Consolidated Edison (NYSE:ED) released its 2022 earnings report late Thursday night, showing that it earned $1.66 billion in net income ($4.68/share), about $300 million, or 23%, more than in 2021.
The increase was slightly more than that of 2021, which saw earnings increase by about 22%. (See Con Edison 2021 Earnings Jump 22%.)
Earnings for the fourth quarter, however, were down about 15% from the same period in 2021: $190 million ($0.53/share), compared to $355 million ($1/share).
ConEd corporate structure | ConEd
CEO Timothy Cawley said in a statement that “the great work of our employees and our customers’ desire for a clean energy future enabled us to make tremendous progress in 2022 in energy efficiency, new [electric vehicle] charger installations and customer solar projects.”
The New York-based utility, which services parts of New Jersey via Orange & Rockland Utilities, sold its Clean Energy Businesses (CEB) portfolio of 3,300 MW in renewable energy projects to RWE Renewables America in 2022. The deal is valued at $6.8 billion and anticipated to close near the end of the first quarter. (See Con Edison to Sell Clean Energy Businesses for $6.8B.)
ConEd return performance | ConEd
According to its earnings report, Con Ed spent months considering “strategic alternatives” for the CEB but concluded that the transaction would allow it to “focus on our core utility businesses and the investments needed to lead New York’s ambitious clean energy transition,” Cawley said in a statement in October.
Con Ed intends using funds from the CEB sale to repay $1.25 billion of parent company debt in 2023, repurchase up to $1 billion of its common shares, forego common equity issuances in 2023 and 2024, and issue up to $900 million of common equity in 2025.
The company also issued $366 billion as part of the COVID-19 arrears assistance program, which the New York Public Service Commission created to help reduce the arrears balances of residential and small commercial customers struggling after the pandemic. Phase 2 of the program started in January, and Con Ed approximates that $392 million credit is eligible for the program.
Con Ed also announced on Wednesday that its customers installed a record 9,600 solar projects last year, which have the capacity to produce 89 MW.
The company expects 2023 adjusted earnings per share to be between $4.75 to $4.95 because of the anticipated CEB sale. It forecasts an average annual increase in peak demand over the next five years for electricity and gas to be approximately 0.6% and 1%, respectively.
Con Ed also plans to issue approximately $2.6 billion in long-term debt, including for maturing securities, during 2024 and 2025.
Oregon is eligible to rake in hundreds of millions of dollars in funding for building electrification, energy efficiency and grid resilience through federal grant and tax credit programs established over the past two years.
But so far, the state has received just $200,000 from the feds, despite Congress having passed the $1.2-trillion Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act (IIJA) a year-and-a-half ago.
On Wednesday, Oregon Department of Energy (ODOE) Director Janine Benner appeared to counsel patience for the utilities, companies and other organizations looking to tap that funding stream.
“It takes time to get the money through the federal process, and it will take time to get the money through the state process, so I think a lot of folks are working as hard and fast as they can,” Benner said Wednesday during an agency webinar on the status of the state’s funding under the IIJA and the Inflation Reduction Act (IRA), which was passed last August. (See Senate Passes Inflation Reduction Act.)
The $200,000 already received was IIJA funding awarded under the U.S. Department of Energy’s State Energy Program (SEP) and is targeted at improvements to Oregon’s energy security plan. ODOE in December applied for the remaining balance of the $5.6 million in SEP formula funding available to the state under the IIJA, money to be used “to provide technical assistance to consumers and communities as well as to facilitate research, analysis and programs on energy efficiency, renewable energy, sustainable transportation, and resilient energy systems,” according to Jennifer Senner, ODOE’s federal grants officer.
Senner said Oregon is also preparing applications for:
$50 million in IIJA formula funding for grid resilience, which the state must match at 15%. Utility recipients that sell more than 4,000,000 MWh annually will then be required to match their state grants at 100%, while those selling less than that amount must match at one-third.
$1.3 million from the IIJA’s Energy Efficiency Revolving Loan Fund Capitalization Grant Program, which provides grants and loans to conduct commercial and residential energy audits and perform EE upgrades and retrofits of buildings.
$1.9 million from the IIJA’s Energy Efficiency and Conservation Block Grant Program for projects that reduce home carbon emissions and improve energy efficiency.
Oregon will also be eligible for a total of $113 million in IRA formula funding under the HOMES program, which incentivizes contractors and installers for improving the energy performance of houses, and the High-Efficiency Electric Home Rebate (HEEHR) program, which offers cash to low- and moderate-income households that switch to electric heating and appliances (such as heat pumps), upgrade electric panels and wiring to accommodate new equipment, and improve their home’s energy efficiency.
“While there’s a lot we still don’t know about these funds, we anticipate we will be submitting an application for them either in the summer or the fall, and that the funds will be available in either late 2023 or early 2024 to support these residential upgrades related to homes,” Senner said.
ODOE is also exploring IRA programs related to workforce training, including the training of contractors who would assist in implementing the residential energy efficiency upgrades under the HOMES and HEEHR programs. Senner said it is still not clear whether those grants would be competitive or offered under formula funding for all states.
Senner noted that ODOE is participating with the Washington Department of Commerce and others in the Pacific Northwest Hydrogen Association (PNHA), which was created to win a portion of the $8 billion in funding the Biden administration is targeting for the development of regional hydrogen hubs across the country. The DOE has encouraged the PNHA to submit a full application for a matching grant after reviewing the association’s concept paper. (See DOE: 33 of 79 Preliminary Hydrogen Hub Applications Chosen.)
‘A Huge Opportunity’
Senner said Oregon is also seeking to tap money from the U.S. EPA’s Greenhouse Gas Reduction Fund, which was established to prompt private capital to finance GHG-reduction projects, and the Climate Pollution Reduction Grants program, which is targeted at states, territories, tribes, air pollution control agencies and local governments to implement emissions-reduction plans. She said Oregon might be able to get an early jump on this funding because it already has advanced GHG plans in place.
ODOE “will consider equity at every step” in the process of spreading the federal funds, including considering the “geographic diversity” of recipients, Benner said, referring to the state’s sharp urban-rural divide, partly a product of income disparities between wealthier metro areas and lower-income rural towns.
“We will try to coordinate with tribal governments, and we’ll work to communicate clearly, inclusively and efficiently to ensure stakeholders and the public are informed and supported and that they’re able to participate in federal funding opportunities,” she said. She added that the agency will take guidance from the Biden administration’s Justice40 initiative, which aims to distribute at least 40% of the funds to disadvantaged communities.
Senner said ODOE is still “waiting on quite a bit of guidance” from federal agencies on the various programs, particularly those related to the IRA.
“It’s a bit overwhelming with the amount of funding federal funding coming our way, but it’s a huge opportunity for the state to make significant progress on our clean energy and climate change goals,” Benner said.
The New York Public Service Commission on Thursday approved 62 transmission upgrades with a combined capacity of 3.5 GW and an estimated cost of $4.4 billion.
The projects in three upstate regions are needed to loosen existing constraints in preparation for the state’s transition from fossil fuel-generated electricity to substantially larger amounts of clean renewable energy, according to the commission.
The price tag is only an estimate, and the final cost could range anywhere from $3.3 billion to $6.6 billion, which is a standard range of uncertainty for such projects, said Elizabeth Grisaru, deputy director of the Department of Public Service’s Office of Electric, Gas & Water.
The resulting monthly increase in customers’ bills could range from 3% to 16%, though success with the projects would prevent curtailment risk charges being passed from generators to utilities to ratepayers, she said.
The large price tag — and the fact that it is only one of many costs to be borne by ratepayers through the clean energy transition — gave some commissioners pause, but the majority voted for it.
The 62 upgrades are planned by Central Hudson Gas & Electric, National Grid, New York State Electric & Gas and Rochester Gas and Electric. The projects are focused in three areas of concern: the Hudson Valley and Mohawk Valley, extending south and west from Albany; the North Country, from the western Adirondacks to Lake Ontario and the Canadian border; and the Southern Tier, along the Pennsylvania border.
The utilities said there is 689 MW of existing solar and wind generation in these areas and 3,529 MW in some stage of development.
The work will be completed through the coming decade. Costs will be allocated across ratepayers statewide, as the benefits of decarbonization will extend to all New Yorkers.
Grisaru told commissioners that the projects were a result of the state’s Climate Leadership and Community Protection Act (CLCPA), the landmark 2019 law that codified decarbonization goals including 70% renewable energy by 2030. The concurrent transition to electric vehicles and all-electric buildings will create added power demand statewide.
Passage of the Accelerated Renewable Energy Growth and Community Benefit Act led the PSC in May 2020 to start a proceeding to plan the transmission infrastructure needed to accommodate these changes.
The three upstate regions were identified as problem zones in September 2021, and the utilities were directed to submit plans for upgrades.
Grisaru said the 62 projects are a snapshot estimate by the utilities, circa late 2021, of their future needs, but more generation projects have gone into development since then, and further transmission upgrades may be needed. Based on this, the package of 62 upgrades is a very conservative response to present and potential future needs, she said, with little risk of over-construction.
“I’m happy to see this project before us today,” PSC Chairman Rory Christian said. “We understand that to successfully decarbonize, we need to have a robust transmission system, and I’m encouraged that these investments will not only help us achieve that goal but help secure New York’s role as a leader in clean energy going forward.”
NYISO has highlighted the need for grid upgrades, and it did so again after Thursday’s vote.
“As stated in the NYISO’s 2021-2040 System & Resource Outlook, significant investments in generation and transmission projects are needed now to maintain the reliability and resiliency of our grid moving forward,” ISO spokesperson Kevin Lanahan said via email. “We’ll continue to work closely with elected officials, regulators and stakeholders to keep the grid working for all New Yorkers.”
The order was approved 5-2, with Commissioners Diane Burman and John Howard opposed. Both agreed with transmission expansion, but not with the mechanism by which the cost is being reviewed and allocated. They thanked Grisaru and her staff, however, for noting the uncertain cost of the upgrades.
Commissioner John Maggiore wished the state’s progressive income tax could cover some of the cost, rather than all of it falling on ratepayers.
Commissioner James Alesi recalled the great delays and cost overruns with the Second Avenue Subway project in Manhattan and said he worried about the unknown future costs of CLCPA rollout, which is currently being estimated at $275 billion — about $14,000 per person, or $37,000 per household statewide.
The PSC has divided transmission upgrades that have been proposed to accommodate expanded renewable energy in the wake of CLCPA into two categories: Phase 1, which also incorporates safety and reliability considerations, and Phase 2, which solely to supports new resources. Thursday’s order was the first Phase 2 approval by the PSC.
Pacific Gas and Electric pleaded not guilty Wednesday to 11 charges stemming from the September 2020 Zogg Fire, including four counts of involuntary manslaughter and three felony charges of recklessly starting the wildfire.
The California Department of Forestry and Fire Protection (Cal Fire) determined that a pine tree falling onto a PG&E power line ignited the 56,000-acre blaze in forested areas of Shasta and Tehama counties. It killed four people who could not escape the flames, including a mother and her 8-year-old daughter, and destroyed more than 200 structures.
PG&E said in a statement Thursday that it intends to fight the charges filed by the Shasta County District Attorney’s Office. The judge set a tentative trial date of June 6, but PG&E could settle the case rather than go before a jury.
“As we have stated previously, we accept Cal Fire’s determination that a tree falling into our powerline caused the 2020 Zogg Fire,” the utility said. “However, we believe PG&E did not commit any crimes, and that the conduct of our coworkers and contractors reflects good-faith judgment by qualified individuals. We have informed the court that we intend to defend ourselves against the remaining charges.”
On Feb. 1 a judge dismissed 20 of the 31 charges filed by the prosecutor’s office but said there was sufficient evidence to try PG&E for seven felonies and four misdemeanors. (See PG&E Can be Tried Again for Manslaughter.)
Under California law, involuntary manslaughter, a felony, is a category of homicide in which the defendant is alleged to have committed a lawful act “which might produce death, in an unlawful manner, or without due caution and circumspection.”
The district attorney’s office said in its September 2021 criminal complaint that PG&E had failed in its “legal duty to safely operate electrical transmission and distribution lines in a manner that minimizes the risk of catastrophic wildfires” by failing to clear the damaged and dangerously leaning pine tree.
When the charges were filed, PG&E CEO Patti Poppe said “two trained arborists walked this line and, independent of one another, determined the tree in question could stay.”
“We trimmed or removed over 5,000 trees on this very circuit alone,” Poppe said.
The Zogg Fire was the second time that the state’s largest utility has been charged with manslaughter.
PG&E pleaded guilty in June 2020 to 84 counts of involuntary manslaughter and one count of arson in the Camp Fire, which destroyed much of the town of Paradise on the morning of Nov. 8, 2018. A 100-year-old C hook on a PG&E transmission tower broke, allowing a line to drop and spark dry vegetation below.
The Camp Fire and a spate of Northern California wine country fires in October 2017 forced the utility into bankruptcy and led to a multibillion-dollar settlement with fire victims.
WASHINGTON — FERC on Thursday approved two new NERC reliability standards in response to the February 2021 winter storm that nearly led to the collapse of the Texas Interconnection (RD23-1).
According to FERC staff, EOP-012-1 (Extreme cold weather preparedness and operations) and EOP-011-3 (Emergency operations) implement about half of the standards-related recommendations from the commission’s joint inquiry with NERC into the Texas grid operator’s poor performance during Winter Storm Uri.
The standards require generator owners to implement several measures to prevent their units from freezing during extreme cold-weather events. These include constructing retrofits at existing units based on the “extreme cold weather temperature” where they are located, defined as the lowest 0.2 percentile of the hourly temperatures measured in December, January and February since Jan. 1, 2000.
Owners will be required to submit corrective action plans if the temperature is at or above the unit’s designated extreme and one of the following occurs:
a forced derate of more than 10% of the total capacity of the unit, and exceeding 20 MW, for longer than four hours in duration;
a start-up failure where the unit fails to synchronize within a specified start-up time; or
a forced outage.
Generator owners and operators will also need to conduct annual staff training on cold weather preparedness and develop procedures to improve the coordination of load-reduction measures during an emergency.
“These new standards will help to prepare our nation’s grid and our grid operators so they can provide power to consumers in the face of extreme weather,” acting FERC Chairman Willie Phillips said in a statement. “I am pleased that NERC and its regional entities acted swiftly to propose these reliability standards so that my fellow commissioners and I could move decisively and vote today to ensure the reliability and resilience of the bulk power system.”
Despite unanimous approval at FERC’s open meeting Thursday, the commission acknowledged that more work needs to be done. Project 2021-07 is only Phase 1 of a three-phase process at NERC in response to the storm, and staff noted that more proposed standards will be brought before the commission by the end of the year to address the second half of the relevant recommendations.
Standard’s Shortcomings
FERC also found EOP-12-1 to be lacking, and it directed NERC to revise it to “to clarify certain language, enhance certain standard requirements, include criteria on permissible constraints and identify the appropriate entity that would receive the generator owners’ constraint declarations under the standard,” staff said in presenting the order.
“EOP-012-1, in its current form, includes undefined terms, broad limitations, exceptions and exemptions, and prolonged compliance periods,” FERC said in its order.
Among the elements FERC required be included in the next version of the standard are a deadline for the completion of corrective action plans and a shorter grace period for generators to implement those plans and freeze-protection measures. The approved standard gives generators five years to upgrade their facilities, for example.
“Although we are giving NERC the discretion to determine what the effective date should be shortened to, we also emphasize that industry has been aware of and alerted to the need to prepare their generating units for cold weather since at least 2011,” FERC said. After the January 2018 South Central cold snap, a joint FERC-NERC report found “that one-third of the generator owners and operators surveyed ‘still had no winterization provisions after multiple recommendations on winter preparedness for generating units.’”
“NERC should consider the amount of time that industry has already had to implement freeze-protection measures when determining the appropriate implementation period,” the commission ordered.
Commissioner Allison Clements criticized EOP-012-1’s deficiencies at length during the meeting. “This is one of the more important votes we are taking during my time at the commission,” she said before recalling the deaths and economic damage Texans experienced during the 2021 storm as a result of prolonged power outages.
“There are a number of good measures in what we accept today, to be sure,” Clements said. “But the critical generator weatherization requirements as they were proposed, to be frank, are not up to the task.”
EOP-012-01 requires that existing generators be able to operate for at least one hour continuously at their designated extreme low temperature. “Yeah, one hour,” Clements said sardonically. “Needless to say that doesn’t bring total comfort that we will ensure we get through the next multiday event like Winter Storm Uri.”
She also said the amount of time allowed for implementation “does not reflect the urgency we feel.”
The commission gave NERC a year to submit the revised standard.
Although ERCOT’s markets are not subject to FERC regulations, generators in the Texas Interconnection are subject to NERC’s reliability standards. But Commissioner Mark Christie said market design was the bigger issue.
“These [standards] may have a positive impact … for generators, but … one of the problems that prompted [what happened during] Uri was the market design” in ERCOT, he said. “And I think the same issue applies in many other RTOs. It’s a much bigger issue about how these markets are structured and how they deliver the reliability that we need.”
Participants Praise ‘New Cadence’ for In-person Meetings
TUCSON, Ariz. — Following this week’s meetings of NERC’s Board of Trustees and Member Representatives Committee (MRC), board Chair Ken DeFontes congratulated the bodies on “a very productive week,” aided by a “new cadence” for the events intended to give participants more chances to interact outside of formal gatherings.
“I really got a strong vibe last night from everyone … how much they enjoyed getting together and having that kind of approach,” DeFontes said in opening Thursday’s board meeting.
“I also hear positive feedback from people about the time that we’ve allowed for breaks and an opportunity to have more informal conversations. I think we’re becoming more hungry for that just because we haven’t been able to be together as much as we would have liked,” he continued, referring to the moratorium on in-person gatherings caused by the COVID-19 pandemic that the board and MRC ended their August meetings with in Vancouver.
The Tucson meeting was one of only two full gatherings planned for members and trustees this year, as announced when the board met in New Orleans in November. (See “Board Makes Meeting Changes Official,” NERC Board of Trustees/MRC Briefs: Nov. 15-16, 2022.) While the August 16-17 meetings — to be held in Ottawa, Ontario — will feature full attendance by trustees, members and stakeholders as usual, only trustees and members will attend the May 10-11 gathering in D.C. in person, while others will attend virtually.
The final meeting of the year will be held entirely online; currently the plan is for this meeting to be trustees only, though DeFontes has previously said a virtual MRC meeting is possible if action is needed from members.
New Standards Sent to FERC
Trustees voted Thursday to adopt two new reliability standards, concluding the work of Project 2021-04 (Modifications to PRC-002 – Phase II) and Project 2021-05 (Modifications to PRC-023).
Project 2021-04 produced the standard PRC-002-4 (Disturbance monitoring and reporting requirements), which clarifies notification requirements for fault recorder data in order to help analyze bulk electric system disturbances. The result of Project 2021-05 is PRC-023-6 (Transmission relay loadability), which aims to “eliminate confusion surrounding out-of-step blocking settings.” Both standards will now be submitted to FERC for final approval.
Following the approval of the new standards, Howard Gugel, NERC vice president of standards development, updated the board on the progress of the organization’s work on addressing extreme cold weather.
Earlier on Thursday FERC had agreed to adopt the new standards EOP-011-3 (Emergency operations) and EOP-012-1 (Extreme cold weather preparedness and operations) following their approval by the board in October. Gugel noted that these two standards represent the first phase of the cold weather standards project that the board ordered in November 2021. The standard development team is currently working on the second phase and plans to have new standards available for public comment by March, after the team revises them one more time to address the commission’s newest order.
Board Agrees to Shortened Data Request Timeline
In addition to the standards actions, the board voted to authorize a shortened timeline for NERC to gather information related to FERC’s order last month directing NERC to develop standards requiring utilities to implement internal network security monitoring on certain bulk electric system cyber systems. (See FERC Proposes New Cybersecurity Standard.)
The commission’s order mandated that NERC’s new standards apply to all high-impact BES cyber systems, and to medium-impact cyber systems with external routable connectivity. In addition, the order directed NERC to study the potential impact of applying the requirements to all other cyber systems. FERC ordered this study to be submitted by Jan. 18, 2024.
Performing such a study would require NERC to issue a Section 1600 data request to responsible entities, but this request must be submitted to FERC for a 21-day review period, and then undergo a public comment period that normally lasts 45 days, which NERC staff feared would leave them unable to meet FERC’s deadline.
Staff requested that the board allow this comment period to be shortened to 21 days, and to request FERC shorten its review period to as little as five days, promising to “conduct outreach and coordination with FERC staff during the data request drafting stage.” The board approved the request without objection.
Thilly Honored in Retirement
Kristine Schmidt joined Thursday’s meeting as NERC’s newest trustee, having been confirmed by the MRC at its meeting the day before along with existing trustees Suzanne Keenan and Jim Piro. Each will serve for three years, with their terms expiring in February 2026.
Schmidt has 40 years’ experience in the electricity industry, including at Pacific Gas and Electric, where she was a board member in 2019-20. She has also served on the Western Energy Imbalance Market Governing Body, where she was the inaugural chair in 2016. Her career has also included stints at Xcel Energy and ITC Holdings, as well as a commissioner adviser at FERC. She will serve on the board’s Enterprise-wide Risk Committee, Finance and Audit Committee, and Nominating Committee.
Schmidt will take the seat recently vacated by former Chair Roy Thilly, who was ineligible for renomination having served on the board for 12 consecutive years. This restriction did not apply to Keenan and Piro, who have served for five and three years respectively.
Introducing a resolution to honor Thilly for his years on the board, DeFontes jokingly called Thilly — who preceded him as chair, serving from 2017 to 2021 — his “consigliere” for helping him get up to speed in his new role.
“When I stepped up to be chair, I was feeling a little uncomfortable [about] following Roy. But to his credit, he helped me a great deal with the transition, … and he did it with grace and dignity and humility,” DeFontes said.
WASHINGTON ― Legislation to streamline the permitting of clean energy projects, including new transmission lines, may require bipartisan collaboration and tradeoffs, according to Sen. Martin Heinrich (D-N.Mex.).
While Republicans and some Democrats, such as Sen. Joe Manchin (D-W.Va.), are focused on permitting new natural gas pipelines, there is an “upside” to the situation, Heinrich said in a brief interview Wednesday at the American Clean Power Association’s Energy Storage Policy Forum.
“If we can do permitting reform and do it well, so much of the capital is actually going to flow to clean electrons. So that sets us up for the potential for a bipartisan solution to all this,” he told RTO Insider.
The senator pointed to cost allocation as one of the “tough issues” to be worked through to prevent states and their residents from “paying for something they’re not benefiting from. But you have to have ways of sharing costs across multiple jurisdictions, multiple businesses and making sure that costs and benefits get shared proportionately.”
Conversations about the issue among Democrats and Republicans in the House and Senate are “more sophisticated than they have been in the past,” he said.
A compromise on pipelines could have “the potential to make this a bipartisan solution,” said Heinrich, who sits on the Senate Energy and Natural Resources Committee, which Manchin chairs. “People have to realize that because of where the markets are heading, anything we do in this space is naturally going to benefit the clean energy transition.”
The need for the storage industry to move ahead with a strong bipartisan strategy was a key theme at the one-day event, with Jason Grumet, ACP’s new CEO, setting the tone in opening remarks that called on attendees to “find a way to balance the audacity of this transition with the humility of the limitations that all technologies have.”
Coming to ACP after 15 years as president of the Bipartisan Policy Center, Grumet said, “The challenge is that … we have to make a century-scale transition in 25 or 30 years. … There’s been a lot of advocacy, which is intended to be supportive, which has not been honest, which essentially said, ‘We can have 100% clean power by 2035 and leave oil and gas in the ground.’
“That’s not true. It undermines our credibility, makes us seem like hypocrites,” he said. “We just have to be really honest and pragmatic about the challenge. We’re going to have a multi-technology solution,” including natural gas.
“We have to recognize that storage, solar, wind, nuclear, clean gas are all going to be critical to actually decarbonizing the economy, and that’s also helpful because we need a lot of friends,” Grumet said. “We have a divided country, a divided Congress. You can’t get anything done unless you have broad-based appeal.”
Security, Affordability, Climate
ACP’s choice of Grumet to lead the organization, with his strong roots in bipartisan work, comes at a pivotal moment for the industry.
The U.S. energy storage market is “past the inflection point,” said Jason Burwen, ACP vice president for energy storage. The industry put about 9 GW of new storage online in 2022, and according to the U.S. Energy Information Administration, another 21 GW of new storage could be deployed on the grid by 2025.
Further, the Inflation Reduction Act provides a new tax credit for standalone storage, which opens the way for storage to be used as a grid resource. California has more than 4 GW of storage online, not all of it paired with solar, and could need up to 48 GW by 2045, according to the California Energy Commission.
Developers and power plant owners plan to significantly increase utility-scale battery storage capacity in the United States over the next three years, reaching 30 GW by the end of 2025. | EIA
“The remarkable growth in U.S. battery storage capacity is outpacing even the early growth of the country’s utility-scale solar capacity,” the EIA said in a December update. “U.S. solar capacity began expanding in 2010 and grew from less than 1.0 GW in 2010 to 13.7 GW in 2015. In comparison, we expect battery storage to increase from 1.5 GW in 2020 to 30.0 GW in 2025.”
Grumet sees energy storage as a central answer to the economic and political challenges of the moment. “Security, affordability and climate all have to be engaged at once,” he said. “The effort to focus on one of those three elements turns out to be pretty crappy energy policy that tends to lead you towards one side or the other of the political spectrum.”
While different mixes of generation can move the economy toward net-zero, energy storage is a hinge for all the of them, he said.
But bipartisanship can be a double-edged sword. “There’s a ton of bipartisan support for ‘don’t do anything near me’ … which is absolutely at odds with what we need to do,” Grumet said. “We have a society based on this premise of local control and community rights, and we have to honor that premise [but] you cannot transition that economy with community-based decisions.
“So we’ve got to figure out, again, as an industry, how do we make it clear that we have a shared national interest?” he said.
Starting From Nowhere
In an on-stage conversation with Grumet, Heinrich agreed that energy storage must be “socialized” as a “bread-and-butter” solution to a range of energy challenges.
“When I came to the Senate, and that was after four years in the House, there were a very small number of senators [who] were really focused on what are the nuts and bolts to really make the energy transition work,” he said. But as climate change has become an increasingly important issue, “the entire [Democratic] caucus is focused on solutions and looking for solutions.
“So if you come with credibility and say, ‘This policy or this technology is going to be absolutely critical,’ people start with an open mind,” he said.
Bipartisan solutions will also be needed to address clean energy supply chain issues and dependence on China for the processing of critical minerals, such as lithium, and manufacturing of key storage components.
“What we have to recognize is that industry doesn’t exist in a meaningful way in the continental U.S. today, and we need to change that,” Heinrich said. Tax credits for clean energy manufacturing in the Inflation Reduction Act have catalyzed new interest and activity in developing an industrial policy, he said, “but we’re really starting from practically nowhere.”
At the same time, “we don’t want to shut down for seven years,” while domestic supply chains are built out, he said. “You can’t wait until we make everything here to start creating solutions that we know we need today. … Why this is so complicated a problem is because we are really reorganizing the way we power our entire society.”
Grumet raised ongoing concerns on both sides of the aisle in Congress about China’s acquisition of U.S. technologies and intellectual property, which have resulted in “a reluctance to have any connection at all” with the country.
Both he and Heinrich see new opportunities for U.S.-Chinese joint ventures growing out of the snowballing investments in clean tech manufacturing in the U.S., triggered by the IRA.
While some European countries have labeled the law as “protectionist” and say it will draw investment away from the European Union, Heinrich said, it shows that “we’re serious about taking a new direction.”
The multiple tax credits provided by the Inflation Reduction Act are key to the development of major clean hydrogen projects, as well as seasonal hydrogen storage, says one company that is already building the largest green hydrogen storage and generation facility in the U.S.
John Young, Mitsubishi Power | Reuters Events
“Mitsubishi Heavy Industries has officially recognized that the energy transition is going to happen here in the United States first,” John Young, head of government relations at Mitsubishi Power Americas, said in a webinar Thursday organized by Reuters.
“The center of excellence in the energy transition is going to move from Japan to the U.S,” Young continued. “That’s a big deal for our company here in the U.S. because we now get the full weight of our parent company’s resources.”
The IRA’s multiple and expanded tax credits will provide significant benefits to the company’s energy storage projects as well as its solar development business, and the credits can be stacked, he said.
Among them is a 30% solar investment tax credit for projects through 2025. And projects that can certify that steel and manufactured components were made in the U.S. can qualify for an additional 10% credit. Another tax credit is available for projects located in a community that previously relied on fossil fuel generation, Young noted. The IRA also has expanded the production tax credit, he added, providing additional support for solar projects alone.
Storage, whether battery for short term or hydrogen for longer term, such as seasonal use, are also provided new tax credits under the IRA.
“Under the IRA, this investment tax credit was increased 30% over 10 years. And importantly, standalone storage now qualifies as eligible. Like the other credits, this ITC also includes that 10% bonus credit for energy communities and domestic content.”
The bottom line, he said, is that the credits are “technology neutral,” making it easier for companies like Mitsubishi to innovate and bring new technologies to market quickly.
“That we can choose between the investment tax credit and the production tax credit for both the long-duration energy storage and the production of hydrogen really blows the doors off this whole tax regime and allows hydrogen the flexibility it deserves.
“The IRA represent a clear recognition by Congress that if the U.S. is going to lead the world in the energy transition, it needs carrots and sticks and foundational change in the way our federal tax code works.
“We see this change as leveling the playing field for all technologies to have the same shot, same goal — net-zero greenhouse gas emissions — and it doesn’t matter whether [it’s] from wind, solar, geothermal, hydrogen or space lasers, as long as you are generating energy with net-zero emissions.”
Michael Ducker, Mitsubishi Power | Mitsubishi Power
The company began a massive project in Utah that will power an electrolyzer with renewable power to produce green hydrogen that will be stored in massive salt caverns as a fuel for combined cycle gas turbines when demand outstrips available renewable power. (See The Growing Inevitability of Hydrogen.)
The ACES Delta Project will produce 100 metric tons of hydrogen per day with 220 MW in Delta, Utah, said Michael Ducker, vice president of hydrogen production for Mitsubishi Americas.
In 2019 when the company began the project, there was no discussion of hydrogen hubs, Ducker said. “We actually had folks tell us when we were investing in the project that it was a science project; that we were throwing money away,” he said.
FERC granted an Oklahoma solar project a 90-day extension of its commercial operation deadline while rejecting an Illinois wind project’s request for a waiver, saying the developer failed to make its case for relief.
The commission on Thursday granted Recurrent Energy’s 120-MW North Fork Solar Project in Kiowa, Okla., a 90-day extension of its required commercial operation date (COD) (ER23-737).
North Fork’s generator interconnection agreement with SPP and Western Farmers Electric Cooperative requires commercial operation by May 1, 2024, which was extended from the original COD of December 1, 2019. The company said it needed a 90-day extension, to July 30, 2024, to align the COD with the mechanical completion date provided by North Fork’s engineering, procurement and construction (EPC) contractor and to allow a 90-day period between mechanical completion and the COD, as required under North Fork’s power purchase agreement.
Neither SPP nor Western Farmers opposed the waiver.
North Fork said it has spent $7.7 million developing the project and expects to spend an additional $11 million by the time construction begins, including payments to the EPC contractor, developer fees and financing costs. It has secured land rights for 1,920 acres for the project, which will interconnect at Western Farmers’ 138-kV Snyder Substation.
North Fork has a 15-year PPA with the Oklahoma Municipal Power Authority (OMPA) for the full output of the project. The PPA requires the project to reach commercial operation by May 31, 2024, so that OMPA can claim capacity credits for the summer of 2024. North Fork would be liable for liquidated damages if it misses the deadline.
“Accordingly, North Fork states that it is commercially incentivized to achieve commercial operation as soon as possible,” FERC said.
North Fork said its EPC contractor has provided an estimated mechanical completion date of mid-March 2024, which would precede the initial synchronization and beginning of test sales.
Waiver Rejected
In a second order, the commission rejected a request by ZEP Grand Prairie Wind, a proposed 150-MW project in Illinois, to extend its COD from November 2025 to February 2027 because of delays caused by the COVID-19 pandemic (ER23-137).
ZEP’s generator interconnection agreement with MISO and the city of Springfield, Ill., would be terminated if the project does not reach commercial operation by November 2025.
Developer UKA North America said it had recalled its land agents responsible for negotiating property rights for the project site and interconnection rights-of-way in response to the Illinois governor’s March 2020 executive order requiring all non-essential employees to remain at home because of the COVID pandemic.
The company also cited supply chain problems that arose during the pandemic, saying key components that previously took nine to 12 months to receive are now taking 18 months or longer.
ZEP Wind said that it has spent more than $4 million on the project and obtained 100% site control and more than 85% of the transmission rights-of-way required. Nevertheless, it said will be unable to reach commercial operation by its 2025 deadline.
The commission said ZEP Wind “has not provided any details regarding whether any components for the project are delayed, the estimated time for their delivery, or whether and how any such delay affects its ability to achieve commercial operation by November 15, 2025.”
The commission said it would reconsider the waiver request if ZEP Wind provides more detail.
FERC on Thursday also upheld five prior rulings that had been subject to rehearing requests:
The commission addressed arguments raised on rehearing of its Oct. 20, 2022, order accepting Henderson Municipal Power and Light as a transmission owner in MISO and allowing Henderson to recover its revenue requirement for transmission facilities (ER19-776-002, ER19-809-002). (See FERC Rules Kentucky Muni Can Remain a MISO TO.)
The commission addressed requests for rehearing of its Sept. 9, 2022, order accepting two unexecuted generator interconnection agreements, which assigned to SPP interconnection customers the costs of a network upgrade (ER22-2371-001, ER22-2372-001).
The commission rejected Tenaska Clear Creek Wind’s request for rehearing of its Sept. 9, 2022, order, which found that the assignment of certain network upgrade costs was just and reasonable (EL21-77-003). The order also denied a motion for stay. (See FERC Rules in Three SPP Disputes.)
FERC sustained the result of its Oct. 7, 2022, order denying Southwestern Public Service Company’s complaint alleging that SPP violated its tariff by setting the cleared energy award for SPS’s Hobbs generating facility to zero when SPP settled the day-ahead market for Feb. 17, 2021 (EL22-30-001).
WASHINGTON — The sixth meeting of FERC’s Joint Federal-State Task Force on Transmission, held Wednesday, looked into how the grid can be better protected against physical attacks, which have been on the rise recently.
“There are well over 50,000 high-voltage substations across North America, and more than that if you include those that only support the distribution system,” NERC CEO Jim Robb said at the meeting, held concurrently with the National Association of Regulatory Utility Commissioners’ Winter Policy Forum. “That’s a tremendous amount of infrastructure to think through how to protect responsibly, and to really think through the tradeoffs that need to be made between risk and consequence and the investments that you make between protection and prevention, versus response and recovery.”
Protecting all of those assets is not feasible, as it would cost far too much, but not every substation is a critical asset that needs high levels of security, Robb said.
Even most incidents at substations would not qualify as attacks, with “criminal mischief” — in which people steal copper or vandalize substations — being much more common than occurrences like the attacks in North Carolina and Washington state and the foiled plot in Baltimore.
“But over the last six to nine months, we’ve seen more and more attacks, which would exceed the threshold of criminal mischief and really rise to the level of sabotage,” said Robb.
The increased concern over the rise in attacks is appropriate, but Robb said that only 5% of incidents at substations actually impact the grid, either by causing some customers to lose power, or by putting the system into a contingency operation mode.
CIP-014 (Physical security) was issued after the Metcalf Substation attack in Silicon Valley a decade ago. Its purpose is to ensure that physical attacks on substations did not lead to major, cascading outages on the grid, and so it focuses on substations with more power flows, at 345 kV and above, said Robb.
“While many substations may not need to be technically CIP-014-compliant, their owners may very well build in protections because it’s the right thing to do,” he added. “The utility sector generally leans in very, very hard on security matters, whether physical or cyber, to protect their assets and their ability to serve their customers.”
One idea for updating CIP-014 might be to focus on the possibility of coordinated attacks on multiple substations, said Robb. It could also shift from focusing on preventing cascading outages to preventing any outages at all, he added.
DOE Office of Cybersecurity Energy Security and Emergency Response Director Puesh Kumar and NERC CEO Jim Robb address the joint task force on Wednesday. | Federal State Task Force on Tran
Puesh Kumar, director of the U.S. Department of Energy’s Office of Cybersecurity, Energy Security and Emergency Response, told the task force that the law enforcement community is very focused on the issue, as he is regularly meeting with the FBI and the Department of Justice.
“When we think of the law enforcement angle, that again doesn’t need to just be at the FBI level,” Kumar said. “We need to make sure that we have local law enforcement; we have state law enforcement also engaged in this conversation and really recognizing and appreciating the criticality of the electricity infrastructure across the country.”
Broad Solutions Save Money
With tens of thousands of physical sites requiring protection around the country, along with the need to protect the grid against cyber-attacks and extreme weather, it is important to focus on solutions that cut the risk across the board, Kumar said.
“How are we investing in tools and technologies that can also help us buy down the risk?” Kumar said. “It’s not just the standard that buys down risk; there’s a lot of other ways and tools and technology as part of the puzzle that we have to be thinking about.”
The biggest threat from a single-asset perspective is electric power transformers, which are just part of a substation’s equipment and thus could benefit from increased protections compared to other assets, PPL Electric Utilities Chief Information and Digital Officer Matthew Green told a panel at the NARUC summit earlier in the day. The risk around transformers can also be mitigated by ensuring the industry has enough backup equipment to replace anything that is damaged.
While physical attacks are a concern and a priority for PPL that is being addressed by prudently investing to protect the riskiest assets, it is not Green’s main worry.
“I’m actually more concerned around cybersecurity attacks,” Green said. “And, actually, in 2022 the single biggest contributor to outages for customers in United States continues to be weather-related outages. So that is also still a top concern.”
Investments to prevent outages from those causes need to be made prudently, after an accurate assessment of the relevant risks, he added.
The U.S. grid is decentralized, which means attacks on individual assets are unlikely to really have a major impact reliability across the board, said Kansas Corporation Commissioner Andrew French. But coordinated attacks are an increasing concern, so French asked Robb what the best strategy to address those would be.
One way of complying with CIP-014 is to remove any kind of critical substations from a utility’s network, which can happen in the process of normal grid planning or in coming back after a storm.
“I would love to see that number continue to decline, as we can build more and more redundancy into the system and less dependence on a subset of the assets around the grid,” Robb said.
Beyond that, coming up with a strategy to deal with the risk of coordinated attacks is tricky because it is not financially feasible to harden every grid asset out there. Having backup equipment available to minimize any downtime would help.
“One of the issues that’s vexing the industry right now, with all the supply chain challenges that we have, is that a lot of this equipment isn’t standardized,” Robb said. “So, I think that’s an opportunity as we as we move forward.”
Changes Needed for CIP-014?
Michigan Public Service Commission Chair Dan Scripps said it makes sense that CIP-014 is site-specific, but he asked whether it would also be prudent to have some kind of minimum level of protection spelled out in the standard.
The standard is fairly new, Robb said, so the industry has less experience from which it can draw best practices, but minimum standards are one of the updates that should be considered.
“There’s nothing that would prevent a state from imposing its own security requirements on any of these assets,” Robb said. “So, if to the extent that any of you feel that the NERC standards don’t go far enough to protect the systems under your jurisdiction from issues that you’re concerned about, you can always go further.”
Physical is usually an afterthought when it comes to planning the grid, but acting FERC Chairman Willie Phillips argued it would make sense to change that.
“If we consider it on the front end, I think we do have an opportunity to do something about what can be a very costly process,” Phillips said.
PJM has a process in which it works to minimize the number of critical infrastructure sites on its grid through planning, Phillips said, and that could work well elsewhere, as long as information on sensitive sites is handled correctly.
Connecticut Public Utilities Regulatory Authority Chair Marissa Gillett said that it might make sense to deal with physical security issues in the transmission planning process, but she worried that it would give the industry another excuse to shut out the states from the process in ISO-NE.
“I just think we need to be cognizant of some of the challenges around them,” Gillett said. “Especially because of that tension … between wanting to have openness while needing to respect the concerns about disclosing too much about physical security threats.”
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