A band of incumbent utilities has collected case studies that they say demonstrate the need to instate or maintain right-of-first-refusal laws for the good of grid expansion.
The Developers Advocating Transmission Advancements (DATA) — comprising Ameren, Eversource Energy, Exelon, ITC Holdings, National Grid USA and Xcel Energy — released a white paper Feb. 5 faulting FERC’s Order 1000 and solicitation processes for hindering more effective grid expansion.
Competitive bidding “isn’t compatible with what’s needed now,” ITC Director of Federal Affairs Devin McMackin said in an interview with RTO Insider. “We think it’s well established now that the cost benefits of competitive bidding haven’t materialized. It creates more litigation than it does transmission.”
On the other hand, McMackin said the ROFR is “a model that we know works.”
The report, “Recent Experience with Competitive Transmission Projects and Solicitations,” emphasizes four recent project scenarios from MISO, PJM, CAISO and New England that DATA says put the flaws of competitive processes on display.
The group said a competitive bidding and selection process can fail to take full projects costs into account; fail to “right-size” projects; fail to consider the feasibility of siting and routing proposals; and can come equipped with “illusory” cost caps.
“Order No. 1000 policy has created the incentive for developers to relentlessly argue over the right to build projects, fostering uncertainty that is to the detriment of actual infrastructure development,” DATA wrote. It argued that competitive solicitations have not resulted in benefits, instead contributing to a development environment rife with “litigation and administrative challenges, protracted solicitation processes and re-scoping of projects” — all without “demonstrated countervailing benefit to consumers.”
“There remains no evidence that FERC’s competitive transmission policy has improved the process of developing needed transmission infrastructure. Instead, there is an ever growing body of evidence that reform is needed,” the group said.
MISO
In MISO, DATA said ongoing uncertainty over Iowa’s ROFR law placed 447 miles of planned 345-kV circuits at a temporary standstill. The $2.1 billion worth of lines originate from the RTO’s first long-range transmission plan (LRTP) approved in 2022.
At first, MISO automatically assigned the lines to ITC Midwest and MidAmerican Energy, but in late 2023, a state court struck down the law in a case brought by competitive developer LS Power. (See Iowa ROFR Law Overturned, Throwing Multiple MISO LRTP Projects into Uncertainty.) Appeals from the incumbents and the Iowa attorney general are pending. After conducting a variance analysis, MISO reaffirmed the lines should continue to be developed by ITC and MidAmerican.
DATA said litigation over Iowa’s ROFR could have an “adverse, cascading effect” on MISO’s first LRTP projects and delay economic and reliability benefits. Rather than lower costs, Order 1000 has “created the incentive for competitive developers to fight a constant and multifront battle for the opportunity to develop transmission projects, even if the result is to the detriment of actual infrastructure development,” it said.
LS Power has also filed a complaint with FERC against MISO for effectively ignoring a preliminary injunction against Indiana’s ROFR law. The company argued it is being denied the opportunity to bid on about $1 billion in LRTP projects. (See LS Power Files Complaint Against MISO over Indiana ROFR.)
McMackin said once grid planners go through the “arduous” process of assembling a transmission portfolio, the last thing anyone wants is to spend years deciding which developer should build it.
McMackin said the certainty ROFRs deliver is evident in MISO, where long-range transmission projects in states with such laws move straight to development, while projects in non-ROFR states are ushered through yearslong solicitation processes.
“States without ROFRs won’t even get bids out for two years,” McMackin said, adding that DATA’s “core contention is that ROFR is pro-transmission policy.”
PJM
Competitive processes, DATA said, can have planners selecting projects that are not the best in the long term or the most cost-effective.
DATA singled out the $513 million, 500-kV MidAtlantic Resiliency Link (MARL), which PJM awarded to NextEra Energy in Window 3 of its 2022 Regional Transmission Expansion Plan. NextEra was tasked with routing the project through the notoriously difficult-to-site Loudoun County, Va., in the Dominion zone. The company initially used Google Maps to chart an ultimately infeasible corridor and skipped deeper routing analyses. Eventually, Exelon and FirstEnergy assisted with an alternative route and construction on their existing rights of way, and NextEra and PJM agreed to cancel a portion of the project in favor of incumbent utilities building sections. PJM’s Board of Managers approved the changes to the project in 2024, at a net increase in costs.
DATA said NextEra’s bid on MARL shows how developers can submit “unsophisticated and incomplete proposals” to an “artificially constrained assessment.” It said competitive bidders don’t instinctively reach out to other utilities for the type of collaboration that might come naturally to incumbent developers.
“Challenges with siting transmission … along the initial MARL route should not have been a surprise to NextEra, or to PJM,” DATA wrote. “We will never know if a project collaboratively developed by incumbent utilities in the first instance would have avoided the increased cost or identified a superior, more holistic, more robust solution.”
New England
DATA also pointed to the $2.78 billion, 345-kV Aroostook Renewable Gateway project in Northern Maine that the Public Utilities Commission awarded in 2022 and subsequently withdrew because selected developer LS Power announced it would exceed its original fixed-price bid.
The PUC has since initiated a new docket to contemplate an alternative project and developer.
DATA said hard cost caps are ill suited for the “development challenges and commercial realities of electric transmission,” which include long lead times, high capital costs and regulatory hurdles, among other cost pressures.
CAISO
Finally, DATA called out two HVDC transmission projects in the San Francisco South Bay region — Newark-to-Northern Receiving Station and Metcalf-to-San Jose B — from CAISO’s 2021-2022 transmission plan, also awarded to LS Power.
According to the report, when significant load growth entered the picture and brought hypothetical overloads with the original design, CAISO was forced to modify the Newark project into a 230-kV switchyard and a 230-kV AC circuit. CAISO said it will set apart a San Jose B substation expansion as part of the project for incumbent Pacific Gas and Electric instead of allowing LS Power to build a new station to avoid building duplicative substations on scarce land.
CAISO also must include a new Northern Receiving Station-to-San Jose B circuit that is set to be awarded through bidding later this year.
DATA said CAISO’s twisty rescoping and involvement of new developers on the project shows how competitive processes can “lead to fractured and inferior planning outcomes that fail to make project selections accounting for the full costs that will be borne by customers and do not maximize or ‘right-size’ the value of solutions to meet immediate and future needs.”
‘Unintended Consequences’
What the case studies “collectively demonstrate is … a full range of unintended consequences,” McMackin said. Competitive developers may make “routing choices that might not be compatible with the project with the expectation that it can all be renegotiated later.”
As of press time, LS Power did not respond to RTO Insider’s request for comment on whether it believes the shift in projects can be construed as misfires, or whether it views its litigation as postponing transmission construction.
The Electricity Transmission Competition Coalition (ETCC) has recently renewed its argument that monopoly incumbents continue to price gouge. It noted that according to the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics’ Consumer Price Index Summary for January, annual electricity price inflation climbed at four times the rate of the average U.S. grocery bill.
ETCC maintains that MISO ratepayers could save several million if all projects in its second, nearly $22 billion LRTP portfolio are competitively bid.
Two months ago, MISO was compelled to conduct a variance analysis on one of the LRTP projects from its first portfolio following a cost increase of more than 2.5 in the project under incumbent Northern Indiana Public Service Co. The planned 345-kV Morrison Ditch-Reynolds-Burr Oak-Leesburg-Hiple line in Illinois and Indiana climbed from an estimated $261 million to $675 million. (See Cost Overruns on Project in 1st LRTP Prompt MISO Analysis.)
‘Meeting the Moment’
McMackin characterized DATA’s members as investor-owned utilities that are supportive of regional transmission. They are “deeply engaged” in building the grids that can “meet the moment” of demand growth from artificial intelligence, electrification and decarbonization.
“Right now, what’s best for customers is getting transmission built,” McMackin said.
He acknowledged that it is natural that incumbent utilities would want project opportunities.
“I think that’s a fair question that goes to motivation,” he said. But he said ROFRs have “strong track records of working,” having been the default before Order 1000. He argued ROFRs are needed to “reestablish certainty to get infrastructure built expeditiously.”
McMackin recognized that getting transmission built is complicated and challenging.
“We do not make the claim that incumbent developers don’t encounter the same challenges that non-incumbent developers do, because developing large-scale transmission is hard. And it’s hard across the board,” McMackin said. However, he said non-incumbent development of projects more routinely results in “cost escalations beyond what’s expected.”
“Non-incumbent development has a host of issues,” he said, adding that he expects the issues to escalate with FERC’s Order 1920. “To the extent that there’s not ROFR certainty from FERC, there will be more examples.”
DATA would like to see FERC reopen the ROFR topic so the group can share the “data we now have about how this process is working,” McMackin said. “We need more federal certainty on the issue.”