November 8, 2024

Task Force Seeks ‘Right Balance’ in Spreading Tx Upgrade Costs

The second half of Friday’s meeting of the Joint Federal-State Task Force on Electric Transmission started off with a touch of irony.

“Now we’ll move on to the much less controversial issue about funding and cost allocation” of transmission projects, Jonathan Raab — president of consultancy Raab Associates and facilitator of the meeting — said about a topic that has sparked sharp disagreements in organized electricity markets across the country.

The first part of Friday’s conference of federal and state regulators focused on clogged generation interconnection queues in RTOs and ISOs. (See related story, FERC-State Task Force Considers Clustering, ‘Fast Track’ to Clear Queues.) The next half delved into the even thornier issue of who should pay for the needed transmission network upgrades spurred by the interconnecting resources piling up in the queues.

The issue of cost allocation has grown in controversy as the grid integrates increasing volumes of renewable resources. Developers must often site renewables far from load centers, other generating resources and existing high-voltage transmission lines in order to cover enough ground to capture economies of scale and locate in areas that offer higher capacity factors resulting from more consistent winds or sunlight.

“In recent years, I think we’re at a point where the changing resource mix has already triggered a number of challenges, and the solutions required are effectively transmission solutions,” Michigan Public Service Commission Chair Dan Scripps said in opening remarks.

“It’s not that we’re building out backbone transmission projects in order to simply accommodate generators, but really to keep the lights on. And whether we continue to allocate a disproportionate share of the cost to interconnecting generators in order to fulfill this reliability imperative, I’m not convinced that the current model strikes the right balance,” he said.

Not ‘From All to Nothing’

Friday afternoon’s discussion aimed to get closer to that balance. Raab framed the session by outlining four cost allocation approaches for the regulators to consider, including:

  • participants (i.e., the generators) paying for 100% of the costs for network upgrades in RTOs/ISOs;
  • participants and load sharing the costs for upgrades;
  • load picking up 100% of the cost for certain types of upgrades; and
  • costs for new or upgraded facilities being covered by generator subscriptions.

State regulators have generally supported the first option, with some flexibility — and some notable deviations.

In its comments on FERC’s 2021 Advance Notice of Proposed Rulemaking to improve regional transmission planning, cost allocation and interconnection processes (RM21-17), the National Association of Regulatory Utility Commissioners urged the commission to “retain the core tenet of participant funding, while exploring the as yet untapped potential economies of scale that could result from increased coordination among participants,” such as through clustering of projects. (See FERC Goes Back to the Drawing Board on Tx Planning, Cost Allocation.)

On Friday, FERC Commissioner Allison Clements encouraged industry stakeholders to be flexible in their thinking about cost allocation.

“I don’t think the solution is going from all to nothing. I don’t think that, while interconnection customers currently pay off needed upgrade costs, the solution should be jumping to having them pay nothing. That doesn’t jive with [FERC’s] cost allocation principles,” Clements said.

“I’ve never had a project sponsor suggest to me that they’re unwilling to pay their fair share, and I’ve also never had a transmission provider suggest to me that in all, or even in most cases, the whole of network upgrade benefits accrue only to the interconnection customer customers paying for them,” she added.

“I am a believer that when we make certain high-voltage upgrades as part of the [generator interconnection] process, there are real benefits that flow to load,” Kansas Corporation Commission Chair Andrew French said.

Changes to cost-sharing models should not be a “one-way street” directed only at electricity customers, according to French.

“This is not just about getting load to pay more, or to chip in more of the cost to help interconnect generators. It’s to try to find the most accurate cost allocation over all of our investments,” he said.

French pointed out that SPP’s regional planning process can produce a “big backbone” project on which generation developers can “basically free ride for a few years” without dealing with many upgrades.

“They don’t have to pay anything for them, and that’s the situation we were in for maybe the last 10 years before we ran out of capacity,” French said. “I just want to make the point that, ultimately, we need to get to a more holistic, consolidated planning process.”

The intertwining relationship between transmission planning and cost allocation was a recurring theme during the discussion.

Michigan’s Scripps encouraged fellow regulators to avoid “siloing” the cost allocation issue “because it really does connect with a number of other concerns, and I’d argue that participant funding reform should go hand-in-hand with interconnection key reforms.”

Pennsylvania Public Utility Commission Chair Gladys Brown Dutrieuille noted that there isn’t a consensus of support for a 100% participant funding model within the Mid-Atlantic Conference of Regulatory Utilities Commissioners, which she was representing during the meeting. But she also emphasized the support for that model in her own state, which deregulated its electricity market to offload generation investment risks from ratepayers.

“The participant-funding model is based on the tried-and-true ratemaking principle of cost causation. And I just want to highlight what I believe its benefits include: and that would be promoting efficient siting of generation projects, as well as allowing parties that are best positioned to control the interconnection costs to bear the costs.”

North Carolina Utilities Commissioner Kimberly Duffley said there’s a “strong consensus” within the Southeastern Association of Regulatory Utility Commissioners and the industry at large for maintaining the participant-funding model. Duffley cautioned that straying from that model could saddle ratepayers with costs for transmission projects they neither want nor need.

“Enjoyed listening to Commissioner Dutrieuille. Enjoyed listing to Commissioner Duffley,” FERC Commissioner Mark Christie said. “All I can say is, ‘What she said — twice.’”

FERC Chair Richard Glick and Commissioner Willie Phillips both reminded their fellow regulators that judicial precedent requires the commission to look beyond participant-driven costs to consider wider system benefits.

“There’s a number of cases where the courts have essentially said cost-causation really is benefits, and you have to look at who benefits in terms of who pays,” Glick said.

Sharing the Cost

“I believe that cost sharing might actually be more cost-effective for consumers overall, because it could provide some incentive for [transmission owners] to proactively plan and build the optimal transmission lines in the first place,” Phillips said when the subject turned to an allocation approach that splits costs between generators and load.

Phillips pointed favorably to CAISO’s model in which TOs are required to refund upgrade costs back to generators within five years of a project’s operation date, as well as the MISO model where load pays 10% of transmission upgrade costs for lines rated at 345 kV or above.

California Public Utilities Commissioner Cliff Rechtschaffen said that CAISO’s practice was designed to ensure that generators have financial “skin in the game” before seeking interconnection.

“The generator still covers the cost between the generation facility and the point of interconnection. The costs that are covered by this policy are the reliability, substation and deliverability backbone upgrades,” Rechtschaffen said, adding that CAISO caps the level of reimbursement.

“Only upgrades that are needed to meet resource adequacy requirements are reimbursable. So that ensures that the load that’s charged for the upgrades is benefiting and adhering to the beneficiary-pays principle that is so important,” he said.

“I think to the extent that we’re looking for something with relative simplicity, and something with a framework that FERC is familiar with and has approved in the past, a voltage threshold [as in MISO] would seem to make sense,” Maryland Public Service Commission Chair Jason Stanek said.

Dutrieuille called the MISO cost-sharing mechanism “intriguing” and “easy to understand,” but she was reluctant to endorse it. “I would make sure that we understood what the benefits were … [and that] you can quantify them, and they’re not speculative in nature.”

Arkansas Public Service Commission Chair Ted Thomas said as the electricity grid continues to undergo its transition, the “right transmission plan” should function as the shared cost. “Doing that right, there shouldn’t be that many remaining shared costs. That’s a critical point,” he said.

‘Relatively Agnostic’

An allocation approach in which load bears 100% of the costs for transmission upgrades found no support among the commissioners, but a model in which generator subscriptions supported the development of new or upgraded infrastructure sparked some interest.

Stanek pointed out that FERC has used the subscription model in the past for natural gas pipelines and some merchant transmission projects.

“I think some of the benefits that could flow from this would be a faster interconnection process, efficiency and, probably most important to this afternoon’s conversation, making sure that the costs of this upgrade would be paid for in a fair and equitable manner,” Stanek said.

“It’s a framework that I think addresses some of the big thorny knots that we’re dealing with when we talk about free ridership, lumpy and large payments, cost uncertainties — some of the big things that we can’t seem to kind of get around,” Vermont Public Utility Commissioner Riley Allen said.

Allen likened the subscription model with ISO-NE’s cluster interconnection process, in which the RTO assigns the costs for major transmission upgrades to clusters of interconnecting resources. He envisioned a way of scaling up that process for “superclusters” of resources in allocating costs for upgrading a larger backbone system. Instead of being responsible for incremental upgrades to a network on an individual basis, interconnecting generators could be allocated costs based on a per-megawatt fee.

He also proposed the further step of adopting Vermont’s system of using a cost “adjuster” to steer development to areas of the system that already have existing capacity. “So it kind of checks a number of boxes, at least for me, in terms of getting around the problem, working our way past the kind of participant-pays versus load-pays, because this is relatively agnostic,” he said.

“I think the proposal that Commissioner Allen just outlined would be very helpful when in terms of offshore wind if you build a collector system. That’s probably the fairest way of allocating the cost,” Glick said.

Speaking as the lone representative from the “non-RTO West,” Utah Public Service Commission Chair Thad LeVar noted that issue of participant funding is not something the region currently wrestles with. But LeVar cautioned FERC about developing cost allocation rules that could “chill” the West’s efforts toward increased regionalization and — “hopefully” — an RTO.

“I would hate to see the RTO rules that don’t currently apply to us evolve in a way that would scare off stakeholders from the work that’s happening across the West,” he said.

‘A Little Less Consensus’

In wrapping up the meeting, Glick said it was evident there appeared to be “a lot of consensus” on how to address logjams in RTO interconnection queues, and “a little less consensus” on cost allocation for transmission upgrades.

Glick said the lack of agreement was “not surprising” given NARUC’s comments on FERC’s ANOPR last year and the divergent opinions among states on the need to “reform” cost allocation rules.

“So that’s something we need to consider as well, and we’re certainly cognizant of all the actions that are going on at the state level,” he said. “And whatever actions we take at FERC, I think we certainly will, at least from my perspective, take into account what the states are doing and certainly not try to reverse or impede the progress that the states are making.”

PPL Earnings up as Rates Set to Rise

PPL reported a positive first quarter during its earnings call on Thursday after announcing earlier in the week that it will raise its default electricity rates by 38% for residential Pennsylvania customers on June 1.

The company reported first-quarter earnings of $273 million ($0.37/share), compared with a first-quarter 2021 net loss of $1.84 billion (‑$2.39/share). Adjusting for special items, PPL’s earnings were $305 million ($0.41/share), compared with $219 million ($0.28/share) a year ago. Some of those items included integration expenses from the planned acquisition of Narragansett Electric from National Grid and last year’s non-cash net loss from its discontinued operations associated with PPL’s former U.K. utility business, Western Power Distribution.

PPL’s rebound comes after the company cut its dividend in half and missed earnings and revenue targets in the fourth quarter of 2021. (See PPL Announces Losses, Dividend Cut in Q4 Call.)

This year’s rate increase will add about $34/month to the average bill. The residential rate will rise to 12.366 cents/kWh, while small businesses will pay 11.695 cents/kWh.

CEO Vincent Sorgi said PPL is “very focused” on making sure customers are familiar with programs to help lower their rates and to also “provide flexible payment plans” like those instituted at the height of the COVID-19 pandemic.

“Commodity prices are way up this year versus last year,” Sorgi said. “That’s a pass-through cost for us, but it’s upwards this year versus last. It could be as much as 50 to 60%, so it is very significant. We are actively reaching out to our customers to help them.”

Narragansett Deal

PPL continues the acquisition process of Narragansett, Sorgi said, with the company receiving approval in late February from the Rhode Island Division of Public Utilities and Carriers. (See RI Agency Approves PPL Acquisition of Narragansett Electric.)

The Rhode Island attorney general’s office appealed the division’s decision to the state Superior Court, receiving a stay of the approval. PPL and other stakeholders provided oral arguments on April 26, with the AG’s office contending that the division misapplied the statutory standard for approval and failed to adequately consider Rhode Island’s Act on Climate in its analysis.

“We disagree and believe the extensive record and evidence in this case demonstrate that the division properly applied the statutory standard and correctly approved the transaction,” Sorgi said. “We continue to believe Narragansett Electric is an excellent fit for PPL and that PPL is an excellent fit for the state of Rhode Island. We remain confident that we will reach a positive outcome in the proceeding.”

Kentucky Operations

Sorgi also highlighted PPL’s Kentucky segment, which earned 25 cents/share for the first quarter, a 7-cent increase over a year ago and attributable to higher base retail rates that took effect July 21.

Ford Motor Co.’s announcement that it will build a $6 billion battery manufacturing complex within PPL’s service territories in Glendale, Ky., “will help put the state at the forefront of the auto industry’s transformation to electric vehicles,” Sorgi said. To support the project, PPL subsidiary Kentucky Utilities has requested regulatory approval to build two 345-kV and two 138-kV transmission lines and two new substations at an estimated cost of up to $200 million.

Sorgi said Kentucky Utilities is continuing to look for opportunities to advance clean energy technologies, including joining the state’s new hydrogen hub initiative in February. “We’re excited to join this new hydrogen hub initiative, and we will continue to engage with the Kentucky administration and other stakeholders as the state’s clean energy strategy evolves.”

He also said that based on PPL’s current coal plant retirement schedule, the company expects its coal capacity to be reduced from just over 4,700 MW to about 550 MW in 2050. The remaining capacity is the Trimble County 2 plant in Kentucky, which was completed in 2011.

“There are any number of technology developments, regulatory mandates or circumstances that could impact the timing of the end of this plant’s economic life,” Sorgi said. “We believe that research and development is key to our clean energy future and fully expect that innovation, technological advances and the relative economics of other cleaner energy sources will support the company’s commitment to not burn unabated coal at this facility by 2050.”

NiSource Defers Coal Retirement, Blames Probe into Solar Panel Imports

The U.S. Commerce Department’s probe into tariff evasion by Chinese importers of solar panel components has prolonged the life of one northern Indiana coal plant by two years.

NiSource said during its May 4 first-quarter earnings call that it will postpone retirement of the R.M. Schahfer plant’s remaining two units from 2023 to 2025 because the investigation is stalling its development of solar facilities meant to replace the 877-MW facility.

The retirement raincheck is one of the first ripple effects since the federal government began its investigation in April. (See Solar Sector Braces for Tariff Probe Impact.)

In a press release, NiSource explained that the probe has “brought uncertainty and delays to the solar panel market.” It said it was working with its renewable energy developers to “better understand the potential project impacts.”

Shawn Anderson, NiSource chief strategy and risk officer, said the utility’s 10 solar and energy storage projects slated to come online over this year and next now face delays of six to 18 months.

“Our focus has been to accelerate savings for our customers to benefit from the renewable transition, and delays resulting from this investigation may ultimately delay the timing of when our customers could begin receiving these benefits, especially in the current energy cost inflationary environment,” Anderson said during the call.

The utility plans to idle all its coal plants by 2028 and cut its carbon emissions 90% from 2005 levels by 2030. Despite the deferral, NiSource said its clean-energy goals remain unchanged. The company said it expects to retire its Michigan City Generating Station sometime between 2026 and 2028.

NiSource also said despite solar development delays, it remains on track to spend $10 billion in capital investments, including $2 billion on renewable projects, between 2021 and 2024. The utility said it has planned “flexibility in the timing of other gas and electric infrastructure capital investments that can allow adjustments to compensate for delays in renewable generation projects.”

Vistra: Hedged for Tight Gas Market Conditions

Vistra executives expressed confidence in their hedging strategy Friday, telling financial analysts during their first-quarter earnings call that the company is “very well positioned” to take advantage of a tight natural gas market.

“In a nutshell, the U.S. natural gas complex is already tight and likely to be increasingly tied to world gas economics,” CEO Curt Morgan said in his prepared comments. “As an expanding pivotal supplier on the world stage, we expect U.S. supply and demand to tighten even further. Higher natural gas prices in turn lead to higher power prices, and Vistra is long power and natural gas equivalents.”

Vistra’s retiring CEO said the company “is in the right position to capitalize on the strong forward curves” and that its “prudent” hedging strategy has locked in value through 2025.

Morgan-Curt-2017-Oct-RTO-Insider-FI.jpgCurt Morgan | © RTO Insider LLC

“The forwards have also risen materially out to 2030. The market clearly believes there has been a fundamental shift in the energy commodity complex,” Morgan said. “This shift … offers continued opportunities to hedge more while remaining mindful of the potential liquidity requirements against further commodity price moves.”

The Irving, Texas-based company released first-quarter adjusted EBITDA from ongoing operations of $547 million. That is a more than three-fold improvement over the same period the year before, when Vistra reported a loss of $1.2 billion following the February winter storm disaster. (See Vistra’s Winter Storm Loss Deepens to $1.6B.)

Vistra uses adjusted EBITDA as a performance measure, saying it believes that outside analysis of its business is improved by visibility into both net income prepared in accordance with GAAP and adjusted EBITDA.

The company reaffirmed its previously announced guidance of adjusted EBITDA from ongoing operations of $2.81 billion to $3.31 billion. Morgan noted that Vistra, the largest generator in the ERCOT market, still has the summer months ahead of it and “carries a little more open position than in the past for risk management purposes.”

“We reaffirm this guidance with increased confidence given the favorable energy commodities markets we continue to experience,” he said.

Wall Street reacted favorably Friday, driving the company’s share price to its 52-week high of $27.10. Vistra’s stock closed at $26.62, a $1.21 (4.8%) gain on the day. The share price has gained 65.9% over the last year, when it stood at $16.05.

Vistra continues “sensibly progressing” its zero-carbon generation fleet, having completed construction of two solar facilities totaling 158 MW of capacity and a 260-MW energy storage facility, all in Texas. In California, it is installing replacement connectors in the water-based heat suppression safety systems at its Moss 300 and Moss Landing 100 storage facilities.

The earnings call was Morgan’s last at CEO. He announced his retirement in March and is transitioning his leadership role to CFO Jim Burke. (See Burke to Succeed Morgan as Vistra’s CEO.)

“I’m proud of all that we’ve accomplished, and [I] believe Vistra is well positioned to drive continued industry leadership,” Morgan said.

Report: Electric Heavy-duty Trucks Can Now Replace Some Diesels

If half of the nation’s heavy duty regional-haul tractor trailers were electric rather than diesel, annual carbon dioxide emissions would be slashed by more than 29 million metric tons, a new report concludes.

The report released by the North American Council for Freight Efficiency (NACFE) on Thursday also endorsed the immediate feasibility of electrifying some short-haul fleets — from beverage and grocery delivery trucks to general freight — despite their shorter range of about 200 miles and a freight “penalty” of 3,000 to 4,000 lbs. compared with diesels because of their batteries.

NACFE projected the emission reductions using data collected electronically in real-time last fall from four new battery-electric tractor trailers running their usual routes in California.

“The vehicle operations were continuously digitally tracked, and their metrics updated daily via a public website with the ability to view results by day or over a span of days,” NACFE said in the report.

“Metrics such as daily range, speed profiles, state of charge, charging events, amount of regenerative braking energy recovery [recharging the battery], weather and number of deliveries were shown in near real time. Information on weather conditions was also observed,” the report states.

NACFE found that “many people mistakenly assume Class 8 heavy-duty tractors are used in mostly long-haul disparate routes. In fact, only 40% are used in long-haul and 30% are vocational trucks and regional haul tractors respectively. These regional haul tractors are good candidates for electrification due to their shorter daily distances and return-to-base operations.”

Region Haul Market Segments (NACFE) Content.jpgLarge battery-electric heavy trucks making daily regional round-trip deliveries of 200 miles per day or less could replace traditional diesel rigs immediately, concludes an analysis of data collected during over-the-road testing by the North American Council for Freight Efficiency. | NACFE

And while the sticker price on the trucks can be more than twice that of a comparable diesel, the annul fuel costs of the electrics are drastically lower — $11,200 for electricity versus $20,500 for diesel fuel.

The bottom line of the report?

“Heavy-duty regional haul battery electric trucks are viable solutions today for improving fleet freight efficiency and helping achieve sustainability goals on short and some medium length routes where daily mileage is 200 miles, with one shift return-to-base operations, where overnight vehicle dwell time allows for lower cost overnight charging.”

In other words, about half of the short-haul big trucks on the nation’s highways making daily runs amounting to a total of 200 miles or less could be replaced today.

Despite the overall favorable finding of the test runs and analytical conclusions, the report cautions that the technology underlying electric trucks — and the scarcity today of public fast-charging stations — is a limiting factor on an immediate transformation of trucking fleets.

The analysis is based on the performance of four Class 8 trucks built either by traditional diesel truck makers Freightliner, Volvo VNR and Peterbilt, or newcomer BYD, according to the report.

“All performed as expected but as of 2021 did not have the range to complete the full day’s work of their diesel incumbents,” the report cautions.

If fast-charging stations were built, as more than 50 utilities have pledged as a goal along the nation’s interstate system, these electric trucks could be more quickly adopted, the report adds.

“We … consider this market segment to be 50% electrifiable today,” NACFE said.

NPCC Predicts Tighter Margins for Summer 2022

The Northeast Power Coordinating Council (NPCC) expects to have adequate supplies to meet an anticipated 104,601 MW of demand for this summer’s peak week of July 24, according to its summer Reliability Assessment released Thursday. Generation and transmission facilities are also believed to be sufficient.

NPCC’s demand prediction is up slightly from last year’s projection of 104,075 MW for the peak week of Aug. 8. (See NPCC Predicts Lower Peak in Summer 2021.) Ambient weather conditions including heat and humidity are once again “the single most important variable impacting the demand forecasts,” though the ongoing return of currently remote workers to their offices, coupled with continuing remote status for other employees, is expected to “translate to a small increase” in peak demands for the summer.

Total capacity for the region — which includes the six New England states, New York, Ontario, Québec, New Brunswick and Nova Scotia — is slated at 163,668 MW. The total includes 159,401 MW of installed capacity, down about 1,530 MW from last summer; 1,954 MW in net interchange, representing purchases and sales with areas outside NPCC; and 2,313 MW in dispatchable demand-side management assets, which help meet electricity needs by reducing consumption.

Resource fuel type (NPCC) Content.jpgResource fuel type for NPCC during the week beginning July 24

 

The overall peak demand is based on a 50/50 system load forecast for peak week, representing a prediction with a 50% chance of being exceeded. NPCC’s assessment also includes a 90/10 forecast — with a 10% chance of being exceeded — and a “low probability, high impact composite scenario [based] heavily on individual area risk assumptions,” which the report refers to as “above 90/10.”

In the 90/10 forecast, total demand rises to 111,643 MW, while the above 90/10 scenario projects demand of 117,653, resulting in net margin of 3,753 MW for the former scenario. For the latter, a rise in maintenance and derates results in a net margin of -5,478 MW.

Also included in the assessment is a snapshot of regional forecasts with their own 50/50, 90/10 and above 90/10 scenarios:

  • NYISO: peak demand of 31,764 MW (50/50) and 33,747 MW (90/10), down from 32,327 MW and 34,321 MW last year. Total installed capacity for peak week is planned at 37,431, down from last year’s peak of 37,785 MW. NPCC said no transmission-related reliability issues are expected this summer, though multiple outages will likely result from “New York public policy projects.”
  • ISO-NE: peak demand of 24,817 MW (50/50) and 26,624 MW (90/10), a decrease from 24,810 MW and 26,711 MW last year. Installed capacity for peak week comes to 28,626 MW, with the decrease from last year’s 30,133 MW attributed to retirements of multiple natural gas facilities.
  • Ontario: peak demand of 22,546 MW (50/50) and 24,675 MW (90/10), up from 22,500 MW and 24,228 MW in 2021. The installed capacity of 38,239 MW is 865 MW lower than last year because of retirements and delays in commissioning new resources.
  • Québec: peak demand of 22,271 MW (50/50) and 23,122 MW (90/10), up from 21,436 MW and 21,886 MW. In part from reductions in wind and biomass capacity, total installed generation for the province is down from 46,529 MW last year to 46,512 MW this summer.
  • New Brunswick and Nova Scotia: peak demand of 3,475 MW (50/50) and 3,702 (90/10), down slightly from 3,479 MW and 3,726 MW. Installed capacity for peak week is projected at 7,686 MW, a net decrease of 23 MW from last year because of the retirement of two generating stations.

“Our assessment estimates that the … region’s spare operable capacity … will be quite sizable. Simply put, that means that the region has extra insurance against unforeseen events and demands on the grid,” NPCC CEO Charles Dickerson said in a press release accompanying the report. “Against the stress tests of our assessment, the region has a reliable bulk supply and transmission capability of electricity throughout the summer months.”

Dominion Files to Suspend RGGI Participation

Dominion Energy (NYSE:D) announced Thursday during its first-quarter earnings call that it filed with the Virginia State Corporation Commission to suspend its rider through the Regional Greenhouse Gas Initiative (RGGI) as the state moves to withdraw from the environmental program.

CEO Robert Blue said Thursday’s filing also included a request that RGGI compliance costs incurred through July 31 and not yet recovered, which total about $178 million, be recovered through Dominion Energy Virginia’s current base rates.

The SCC in August approved Dominion’s request to recover RGGI costs from ratepayers, which the utility estimated would cost the typical residential customer $2.39/month. According to figures supplied by Dominion to the SCC, cited in a report released by Gov. Glenn Youngkin (R) in March, the utility expected RGGI participation will cost customers a total of $3 billion through 2045. (See Youngkin Report: RGGI a ‘Direct Carbon Tax’ on Va. Ratepayers.) Youngkin signed an executive order just hours after taking office Jan. 15 to remove Virginia from RGGI, fulfilling a campaign promise.

Blue said Dominion’s new proposal filed with the SCC will “provide a meaningful reduction to customer bills” that still allows the company to achieve Virginia’s ambitious decarbonization goals.

The RGGI documents were not available on the SCC website as of press time.

“While we are committed to the ongoing transition to cleaner and lower carbon-emitting resources, we’re concerned that Virginia’s linkage to the RGGI program through the Virginia carbon proposal would result in a financial burden on customers with no real mitigation of greenhouse gas emissions regionally,” Blue said.

Offshore Wind

Blue addressed upcoming SCC hearings scheduled to begin May 16 on the costs of the company’s 2.6-GW Coastal Virginia Offshore Wind (CVOW) project. Dominion announced in November that the projected cost had increased by more than 20% to $9.8 billion, citing “commodity and general cost pressures.” (See Dominion’s OSW Project to Cost $9.8B, up from $8B and Va. AG, SCC Staff Question Costs on Dominion’s OSW Project.)

Blue said contracts for the primary offshore equipment suppliers were completed and signed in late 2021, including for the foundations, transition pieces, substations, transportation of components, installation, and subsea cabling and turbine supply.

“Offshore wind, zero fuel costs, and transformational economic development and jobs benefits are needed now more than ever,” Blue said. “The project will also propel Virginia closer to achieving its goal to become a major hub for the burgeoning offshore wind value chain up and down the country’s East Coast.”

Blue was asked about the status of the SCC approval process and the “back-and-forth” between the company and regulators in the proceeding.

Dominion is “pleased” with the project’s progress, Blue said, and expects to have a final order from the SCC in early August. The company’s rebuttal testimony showed under different scenarios that the project is beneficial to customers, he said, pointing to PJM’s load forecast showing increased energy sales in Virginia.

“I feel even stronger, as now that all the testimony is in, we have a very strong case on offshore wind,” Blue said. “The legislation, the Virginia Clean Economy Act, lays out the parameters for spending that is presumed prudent, and we’ve clearly met all of those.”

Blue was also asked if there was an opportunity to settle any disputes with the concerned parties before the SCC’s decision in August. He said Dominion is always open to finding a “constructive settlement” on regulatory issues.

“If there were an opportunity to settle in a constructive way, we’d obviously do that,” Blue said. “I expect you to hear that from every party to every litigated matter. But we’ve got a schedule, and that’s what we’re following.”

Earnings

Dominion reported first-quarter net income of $711 million ($0.83/share), compared with net income of $1 billion ($1.23/share) for the same period in 2021. Operating earnings for the first quarter were $1 billion ($1.18/share), compared to $893 million ($1.09/share) last year.

The company affirmed its full-year 2022 operating earnings guidance range of $3.95 to $4.25/share and its long-term earnings and dividend growth guidance. Dominion expects second-quarter operating earnings in the range of 70 to 80 cents/share.

Dominion’s stock was up 53 cents (0.64%), finishing at $83.04 on the same day the Dow Jones Industrial Average lost more than 1,000 points for its worst day since 2020.

Massachusetts Legislators Try to Hash out Next Climate Bill

Massachusetts legislators are getting ready to start reconciling two very different approaches to a climate bill that were produced in the two chambers of the State House.

The House of Representatives’ bill (H4524), introduced by Rep. Jeff Roy and passed in March, is narrowly focused on offshore wind. It would create a $50 million tax incentive program for the sector, along with other provisions focusing on grid modernization and the state’s procurement process.

In April, the Senate passed a much broader piece of legislation (S2819) led by Sen. Michael Barrett that spreads investment across several sectors, including transportation and energy efficiency. It would put aside $100 million for a new Clean Energy Investment Fund, allocate another $100 million for the state’s electric vehicle incentive program (MOR-EV), and dedicate $50 million more for EV charging infrastructure.

Both bills are intended as action-focused follow-ups to the climate legislation signed by Gov. Charlie Baker last year, which set new emissions targets with a centerpiece of aiming for net-zero emissions for the state by 2050 (See Mass. Governor Signs NextGen Climate Bill).

But now lawmakers face the task of melding them together. The House formally started that process on Thursday with the creation of a conference committee tasked with the negotiations.

Different Visions

The bills’ sponsors are joint chairs of the legislature’s Telecommunications, Utilities and Energy Committee. They’re frequent collaborators who also regularly butt heads.

For Roy, the legislature’s next climate bill should be about taking advantage of Massachusetts’ unique position on offshore wind and acting on the commitments made in the 2021 roadmap bill.

That bill was about having a “menu of options,” he said at an event Thursday. “It’s now time to show how we’re going to make that move and be successful in reducing emissions.”

Roy believes the effort should start by incentivizing wind turbines off the coast of Massachusetts and developing an industry to build them in-state.

“We have the most robust wind in the entire contiguous U.S.,” Roy said. “If we don’t take advantage of it, shame on us. But we want to take advantage of it.”

Barrett called that narrow focus “startling” and warned that zeroing in on a single industry’s success is misguided.

“A piece of legislation that forgets we’re dealing with climate change … is not going to serve the people of Massachusetts,” Barrett said. “It’s a fundamental misfire.”

Impending Shakeup

In a typical year, Baker would be likely to shape the debate, historically leaning toward the industry side of the equation.

“There’s a lot we can do in environmental policy and net zero with policies,” Baker said at the event. “And that’s a good thing, but innovation is going to be a big part … that’s actually going to get us all the way there faster.”

The governor’s lame duck status could lessen his influence as Massachusetts waits for its next leader. Decrying the House bill’s quicker deadlines, Barrett called for an approach that considers the timing of the gubernatorial race.

“We need to make sure the timing and pacing and the deadlines set in a consensus piece of legislation are the appropriate ones,” he said. “That’s going to require some changes by both branches.”

Despite their differences, Roy said the two chambers will work hard to hash out a deal before the legislative session ends in July.

“I will commit to using every ounce of my energy and blood to reaching a deal with the Senate on this,” he said. “And I will not foreclose anything in the discussions.”

NEPOOL Participants Committee Briefs: May 5, 2022

Competitive Power Ventures’ proposal to revamp ISO-NE‘s financial assurance rules failed to win approval from NEPOOL’s Participants Committee on Thursday, spelling the end of an effort that struggled to get off the ground in the stakeholder process.

CPV’s plan to change the financial assurance (FA) rules for the region’s Forward Capacity Market was designed to penalize projects that fall well behind their construction schedules. (See NE Stakeholders Propose Retirement, Financial Assurance Changes). It would add increments of FA at certain milestones in the construction process as well as create new FA categories.

After several rounds of stakeholder meetings in recent months, including a failed vote at the Markets Committee in April, the proposal picked up support from the renewables group RENEW after adopting several of the group’s recommendations. RENEW said the latest iteration “strikes a good balance between creating incentives to encourage market entry only when projects are sufficiently confident of success while not creating a barrier to entry for any size or type of new resource.”

But at the last hurdle, Thursday’s PC meeting, the proposal again fell short with 64.74% voting in favor when the motion needed 66.67% to pass.

The issue is not likely to go away after the Killingly Energy Center’s disruption of Forward Capacity Auction 16 spotlighted the question of financial assurance and project timelines.

Board Vote 

In an executive session, the committee also voted on two nominees for the ISO-NE board.

One candidate was current board Chair Cheryl LaFleur, who is up for re-election, and the other is a new board member whose identity is being kept confidential until it is announced by ISO-NE. (See NEPOOL Participants Committee Briefs: April 7, 2022).

The grid operator’s board will vote next to approve the candidates.

Load Records

ISO-NE COO Vamsi Chadalavada informed the committee of several recent landmarks related to low minimum load caused by high solar penetration.

The grid operator set a new record low of 7,580 MW of minimum load on May 1, a low-demand Sunday featuring sunny skies and mild temperatures.

ISO-NE has this year already experienced 28 “duck curve” days in which daytime minimum load fell below overnight levels. (See New England’s Duck Curve Days Chart Solar Growth).

“New England’s power system is changing right in front of our eyes,” Chadalavada said in a press release on Thursday. “While these changes haven’t happened overnight, a day like May 1 is a good reminder of the progress New England has made in its transition to the future grid.”

OP and PP Changes

The PC also voted to approve changes to two operating procedures and one planning procedure that had previously been approved by the Reliability Committee, including:

  • revisions to OP-14 (addition of a reference to NX-12 and an exemption for DNE Dispatchable Generators and Continuous Storage Facilities);
  • revisions to OP-18 (edits resulting from biennial review — formatting and grammatical changes, updated references and terminology, and documentation of existing metering requirements for Alternative Technology Regulating Resources); and
  • revisions to PP5-6 (revisions clarifying treatment of facility re-dispatch under certain specific circumstances within the interconnection study and voltage response when interconnecting Distributed Energy Resources).

PSC OKs Sale of AEP’s Kentucky Operations to Liberty Utilities

Kentucky regulators on Wednesday approved Liberty Utilities’ $2.8 billion acquisition of American Electric Power’s Kentucky operations while including multiple customer protections.

As part of the deal, Liberty will assume $1.221 billion in debt for AEP subsidiaries Kentucky Power Co. and Kentucky Transmission Co. (2021-00481). Liberty is a subsidiary of Algonquin Power and Utilities.

AEP will net $1.4 billion in cash after taxes and transaction fees, which it said it will use to invest in renewable energy in other company subsidiaries outside of Kentucky. Liberty’s purchase price includes a $585 million acquisition premium above Kentucky Power’s net book value.

AEP in early 2021 announced it was mulling a potential sale of its Kentucky operations.

Liberty said it will retain all 360 Kentucky Power and Kentucky-based AEP employees and will not seek to recover the transaction premium or one-time transition costs in customer rates.

The Kentucky Public Service Commission included several stipulations to make the deal support the public interest.

Among them, the PSC ordered that Kentucky Power’s ratepayers receive an initial $30 million to offset the “continued subsidization of transmission investments of other AEP affiliates.” After the deal closes, Kentucky Power will continue to be a member of the AEP East Transmission Zone in PJM as a non-affiliated participant. As such, Kentucky Power will continue to pay zonal transmission rates based on a collective transmission investment of AEP operating companies, instead of individual company costs. The PSC estimates that if Kentucky Power doesn’t withdraw from the AEP PJM transmission zone, its ratepayers will pay “at least” an additional $15 million annually over the next five years.

The PSC said the customer subsidy fund will continue post-transaction and warned the utilities that it would add another $45 million if Kentucky Power, AEP and Liberty don’t fix the pricing issue.

“AEP, Kentucky Power and Liberty are incentivized to fix this subsidization issue with active and immediate advocacy at the federal level,” the state commission said.

The parties to the deal also struck a bridge power coordination agreement that will allow AEP to “monitor, operate, and dispatch Kentucky Power’s transmission system for up to 24 months” if necessary to navigate the transition. Kentucky Power must remain a PJM transmission owner and load serving entity in AEP’s zone through 2024, when it satisfies AEP’s preexisting fixed resource requirement plan.

After that, Liberty said it will evaluate the benefits and costs of Kentucky Power’s participation in PJM. Liberty must get the commission’s permission should it choose to exit PJM.

The PSC also ordered creation of a $43.5 million fund to make up for AEP’s overdue restoration of its Kentucky distribution system from past storm damage. The regulators offered strong words regarding the past upkeep of AEP’s distribution lines.

“While these expenses are a result of storm damage, they are a direct result of Kentucky Power’s underinvestment in its system, including the failure to address appropriate loading levels required for the utility’s distribution system,” the commissioners wrote. “The commission noted the purpose of the fund is to ensure ratepayers are not harmed post-transaction by AEP’s under-investment over the years, and the company’s repeated failure to comply with the commission’s directives and suggestions to improve the distribution system.”

The fund can be used to reduce rates in Kentucky Power’s next rate case, the PSC said.

The commission’s order also greenlighted Liberty’s proposed $40 million fuel adjustment clause (FAC) credit for customers and a three-year deferral of the existing decommissioning rider for the 295 MW Big Sandy plant, a gas-fired facility on the Big Sandy River that was converted from coal in 2016.

The FAC credit will return the $40 million over 18 months between July 1 and Dec. 31, 2023, split 75% to residential customers and 25% to non-residential customers. The PSC said the FAC credit will provide “more transparency and predictability for customers.” If Liberty uses the PSC’s suggested allocation, a typical residential customer can expect bill credits of almost $33 during the winter months and $1.40 in all other months.

The PSC said that, while the three-year deferral of Big Sandy’s coal decommissioning rider will cause a longer recovery period and more costs to customers in the long run, it’s necessary for Kentucky Power to take the delay in order to securitize the rider.