November 20, 2024

Draft Plan Seeks Calif. Carbon Neutrality by 2045

The California Air Resources Board has released a draft plan for the state to reach carbon neutrality by 2045, tentatively rejecting alternatives that would achieve the net-zero goal 10 years sooner.

CARB released the draft climate change scoping plan on Tuesday and has scheduled a public hearing on the plan on June 23. Written comments are due by June 24.

The agency expects to adopt a final scoping plan by the end of the year.

The scoping plan is a roadmap for the state to meet greenhouse gas reduction goals. State law requires a scoping plan update every five years; the last update was in 2017.

In its process for developing the scoping plan, CARB analyzed four different scenarios. Alternatives 1 and 2 would bring the state to carbon neutrality by 2035, while Alternatives 3 and 4 would reach the target in 2045.

The alternatives differ in other key areas, including the rate of consumer adoption of clean technologies; reliance on carbon capture and sequestration (CCS) and CO2 removal; and the remaining demand for fossil energy after carbon neutrality is reached.

Choosing an Alternative

The draft scoping plan proposes moving forward with Alternative 3.

“It is the proposed alternative because it best achieves the balance of cost-effectiveness, health benefits and technological feasibility,” the draft plan states.

With its extra 10 years to achieve carbon neutrality compared to Alternatives 1 and 2, the proposed alternative provides more time for technologies to scale up and be deployed at lower costs, according to CARB.

The proposed alternative would reduce petroleum usage by about 90% by 2045 and achieve a state target of reducing GHG emissions 80% by 2050.

In comparison to Alternative 4, the other scenario with carbon neutrality in 2045, the proposed alternative includes a faster adoption rate of clean technologies and less reliance on CO2 removal.

The most aggressive of the scenarios is Alternative 1, which would nearly eliminate fossil fuel combustion by 2035. The alternative would require early retirement of millions of gasoline- and diesel-powered vehicles as well as natural gas appliances.

Alternative 1 has a limited reliance on CCS. It would include direct regulation of dairies to reduce methane emissions.

The scenario has the highest direct costs of the four options and would cause the most slowing of economic growth, according to CARB’s analysis.

Alternative 3 would have the least impact on employment and economic growth among the four options, the draft plan said.

CARB’s board has the option to choose another scenario. The board could also keep the proposed alternative but incorporate elements from other scenarios.

Sector Specific Strategies

CARB said the most significant part of the draft plan is the aggressive reduction in the state’s fossil fuel reliance. That would be accomplished by building on existing strategies, including regulations, incentives and carbon pricing.

And the 2022 scoping plan differs from previous plans in its focus on “the accelerated rate of deployment of clean technology and energy within every sector,” the agency said.

The draft scoping plan details carbon reduction strategies in several key sectors.

In the transportation sector, the plan includes a transition to zero-emission vehicles while ensuring there’s enough zero-carbon alternative fuel for the vehicles. To achieve the latter, the plan proposes incentivizing private investment in new zero-carbon fuel production in the state and looking at options to increase the stringency of the low-carbon fuel standard.

The draft scoping plan also envisions a 22% reduction in vehicle miles traveled by 2045 compared with 2019 levels.

In the electricity sector, decarbonization strategies include addressing challenges to resource buildout, such as permitting, interconnection and transmission network upgrades.

The draft plan proposes exploring rate designs to increase affordability and continuing to look at the benefits of regional markets.

Another strategy proposed for the electricity sector is use of incentives and other programs to improve disadvantaged communities’ access to renewable energy projects, such as rooftop and community solar, battery storage and microgrids.

In addition, the plan proposes to evaluate the cap-and-trade program, with changes to strengthen the program if needed.

Adoption of the 2022 scoping plan is just “the beginning of the next phase of climate action,” according to CARB.

Approval of the plan will lead to the development of new regulations or strengthening of existing programs and regulations, the agency said. The changes will take place at CARB and at other state agencies.

“The unprecedented rate of transition will also require identification and removal of market and implementation barriers to the production and deployment of clean technology and energy,” the draft plan said.

SEEM Members Launch Engagement Series for Participants

Southeast Energy Exchange Market (SEEM) members began an informational series Wednesday to educate existing and prospective participants on how the market will function and what to expect before it goes live.

With a planned launch in the fourth quarter, SEEM’s founding utility members worked this spring to design the optimization platform that will drive the market, according to Chris McGeeney, manager of transmission services at Associated Electric Cooperative, a SEEM member.

“In late May, we’re going to start kicking the tires on the system and onboarding participants, and training will continue through the end of June,” McGeeney said during the first of three introductory webinars.

Participants will begin submitting their company information into the SEEM platform prior to the start of market trials scheduled for late summer, he said.

The region-wide, automated intra-hour platform will function as SEEM’s optimization engine based on inputs from market participants, such as bids and transmission capacity, to create bilateral matches between participants, according to McGeeney. An algorithm will process market participants’ inputs every 15 minutes for bids and offers, consider participants’ constraints, such as trading restrictions, and identify matches between the bids and offers.

Automated transactions, he said, will go to relevant transmission service providers, balancing authorities and generators for approval, and the SEEM platform will create transaction records between participants. At that point, energy flows will occur in the same way they do in the bilateral market.

“There’s no single clearing price or concept of financial congestion,” McGeeney said. “What’s going to turn the crank is this optimization engine looking for the optimal set of trades that benefits the entire region.”

Participation

Entities that want to voluntarily buy and sell within SEEM and are not formal market members must have control of a valid energy source or sink within the market’s footprint, according to Molly Suda, associate general counsel at Duke Energy (NYSE:DUK).

If that basic criterion is met, participants can sign up by executing the SEEM participation agreement, which is on file with FERC for review, she said.

Prospective participants also must have transmission service arrangements in place for the new non-firm energy exchange transmission service (NFEETS) product that all the transmission-owning members of SEEM will be offering.

Duke, Southern Company (NYSE:SO), LG&E and KU Energy, and Dominion Energy South Carolina (NYSE:D) have all filed with FERC and have, as part of their open access transmission tariffs, a form transmission service agreement for the NFEETS product that participants can execute, Suda said.

In addition, participants must have at least three enabling agreements with other non-affiliated participants. The enabling agreements function as an underlying bilateral contract that will allow participants to settle trades matched by the SEEM platform.

“That three-counterparty rule was put in place and contained in the market rules to establish a mechanism to prevent opportunities for parties to collude to gain preferential access to this new transmission service,” Suda said.

Operations

Matt O’Neal, project manager for energy policy at Southern, outlined some functional capabilities of the SEEM system during the webinar that attendees can discuss with their IT teams in advance of onboarding.

The SEEM platform will have several different authentication options for participant login, he said. And participants need to be thinking ahead to how they will access the platform. They can use the SEEM platform via a web user interface or APIs that connect to a company’s back-end systems.

“Many of our existing participants are building up internal systems that will formulate bids and offers, submit bids and offers or pull results back down to store in their energy trading risk management systems,” O’Neal said. “Many of the large vendors out there are offering SEEM add-ons or features to their products to interact with the SEEM.”

The onboarding process will also require participants to provide important details to help with the SEEM functionality, according to O’Neal. Those details include source and sink locations, tagging requirements and geographic constraints.

Consideration early in the onboarding process should go to how participants will formulate their bids and the volume of bids, O’Neal said, adding that with a fast-moving, 15-minute market, system automation could be “worthwhile.”

“If you do the math and think about a 15-minute market, that means you have … close to 35,000 trading intervals within a single year,” he said. “There is a lot of potential for deals; maybe more deals than you traditionally have today.”

Upcoming webinars in the series will take place May 20 and June 20 to give participants an overview of the SEEM network infrastructure and a closer look at tagging process and settlement.

Colorado Law Requires Cities to Adopt Green Building Codes

In an effort to decarbonize the state’s building sector, Colorado lawmakers passed a bill Wednesday that will require local governments to update their building codes to maximize energy efficiency in new construction.

The Building Greenhouse Gas Emissions Bill (HB22-1362) aims to reduce carbon emissions from new commercial buildings and homes through changes to municipal codes. By July 1, 2023, local governments will have to adopt building energy codes that meet or exceed the energy performance of the 2021 International Energy Conservation Code. It will also require that updated codes include language for solar-ready, energy-efficient and low-carbon buildings.

The legislation will establish a new Energy Code Advisory Board that will model the language required in updated energy codes, acting as a resource for municipalities. The co-chairs for the 21-member board will be representatives from the Colorado Energy Office and Department of Local Affairs, according to a press release from the Southwest Energy Efficiency Project.

“HB22-1362 will facilitate adoption of rooftop solar systems, high efficiency heat pumps, and electric vehicles in homes and commercial buildings that do not include these features from the start,” Meera Fickling, senior climate policy analyst with Western Resource Advocates, said in a statement. “This will extend the climate benefits of the bill beyond those provided by the energy efficiency improvements in new construction.”

In addition to the new code requirements, the bill funds grants for nonprofits and government buildings to upgrade to high-efficiency electric heating equipment and appliances. The bill also establishes the Clean Air Building Investments Fund, which will transfer $21 million from the general fund to finance the grant programs.

“The energy code requirements as well as the grants programs will expand the market for high efficiency heating and cooling equipment, insulation/air sealing, building control systems and other energy efficiency measures,” Patricia Rothwell, executive director of the Energy Efficiency Business Coalition of Colorado, said in a press release.

HB22-1362 is currently awaiting Gov. Jared Polis’ signature, with the legislature confident that he’ll sign the bill into law.

PJM MOPR Challenge May Set Legal Precedent on FERC Deadlocks

Challenges to PJM’s narrowed minimum offer price rule (MOPR) in the 3rd U.S. Circuit Court of Appeals do not just concern the RTO and its capacity market; they may set the precedent for all future legal reviews of tariff changes that go into effect because of a commissioner deadlock at FERC.

In briefs filed with the 3rd Circuit on Monday, the PJM Power Providers Group (P3), Electric Power Supply Association (EPSA) and two state utility commissions not only argued that the new MOPR threatened the competitiveness of the PJM capacity market, but that FERC did not provide adequate reasoning for allowing the rules to go into effect (21-3068).

The narrowed MOPR — which applies only to resources connected to the exercise of buyer-side market power or those receiving state subsidies conditioned on clearing the RTO’s capacity auction — automatically took effect Sept. 29, 2021, because FERC’s four members at the time were evenly divided. (See FERC Deadlock Allows Revised PJM MOPR.)

Such deadlocks are rare, but they had occurred before, including a tie vote over ISO-NE’s Forward Capacity Auction 8 in September 2014, the results of which were automatically accepted. The D.C. Circuit Court of Appeals refused to review the auction in 2016 because there was no order by the commission. (See FERC: FPA Change may not Solve Catch-22 on Vote Deadlocks.)

The America’s Water Infrastructure Act, signed into law by President Donald Trump in October 2018, added a provision to Section 205g of the Federal Power Act to allow for judicial review if FERC fails to act on the merits of a rehearing request within 30 days because the commissioners are divided 2-2. The challenge to the PJM MOPR marks the first time a court has been asked to address the standard of review in the new provision.

In its petition, P3 called the new MOPR a “radical reversal in policy” that “eviscerated more than a decade” of precedents by the commission regarding the rule.

The notice issued by the commission announcing a deadlock was not an order and contained “no findings of fact or conclusions of law authorizing PJM to implement market rule changes that reverse longstanding FERC precedent” and to “defy minimum requirements for controlling state-sponsored market power,” the organization argued.

“This policy reversal was not made through a FERC order, but rather announced by FERC’s secretary on the basis of a tie vote,” P3 said. “To the extent this court chooses to address the commissioners’ conflicting views on the merits of PJM’s proposal, it should find the MOPR revisions unjust, unreasonable and unduly discriminatory.”

P3 cited comments from Chairman Richard Glick, who dissented from a previous order under Chair Neil Chatterjee that expanded the MOPR, arguing that it would increase capacity prices and impede the development of renewable resources in the RTO. However, P3 cited, when PJM held its only capacity auction under the expanded MOPR in May 2021, capacity prices fell “dramatically” and “large amounts of new renewable resources displaced thermal resources.”

“Nevertheless, Chairman Glick repeatedly threatened PJM and other regional transmission organizations to propose their own modifications or FERC would ‘do it for them,’” P3 said.

The group also argued that independent power producers “cannot compete effectively against resources that employ state subsidies to submit uneconomic offers below their actual costs” and that the new rules “allow certain states to shift the cost of subsidized resources to consumers in other states through a market-wide clearing price.”

“PJM’s narrow MOPR discriminates against all unsubsidized power suppliers and cannot produce just and reasonable wholesale rates as required under the FPA,” P3 said. “It is beyond legitimate argument that subsidies disrupt competition, distort market prices and harm nonsubsidized resources.”

In its own petition, EPSA argued that FERC’s default acceptance of PJM’s MOPR proposal “does not represent reasoned decision-making by the agency” and should be set aside under the Administrative Procedure Act (APA).

EPSA said the APA’s arbitrary and capricious standard requires an agency to “articulate a satisfactory explanation for its action including a ‘rational connection between the facts found and the choice made.’”

“The agency itself — as opposed to individual commissioners — has provided no explanation for its deemed action, and it is only FPA Section 205(g) that transforms FERC’s non-action into reviewable agency action in the first place,” EPSA said. “FERC has — through its inaction — allowed a rate structure to take effect that shares the exact feature that, in FERC’s own estimation, made the pre-2018 tariff unlawful: a MOPR that does not address state-subsidized resources. That abject failure to abide by the most basic requirements of reasonable administrative decision-making requires reversal.”

The group also argued that FERC’s action violated the FPA’s prohibition on “unduly discriminatory” rates and that the commission is not permitted to “approve a rate structure that would allow a single state to impose its own policy choice on neighboring states.”

“The focused MOPR improperly allows one state to project its policy choices regarding the generation mix beyond its borders, dictating the generation mix that applies to other states,” EPSA said.

State Challenges

In a joint petition, the Pennsylvania Public Utility Commission and Public Utilities Commission of Ohio argued that the commission’s inaction on the MOPR allowed PJM “to overturn a FERC-defined rate without any supportive reasoning or public decision-making whatsoever.”

The commissions said the narrowed MOPR will allow buyer-side market power to “infiltrate its capacity market with a low likelihood of screening.”

“FERC and the courts have emphasized that market power must be reviewed,” they said. “For its part, FERC has repeatedly approved buyer-side screens that review this sort of behavior without looking to intent. That review is not merely an option; it’s a critical feature of functioning competitive markets.”

They also argued that the changes “unjustly and unreasonably allow states to both subsidize resources and set a price contrary to the PJM capacity market auction price approved by FERC.”

“Regardless of when these policies were put in place, they have the effect of uncompetitively reducing prices through the market for the benefit of the buyer, and they therefore are an exercise of buyer-side market power,” the commissions said. “PJM and its supporters provide no coherent reason why old policies that exercise market power should be treated differently from new policies that do the same.”

ISO-NE Plans Working Group Reshuffle

ISO-NE is proposing a merger of two of its stakeholder working groups to align with rapidly changing energy technology.

The grid operator has put forward a plan to merge the Demand Resources Working Group (DRWG) and Variable Resource Working Group (VRWG), created to help inform the formal NEPOOL stakeholder process, into the Emerging Technologies Working Group.

According to ISO-NE spokesperson Matt Kakley, the goal is to provide a “single working group forum for any emerging technology,” including inverter-based resources, distributed energy resources or other new technologies that might enter the picture.

“Rather than starting and stopping different working groups for specific resources, having one standing group maintains a consistent structure for nascent resources as their needs arise and naturally phases out focus on resources that are more established in the marketplace,” Kakley wrote in an email to RTO Insider.

He pointed in particular to storage as a “rapidly proliferating resource” that needs a forum to discuss grid integration and market participation issues.

ISO-NE has been introducing the idea in recent NEPOOL meetings and put forward a draft charter for the new ETWG at this week’s Markets Committee meeting.

The group would report to each of the Markets, Reliability and Transmission committees and would have a chair appointed by ISO-NE and a vice chair selected by NEPOOL participants.

The charter would define emerging technologies as “any technology that may require distinct technical discussions to help facilitate their grid integration and market participation, such as inverter-based resources or distributed energy resources that are not materially immersed or integrated into the wholesale power markets or operating in the bulk power system.”

Talen Energy Subsidiary Files for Bankruptcy

Talen Energy on Monday filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection for its Talen Energy Supply (TES) subsidiary, citing rising natural gas prices, greater hedging collateral requirements and lawsuits stemming from the unit’s Texas operations during Winter Storm Uri in 2021 (22-90054).

The company announced Tuesday that TES has secured $1.76 billion of debtor-in-possession financing from Citigroup, Goldman Sachs and RBC Capital Markets in a restructuring agreement consisting of a $1 billion term loan, a $300 million revolving credit facility and a $458 million letter of credit facility.

TES also executed a restructuring deal with a group of bondholders who will participate in an equity rights offering of up to $1.65 billion and an agreement to turn more than $1.4 billion of the unsecured notes into equity.

The secured creditors, who are owed nearly $2.9 billion, are expected to be fully paid under the proposed agreement, according to court documents.

“TES expects to continue its day-to-day business in the normal course and intends to move as quickly as possible through the process,” Ryan Leland Omohundro, managing director for Alvarez & Marsal, Talen’s restructuring advisor, said in a filing Tuesday. “TES has filed customary ‘first day’ motions with the court to ensure no interruption to employee wages, healthcare, and other benefits as well as the ability to conduct routine business with vendors and other business partners, including the resumption of hedging activities. TES’ plants will continue to generate needed electricity for the markets they serve.”

TES’s generation portfolio consists of 18 facilities located in PJM, ERCOT and ISO-NE, producing around 13,000 MW of power. Its largest operations include the 2,254-MW Susquehanna nuclear plant, the 1,711-MW Martins Creek natural gas plant and the 1,518-MW Montour and 1,422-MW Brunner Island coal plants, all in Pennsylvania.

The parent company, Talen Energy Corp., and its crypto mining operation are not part of the bankruptcy filing.

Talen, which is based in The Woodlands, Texas, listed assets and debts of more than $10 billion in the Chapter 11 filing at the U.S. Bankruptcy Court for the Southern District of Texas in Houston.

The filing said TES started the Chapter 11 proceeding because of “immediate and significant liquidity concerns that can be traced back to the sudden and sustained rise of natural gas prices in late 2021.” The company said the natural gas prices “sharply increased” collateral requirements for hedging activities and resulted in an “unexpected squeeze on available cash.”

TES remains subject to several lawsuits, court filings said, including litigation over allegations that Talen Texas facilities were unprepared to handle the extreme weather during Uri and were subject to “other operational failure.”

BPA Customers Support Effort to Weigh CAISO, SPP Market Options

SPP’s plan to develop an electricity market to compete with CAISO’s Western Energy Imbalance Market is getting another boost from the region’s industry players, this time from a key group of utilities and energy customers in the Pacific Northwest.

The support came in the form of an open letter issued May 5 by the Public Power Council (PPC), which represents 85 “preference” customers of the Bonneville Power Administration that account for 70% of the federal power marketing agency’s $3.9 billion in revenues. The group’s members include Seattle City Light, Tacoma Power, Eugene Water & Electric Board, Port of Seattle and Grant County (Wash.) PUD, among many others.

In the letter, PPC announced its members were throwing their weight behind an initiative by Western utilities that said last month that they will help develop SPP’s Markets+ platform as a way to evaluate the effort against CAISO’s proposed extended day-ahead market (EDAM) for the WEIM. (See Western Utilities to Support SPP Market Development.)

“The deployment of an integrated real-time and day-ahead market is a very significant undertaking,” the PPC said. “Any market alternative must be carefully considered to ensure all design objectives are properly met without undue adverse effects. The ability to evaluate two fully-formed day-ahead market options, where both the market design and market governance have been developed, will ensure that entities are able to make an informed decision on the option that provides the best step forward for their customers.”

The 15 original utilities, a handful of which are PPC members, said they would be “dedicating key staff” to participate in the Markets+ initiative over the next year and “working collaboratively with SPP and other stakeholders towards the design of a governance framework and conceptual market design proposal,” expected to be completed by the end of the year. 

PPC said it has already committed “significant staff resources” to CAISO’s EDAM effort and would continue to do so, while also contributing to the SPP effort. 

“PPC members are committing to having productive discussions with other stakeholders to develop the best possible market opportunities.  Sharing this commitment along with PPC members’ collective objectives is an initial step in that discussion,” Lauren Tenney Denison, PPC director of market policy and grid strategy, told RTO Insider in an email.

Among those objectives is a long-term solution that “maximizes” the group’s three priorities, according to the letter:

  • a reduction in future costs for preference customers “by reducing net power supply costs and providing just compensation for all relevant attributes of the federal system;”
  • a market that maximizes “efficient operation” of the federal transmission system and enables its expansion; and
  • ease of integration of carbon-free resources.

“At the same time, an acceptable market must operate within several parameters,” the PPC said. “First, it must maintain or enhance grid reliability. Second, it must preserve our statutory rights to cost-based federal service. And finally, it must have a strong and effective independent governance structure that does not unduly discriminate in favor of or against specific market participants.”

Asked to clarify how an organized market could aid in expanding the federal transmission network in the Northwest, Tenney Denison said: “The potential that a market could send additional price signals on where BPA could most effectively invest in transmission could be helpful to encourage that responsible expansion.  If larger conversations develop on a potential Regional Transmission Organization, this will create additional opportunity and potentially additional risk for the preference customers, given the comparatively low cost of BPA transmission today.”

Critical Role for BPA

The PPC’s letter also shed light on other specific issues compelling its members to explore market development, not least of which is the looming termination of their 20-year cost-based power contracts with BPA in 2028, which will soon be subject to renegotiation. Under federal law, the Northwest’s publicly owned utilities are entitled to electricity generated by the Federal Columbia River Power System (FCRPS), but they are not guaranteed specific rates for that electricity, which can vary based on how BPA meets its own revenue requirement. Higher sales of surplus power or transmission capacity can translate into lower rates for the agency’s preference customers.

“We remain committed to exploring organized market options that develop in the West to assess whether an option exists that appropriately values the attributes of the FCRPS and provides net benefits to BPA customers,” the group said.

The PPC encouraged other Western stakeholders — and “especially BPA” — to participate in the market exploration effort. Tenney Denison said BPA’s role as operator of the “backbone” of the Northwest grid means “the agency’s ability to facilitate an integrated market across the Northwest will be critical to that market’s success.”

BPA began trading in CAISO’s Western EIM just last week, the culmination of a nearly four-year stakeholder effort to reach a decision on membership and prepare the agency’s customers for market participation. (See BPA, Tucson Electric Power Enter Western EIM.)

Tenney Denison said that with BPA now participating in the EIM, PPC will “continue to work with the agency to understand the impacts that participation is having on the preference customers, including the cost and reliability of the services that they receive from BPA.  PPC worked with BPA to develop metrics which the agency will use to report on its participation in the EIM and we plan to continue to engage with agency staff in the coming months to better understand the agency’s performance in the EIM, as well as any lessons learned which may be applicable for a day-ahead market.”

PUC Selects Firm to Aid in ERCOT’s Market Redesign

The Texas Public Utility Commission said in a filing Tuesday that it has selected California firm Energy and Environmental Economics (E3) as its independent consultant to aid it in reviewing and analyzing new designs for ERCOT’s wholesale market.

According to the filing, E3 is expected to recommend implementation strategies and support the commission in developing business requirements for the strategies. It will work with the PUC’s Phase II market designs and structure changes that the commission says are “intended to ensure sufficient dispatchable generation resources … to meet the reliability needs of the ERCOT power region during a range of extreme weather conditions and net load variability scenarios” (53237).

The commission chose E3 over Potomac Economics, which also serves at ERCOT’s Independent Market Monitor. They were the only two firms to respond to the PUC’s request for proposals.

However, E3 is also behind one of the market structures under the commission’s consideration. Under a contract from NRG Energy and Exelon — both ERCOT market participants — the consulting firm laid out in a white paper a load-serving entity reliability obligation (LSERO) structure it said would directly address resource adequacy concerns by introducing a formal reliability standard and a mechanism to ensure sufficient resources meet this standard. (See Study Suggests Texas LSEs Can Provide Reliability.)

The contract includes a section on conflicts of interest that require E3 to certify to the PUC “that no existing or contemplated relationship exists between [the] contractor and another person or organization” that will constitute a conflict. The PUC defines that as a “situation in which the concerns or aims of the contractor are incompatible with the concerns or aims of the PUC acting in the public interest.”

Commission spokesman Rich Parsons pointed out the contract “clearly stipulates” E3 working conditions “under the strict oversight of PUC staff … to ensure it is conducted solely in the best interest of the [PUC] and the people of Texas.”

“E3 was selected through a competitive RFP bid process open to any qualified respondents and in full compliance with the state’s procurement laws and procedures,” he said in an email. “Through this competitive process, it was determined E3 presents the best value to Texans for this project.”

The firm is expected to follow mitigation strategies laid out by the commission and to make a “good-faith effort” to identify any ERCOT market participants and list them as potential conflicts, the contract says.

Even so, stakeholders are expressing concerns with the optics of hiring a consultant that has proposed one potential market structure to review it and others.

“It’s absurd on its face,” said Stoic Energy President Doug Lewin, who advocates for energy efficiency and demand response. “The proposal the consultant and [PUC Chair Peter Lake] favor is a non-transparent capacity market [that] … would cost customers billions of dollars, reduce competition and give an advantage to incumbent generators. I’m not sure why the [PUC] couldn’t find a truly independent evaluator of the proposals.”

Indeed, Lake has seemed to favor the LSERO in several commission meetings and workshops, with the other three commissions offering some pushback. However, the E3 proposal has been included among up to five specific proposals under the PUC’s market design “blueprint” that the commissioners agreed to in December. (See PUC Forges Ahead with ERCOT Market Redesign.)

“The proposals to be considered should place a requirement on LSEs to either purchase an energy credit, a type and quantity of energy resources, or prove its ability to meet the demand of the customers that it has contracted to serve,” the contract says.

E3 will analyze the proposals’ cost to the ERCOT market and the financial effect on consumers. The firm must review the various proposals; analyze and advise PUC staff on appropriate reliability standards and metrics to reach a certain level of dispatchable generation; provide estimated implementation and consumer-cost analysis associated with the blueprint’s market changes; provide potential dispatchable generation investment outcomes associated with the changes; and provide reliability impact analysis.

The contract is not to exceed $364,000. Hourly rates for the E3 team will vary from $725 (managing partner) to $250 (associate).

The PUC’s goal is to have a turnkey solution for its approval that can be fully operational and functioning in the ERCOT footprint within a year of regulatory adoption.

The commission references in the contract state legislation passed last year that requires it to establish a reliability standard that meets ERCOT’s needs; annually assess the quantity and characteristics of the reliability services needed to perform under extreme weather conditions; procure sufficient ancillary or reliability services during low non-dispatchable power production periods; develop qualifications and performance requirements for providing those services, including appropriate penalties for failure to provide the services; and sizes the services procured to prevent prolonged rotating outages from net load variability in high-demand and low-supply scenarios.

MISO Study to Decide Fate of Texas Competitive Project

MISO planning analyses will soon decide the fate of the contentious and delayed Hartburg-Sabine Junction competitive project in East Texas as some stakeholders question the lack of more aggressive clean-energy projections in the restudy.

The RTO last month announced it would reassess the 500-kV, $130 million market-efficiency project under its variance analysis procedures. Depending on the study’s results, the RTO has two options: cancel the project or confer the line to incumbent developer Entergy in accordance with Texas’s right-of-first refusal (ROFR) law. (See MISO Reassessing Hartburg-Sabine Project amid Texas ROFR Dispute.)

MISO approved the project under its 2017 Transmission Expansion Plan (MTEP 17). The grid operator found that the first competitive transmission project ever assigned in MISO South would alleviate congestion, ease import limitations, and allow access to lower cost generation in the chronically constrained West of the Atchafalaya Basin and Western load pockets in Entergy’s servicer territory.

However, Texas passed its ROFR legislation in 2019, blocking MISO’s selected competitive developer NextEra Energy Transmission Midwest from breaking ground. (See Texas ROFR Bill Passes, Awaits Governors Signature.)

During a South Technical Study Task Force meeting Wednesday, MISO Senior Manager of Competitive Transmission Administration Brian Pedersen said the variance analysis was triggered by two factors: a delay of the project’s in-service date and NextEra’s inability to secure permitting to begin construction.

Pederson said though the variance analysis criteria was in fact triggered in 2019, staff didn’t immediately embark on a restudy because of NextEra’s continuing litigation against the Texas law. However, he said the original 2023 in-service date is too close for MISO to continue to hold out for pending litigation.

Pedersen also said new planning analyses are a good practice, given the length of time that has passed without any construction.

“It’s been a little over four years since the project was approved,” he said, adding that the RTO rarely reanalyzes economic projects.

MISO will adhere to its market planning congestion study process to reanalyze the line but will use just one of its trio of existing, 20-year planning futures to assign a new benefit-to-cost ratio. The grid operator’s market efficiency projects must have a B/C ratio of at least 1.25:1 to be recommended.

Staff said they would model the project using Future 1, which predicts the least amount of future renewable energy additions, thermal generation retirements and electrification into the 2030s.

MISO will also consult with Entergy Texas on a new, estimated in-service date for the line.

Clean Grid Alliance’s Natalie McIntire questioned the use of just one future to restudy the line. She said it seemed MISO would conduct an incomplete analysis if it left out the Futures 2 and 3, which anticipate more rapid clean-energy transitions.

“We have three futures because we don’t really know what the future will look like. Future 1, as it was created, has already been exceeded based on utility announcements and state goals in recent years,” McIntire argued.

She asked staff to consider also modeling the line under Futures 2 and 3.

“If we don’t do that, I don’t think we’re doing the line justice about how it will perform 20 years into the future … It’s a concern,” McIntire said.

Andy Kowalczyk of activist group 350 New Orleans said simply using Future 1 doesn’t seem to align with Entergy’s goal to source 100% clean energy by 2050.

Other stakeholders asked whether staff will account for recent generation retirements in the area, last year’s addition of Entergy’s 993-MW Montgomery County Power Station in southeast Texas, and the likelihood that Entergy builds its planned 1.2-GW natural gas and hydrogen-powered Orange County Advanced Power Station by 2026.

MISO only includes future generation in its planning analyses when the units have a signed generation interconnection agreement. However, staff said they would look into generation assumptions and planning futures that will influence the study and report back to stakeholders.

The RTO plans to post a study scope for stakeholder review by May 23 and will hold two more South Technical Study Task Forces on June 8 and July 20 to discuss the project’s need. The grid operator said it will make a final determination for the line sometime in August.

NPCC Regional Standards Committee Briefs: May 11, 2022

DER Guidance Document Approved

The Northeast Power Coordinating Council’s Regional Standards Committee on Wednesday approved a guidance document on integrating distributed energy resources in the bulk power system, identifying possible risks and strategies to mitigate them.

Gerry Dunbar (NPCC) Content.jpgGerry Dunbar, NPCC | NPCC

The document incorporated substantial revisions suggested by stakeholders, including to sections on DER characteristics and capabilities, aggregation and interconnection standards, and an appendix for inverter-based resources, Gerry Dunbar, NPCC director of reliability standards and criteria, said at the committee’s meeting.

“The evolving document will see more changes as guidance is informed by ongoing DER and variable resource forums, particularly relating to electric vehicle charging and building electrification, topics that will eventually will have their own appendices in the guidance document,” Dunbar said.

FERC Update

Kal Ayoub, deputy director of FERC Division of Cyber Security, updated participants on commission activities since the last RSC meeting in February, including meetings of the Joint Federal-State Task Force on Electric Transmission.

The task force of FERC commissioners and 10 state regulators was created by Chairman Richard Glick in June to enable transmission expansion to improve resilience and connect new renewable energy resources (AD21-15).

Kal Ayoub (NPCC) Content.jpgKal Ayoub, FERC | NPCC

“The third meeting was held just last week and focused on examining barriers to efficient, expeditious and reliable interconnection of new resources through the FERC-jurisdictional interconnection process,” Ayoub said. (See FERC-State Task Force Considers Clustering, ‘Fast Track’ to Clear Queues.)

Ayoub also noted that the commission’s Jan. 20 Notice of Proposed Rulemaking to add internal network security monitoring (INSM) to NERC’s Critical Infrastructure Protection (CIP) reliability standards also sought comments on the usefulness or impracticality of implementing INSM to detect malicious activity, including any potential technical barriers and associated costs.

“We are currently reviewing 22 comments and of course next steps would eventually be a final rule,” Ayoub said.

Committee members also had questions about the commission’s April 21 NOPR to change transmission planning and cost allocation processes to help build out the grid. (See FERC Issues 1st Proposal out of Transmission Proceeding.)

Dan Kopin, a compliance analyst at Vermont Electric Power Co. (VELCO) and part of the System Planning Impacts from Distributed Energy Resources (SPIDER) Working Group at NERC, asked whether and how much Ayoub’s division is involved in the docket and whether new NERC standards could arise from the proceeding.

“Obviously cybersecurity is not involved yet … [and] we do get plugged into these rulemakings as they are issued, but of course transmission planning itself is in another office, but yes we are involved in all of these dockets,” Ayoub said. “Is it feasible that new NERC standards or reliability standards could potentially emerge from these NOPRs? Our understanding is no; … it’s a separate part of the development process.”

Regarding the transmission planning NOPR and the joint task force, “do you think there’s any synergy between the two, or are they coming at us on two separate tracks?” Dunbar said.

Ayoub said that was a very good question but tough to answer.

“The intent of the Joint Federal-State Task Force [is] … to encourage cooperation and communication between federal and state regulators on electric transmission-related issues,” Ayoub said. “When you look at what the joint task force is doing and what the commission’s NOPR on transmission planning is asking for, I think the answer is yes … there are of course some synergies between both.”

Cold Weather Standards

Kenny Luebbert (NPCC) Content.jpgKenny Luebbert, Evergy | NPCC

Kenny Luebbert, director of operations support at Evergy, updated the RSC on evolving standards on extreme cold weather grid operations, preparedness and coordination.

The term “retrofit” was used informally by planners but did not make it into the standards.

“‘Retrofit’ was clarified to mean ‘implement freeze protection measures or modify existing freeze protection measures,’ so that’s what NERC or FERC and the report drafting team meant when they said ‘retrofit,’” Luebbert said. “It’s not anything more than that, so we wanted to make sure that ‘retrofit’ term was not used in the new standards. …

“For new builds, we understand that there may be technical, commercial or operational constraints that do not allow you to take corrective action. For instance, wind turbines in West Texas experienced freezing rain in the [February 2021 winter storm], and they froze on the blades, and the blades and the turbine shut down,” Luebbert said. “There are no existing technologies widely used in the industry that allow for de-icing of wind turbine blades; it doesn’t exist. There are conceptual things that exist, but nothing that’s available widely in the industry, so we need a method that they can take exception to.”

The Aug. 10-11 RSC meeting will be virtual.