The Bonneville Power Administration outlined suggested modifications to its commercial business model (CBM) as the agency explores updating transmission processes.
The proposed changes were presented at a Jan. 6 workshop, which is part of a series of public meetings the agency is hosting under its Grid Access Transformation (GAT) project.
BPA paused certain planning processes and launched the GAT program in 2025 to consider changes following a surge of transmission service requests (TSRs). The federal power agency’s 2025 transmission cluster study includes more than 65 GW of requests, compared with 5.9 GW in 2021. The requests exceed the total regional load forecast for the Pacific Northwest in 2034, according to the agency. (See Utilities Back Some BPA Transmission Updates, Hesitate on Others.)
“The commercial business model will essentially become the path forward for commercial customers to receive firm power service when we don’t have the capacity currently available to meet that customer’s need,” BPA spokesperson Kevin Wingert told RTO Insider in an email. “The CBM will outline the process by which we identify necessary transmission upgrades in the system in collaboration with the commercial customer(s) to be able to offer firm service.”
The CBM needs to be updated because of “significant shifts” in the industry, Lauren Nichols-Kinas, public utility specialist in BPA’s Transmission Commercial Planning team, said at the workshop.
“It’s seeming pretty logical that we need to re-examine our commercial business model and assess what’s working well and what possibly needs to be shifted a little bit to make it fit better with the things we’ve learned and the changes that are happening within the Northwest footprint,” Nichols-Kinas said.
By updating the CBM, BPA hopes to achieve six objectives, according to presentation slides:
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- Ensure all TSRs remaining in the queue are “studiable,” meaning BPA has enough information to launch a study;
- Achieve a “studiable” queue volume and process;
- Balance causation and socialized cost;
- Appropriately allocate risks associated with transmission expansion, including financial and modeling risks;
- Support BPA’s mission regarding commercial transmission expansion; and
- Fairly allocate scarce system capability.
The size of the queue affects the agency’s ability to accept uncertainty or incomplete information from requests during the studies and planning phase, according to Chris Gilbert, BPA public utility specialist.
“When the queue was 3.8 [GW] one year and 3.6 the next, we could take a lot more uncertainty,” Gilbert said. “When the queue went to 11 and 17, that ability to take some uncertainty within the data of the request decreases. Because … if you study 17 GW with a lot of incomplete data, we’re going to get power flow results that are the wrong projects in the wrong location. They’re not sized right, they’re not the right ones … we can’t do that to the region. We’ve got to narrow that down.”
‘Higher Bar’
Staff presented a matrix during the workshop, outlining potential areas for adjustment.
Nichols-Kinas noted the options presented in the matrix are initial ideas, saying BPA “does not have a preferred option in terms of changes to the business model.” Any modifications need to “be heavily informed by a regional conversation,” she added.
The matrix left some areas unchanged, like the $10,000 point-to-point TSR processing fee. But the cost of participating in a commercial study could increase, Nichols-Kinas said.
Developers pay around $150 to $200/MW of a potential project to participate in cost studies. If BPA spends less money than collected on the study, the agency issues a refund at the end of the study, Nichols-Kinas noted.
Going forward, BPA could “add an element of a nonrefundable flat per-TSR fee somewhere in the range of $10,000 to $100,000” to collect the full cost of what the agency spends on conducting the studies, she said.
“Having an upfront fee that makes sure that we’re covering those costs, and that provides conceivably a higher bar to entry, maybe makes sense at this juncture,” Nichols-Kinas added.
Staff emphasized that BPA is seeking feedback on whether “this is a healthy way to manage the size of the queue and risk mitigation.”
Other ideas include adopting longer minimum-term service contracts and changing how costs associated with preliminary engineering agreements and environmental studies are handled.
Seattle City Light’s Michael Watkins said the utility would support longer transmission contracts “as a way to securitize projects.”
“Having longer transmission service requirements could be used in other aspects that you’re looking at as a mechanism for gauging seriousness of requests, or as a requirement for granting interim service,” Watkins said. “This could apply to several aspects that we’ve talked about today.”