New York’s Climate Action Council on Monday agreed to form new committees to help develop the state’s plans for reducing natural gas use, expanding alternative fuels and adopting economy-wide measures to cut emissions.
The CAC is holding public hearings through June 10 on its draft scoping plan that lays out steps needed to achieve the emission limits set by the Climate Leadership and Community Protection Act. The council has received 8,000 written comments and heard 200 people comment through four of 10 hearings, CAC Director Sarah Osgood said.
“While others would prefer that the climate actions happen faster, we also heard concerns about affordability of electricity and the cost of the transition, specifically the cost associated with moving homes to all electric,” Osgood said. “A number of commenters expressed concerns about potential job losses among energy and utility workers and encouraged the council to take action that would ensure that the issue would be addressed.”
Administrators are planning to provide a distilled summary of the comments a month after the close of the comment period, Osgood said.
Committee Tasks
State officials and contractors presented outlines of what committees on gas system transition, alternative fuels and economy-wide measures could focus on in the coming months, with the council meeting at least monthly or more often as the workload increases over the summer, Osgood said.
The CAC will recruit volunteers for the committees to start meeting in May so the council can complete a final scoping plan by year-end that shows how the state will reduce economy-wide greenhouse gas emissions 40% by 2030 and no less than 85% by midcentury from 1990 levels, she said.
The gas transition will outline a coordinated plan to downsize the gas system, led by the Department of Public Service and supported by the New York State Energy Research and Development Authority (NYSERDA), Long Island Power Authority, New York Power Authority and the Department of Environmental Conservation.
The committee will consult with utilities, environmental justice groups and sectoral experts and draw upon successful plans in other jurisdictions, as will the alternative fuels committee in developing draft guidelines on the use of hydrogen, renewable natural gas and other biofuels.
DEC Deputy Commissioner Jared Snyder opened a discussion about the economy-wide committee, which will look at the certainty of emission reductions, the certainty of carbon price impacts on disadvantaged communities and affordability, and some competitiveness issues, such as the risk of leakage from carbon pricing.
NYSERDA will provide the council with analyses on existing carbon pricing knowledge and experience in other jurisdictions as well as the effects of a price on carbon specifically in New York, said Vladimir Gutman-Britten, assistant director of policy and markets.
“We want to share data on some of the key policy design choices in pursuing a system like this and the particular tradeoffs that might come with it,” Gutman-Britten said. “This analysis will help elucidate the impact of such a carbon tax on emissions and a variety of macroeconomic metrics, such as economy-wide energy spending, leakage of emissions and economic activity.”
State planners, he said, are not endorsing a policy of carbon pricing but choosing it because of limitations on modeling tools available, adding that “while we will be evaluating this one type of policy, we still think it would provide insights into how other approaches might work.”
Additional analysis may include potential effects of a large-scale investment program, including a sense of scale and the kinds of emissions reductions such a program might be able to yield under different spending choices, Snyder said.
The idea is “to unpack the kind of impact that pricing and an investment program might have on specific clean energy solutions … key technology things like EVs, heat pumps and things like that so we can better understand how the economics of those solutions change as a result of different policy choices the state will make,” Snyder said.
Kevin Hansen senior vice president and head of public policy at Empire State Development, the state’s main economic development agency, urged the economy-wide committee to continue “to think about impacts on businesses and workers and the issue of leakage.”
TAC Passes Contentious Outage Measure over Staff’s Objections
ERCOT stakeholders on Monday declined to consider staff’s appeal of a tabled revision request that would create a process allowing the grid operator to review, coordinate and approve or deny all planned outages.
The Technical Advisory Committee instead approved its version of the nodal protocol revision request (NPRR1108), as amended by several joint commentators. The measure now goes before the Board of Directors for its consideration April 27-28.
The measure was passed unanimously, 26-0 with a pair of abstentions, during an emergency webinar Monday after it was tabled following more than an hour of discussion last Wednesday during TAC’s regularly scheduled meeting.
The measure was also tabled at the Protocol Revision Subcommittee (PRS) last November over concerns that staff’s proposal was inflexible and could lead to an inability to get planned outages completed. That would lead to decreased reliability in the months when there is higher demand on ERCOT’s generation fleet, they said.
Staff drafted NPRR1108 to meet the requirements of legislation passed last year in the wake of the February winter storm that nearly brought the ERCOT grid to its knees. Senate Bill 3 included a provision that the grid operator “shall review, coordinate and approve or deny requests by providers of electric generation service … for a planned power outage during any season and for any period of time.”
Under ERCOT’s original proposal, staff would review and coordinate all planned outages, including those submitted more than 45 days before the outage’s planned start. The revisions would:
define a process for calculating a maximum megawattage of planned outages that would be allowed for each day of the next rolling 60 months, based on a capacity assessment;
require that a planned outage, or change to an approved outage, submitted more than 45 days in advance of the planned start time would no longer be “accepted” but would be approved on a first-come, first-served basis if the resulting aggregate planned outages are below the daily maximum megawattage for each day of the proposed outage’s duration; and
require that a planned outage or change to an approved outage submitted less than 45 days in advance of the planned start time would be evaluated against the maximum daily planned resource outage capacity (MDRPOC) and for impacts on transmission reliability.
Dan Woodfin, ERCOT’s vice president of system operations, complained that the grid operator last November asked for stakeholder feedback within months. The lack of input has pushed back the methodology’s implementation to fall 2023, he said.
Reliant Energy Retail Services’ Bill Barnes, acting as the PRS advocate, said the NPRR included many inputs subject to discretion.
“Stakeholders needed to fully assess the methodology needed to see the results of the calculations,” he said, explaining why the measure has remained tabled.
The two sides have traded competing versions of their comments, with ERCOT filing the last Sunday night. In the comments, staff proposed to allow nuclear generators to schedule planned outages, even if the resulting outage capacity would exceed the MDRPOC. They also agreed with the residential consumer segment that they should prove a report to TAC on the MDRPOC’s effects.
Stakeholders stuck with the joint commentators’ filing, which requires the MDRPOC for outages more than seven days ahead of the operating day be posted twice each to provide greater transparency and reduce the risk of potentially large changes when “stale monthly long-term MDRPOC projections” are replaced by the near-term projections less than seven days ahead of the operating day.
They also call for outage guardrails that are sensitive to concerns about weather variations during outage seasons to provide predictable minimum outage windows for resource owners and still allow ERCOT to deny outages on days over the MDRPOC.
ERCOT legal counsel Nathan Bigbee fired back Monday over the notion that the outage-approval process should be subject to TAC approval.
“There seems to be kind of a disconnect between industry in general and the ISO over what exactly the methodology should be,” he said. “It seems likely the methodology we prefer is a methodology TAC would not endorse. Having that control would lead us down a path less in the interest of reliability. That’s why we don’t think it’s appropriate. Ultimately, the board is going to be the arbiter of those decisions.”
ERCOT can file additional comments on NPRR1108 with the board or appeal the decision to the Public Utility Commission for an appeal.
Unsecured Credit Limit Lowered
TAC on Wednesday approved a measure that reduces unsecured credit limits from $50 million to $30 million, but not before a back-and-forth between one member and a staffer over uplift that resembled Monty Python’s classic “Argument Clinic” sketch.
“I fundamentally disagree with your concept of how the market works,” Kenan Ögelman, ERCOT’s vice president of commercial operations, told Morgan Stanley’s Clayton Greer.
PRS amended NPRR1112 in March to reinstate unsecured credit limits. ERCOT responded with comments that said eliminating unsecured credit “will reduce the inconsistent cross-subsidization of credit exposure and provide a more level playing field for market participants.”
Members disagreed. Garland Power and Light’s Dan Bailey said staff’s response was “the most ridiculous problem ERCOT has tried to solve without solving the problem.”
“From a market and consumer standpoint, taking a nuclear approach to credit is a little bit questionable,” he said. “Why ERCOT would think this is the right direction to go has left me scratching my head. I’m baffled to see that ERCOT is going down this path.”
TAC rejected an motion to amend the measure with ERCOT’s comments, 3-16 with 11 abstentions. It attracted approval only from the two residential consumer representatives and retailer Reliant Energy.
A motion to approve PRS’ recommended version passed 23-2 with five abstentions. The residential consumer representatives cast the two opposing votes.
RUC Process Changes Endorsed
The committee approved a pair of rule changes related to reliability unit commitments (RUCs), which have been increasingly used by ERCOT since last summer as part of its conservative operations approach.
NPRR1124 is intended to ensure generation resources recover their actual fuel costs when they are RUCed by setting the start-up price and minimum-energy price to the start-up cap and the minimum-energy cap.
The measure was opposed by all six consumer segment representatives, who objected to consumers bearing the increased costs.
TAC also approved a motion related to NPRR1092, which lowers the RUC offer floor to $250/MWh from $1,500/MWh, as amended by clarifying ERCOT comments April 6. Members approved the measure in March, pending an impact analysis from staff. (See “RUC Offer Floor Lowered to $250,” ERCOT Technical Advisory Committee Briefs: March 30, 2022.)
Staff said it will cost between $50,000 and $75,000 and take four to six months to change the RUC offer floor, as proposed by the Independent Market Monitor. The measure still needs regulatory approval and prioritization.
The motion passed 25-1, with Luminant opposing and two representatives each from the cooperative and independent power marketer segments abstaining.
Ögelman Addresses Concerns with Board Interactions
Ögelman responded to stakeholder concerns about their interactions with the board’s new Reliability and Markets Committee, saying that the directors are still working through the structure they want.
“The board’s trying to figure out how they want to do business and what they might want to do differently,” he said. “Right now, we have to beg everyone to be patient with us and work with the board to give them the processes they want. They have a vision … they’re just not ready to share it yet.”
Ögelman was responding to a clarification request from the Wholesale Market Subcommittee, which reports directly to TAC. ERCOT’s bylaws require TAC to report to the full board, rather than a board committee; any bylaw changes would require a vote of the full membership, Ögelman said.
Two More SCT Directives Approved
TAC endorsed staff’s response to two additional directives issued by the PUC related to the Southern Cross Transmission (SCT) project, a merchant long-haul HVDC transmission line that would connect ERCOT with systems in the SERC Reliability region.
In responding to the 14 PUC directives, ERCOT staff found they would not need to study and determine transmission upgrades to address congestion caused by SCT (No. 6). Staff determined in the second directive (No. 8) that as of Jan. 1, 2021, DC ties should be required to have at least a 0.95 power factor leading/lagging reactive power capability, which several revision requests have already addressed.
The SCT would be capable of carrying 2 GW of power between Texas and SERC over a 400-mile, double-circuit 345-kV line. The project has FERC approval and a waiver from the commission’s jurisdiction. It also has a certificate of convenience and necessity granted by the PUC in 2017 to Garland Power & Light, which owns the project’s western endpoint.
The PUC last year directed its staff to file a memo asking the proceeding’s parties for suggestions on accelerating the project, which has been under regulatory review for more than seven years (46304). (See Texas Regulators Boost Southern Cross Project.)
ESRs’ Minimum Duration Set at 2 Hours
TAC’s unanimously approved combination ballot included a recommendation from the Reliability and Operations Subcommittee to set a minimum duration threshold of two hours for energy storage resources (ESRs). Lower-duration ESRs would be prorated to their continuous real power capability for two hours.
The combo ballot included two additional NPRRs, a Nodal Operating Guide revision (NOGRR), two revisions to the Planning Guide (PGRR) and a change to the Settlement Metering Operating Guide (SMOGRRs):
NPRR1117: aligns the protocols with the Settlement Meter Operating Guide revisions to allow for losses in short runs of connecting lines to be disregarded when the ERCOT-polled settlement meter (EPS) is not physically placed at the point of interconnection (POI).
NPRR1125: clarifies that ERCOT may use available financial security held for other market activities should there be payment defaults in either of the two securitization proceedings. The change also specifies the prioritization for applying the securities when there are concurrent defaults for either invoices or escrow deposit requests.
NOGRR239: delineates the responsibilities for providing security for data transmitted between ERCOT, qualified scheduling entities and transmission operators.
PGRR096: establishes requirements for the consistent representation of distribution generation resources, distribution energy storage resources, settlement-only distribution generators and unregistered distributed generation in steady-state base cases.
PGRR098: enables corrective action plans to be developed under certain outage scenarios to the existing reliability performance criteria.
SMOGRR025: allows for losses in short runs of connecting lines to be disregarded in instances where the EPS meter is not physically placed at the POI and requires calculation to verify that the watts copper losses are below 0.001%.
A flood in a substation that damaged multiple pieces of equipment could be the future for many utilities as the grid adapts to climate change, according to a new Lessons Learned report released by NERC last week.
“Substation Flooding Events Highlight Potential Design Deficiencies,” one of six reports published last Wednesday, did not disclose details of the incident such as the date, location, or even the utility and regional entity involved. This is a common practice with NERC’s Lessons Learned documents, which are intended to “provide industry with … information that assists [it] with maintaining the reliability of the bulk power system” rather than to shame individual companies.
The incident began with a heavy storm that dropped nearly 6 inches of rain and hail on a 230-kV transformer station over two and a half hours. During the sudden influx, which was beyond any expectations of the facility’s designers, about 8 inches of water collected in a relay room in the basement of the substation control building, submerging “numerous [250-V DC] control equipment connections.”
Compounding the heavy rainfall was the lack of suitable pumping capacity. While sump pumps were in place at the facility, staff found that they could not keep up with the pace of the flooding, and additional pumps could not be installed for several hours. Even the existing pumps were undermined by the placement of their outlets, which were so close to the substation that staff realized the water they pumped out was “flowing back into the basement through cable trays.”
The transmission owner’s staff were not totally unprepared for the events: NERC noted that facility personnel had relocated “critical power system equipment” above the grade as recommended in a previous Lessons Learned report on a similar flooding incident. As a result, no load loss was reported as a result of the event, and no system operating limits were exceeded during the flooding.
However, enough equipment was left submerged in the basement to cause multiple problems with circuit breakers and bring almost 500 MW of generation offline.
Five breaker issues were reported: Two breakers operated on false failure inputs and three on false trip inputs. The first failure input led to the loss of one circuit and two generating units connected to the line terminal; after multiple attempts to restore the circuit, the equipment had exceeded the number of reclosing attempts and could not be reclosed without an inspection.
The second false failure input resulted in the loss of one circuit and four generation units. No generation or transmission facilities were lost because of the false trip inputs, and the circuits were returned to service just over an hour after the event began. Once additional pumps had been brought online, the pump outlets were moved so the water would not drain back into the basement, and heating and drying equipment were brought into the basement.
NERC’s report noted that the TO is already taking steps to address the shortcomings revealed by the incident, including a complete overview of the drainage system on-site and a commitment to move all critical equipment above grade by 2023. The TO is also planning an extent-of-condition investigation to determine if similar issues exist at other transmission stations.
The report’s authors suggested that other TOs take similar steps by investigating whether suitable precautions have been taken at transmission stations that were previously known to be susceptible to flooding, as well as whether stations that were previously considered safe may now be in danger. NERC also recommended that facility owners determine how water might affect sensitive equipment if the flooding measures fail and make sure they have plans for handling rain when maintenance is underway on vital systems.
PJM is proposing the creation of a new subcommittee to continue discussions of interconnection process changes after work in the Interconnection Process Reform Task Force (IPRTF) finishes.
Jason Connell, PJM director of infrastructure planning, provided a first read of the draft charter of the Interconnection Process Subcommittee (IPS) at last week’s Planning Committee meeting. Connell presented the concept of the new subcommittee at the March 8 PC meeting. (See “Interconnection Subcommittee Initiative,” PJM PC/TEAC Briefs: March 8, 2022.)
Connell said PJM staff have continued internal discussions and talks with stakeholders about creating the new subcommittee to carry on discussions on additional interconnection issues identified in the IPRTF. He said the purpose of the IPS is to provide a stakeholder forum to “investigate and resolve specific issues related to the interconnection process and associated agreements, governing documents and manuals.”
Discussion topics featured in the charter include:
education on current and future interconnection processes and agreements with clarifications around implementation;
development of improvements of interconnection process rules in the tariff and related PJM manuals;
encouraging continued dialogue between stakeholders and PJM on best business practices and coordination with neighboring RTO/ISOs on interconnection.
Connell said PJM fields many questions from developers on how the RTO plans to implement aspects of the interconnection process not explicitly described in the manuals and the tariff. He said PJM wants to use the subcommittee as an “incubator” for discussions on complex interconnection issues and to come up with solutions.
The IPS will report to the PC, Connell said, but some of the issues to be discussed may impact operations and markets, requiring reports to the Market Implementation Committee and the Operating Committee. Connell said PJM intends to begin holding meetings of the new subcommittee by June and establish a near-term agenda if endorsed by stakeholders.
“PJM was very much in favor of doing this, as it has seen the benefits of the discussions that have taken place at the IPRTF over several months and the consensus that we’ve been able to build around the Planning Committee’s endorsed package,” Connell said. “We want to continue that dialogue in order to continually refine and improve the interconnection process to facilitate the renewable transition.”
Ken Foladare of Tangibl Group said his company supports the new subcommittee and the concept of having an “ongoing discussion” of the interconnection process. Many renewable customers will want process changes and improvements “quite frequently,” he said, asking if PJM could implement a process where proposed changes are considered annually in one batch instead of piecemeal because the number of changes “could get a bit difficult to manage.”
Connell said PJM would have to “look at the magnitude of the changes” proposed and “batch them appropriately” depending on their urgency.
“We certainly don’t want to overwhelm the standing committees with monthly changes as we’re moving through,” Connell said.
Sharon Midgley of Exelon said it “makes a lot of sense” to have the new venue for interconnection discussions. She said Exelon wondered how the subcommittee will “work mechanically” and how issues will be prioritized.
Dave Anders, director of stakeholder affairs for PJM, said the IPS will operate similarly to other subcommittees that report to a standing committee, pointing to the Cost Development Subcommittee as an example. He said Manual 34 stipulates that subcommittees are allowed to take on work that’s within the charter of the group.
Any disagreement among stakeholders in the group should be addressed by the PC, Anders said.
Midgley said she would like to see some expectation language included in the charter so that stakeholders “know the bounds and the rules under which we’re engaged” in the committee.
RSCS Charter
Monica Burkett, PJM senior lead knowledge management consultant, provided a first read of proposed changes to the charter of the Reliability Standards and Compliance Subcommittee (RSCS).
Burkett said the RTO is looking to improve discussions and find more efficiencies in the RSCS, including maintaining up-to-date information on issues. She said several changes are being proposed to improve what compliance information is provided and shared with stakeholders in the subcommittee.
Burkett said the charter updates include “simple tweaks” to language for clarification.
One item proposed to be removed from the charter language is the development of a list of functions performed by other registered entities “in support of PJM compliance.” Burkett said the list of functions are reviewed at the RSCS, but they are never developed by the subcommittee.
Under the responsibilities section of the charter, PJM removed the item “cooperate with PJM with regard to data requests and submittals related to NERC and regional reliability standards” and inserted “allow for exchange of best practices and discussions surrounding upcoming data requests related to NERC and regional reliability standards.”
The committee will be asked to vote on the charter at next month’s PC and OC meetings.
Manual 21A ELCC Changes Endorsed
Stakeholders endorsed an issue charge and manual revisions related to an effective load-carrying capability (ELCC) model run timing update and other changes to reflect the continuation of the current method of providing unit-specific backcasts only as requested. The endorsement received 182 votes in support (97.3%) and 182 votes (97.3%) favoring the changes over the status quo.
PJM rules allow voluntary submission of unit-specific wind and solar parameters for development of backcasts for newer resources, Bruno said, but current manual language has an expiration date of March 1 for voluntary submissions. The submission of unit-specific parameters for all wind and solar is mandatory after the expiration date.
The alternative method is to use a zonal backcast, Bruno said, which PJM has found to be an “adequate” process.
The quick fix called for removing the March 1 expiration date, which would allow PJM to continue the current practice in which newer resources can elect to submit the unit-specific data or use the zonal backcast.
Bruno said another change in the proposal would have the 2025/26 Base Residual Auction use the December 2022 ELCC run instead of the older July 2022 run. He said the change would allow for the most recent data to be used when calculating the accredited unforced capacity (UCAP) for the 2025/26 BRA, with the July 2022 run to be removed from the schedule.
The issue charge and manual revisions now go to the April 27 Markets and Reliability Committee meeting for a first read.
Joseph Hay of PJM’s infrastructure coordination department reviewed the revisions that featured two main changes to the manual.
First, the critical energy/electric infrastructure information (CEII) in Manual 14F was referenced over to Manual 14B because the latter is the source document for PJM’s CEII. Hay said the change will eliminate the requirement to edit Manual 14F whenever a change is made to 14B.
The second significant update was that the Secure File Transfer Tool used to submit all proposals was replaced with a requirement to use “Competitive Planner” to submit proposals. Hay said the Secure File Transfer Tool is still available for stakeholders and will be used to submit supplemental data on an “as needed” basis.
The manual changes will see a vote at the April MRC meeting.
Transmission Expansion Advisory Committee
AEP Supplemental Project
A stakeholder questioned a supplemental project presented by American Electric Power at last week’s Transmission Expansion Advisory Committee meeting.
Will Burkett of AEP presented the need for work to be done on the Conesville-Bixby 345 kV line in Central Ohio. Burkett said the 51.1-mile line has seen total of 10 outages since 2015, and some of the failures have been “catastrophic in nature.”
Some of the reported damage to the wooden structure of the Conesville-Bixby 345 kV line in Ohio. | AEP
Of the 342 structures making up the line, Burkett said, 73% are wood structures installed in the early 1970s. An additional 25% of the structures are steel installed between 2010 and 2021, Burkett said, with the replacements “performed proactively” at and along major interstates. The remaining 2% of the structures are steel installed in the early 1970s.
The Conesville-Bixby 345 kV line in Central Ohio is proposed to be repaired. | AEP
Burkett said when the line was constructed in the 1970s, it used an H-frame design with wood poles and laminated crossarms rather than solid wood crossarms. He said 30 of the structures are currently rotting or have heavy rust and other serious flaws.
Sharon Segner, vice president at LS Power, asked if there is an in-service date associated yet with the project.
Burkett said AEP is working on a solution and doesn’t yet have a timetable or costs for the project.
“We’re just bringing the concerns we have out there, and we’ll work to develop solutions to address those needs and bring that back to stakeholders,” Burkett said.
Segner asked why the project “doesn’t appear to be going through a competitive process” despite being greater than 100 kV.
TEAC Chair Suzanne Glatz said the line is a supplemental project need, which is not subject to the competitive process in FERC Order 1000.
Segner said it will be “interesting” to see the price of the project when a solution is developed and expressed interest in “understanding the regional benefits” of the project.
“Obviously 51 miles of a 345 kV line likely has regional benefits,” Segner said.
Generation Deactivation Notification
Phil Yum of PJM’s system planning modeling and support department provided an update on recent generation deactivation notifications, including Energy Harbor’s large coal units in Ohio and West Virginia.
Energy Harbor requested deactivation of coal-fired units 5-7 of the 1,504-MW W.H. Sammis Power Station in the American Transmission Systems Inc. (ATSI) transmission zone in Stratton, Ohio. The company also requested the deactivation of the 13-MW diesel unit at Sammis.
Energy Harbor also announced that it requested deactivation of units 1 and 2 of the 1,278-MW Pleasants Power Station in the Allegheny Power Systems transmission zone at Willow Island, W.V.
Yum said reliability analyses are underway for the Sammis and Pleasants units. Energy Harbor requested a deactivation date of June 1, 2023 for the units.
The 1.9-MW Ottawa County Landfill in the ATSI transmission zone requested a deactivation date of May 31, while the 81-MW Essex 9 gas-fired generation unit in the Public Service Enterprise Group zone in New Jersey requested a deactivation date of June 1. PJM completed reliability analyses for both units, and no violations were identified.
ISO-NE last week shot back at renewable groups who have challenged its rules and claimed that gas-powered generators get preference, saying that their complaint with FERC should be thrown out (EL22-42).
The grid operator’s motion to dismiss filed Thursday comes a month after RENEW Northeast and the American Clean Power Association alleged that ISO-NE’s rules around capacity accreditation and operating reserves don’t adequately take into account the uncertainty of natural gas supply in the region. (See Renewable Groups Challenge Gas ‘Preference’ in ISO-NE Rules.)
Central to ISO-NE’s response is the fact that new rules are already under development.
FERC should dismiss the complaint “because it is an improper attempt to circumvent the New England stakeholder process and it invites the commission to impose a solution that reflects only complainants’ preferred outcome on their preferred timeline,” the RTO said.
ISO-NE is about to start work on a framework for resource capacity accreditation within the next few months, it said, an “enormously complex project with significant implications for the reliability of the New England grid.”
The project is budgeted to take two years, in line with ISO-NE’s proposed transition away from the contentious minimum offer price rule in its capacity market. The grid operator is also launching a day-ahead ancillary services project, which it says would be the “appropriate forum” for the renewable groups’ complaints about the reserve procurement process.
In asking FERC to toss the complaint, ISO-NE pointed to a previous case in California in which the commission dismissed a complaint seeking changes to CAISO’s market rules that were “directly related to market design issues [already] under review by [CAISO] as part of [a] revised market design proposal.”
ISO-NE also argued that the complaint should be dismissed on merit, saying that the region’s tariff explicitly contradicts the groups’ claims that gas generators have no obligations to report on their reserves or are excluded from fuel supply requirements. It also said that the relief proposed by RENEW and ACP is “unworkable.”
In comments on the FERC docket, several renewable and environmental advocacy groups have backed the complaint, while several generation companies have put their support behind ISO-NE.
The New England States Committee on Electricity and the attorneys general of Connecticut and Massachusetts said in comments that the changes proposed in the complaint are premature and that the issues of capacity accreditation and reserve procurement need more comprehensive treatment through the NEPOOL stakeholder process.
LANSING, Mich. — Michigan lawmakers last week proposed new consumer protections against utility blackouts, requiring customer credits that would increase in value the longer an outage lasts.
The five-bill package (HB 6043-6047), all referred to the House Energy Committee, also requires the credits be paid out of a utility’s profits and not through rate increases. The package will also require that proposed distribution and grid investment plans be reviewed by the Public Service Commission.
A spokesperson for one of the state’s utilities said the legislation is not needed. A spokesperson for the PSC said commission members are reviewing the language.
The bills, introduced by Rep. Abraham Aiyash (D) and Rep. Yousef Rabhi (D) and cosponsored by Rep. Steven Johnson (R), are aimed at Michigan’s two largest investor-owned utilities: DTE Energy (NYSE: DTE) and CMS Energy (NYSE: CMS), which have been criticized for numerous blackouts that hit customers during intense storms and high winds.
“Investor-owned monopoly utility companies DTE and Consumers Energy have made record profits in recent years, yet communities across the state are still left in the dark with frequent power outages,” Rabhi said when the package was announced April 14.
“When the power goes out, which happens far too often, there are real financial burdens for Michigan families,” Aiyash said. “These bills will provide much needed relief and incentivize utility companies to improve their services and keep the lights on.”
Under HB 6043, residential customers would receive $5 for the first hour of service interruption, rising as high as $25/hour for outages of 72 hours or more.
Renters whose landlords pay their electric bills whose service is interrupted for four to 24 hours would be credited $50 or the cost of spoiled food, lodging or other costs incurred, whichever is larger. The credit could rise to $200 for interruptions of more than 24 hours.
Local governments would be eligible for reimbursement for their costs from outages, including the cost of dispatching emergency services, operating warming or cooling centers and running backup generation. HB 6045 would require $100 credits to any electric customer who had service interruptions in the past year, and a $200 credit if they had more than four interruptions.
The package would also require utilities to report to customers how many service interruptions they had during the year and prohibit them from including the cost of providing credits in any rate hike request to the Public Service Commission.
The utilities have been under fire for numerous interruptions following massive storms in the last two years. The PSC has held hearings and issued proposed changes to the utilities’ Service Quality standards.
Matt Helms, spokesperson for the PSC, said those proposed changes are pending in the state’s Office of Administrative Hearings and Rules before undergoing final action in the legislative Joint Committee on Administrative Rules.
The proposed changes include boosting the current bill credit — a flat $25, regardless of how long the power was out — to $35 and indexing the higher rate to inflation. It would also add more credits for each day a customer has no electric service.
Katie Carey, spokesperson for CMS Energy, said the bills are unnecessary in part because the company plans to spend more than $5 billion on improving reliability through tree trimming, replacing utility poles and upgrading to more resilient equipment. DTE Energy did not respond to a request for comment.
But Amy Bandyk, executive director of the Citizens Utility Board of Michigan, said her group believes the legislation would “put Michigan on the path to no longer being one of the worst states for utility service.” The organization’s research has shown both DTE and CMS have “consistently” failed to provide both affordable and reliable service, she said.
Staff Say Markets+ Design on Track for Completion in 2023
DALLAS — SPP staff last week said the RTO’s Markets+ day-ahead offering in the Western Interconnection is on track to be completed by the end of the year.
Bruce Rew, SPP senior vice president of operations, said the market’s development is going “really well,” with Western parties leading the three design teams (governance, market products and price formation, and transmission availability). Their first in-person meeting last month drew a capacity crowd, with almost the entire interconnection represented, he said.
A second in-person market-development meeting is scheduled June 1-2 at Tri-State Generation and Transmission Association’s headquarters in Westminster, Colo.
SPP last week told the Western Interstate Energy Board that it will eventually close its Western Energy Imbalance Service (WEIS) market after its seven current members join either the Markets+ program or its expanded RTO West. (See related story, SPP to Phase Out WEIS as New Market Offerings Expand.)
Obstacles remain, however. During Wednesday’s Strategic Planning Committee meeting, committee Chair and Director Mark Crisson brought up a panel discussion during the SPC’s retreat earlier this year. He noted participants anticipate CAISO, SPP’s competitor in offering RTO membership in the West, will correct its governance problems and pose a challenge for the RTO.
Other participants, while “generally supportive,” Crisson said, questioned whether SPP’s staff are spread too thin and that the membership is getting too big, potentially damaging the RTO’s stakeholder-driven culture.
Southwestern Public Service’s Bill Grant expressed his concern that some Western entities don’t want to give up their balancing authorities, which he said will create huge software costs.
“Now we have to curate a market model that has 34 different [balancing authorities],” he said. “It’s an EIS market on steroids, rather than a market with day-ahead dispatch. I believe it’s going to increase the cost for us to perform this service.”
Crisson, who spent nearly 30 years with Tacoma Public Utilities, said some entities may not understand the benefits of centralized dispatch and suggested it might be a “little bit of RTO paranoia” dating back to the 2001 energy crisis.
“There’s a lot of concern about FERC regulation,” Crisson said. “A lot of people remember that exercise.”
SPC Endorses Value of Tx Report
SPP’s updated value of transmission study has quantified $27.2 billion in net present value (NPV) of benefits over the next 40 years from $3.35 billion in members’ installed transmission from 2015 to 2019, staff said.
The study’s 5.24:1 benefit-to-cost ratio is an increase from SPP’s first transmission-value study in 2016, which had a 3.5:1 ratio. That analysis found more than $16.6 billion in NPV of project benefits installed from 2012 to 2014. Casey Cathey, SPP’s director of system planning, said The Brattle Group called the first study “a path-breaking effort.”
The newer study refined the first one by analyzing five years of transmission projects instead of three, simulating 57 days of production instead of 38, excluding the benefits of reduced planning margins, and capturing the incremental capacity from transmission rebuilds and transformer upgrades.
“This is probably the most accurate study you can perform,” Cathey said.
The 2021 study does not quantify other benefits such as improved use of transmission corridors and storm hardening. The latter issue has gained importance with SPP following the first load sheds in the RTO’s 80-year history during the February 2021 winter storm.
“The value of resiliency is so critical, especially after this winter event,” COO Lanny Nickell said, “and it will be helpful to you all when customers are expressing doubts about the benefits of proposed upgrades. How much more load would have been shed had we not had that transmission?”
Members generally agreed, noting they’re now having those conversations about the transmission’s value.
“We got beat up in the commissions,” Oklahoma Gas & Electric’s Usha Turner said.
“I’m proud of what we’ve accomplished at SPP,” Grant said. “We’ve added all this transmission, and we’ve done it in such a way that the total bill to customers is below the rate of inflation. The total cost to customers has not dropped, but still, we’ve increased reliability and increased deliverability. That’s a win.”
The SPC also endorsed staff’s annual member value update, which indicates members enjoy $3.25 billion in annual savings and benefits and a 22:1 return on investment. SPP’s market operations account for the bulk of those savings, yielding $1.42 billion.
Staff used both quantitative and qualitative estimated values of various areas of the grid operator’s services to calculate the value provided to members through improved reliability, increased efficiencies and economics, consolidated functions, and improved environmental, public policy and local economic impacts.
A year ago, members were gaining $2.7 billion in savings and an 18:1 return on investment.
Mike Ross, senior vice president for external affairs and stakeholder relations, said the improved benefit metrics have primarily been driven by increased fuel costs and escalated LMPs. He warned the savings increase may only be a blip.
“We tried to err on the side of being cautious,” Ross said.
SPP Lays out Comprehensive Roadmap
SPC members endorsed staff’s recommendation to develop a schedule and details for a comprehensive roadmap process that will be part of SPP’s broader effort to develop strategic services such as data-management solutions, re-engineered and streamlined stakeholder processes, and defining tracking and reporting on metrics.
Board approval later this month will allow staff to move forward with instituting the process and balancing ongoing work against the approved schedule.
Staff told the Markets and Operations Policy Committee that the roadmap is intended to show stakeholders everything that’s on the RTO’s plate and to solicit their help with prioritizing the initiatives. MOPC declined to act on the roadmap over concerns of costs associated with staff and consultants.
“Resource management is a crucial element that we haven’t figured out,” Nickell said. “That is an issue, and we are very aware of the concerns around that.”
“This has been a heavy lift. I do worry about maintaining it,” American Electric Power’s Richard Ross said.
The comprehensive roadmap is intended to develop a “proactive, transparent and collaborative annual and ongoing process” that balances SPP’s portfolio of work and managing resource constraints. Staff hopes to identify the greatest needs for improvement over a five-year timeframe and create alignment with and direct input for initiatives into the RTO’s strategic planning, budgeting, and project management processes.
Ad Hoc Group to Look at Cryptos
The committee agreed to form an ad hoc group to determine how best to address flexible loads like data centers that generate Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies and are popping up on electric grids all over the country.
Nickell cited the uncertainty around the size and nature of the loads in suggesting the SPC own the issue. Bitcoin miners say they can quickly shut down their operations should the energy be needed elsewhere or operate during off-peak hours.
“Do we really want to be funding transmission improvements for temporary loads?” Nickell asked, rhetorically. He suggested the ad hoc group focus on transmission issues and cost allocation, recognizing that the SPC may want to take a broader look.
The Regional State Committee (RSC), comprising state regulators with authority over regional transmission rates, is expected to eventually be involved.
“I don’t understand how the RSC can’t be involved in this. At the end of the day, this is regional load,” Grant said. “If we don’t come up with a concise way to deal with this or [the RSC] doesn’t agree with it, they’ll go to their individual commissions.”
“We saw a similar phenomenon in the Northwest 15 to 20 years ago with load centers,” Crisson said. “Most utilities took the same approach, requiring them to pay for any substation and transmission upgrades, which cooled their enthusiasm considerably.”
The group will report back to the SPC during the committee’s July meeting.
Reliability Products and Services Assessment Endorsed
PJM Operating Committee members last week unanimously approved an initial recommendation to evaluate the need to procure additional reliability-based generation as more intermittent resources are integrated into the RTO’s grid.
Chris Pilong, director of operations planning, and Alex Scheirer, a PJM senior client manager, reviewed the proposed “initial direction” regarding reliability products and services — the outcome of discussions in the Resource Adequacy Senior Task Force (RASTF).
Members began looking at a list of generator “reliability attributes” in January, Pilong said, examining PJM’s renewable integration studies and papers to determine the recommendations for addressing the potential for new reliability services and the next steps in the stakeholder process at the RASTF and other committees and task forces.
Pilong said stakeholders will discuss reactive capability and supply issues in the Reactive Power Compensation Task Force to ensure PJM is able to “utilize, measure and compensate the full reactive capability of synchronous and non-synchronous generators independent of their power output.” The issue also calls for discussions on the ability of all resources to follow voltage schedules and demonstrate performance.
On the issue of regulation service, Pilong said, stakeholders recommend reviewing existing regulation market signals and considering future system needs as part of the regulation market redesign issue charge approved by the Market Implementation Committee last year. (See “RTO to Propose Review of Regulation Market,” PJM MIC Briefs: Nov. 3, 2021.)
Members recommended that the Energy Price Formation Senior Task Force consider how to value flexibility of generation within the existing or modified ancillary services, Pilong said, while another recommendation has the RASTF exploring how to value fuel assurance for all resources that can be relied upon for “unexpected system conditions.”
Pilong said PJM and stakeholders may evaluate methods for data submission and review the existing penalty structure if data reporting requirements in PJM manuals are not followed regarding energy assurance. He said a potential problem statement and issue charge could be brought to the OC in the future to examine manual language changes.
“As we’re seeing the renewable penetration grow, we think we need to tighten those rules up a little bit more,” Pilong said.
Regarding black start resources, stakeholders recommended continuing to monitor activities at the OC special sessions on fuel requirements for black start resources and the discussions at the RASTF on black start flexibility, fuel and energy assurances.
Members also recommended the RASTF consider specific unit performance requirements to handle the increasing number of extreme weather events in the region.
Dynamic Rating Issue Endorsed
Stakeholders unanimously approved an issue charge and endorsed a proposed solution as part of the “quick fix” process regarding facilitation of the integration of dynamic line ratings (DLRs) into PJM operations.
Chris Callaghan, PJM senior business solution engineer, reviewed the problem statement and issue charge addressing interim manual revisions on DLR integration. PPL is tentatively scheduled to go live in June with a DLR system on some of its transmission lines.
PJM wanted to “enable the operational implementation of dynamic ratings” through temporary manual revisions, Callaghan said, which will be in place pending submission of the RTO’s FERC Order 881 compliance filing set to be completed by the end of the month.
In December, FERC ordered transmission providers to end the use of static line ratings in evaluating near-term transmission service and required transmission providers to employ ambient-adjusted ratings for short-term transmission requests of 10 days or less for all lines that are impacted by air temperature. (See FERC Orders End to Static Tx Line Ratings.)
The committee also unanimously endorsed a separate issue charge for the creation of a new task force to explore other issues related to the implementation of DLR in PJM. Callaghan reviewed the problem statement and issue charge related to the new task force reporting to the OC.
Key work activities of the task force include discussions on any impacts of DLR to the auction revenue rights and financial transmission rights markets, any impacts to the seasonal ratings used in the PJM planning processes and any other considerations regarding the notice of an intent to implement DLR in the RTO.
Out-of-scope items in the issue charge include modifications to the Operating Agreement, tariff or manuals that “infringe upon the terms of the Consolidated Transmission Owners Agreement,” including requiring transmission owners to install or implement DLR on lines.
The task force is set to begin by August or after the completion of PJM’s Order 881 compliance filing.
EKPC UFLS Requirements Endorsed
Stakeholders unanimously endorsed a quick-fix solution to appropriately document East Kentucky Power Cooperative’s under frequency load shedding (UFLS) requirements in PJM.
The purpose of the UFLS requirement is to avoid an uncontrolled loss of load situation, Foster Cronin said, and the requirement establishes a total percentage of load shed that must be achieved when system frequency drops to a certain level to maintain the system.
All electric distributors must comply with the UFLS requirement established by their respective NERC region. When EKPC integrated into PJM in 2013, the cooperative was in the SERC region of the ERO.
Before EKPC’s integration, PJM’s OA documented a UFLS requirement for entities in the PJM’s Mid-Atlantic, West and South regions. But the OA was not changed with EKPC’s 2013 integration to incorporate the cooperative’s applicable UFLS requirement, and it wasn’t included in any of the regions.
In 2018, EKPC was added to PJM West when the RTO worked with stakeholders to clarify the region definitions in its governing documents. However, other entities included in PJM West are in the ERO’s ReliabilityFirst region, while EKPC remained in SERC, which has slightly different UFLS requirements.
Foster Cronin said a recent review of the region revisions showed “potential confusion” in EKPC’s appropriate UFLS requirement and needed to be corrected. She said the oversight did not create a reliability problem for the cooperative.
“We really wish for these changes to ensure there’s no confusion as to what is the appropriate under frequency load shedding requirements applicable for us,” Foster Cronin said.
The MRC will vote on the solution and corresponding OA revisions at its April 27 meeting.
Manual 1 Revisions Endorsed
The committee unanimously endorsed changes to Manual 1 as a part of the periodic review.
Minor changes were made throughout the manual, Derin said, including removing revision numbers from where NERC standards are referenced and replacing the term “member” with “PJM member” where applicable to keep the term uniform throughout the manuals.
In Section 2.5.6: Recovery Procedures, PJM clarified the loss of control center functionality procedures and documentation relating to EOP-008 and TO/TOP Matrix.
In Section 3.2.1.1: PJMNet Communications System, the language was clarified to ensure PJM is responsible for protecting all real-time assessment and real-time monitoring data through the PJMNet private network as the data is “in transit” between the PJM control centers and its routers. The RTO must also make sure all data is encrypted.
Decarbonizing the U.S. economy by 2050 will require doubling the country’s nuclear energy generation by deploying 100 GW of advanced reactors while also building a domestic supply chain for the high-assay low-enriched uranium (HALEU) needed to fuel those plants, according to two new reports from the Nuclear Innovation Alliance (NIA).
Released Tuesday, “Fission Vision” acknowledges NIA’s 100-GW target may seem daunting, “but nuclear energy has been constructed this quickly in the United States before. Over 100 GW of light water reactors were constructed in the United States between 1960 and 1990,” the report says. “Application of modern manufacturing and construction practices can help us meet or exceed historic nuclear energy deployment rates and enable the doubling of domestic nuclear energy production by 2050.”
But the second report, focused on HALEU, cautions, “The main challenge of developing a mature commercial HALEU fuel cycle is that high assurance of long-term HALEU demand is needed to justify significant capital investments by fuel cycle companies, while high assurance of near- and midterm HALEU availability is needed to support the business case for the deployment of advanced reactors. Federal policy and investment to jumpstart HALEU fuel cycle activities could help provide these initial market signals and catalyze development of a mature and sustainable commercial market.”
More urgent still, the Department of Energy is funding two advanced reactor demonstration projects, and according to NIA, their main source of HALEU is a Russian state-owned company called TENEX.
Speaking at a Tuesday webinar, NIA Executive Director Judi Greenwald said that “a whole-of-society effort” would be needed “to create the technical, policy, social and commercial conditions” to deploy advanced nuclear “at scale and at pace.” She called on DOE to launch an Advanced Nuclear Energy Earthshot, similar to its hydrogen and long-duration storage Earthshots, “to integrate DOE’s efforts with the broader innovation and commercialization ecosystem that includes private companies, universities and other entities.”
The Earthshot initiatives are specifically aimed at bringing down the costs of emerging technologies. For example, the Hydrogen Shot is targeting a price of $1/kg for green hydrogen within a decade — an 80% drop from its current price of about $5/kg. However, setting out a similar cost-reduction goal for nuclear would be difficult, Greenwald said, because of the range of applications for different-sized reactors.
The HALEU report, on the other hand, drills into the details of near-, mid- and long-term market development, looking at the role of the federal government either to ensure demand as a guaranteed offtaker of HALEU, or to help build out the processing plants and other facilities via a cost-sharing program with commercial suppliers. For example, the report estimates that early development of advanced reactors will need upward of 20 MT of HALEU at a price of $15,000/kg.
Thus, a federal offtake program for 10 MT/year could cost about $1.5 billion, not including costs for transportation or storage, the report says.
On Time and on Budget
Its lack of specificity notwithstanding, Greenwald said that “Fission Vision” is intended as a high-level rallying point for industry and government, underlining the integral role that NIA says nuclear must play in U.S. clean energy goals. President Biden has called for the country to decarbonize the electric grid by 2035 and achieve net-zero greenhouse gas emissions economywide by 2050.
As variable renewables increase on the grid, nuclear will be a critical source of firm, clean, dispatchable power, Greenwald said. “Climate solutions have to match the scope of the challenge,” she said. “Meeting our climate goals requires us to think bigger and consider the role advanced nuclear energy can play at scale.”
Further, “nuclear plants closed or not built are almost always right now replaced with fossil fuels,” said Josh Freed, senior vice president for climate and energy at Third Way, a D.C. think tank. “That’s bad for the economy; it’s bad for security; it’s bad for public health; and it’s bad for climate.”
Specific objectives in “Fission Vision” include:
ensuring projects are built on time and on budget by rebuilding the domestic supply chain and providing incentives to attract private investment;
tackling the complex social and environmental justice issues involved in nuclear regulation, siting and permitting, and the storing of spent nuclear fuel; and
integrating nuclear into clean energy planning and policies via “sensible and technology-inclusive” initiatives and a range of projects combining nuclear with renewables and storage, as well as repowering fossil fuel sites with advanced nuclear.
Freed also added another objective to the mix: developing a domestic advanced nuclear sector to promote U.S. competitiveness and leadership in global markets, where it currently lags behind Russia and China, as noted by the World Nuclear Association. Advanced nuclear plants built in the U.S. and exported overseas will be “a crucial tool to strengthen energy security for our allies abroad and reduce our dependence on energy supplies from authoritarian regimes,” he said.
The Nuclear Narrative
Freed and other speakers on the Tuesday webinar said that the narrative on nuclear has changed in recent years, with former opponents and skeptics now at least open to taking a second look. Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has similarly shifted the discussion in Europe, said Adam DeMella, global government affairs leader for GE Hitachi Nuclear Energy.
“Events in Ukraine have accelerated the energy transition, but they continue to push the importance of energy security to the fore,” DeMella said. “The U.S. has a key role to play here, but we have to get it right. If we don’t get it right, someone else will fill that void.”
A fundamental part of the new narrative is that nuclear technology itself is evolving. The advanced or next-generation nuclear reactors now in development use a higher-grade fuel, allowing for smaller, safer facilities that can use water, molten salt, gas or liquid metal for cooling and produce less waste. They can also more quickly adjust their output to match demand and provide both electricity and heat for industrial uses, such as the production of green hydrogen.
HALEU is the higher-grade fuel required for advanced reactors. It has concentrations of uranium-235 — the isotope needed for sustained nuclear reactions — at close to 20%. The uranium used in existing light water reactors has uranium-235 concentrations of about 5%, while weapons-grade uranium has concentrations of more than 90%.
Jessica Lovering, executive director of the nonprofit Good Energy Collective, laid out “the progressive case for advanced nuclear” her organization is trying to build. The success of the DOE demonstration projects and those that follow will depend on “genuine community support and buy-in,” she said. “And this will set an example for other communities that might be interested in hosting.”
Issues like permitting and siting for projects and nuclear waste storage are “heavy lifts” that will require coordination across public and private sectors, Lovering said. But she argued that advanced nuclear technologies, “particularly small modular reactors and microreactors, offer some opportunities for more equitable deployment of nuclear. They’re not a silver bullet, but they do facilitate more community ownership and control over energy production,” she said, particularly pointing to emerging economies that may not have the demand or infrastructure for a large reactor.
DeMella agreed that successful demonstration of small modular reactors will be key. He called for increased funding for the Nuclear Regulatory Commission to ensure adequate staff and expertise for the licensing of new plants. For example, DOE’s two demonstration projects are both slated to be online by 2028, and the licensing process for new reactors at the NRC can take up to five years, according to the U.S. Energy Information Administration.
Beyond licensing, he said, the industry will also need to simplify reactor designs and develop new excavation methods to cut project costs.
Bridge to the Future
Developing a HALEU supply chain in the U.S. presents yet another challenge.
Led by Sen. John Barrasso (R-Wyo.), ranking member of the Senate Energy and Natural Resources Committee, Republicans in March introduced a bill (S. 3978) that would ban the import of Russian uranium, with a companion bipartisan bill introduced in the House of Representatives.
Barrasso has also introduced a second bill (S. 4066) that would mandate that DOE prioritize securing a domestic supply chain for HALEU by using its own nuclear stocks to produce the fuel. One of DOE’s advanced nuclear demonstration projects — the 345-MW Natrium project being developed by TerraPower and GE Hitachi — is to be built in Wyoming.
The NIA report says that at present, only one facility in the U.S. ― the Centrus American Centrifuge Demonstration project in Piketon, Ohio ― is licensed to produce HALEU and only in limited amounts, about 1 MT/year. The report estimates that an initial group of advanced reactors, including the DOE demonstration projects, will require 20 MT of HALEU.
Building out additional new processing facilities would provide the foundation the country needs for mid- and long-term advanced reactor development, but according to NIA Project Manager Patrick White, “it’s not clear at this moment if they could be brought online quickly enough to meet the near-term demand.”
Drawing on DOE’s National Nuclear Security Administration’s stockpile would be “challenging programmatically,” the HALEU report says. With existing facilities, this option could produce a stopgap amount ― 5 to 10 MT — of HALEU per year, and while possible, the U.S. would need to balance HALEU production with other national security considerations. Significant federal investment would also be needed but “would not result in robust new HALEU production infrastructure possibilities,” the report says.
“Determining the best path forward on near-term HALEU absent supply from Russia requires us to examine the capabilities of different enrichment and fuel cycle providers to bring new capacity online, the timing and material needs for advanced reactor developers, and the ability of DOE to allocate … federal uranium supplies to HALEU production,” White said in an email to NetZero Insider.
DeMella also sees trade-offs ahead. Industry and government will need to cooperate to “figure out what’s ready to deploy in the near term, and work on those things in the near term, and then continue to work on the improvements that come in the next generation and the generation beyond,” he said. “Because if we don’t have a bridge to the future, we don’t ever get to the future.”
The Massachusetts Commission on Clean Heat signaled Thursday its intention to recommend that regulators consider adopting a clean heat standard (CHS) for the state’s buildings sector.
“We propose to request that the Department of Environmental Protection develop the design for meeting [building emission] caps via regulation, including the consideration of a [CHS] for projects that transition from an emitting heating resource to a non-emitting heating resource, including weatherization and transition to heat pumps,” said Judy Chang, undersecretary of Energy and Climate Solutions at the Executive Office of Energy and Environmental Affairs (EEA).
Chang presented several potential commission recommendations for buildings as part of a draft 2025/2030 Clean Energy and Climate Plan (CECP) due to the state legislature July 1. The 22-member commission, which Chang chairs, will develop clean building sector policy recommendations throughout this year that will inform the CECP and other efforts to achieve net-zero emissions by 2050.
“We’re analyzing the potential for a CHS to help achieve the [greenhouse gas] emission reductions that we need and the potential implications for the costs and how to spread those costs,” Chang said.
To support building decarbonization, the commission is creating a mechanism for building owners to report clean heat metrics, such as energy use intensity and GHG emissions, she said. The mechanism, she added, will be the first step in standardizing how different building sizes and types report emissions.
The commission also wants to align state programs with clean heat goals.
That effort could include what Chang called “sweeping” changes that adjust how utilities invest in infrastructure and shift the purpose of the Mass Save program from energy savings to GHG emissions savings.
In December 2020, the administration released an interim 2030 CECP, but passage of the 2021 Next Generation Roadmap requires both a 2025 and 2030 plan. EEA must develop the 2025/2030 CECP with increasing economy-wide limits for reaching net-zero emissions in 2050 and sector-specific sublimits.
The draft CECP is based on policies and programs that are under development and underway and take into consideration the public comments submitted on the interim CECP over the last year, Chang said.
To reach state emission targets, the draft CECP proposes emission sublimits for residential building heating of a 27% reduction by 2025 and a 44% reduction by 2030. Proposed sublimits for the commercial and industrial heating sector are 20% by 2025 and 47% by 2030.
Key factors in the draft for achieving building sector sublimits include weatherizing one-third of buildings, installing heat pumps in one-third of homes, electrifying commercial buildings and providing gap funding for clean heat solutions.
Comments on the draft CECP are due April 30.
Transportation
While decarbonizing Massachusetts’ building sector will be “challenging,” Chang said, the primary driver for “deep decarbonization” in the CECP through 2030 is electrification of vehicles.
The state has already issued California’s Advanced Clean Trucks regulation and will move forward with the Advanced Clean Cars II (ACCII) regulation when the California Air Resources Board finalizes it. Under the clean trucks regulation, commercial vehicle sales must transition to zero-emission technologies at increasing rates, with 75% of medium-duty truck sales being zero-emission by 2035.
In a recent updated draft of the ACCII regulation, the board proposed increasing early year target percentages for zero-emission new car sales on the path to 100% in 2035. (See New Draft of Advanced Clean Cars II Would Speed ZEV Sales.)
Other policy recommendations that would be new to the CECP focus on school buses, vehicles for hire and delivery trucks, according to Chang.
Massachusetts already launched an electric school bus program earlier this year to help school districts compete for federal funding, and the draft CECP proposes launching a vehicle-for-hire program for high-visibility, high-mileage drivers.
The program will “help educate the public about the comfort and the value of EVs,” Chang said.
A separate program proposal for delivery trucks would provide incentives for electrifying high-mileage vans and trucks.
“The rise of e-commerce makes delivery trucks a growing source of emissions, particularly near our ports and more broadly in our residential communities,” Chang said. Funding for the three programs, she added, is included in a $9.7 billion transportation bond bill currently before the Massachusetts legislature. (See Mass. Transportation Bond Bill Seeks to Unlock $4B in IIJA Funds.)
Through the draft CECP proposals, the state expects to have 200,000 registered passenger EVs by 2025 and 900,000 by 2030. In addition, 50,000 medium- and heavy-duty zero-emission vehicles would be in use by 2030.
