job; his term ends April 10.

More: The Columbus Dispatch

VIRGINIA

State Awards Aim to Help Offshore Wind Progress

Four businesses in the state have been selected for awards totaling $860,000 for research aimed at accelerating development of offshore wind power and associated industries. Dominion Virginia Power, which offered $2 million in cost-share contribution, is to receive a $310,000 award to advance geotechnical studies, including deep borings. Alstom Power offered $10,000 in cost-share and is to get $40,000 to develop advanced controls that adjust ocean wind turbines to ocean conditions. Other awards are going to CoastalObsTechServices and Timmons Group.

More: Virginia.gov

— Compiled by Kathy Larsen and David Jwanier

April 1, 2014

Conflict Ahead for States, TOs over ‘Multi-Driver’?

By Rich Heidorn Jr.

State regulators and PJM transmission owners will talk later this week in an attempt to narrow their differences over rules for approving and allocating the costs of “multi-driver” transmission projects.

Such projects would allow the expansion of reliability or market-efficiency upgrades to accommodate public policy initiatives.

The rules being drafted by the Transmission Owners Agreement Administrative Committee (TOs), however, differ from those proposed by PJM in the fall — and that has some state officials concerned.

“Last summer, PJM was prepared to let states come in with public policy [projects] and combine them with reliability projects that were approved but not started,” Walter Hall, of the Maryland Public Service Commission, told the Markets and Reliability Committee Thursday during a first read of proposed Tariff and Operating Agreement changes.

The transmission owners now “want to block that,” Hall said. “They want to prevent the states from coming in … once a project has been approved by the Board” of Managers.

“I don’t think it was quite that complete of an exclusion,” PJM Vice President for Planning Steve Herling responded. Herling said he would have to review the TOs’ language in detail before making a definitive conclusion.

Hall also said the transmission owners are seeking to increase the state cost allocation for multi-driver projects.

Hall said he and officials of several other states plan to talk with the TOs in a conference call later this week. If the conflict is not resolved, state officials could challenge the TOs’ proposal before the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission.

Two-track Process

In a survey last month, the Regional Planning Process Task Force (RPPTF) expressed overwhelming support for the Tariff and OA changes that will be brought to a formal vote at the MRC’s next meeting April 24.

PJM’s Fran Barrett told the MRC last week that the task force’s work on the Tariff and OA changes was being conducted in parallel with the TOs’ proposed cost allocation methodology. “Our job is to bring both of these trains into the station at the same time,” for filings with FERC, Barrett said.

A multi-driver project could mean replacing a 230 kV line planned to relieve congestion with a 500 kV line that also addresses public policy needs — such as the import of wind power to meet state renewable portfolio standards.

TOs’ Proposed Approval Process

A working group of the Transmission Owners Agreement Administrative Committee adopted a “principles” document March 7 outlining the TOs’ proposed rules for approving and paying for multi-driver projects.

It states that “PJM shall include only those projects that have been proposed to fulfill needs within a current cycle planning year as the basis for a new multi-driver project.” [Emphasis added.]

The principles also would bar modification of multi-driver projects “to consider transmission needs not previously considered within the planning cycle after the project has been submitted for board approval.”

It explained: “The TO Group believes this provision will prohibit `gaming’ of the process, where certain beneficiaries may seek to introduce out-of-planning-cycle projects, or modifications to other projects, to meet transmission needs in an attempt to pay only incremental costs for a specific need and thus reduce their cost allocation.”

The TOs would allow the following exception to the prohibition on modifying multi-driver projects: “During the subsequent planning cycle, or for out-of-cycle projects that specifically result from unanticipated reliability needs, a new transmission system need can be determined that is solved with an upgrade to an existing or proposed RTEP project.”

Such a proposal would “be reassessed as if it were a new project for purposes of cost allocation.”

Cost Allocation

In its Order 1000 compliance filing in October 2012, PJM told FERC it was committed to developing a multi-driver approach. Last fall the RTO proposed two methodologies for apportioning the costs of such projects.

The “incremental” method would be used when the multi-driver project was developed as a result of a single driver but was modified to satisfy one or more other goals and becomes a more cost effective solution to all of the drivers.

The “proportional” method would be used when the multi-driver project is developed in parallel with individual solutions to different drivers. It would allocate costs in using percentages based on the relative costs of the individual projects that would have been required to address each driver alone.

Increased Costs for States?

Hall said the TOs “dropped PJM’s language” and would increase the cost allocation assigned “to the state public policy bucket.”

Herling said although the TOs “may have dropped some of our language I think they are still generally following the same approach.”

The TOs are working to convert the principles into amendments to Schedule 12 of the PJM Tariff. The Schedule 12 changes — which require FERC approval but no stakeholder vote — are expected to be completed by mid-April, according to Randall Palmer of FirstEnergy. The RPPTF may discuss the provisions at its April 29 meeting.

April 1, 2014

Company Briefs

Transmission Spending by Investor-Owned Utilities 2007-2016 (Source: Edison Electric Institute)

Investor-owned utilities spent $17.5 billion on transmission projects in 2013 and will spend at least $43 billion more through 2024, according to an annual report by the Edison Electric Institute. Of the projects featured in the report, 43% are large interstate projects; 75% support renewables integration; 49% are member-company collaborations with others; and 75% are high-voltage projects 345 kV and above.

More: EEI

NextEra ‘Most Admired’ Utility in Forbes List

NextEra Energy has been named No. 1 among electric and gas utilities on Fortune magazine’s 2014 list of the “World’s Most Admired Companies.” The company, with principal subsidiaries Florida Power & Light and NextEra Energy Resources, said this is the eighth straight year it was named tops in its industry.

NextEra was followed closely in the rankings by Dominion Resources, while Duke Energy, American Electric Power and PPL also made the list.

More: Forbes

NRG Buys a Top-10 Solar Roof Installation Business

NRG Energy has acquired Roof Diagnostics Solar, the eighth-largest solar installer in the U.S. Terms of the transaction were not disclosed.

The 475-employee Roof Diagnostics has offices in New Jersey, New York, Massachusetts and Connecticut, and expansion plans for California. NRG is one of the larger solar developers (through NRG Solar) and retail providers of green energy (through Green Mountain).

More: Greentech Media

PPL Reconnects Reactor Following Valve Repair

PPL restarted the Unit 2 reactor at the Susquehanna nuclear power plant last week after a five-day outage for a valve repair. The reactor was being brought online after a planned shutdown for routine maintenance when operators discovered a leak in what the company said was a non-safety-related water supply pump.

Unit 2 has been under increased scrutiny by the U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission after four unplanned shutdowns, two with complications, since December 2012. The reactor is one of six in the nation in the NRC’s most serious category, “degraded cornerstone.” PPL is implementing a plan to address the issues under NRC oversight.

More: Citizens Voice

Exelon, Dynegy Called Vulnerable in New Era

Morningstar analysts named Exelon, Dynegy and Pinnacle West as three companies most vulnerable to “a solar-powered ‘death spiral’ roiling the electric industry.” Companies like Exelon and Dynegy will suffer most, the analysts said in a Utilities Observer report, as centralized generation loses value to competitive solar at customers’ homes.

At the same time, the analysts said NRG Energy, Edison International and SunPower are three companies poised to do well in the new environment.

More: Forbes

— Compiled by Kathy Larsen and David Jwanier

April 1, 2014

Stakeholders Preview Offer-Cap Debate

By Ted Caddell

Stakeholders representing load said Thursday they may oppose efforts to change PJM’s $1,000/MWh offer cap, despite a frigid winter in which high gas prices forced the RTO to obtain temporary waivers from the limit.

“We’re not convinced that last winter proves the need to change the cap,” Walter Hall, of the Maryland Public Service Commission, said after PJM officials gave the Markets and Reliability Committee a first read on a problem statement to consider raising or eliminating the cap.

John Farber, of the Delaware Public Service Commission, said he fears costs will quickly rise if PJM raises the cap. “We need fact gathering to determine if there’s a long-term issue here,” he said.

Exelon’s Jason Barker responded that the issue is one of simple math. “There’s no question in our mind that this issue is ripe for consideration,” he said. “PJM’s pricing must be correct so we have an adequate response from generators next winter.”

FERC Actions

On Jan. 24 the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission granted PJM’s request for a waiver allowing make-whole payments for generators with operating costs above the $1,000 cap. PJM said the waiver was necessary to allow some gas-fired generators to cover marginal costs that hit $1,200/MWh in late January, as spot gas prices spiked to $140/mmBtu.

The January order allowed PJM to fund the make-whole payments through uplift charges. On Feb. 11, FERC granted a second waiver eliminating the cap through March 31, allowing high-cost generators to set locational marginal prices.

FERC lifted the cap over the objections of consumer advocates, state regulators and others, who said allowing the RTO’s most inefficient generators to set clearing prices would provide a windfall to the vast majority of generators with costs well less than $1,000.

Moderating temperatures and gas prices rendered the second waiver moot. But Thursday’s discussion — and a surprising report filed by the Market Monitor the day before — suggested the cap’s long-term future will be hotly debated in the coming months.

Problem Statement

PJM’s proposed problem statement says stakeholders should consider lifting the cap because this winter’s extreme conditions had for the first time put the limit at odds with rules requiring capacity resources to offer their output into the day-ahead energy market.

“A large amount of generation was offered into, and cleared, PJM’s energy market at prices likely below the generators’ costs of producing that energy,” PJM said. “The Operating Agreement’s `must-offer’ and `offer-cap’ provisions mean that the sellers were required to offer the available capacity of their generation resources below their marginal costs.”

Most stakeholders agree that it is improper to force generators to sell below cost. But a report that Market Monitor Joe Bowring filed with FERC on Wednesday may further stoke concerns about the risk that raising or eliminating the cap will lead to price gouging.

Monitor’s Review

The Monitor’s report (ER14-1144) covered the period between Jan. 24, when the first waiver took effect, and Feb. 11, when it was superseded by the second.

The only day during that period that resulted in waivers was Jan. 28, when seven generators owned by three companies sought relief.

The Monitor reviewed the requests at FERC’s direction and concluded that all but $9,118 of the nearly $584,000 in requested make-whole payments should be rejected.

The Monitor rejected requests to include the 10% “adder,” which is typically included in offers based on the uncertainty of calculating operating costs for combustion turbines under changing ambient conditions. “It is not appropriate to include the 10% adder in make-whole payments to generation owners in this situation because it is not an actual cost and the generation owners did not pay it,” the report said.

The report said all seven of the units requesting waivers purchased gas for less than the estimated price on which their cost-based offers were based and that five of the seven had better heat rates than what was reflected in their requests. Three of the generators withdrew their requests in response to the Monitor’s challenges.

The report said one generator purchased gas at a price 45% less than the estimate on which it based its waiver request. “When combined with an actual heat rate 4% better than included in the waiver request and removal of the 10% adder, the actual cost of the unit was about 52% lower than the cost included in the waiver request, lower than the $1,000/MWh offer cap,” the Monitor said.

The Monitor is conducting a broader review of all price offers by gas units in January to identify any evidence of overcharging. That review could result in recommendations that PJM seek refunds, Bowring said.

Lengthy Debate Predicted

PJM’s Adrien Ford, who presented the problem statement, said PJM agreed with the Monitor’s calculations on the waiver requests.

Ford said she hoped the Market Implementation Committee could complete work on the problem statement within three months, a timeline she acknowledged was “optimistic.”

Load representatives predicted a longer debate.

“I think this is going to be a tough issue from the customer perspective,” said Susan Bruce, of the PJM Industrial Customer Coalition. “We are still digesting what happened” over the winter.

“From the perspective of the consumer advocates this is a very touchy issue,” agreed Dan Griffiths, executive director of the Consumer Advocates of PJM States (CAPS).

Bowring, too, cautioned that three months might be too ambitious a time frame for a full review. He said that it might be too early to say if any substantive change is necessary. “If it turns out our investigation shows this is a one-off, you don’t want a permanent solution,” he said. “You want a one-off waiver.”

The issue would be assigned to the MIC under PJM’s proposed Issue Charge. The proposals are expected to be brought to a vote at the MRC’s next meeting.

April 1, 2014

Federal Briefs

Former Federal Energy Regulatory Commission Chairman Jon Wellinghoff responded to criticism of his role in publicizing information about potential for attacks on the power grid Friday, telling Politico he had done nothing wrong.

Wellinghoff came under attack over a Wall Street Journal article describing an internal FERC report that described possible grid attack scenarios. Wellinghoff was not named in the Journal article as the source of the report, but he discussed it for an earlier Journal article on the subject. (See FERC Criticism of Ex-Chair Mounts.)

The former chairman told Politico that the information in the Journal article was no secret. “There was no classified information,” he said. “There was no secret information and nothing was shared with anybody that was in any way part of some unpublished report.” He and another FERC official had briefed hundreds of people about the study, Wellinghoff said.

Sens. Mary Landrieu, D-La., chairwoman of the Energy and Natural Resources Committee, and Lisa Murkowski of Alaska, the committee’s top Republican, sent the Department of Energy’s inspector general a letter last week asking for an investigation into the leak. Murkowski also named Wellinghoff on the Senate floor, criticizing him for participating in the Wall Street Journal story with “sensational,” possibly “reckless” comments.

More: Politico Morning Energy; Senate Energy Committee

GRID Act Gives FERC More Power to Deal With Threats

Sen. Ed Markey, D-Mass., and Rep. Henry Waxman, D-Calif., reintroduced legislation that would give FERC more authority to protect the transmission system from security threats. FERC last month ordered the North American Electric Reliability Corp. to identify critical facilities and propose standards to protect them. But spurred by ongoing concern about attacks on the power grid and recent publicity about the potential threats, some in Congress want to go further.

The Grid Reliability and Infrastructure Defense (GRID) Act would empower FERC to issue emergency orders if an imminent security threat is identified. It also allows FERC to issue protective orders on its own if it determines that NERC has not adequately addressed an identified vulnerability. Under current law, FERC must only act on reliability standards that NERC submits to it.

The bill would also allow FERC to ensure there are enough spare large transformers available to “promptly replace” any that are damaged in an attack. The measure also requires the president to identify up to 100 defense-critical facilities vulnerable to disruption of power supply provided by an external provider. If FERC determines a vulnerability that is not adequately addressed, it may issue a rule to protect it. The bill is similar to one that passed the House of Representatives in 2010 but did not succeed in the Senate.

More: Energy and Commerce Committee

PTC May See Senate Panel Action Starting This Week

Windmills (Image credit:123RF Stock Photo)

Senate Finance Committee Chairman Ron Wyden, D-Ore., hopes to start action Wednesday on a package of measures to extend energy tax incentives, including the production tax credit (PTC) for wind power. Wyden, who became chairman of the committee in February, is a strong supporter of the PTC.

It is unclear whether tax extenders would win full Senate approval, particularly in this election year. If the measures must be part of a full package of tax code rewrites, the negotiations will be complex. In the House of Representatives, Ways and Means Committee Chairman Dave Camp, R-Mich., may be open to discussing tax extenders but said he still wanted to keep pressing toward comprehensive tax reform. The PTC for wind, one of a number of tax incentives for the energy sector, expired at the end of last year.

More: E&E Daily

GOP Polls PJM, Others About EPA Rule Impacts

Republicans on the House Energy and Commerce Committee, who oppose the Environmental Protection Agency’s upcoming regulations limiting greenhouse gas emissions from power plants, are surveying grid operators about the role coal plants play in their markets and reliability.

In a letter to PJM and other transmission operators, the lawmakers said they want to know what could happen if coal plants produced less or closed because of the EPA’s rules. Their concern was sparked by the gas and electricity price spikes this winter, they said.

More: Governors’ Wind Energy Coalition

Chu: ‘Don’t Get FedExed,’ Get Into Rooftop Business

Former Energy Secretary Steven Chu has advice for utilities: Instead of looking for protective rules and rates, they should get into the rooftop-solar business themselves. Utilities are in danger of being pushed out, he said, “like the Post Office got FedExed.”

Chu said utilities should consider leasing rooftop installations to homeowners. “This is not a radical model. This is the old telephone system model,” he said.

More: Forbes

— Compiled by Kathy Larsen and David Jwanier

April 1, 2014

PJM Considers Easing Sharing of Real-Time Generator Data

PJM is considering ways to simplify the sharing of real-time generator data to improve situational awareness and help transmission operators respond more quickly in emergencies.

AEP’s Dana Horton urged the Markets and Reliability Committee Thursday to consider changing the current rules on data access, which he said are cumbersome and time consuming.

Horton said transmission operators would “like to be able to see real-time megawatt hour output from all generators in the PJM footprint, like PJM control operations folks do. They’re dealing with a lot of transmission overload issues. If they could see more output data, for more of the region that impacts their area, they are better able to give feedback.”

Horton said the current procedure for obtaining data access, spelled out in Manual 14D, “looks like it was written in the 1950s. It refers to making copies in triplicate.”

Phil Hoffer, an AEP transmission operations manager, said the data would be used as an input to AEP’s state estimator. “Some units may be outside of our control area but have significant impact on our operations,” Hoffer explained.

PJM officials said the RTO supports the effort. “We should be as transparent as we can,” said Executive Vice President for Operations Mike Kormos.

CEO Terry Boston noted that PJM found other transmission operators’ state estimators helpful during the September heat wave, particularly for understanding conditions on lower voltage systems.

PJM Market Monitor Joe Bowring said he would support streamlining the sharing rules if it were done in a way to preserve confidential information. Existing confidentiality agreements and codes of conduct should satisfy any confidentiality concerns, AEP said.

The MRC will be asked to vote on AEP’s issue charge and problem statement at its next meeting. If approved as is, the issue would be assigned to the Operating Committee.