November 16, 2024

ERCOT Board of Directors/Annual Meeting Briefs: Dec. 11, 2018

By Tom Kleckner

Staff Revisiting 2018 Playbook in Planning for 2019’s Slim Reserve Margins

AUSTIN, Texas — ERCOT is repeating many of the preparations it took before last summer — and adding others — as it looks ahead to even tighter reserve margins in 2019.

CEO Bill Magness told the Board of Directors on Dec. 11 that meetings have already begun with stakeholders as the grid operator begins preparations to take on summer load with an 8.1% reserve margin. Staff and stakeholders collaborated similarly last year to minimize generation downtime and ensure the availability of resources during the high-demand periods.

ERCOT’s 2017 year-end capacity, demand and reserves report revealed a 9.3% reserve margin. A 525-MW increase in generation capacity helped improve that margin to 11% before the summer season began. The grid operator met 14 new demand peaks above the previous record without resorting to emergency measures.

“As we did last summer, and with tight reserves expected, we’re going in and talking with all of you … on the things we can be doing and the things we can be doing together to make sure that we’re ready for a tight summer,” Magness said.

DeAnn Walker, chair of the Texas Public Utility Commission, has already coordinated meetings between the electric sector and gas pipelines.

Separately, ERCOT has made distributed energy resources and switchable units — interconnected to other regions but available to ERCOT — a point of emphasis. The board’s recently approved Nodal Protocol revision request (NPRR869) requires certain behind-the-meter generators over 1 MW to provide modeling information. Staff has also been working to clarify operating agreements with SPP and MISO over the use of switchable units.

“It’s incredibly important that your model reflect what is on your system when you have tight conditions, and you really need to know what to expect,” Magness said.

Another measure, NPRR901, part of the board’s consent agenda last week, adds a new resource status code for switchable resources operating in a non-ERCOT control area. Magness said a staff proposal, NPRR912, which is currently before the Protocol Revision Subcommittee, “will address the compensation issue for when units move back and forth.”

“That discussion has begun,” Magness said.

Addressing the shrinking reserve margin, Magness said there were no major retirements akin to 2017’s 4-GW loss of coal-fired capacity. He said a change in the calculation of emergency response reserve service, capacity deratings and delayed renewable and gas projects accounted for 2.5 percentage points of the 2.9-point drop in the reserve margin.

A 564-MW increase in the load forecast for the Far West Texas weather zone, fueled by oil and gas production in the reserves-heavy Permian Basin, represented almost a percentage point decrease in the reserve margin.

The growth has been fueled by the Permian Basin’s rich petroleum reserves, the largest in the U.S. Production has nearly doubled in the last three years, to 3.4 million barrels/day.

“We’ve been talking about Far West Texas load at every board meeting for at least a year, because we continue to see accelerating load growth in that area, an area with very little load until recently,” Magness said.

He noted the board has approved transmission projects in recent years to meet the growing demand. (See ERCOT Board of Directors Briefs: June 12, 2018.)

Revenues Up

ERCOT is looking at a $26.1 million favorable variance in net revenues, Magness said, mostly because of an $11 million gain in interest income and a $7.5 million jump in system administration fees.

“I wish I could credit that to our financial wizardry, but it is more that revenues have increased substantially over what was originally budgeted,” Magness said.

Staff used an interest rate of about 0.37% when they drafted the biennial 2018-19 budget. Magness noted rates have increased to a “shocking” 1.73% since then.

“That’s something, as we budget for 2020, we see ourselves correcting as we align that more with current interest rates,” he said.

New World of Gas Prices for Market

Beth Garza, executive director of ERCOT’s Independent Market Monitor, warned stakeholders that the market is “heading into a very different natural gas world.”

“We’re starting to see some very different gas prices than we’ve seen the last few years,” she said during her regular board report.

The Monitor uses Houston Ship Channel prices as its underlying index price. Garza said the index’s November prices are at $4.10/MMBtu after almost two years in the $2/MMBtu range.

The increase in gas prices has resulted in an accompanying 24% increase in average real-time energy prices, to $35.90/MWh through October. Prices were at $29/MWh a year ago, on their way to finishing 2017 at $28.30/MWh.

Forward prices for summer 2019 are also on the rise, Garza said, with $173/MWh prices for August as of Nov. 23.

“That’s not as high as we saw heading into July and August of last [summer], but we’re in December,” she said.

ERCOT Staff Share 5-Year Strategic Plan

Staff delivered an overview of the 2019-2023 strategic plan, telling the board and stakeholders that ERCOT’s leadership is setting up the organization to “quickly adapt to those changes that may come to us.”

“What we are required to do as an organization has not changed, but we must proactively change how we do things so that we can keep up with those things that are happening to us,” said Kristi Hobbs, ERCOT’s director of enterprise risk management and strategic analysis, who led the team.

The team solicited feedback from 200 stakeholders in drafting a plan that lists four objectives:

  • Enhancing operating capabilities to maintain reliability in an increasingly complex system;
  • Improving information exchange to facilitate collaboration;
  • Advancing competitive solutions to industry changes; and
  • Optimizing the use of ERCOT resources to “continuously provide high-value services.”

In an opening message, Magness wrote that there is no magic to the five-year time horizon, but that it “does require us to think far enough into the future to consider potential technological, economic and policy changes.”

2019 Board Members, TAC Reps Approved

Members approved and confirmed directors and segment alternates to the board for 2019 during ERCOT’s 48th Annual Membership Meeting.

Exelon’s Bill Berg and Direct Energy’s Ned Ross will join the board as segment alternates in the Independent Generator and Independent Retail Electric Provider segments, respectively. Berg replaces Luminant’s Amanda Frazier, and Ross steps in for VEH’s Mohsin Hassan.

Two board positions are vacant. The Consumer-Texas Office of Public Utility Counsel position is empty, following the recent departure of Tonya Baer, who has become the deputy director for the Texas Commission on Environmental Quality’s Office of Air.

The board also has a vacancy in the Unaffiliated segment.

The board previously confirmed the Technical Advisory Committee’s members for 2019.

The TAC will welcome Brandon Whittle (Calpine), Marty Downey (Electranet Power) and David Kee (CPS Energy) as new members. They replace Thresa Allen (Avangrid Renewables), Read Comstock (Source Power & Gas) and John Bonnin (CPS), respectively.

TAC will hold its meetings on the fourth Wednesday of the month next year, a switch from Thursdays.

Board Approves Staff Recs, 31 Change Requests

The board unanimously approved ERCOT’s key performance indicators for 2019 staff compensation and Schellman & Co.’s 2018 system and organization control audit report, which found no exceptions. It also approved two TAC-endorsed staff recommendations: an increase from 5% to 7.5% of the boundary threshold used in calculating load forecasts for Far West Texas, and removing a 1,375-MW floor on non-spinning reserves, part of the annual review of ERCOT’s methodology for determining ancillary service requirements. (See ERCOT Technical Advisory Committee Briefs: Nov. 29, 2018.)

The board also unanimously passed a consent agenda that included 14 NPRRs, a Load Profiling Guide revision request (LPGRR), two changes to the Nodal Operating Guide (NOGRRs), three Other Binding Document revisions (OBDRRs), four changes to the Planning Guide (PGRRs), a Retail Market Guide change (RMGRR), two revisions to the Resource Registration Glossary (RRGRR) and a system change request (SCR):

  • NPRR878: Emergency response service obligation report for transmission and/or distribution service providers.
  • NPRR879: Security-constrained economic dispatch base point, base point deviation and performance evaluation changes for intermittent renewable resources (IRRs) that carry ancillary services.
  • NPRR881: Reduces the residential validations requirements from an annual process to a triennial market event.
  • NPRR882: Procedures for wind and solar equipment change. (Related to PGRR067.)
  • NPRR884: Introduces systems changes needed to manage cases when ERCOT issues a reliability unit commitment instruction to a combined cycle resource that is already a qualified scheduling entity committed for an hour. The resource will operate in a configuration with greater capacity for that same hour.
  • NPRR887: Creates a new market information system certified area posting that provides insight into the potential risk associated with each counterparty’s default uplift charges.
  • NPRR892: Places a $75/MWh floor on energy for units carrying non-spinning reserve and responsive reserves and/or regulation up service concurrently to ensure the non-spin capacity is priced above the floor.
  • NPRR893: Clarification of fuel index price and incorporation of systemwide offer cap and scarcity pricing mechanism methodology into protocols.
  • NPRR894: Corrects the formula for allocating unaccounted for energy (UFE) to UFE categories by removing obsolete components.
  • NPRR895: Removes the current exclusion for IRRs that are not wind-powered in calculating the real-time ancillary services imbalance payment or charge. Photovoltaic generation resources are currently excluded in both the methodology for implementing the operating reserve demand curve to calculate the real-time reserve price adder and the process for settling the real-time ancillary services imbalance payment or charge.
  • NPRR897: Adjusts the black start service procurement and testing process timeline, adds a weather limitation disclosure form and aligns the load-carrying test procedure with actual practice.
  • NPRR898: Allows the electronic return of ERCOT-polled settlement metering site certification documents to the transmission and/or distribution service provider.
  • NPRR899: Creates a new process by which qualified market participants can opt out of receiving digital certificates and having to appoint a user security administrator (USA); clarifies ambiguous requirements certificate holders must meet to receive and continue to hold digital certificates; and clarifies that a USA may be responsible for managing access to certain ERCOT computer systems that do not require digital certificates.
  • NPRR901: Proposes a new resource status code (“EMRSWGR”) for switchable generation resources operating in a non-ERCOT control area to provide additional transparency for operations and reporting.
  • LPGRR065: Related to NPRR881, this change reduces the residential validations requirements from an annual process to a triennial market event and removes unnecessary load profile model approval process language.
  • NOGRR178: Clarifies language relating to automatic load shedding.
  • NOGRR182: Harmonizes the transmission operator emergency operations plan submittals with NERC reliability standard EOP-011-1 by clarifying that TOP plans should be received by Feb. 15 as part of the annual effort to review them within 30 days.
  • OBDRR006: Aligns language with NPRR884’s changes.
  • OBDRR007: Changes the ORDC’s methodology to consider curtailed PV resources in determining the ORDC price adders.
  • OBDRR009: Revises the online and offline capacity reserves for ERCOT out-of-market actions related to DC ties.
  • PGRR065: Documents and clarifies existing processes by including transmission project information and tracking report and data requirements.
  • PGRR066: Creates an inactive status generation interconnection or change request (GINR) projects that won’t be listed in ERCOT’s monthly generation interconnection status report but will retain the interconnection request numbers. Also defines a process that can be used to cancel interconnection requests that have failed to meet requirements.
  • PGRR067: Describes how wind and solar facility equipment changes are treated throughout the generation interconnection process and clarifies language for GINR-related fees.
  • PGRR068: Lays out the process for adding a DC tie to ERCOT’s planning models and associated requirements; related to the Texas PUC’s directive to determine how to model the proposed Southern Cross DC tie in its planning cases (Project 46304). (See “Staff’s Determination on DC Tie Flows, Pricing Gets OK ,” ERCOT Board of Directors Briefs: Oct. 9, 2018.)
  • RMGRR155: Related to NPRR889, the change uses the new term, settlement-only distribution generator (SOG), to replace references to non-modeled generator and registered distributed generation.
  • RRGRR018: Also related to NPRR889, uses the SOG term to replace glossary references to non-modeled generator.
  • RRGRR019: Adds a modeling designation for switchable generation resources (SWGRs) to the resource asset registration form, indicating that SWGRs can potentially operate in another control area.
  • SCR797: Allows ERCOT to automatically share current operating plans with a transmission service provider upon request by that provider.

CAISO Rev Requirement Shrinks, Despite RC Role

By Hudson Sangree

FOLSOM, Calif. — CAISO’s 2019 revenue requirement will be less than this year’s, despite hiring and costs associated with its planned new role as reliability coordinator for most of the West, staff members told the ISO’s Board of Governors on Thursday.

CAISO’s Board of Governors met Thursday in Folsom, Calif., to vote on the 2019 budget and to hear updates on next year’s policy initiatives. | © RTO Insider

The ISO’s proposed revenue requirement for 2019 is $193.5 million — $3.7 million less than in 2019. That’s within “the tight range that the ISO has maintained over the past 13 budget cycles and beneath the FERC-approved cap of $202 million,” CFO Ryan Seghesio wrote in a memo to the board.

Total outlays will grow to $230.9 million from $217.4 million in 2018, but new revenues from the RC business as well as increased gains from the Western Energy Imbalance Market and other increased revenues will offset that spending rise by $7.2 million. A $13.5 million operating cost reserve adjustment for overcollection this year will provide an additional offset.

April Gordon, CAISO’s director of financial planning and procurement, briefed the ISO’s Board of Governors on the 2019 budget Thursday. | © RTO Insider

Operations and maintenance costs will rise by $10.5 million, April Gordon, director of financial planning and procurement, said at the board meeting. CAISO CEO Stephen Berberich added that the additional spending was primarily from “adding headcount” for the ISO’s new RC component.

The ISO is set to take over RC services from Peak Reliability for the bulk of Western Interconnection states, starting in California in July. (See RC Transition Fraught With Pitfalls, WECC Hears.)

CAISO’s telecommunication, outsourcing and contract costs also will increase in 2019 because of the RC transition, Gordon told the board.

Another cost driver is the expansion of the EIM, with new entities joining the market and increasing administrative expenses, Gordon said. Powerex and Idaho Power began trading in the EIM this year, and the Sacramento Municipal Utility District will join in April 2019, she noted. (See Idaho, Powerex Began Trading in Western EIM.)

The board unanimously passed the ISO’s 2019 budget proposal. It also heard about 2019’s policy initiatives from Greg Cook, CAISO’s director of market and infrastructure policy. A major effort involves proposed changes to the day-ahead market, including 15-minute scheduling and flexible ramping.

Greg Cook, director of market and infrastructure policy, outlined 2019’s policy initiatives at the CAISO Board of Governors meeting Thursday. | © RTO Insider

“We’re looking at significant enhancements to our day-ahead markets,” Cook said.

CAISO Governor Angelina Galiteva asked Cook whether ISO staff were aligning their policy initiatives with outside developments, particularly California’s adoption of a rule requiring all new homes to have rooftop solar panels starting in 2020. The state Building Standards Commission approved the rule, the first of its kind in the U.S., on Dec. 5.

“It may catch up with us before we even know what’s going on,” Galiteva said.

In addition to solar panels, many households will eventually get in-home electricity storage units, she said. “My sense is people are going to start installing storage and a lot of it,” she said.

Berberich responded, “Governor, I think you’re probably appropriately worried.” He said behind-the-meter storage, linked to home solar panels, would complicate CAISO’s forecasting.

“Storage is going to be the biggest issue for us to sort out,” the CEO said. Policies may be needed to govern the charging and discharging of storage units, including financial incentives for homeowners, he said.

“I’m not suggesting we send real-time prices to retail customers,” he said. “I’m not sure that works.”

But policymakers may need to “signal to the retail level as best we can,” he said. “Then you can shape the behavior and usage.”

Calif. Regulators to Scrutinize De-energization

By Robert Mullin

The California Public Utilities Commission (CPUC) on Thursday voted to examine its rules allowing the state’s investor-owned utilities to de-energize power lines in cases of dangerous wildfire conditions “that threaten life or property.”

The practice of de-energization will get a dedicated proceeding, separate from another rulemaking effort set out in Senate Bill 901 to address utility wildfire mitigation. De-energization will be discussed in the SB901 proceeding as one of a broader set of fire prevention measures.

CPUC
Carla Peterman

“We can’t not act” on the de-energization issue, Commissioner Carla Peterman said during the Thursday voting meeting, her last with the commission. De-energization “is an option we don’t want to exercise often, but we do want the option to exercise.”

CPUC
Cliff Rechtschaffen

Commissioner Cliff Rechtschaffen said the issue was “worthy” of its own proceeding because de-energizing a line is a “significant event [with] significant consequences.”

“I support having this as a separate proceeding. … It is a requirement as part of the wildfire mitigation plans that the utilities now have to submit yearly that they include their de-energization protocols,” Rechtschaffen said. “[CPUC] President [Michael] Picker and I are the assigned commissioners partnered on the wildfire safety plans, and we’re committed to making sure that this proceeding is closely coordinated with that proceeding as we go forward.”

Proactive

The CPUC adopted the de-energization rules in July in response to the growing threat of wildfires throughout the state, especially in the expansive Pacific Gas and Electric and Southern California Edison service areas. Regulations around “proactive” shutoffs had previously applied only to San Diego Gas & Electric, which serves a historically highly fire-prone area.

CPUC
Elizaveta Malashenko

“Since then, the topic of proactive power shutoff has reached a lot of people and has become a [hot] point of discussion,” CPUC Director of Safety and Enforcement Elizaveta Malashenko told the commission.

Among other mandates, the July rules require all IOUs to notify customers before de-energizing facilities and report to the commission after the fact (Res ERSB-8).

But Malashenko noted that industry stakeholders and members of the public have raised “a range of concerns” about the program, and that utilities are increasingly “proactively de-energizing” their lines. (See Fire Season Becomes Blackout Time in California.)

“In my mind, the type of issues that would come up in [this] rulemaking as related to de-energization is how much the utilities should be using that as a tool, as opposed to mitigating wildfires in other ways, such as introducing coated conductors or undergrounding lines, or increasing their ability to detect faults faster, and things like that,” she said.

A CPUC staff report on the new rulemaking indicates the proceeding will focus on:

  • Examining conditions under which planned de‑energization is practiced;
  • Developing best practices and ensuring an orderly and effective set of criteria for evaluating de‑energization programs;
  • Ensuring electric utilities coordinate with state and local level first responders, and align their systems with the Standardized Emergency Management System framework;
  • Reducing the impact of de‑energization on vulnerable populations;
  • Examining ways to reduce the need for de‑energization;
  • Ensuring effective notice to affected stakeholders of possible de‑energization and follow‑up notice of actual de‑energization; and
  • Ensuring consistency in notices of and reporting of de-energization events.

Digitize the Landscape

During the meeting, Picker emphasized the importance of learning from SDG&E’s experience from de-energization — without leaning too heavily on it.

CPUC
Michael Picker

“Utilities have always de-energized,” Picker said. “We have so far required them to plan a little ahead and to provide notification, but what could we learn from San Diego? What should be applied elsewhere? And how do we know what will work in other parts of the state?”

Picker pointed out that in order to avoid de-energizing lines, SDG&E “digitized the landscape” in its service territory.

“They put sensors in a number of places,” he continued. “They put weather monitors, wind monitors, moisture monitors and cameras in places you wouldn’t expect to see that. They began to collect information. They began to look carefully at very granular conditions in specific parts of their service territory at a much finer level than has ever been modeled before.”

Picker said SDG&E over time developed “a much finer sense of where and when to de-energize, and what were the consequences.” But he also acknowledged that SDG&E has a much smaller service territory than either PG&E and SCE.

“When you begin to look at the service territories of the other regulated utilities … we may be able to expedite their processes, but they’re still going to have to go through that data-monitoring, data collection, analysis, modeling and eventual testing process,” Picker said.

“I want to be honest about what we’ll be able to achieve. I don’t think we’ll have a perfect set of rules right away.”

CAISO Q4 CRR Revenues Falling Short After Summer Surplus

By Hudson Sangree

FOLSOM, Calif. — CAISO’s efforts to rein in congestion revenue rights insufficiencies seemed to show progress this summer and early fall but fell short in the last months of 2018, the ISO reported Tuesday during its quarterly Market Performance and Planning Forum.

CAISO’s Guillermo Bautista Alderete and Rahul Kalaskar briefed the Market Performance and Planning Forum on Tuesday. | © RTO Insider

Historically CRR revenues have been inadequate to meet payouts, Guillermo Bautista Alderete, CAISO’s director of market analysis and forecasting, told meeting attendees at ISO headquarters.

That changed in the middle of this year because of high levels of summer congestion, he said.

“From July to October we actually flipped the condition, especially in July and August,” when there were significant surpluses, Bautista Alderete said. A graph he displayed showed a surplus in July of about $15 million and close to $40 million in August, which amounted to about 140% of revenue adequacy. Those figures did not include auction revenues.

The good news turned grim in November, when “we had insufficiency in the range of 80%,” he said. “Even if we account for auction revenues, we were still marginally short.”

The chronic shortfall in CRR revenues, leaving ratepayers footing the bill, has been an ongoing problem for CAISO. This year the ISO sought FERC’s approval for changes it hoped would help in 2019, but the commission was loath to give it everything it wanted.

In September, FERC rejected a CAISO plan to eliminate full funding of CRRs and instead scale payouts to align with revenue collected through the day-ahead market and congestion charges. (See FERC Rejects CAISO Congestion Revenue Scaling Plan.)

In October, the ISO asked FERC for expedited review of a revised proposal to protect electricity ratepayers from funding shortfalls. (See CAISO Modifies CRR Plan, Seeks Quick Approval.)

The congestion revenue rights market saw an inadequacy in November compared to surpluses this summer, CAISO said. | CAISO

CAISO noted in its filing that CRR revenue shortfalls have continued into this year, and it urged the commission to quickly approve the revised plan to relieve ratepayers from paying costs for fully funding CRRs in 2019.

The ISO’s Department of Market Monitoring has estimated that CRR revenue shortfalls, which are allocated based on power consumption, cost California ratepayers about $100 million a year.

In November, FERC OKs CAISO Plan to Deal with CRR Shortfalls.)

“We agree with CAISO that the proposal reasonably distributes the burden resulting from congestion revenue insufficiency and will help improve the revenue insufficiency and auction revenue shortfall,” FERC said. “Rather than relying solely on [load-serving entities] to make whole CRR holders in the event those obligations are revenue insufficient, CAISO’s proposal distributes the burden to all CRR holders.”

EIM prices were stable in the fourth quarter after spikes over the summer. | CAISO

Other results reported at Tuesday’s meeting included a stabilization in Western Energy Imbalance Market prices after a big spike at the end of July caused by high summer demand.

“As we have passed those summer months, the prices are generally stable,” Rahul Kalaskar, CAISO manager of market validation analysis, told those gathered and on the phone.

FERC Rejects SPP Confidentiality over NERC Fine

By Tom Kleckner

FERC on Monday denied SPP’s request for waivers from regulations guiding the confidential treatment of information in its explanation of how it allocated costs related to a NERC fine, the amount of which has not been publicly disclosed because of grid security concerns (ER19-97).

SPP filed the Section 205 request in October with an explanation of its allocation of costs from a NERC fine for violating reliability standards. The heavily redacted public version of the request shows the RTO asked for waivers from the requirement to include a protective agreement and from the regulations authorizing release of the filing’s confidential version to entities signing a nondisclosure agreement. SPP claimed that disclosing the information could jeopardize its system’s security.

But FERC ruled that “SPP has neither adequately supported its concerns nor justified the adverse effect that its waiver request would have on participants in this proceeding.” As the cost allocation plan did not include a proposed protective agreement, the commission dismissed it. It did so without prejudice, meaning SPP can refile its proposal for covering the penalty without the waiver request.

FERC noted intervenors would be willing to sign a protective agreement to review SPP’s filing and evaluate its proposed cost allocation.

SPP’s headquarters in Little Rock, Ark. | WER Architects

In the cost allocation filing, SPP said it paid the penalty costs using surplus funds, although a Tariff provision allows the recovery of such costs by direct assignment or cost allocations to members or market participants. The RTO’s Board of Directors approved offsetting the costs with employee compensation funds for 2018, an approach SPP said it adopted from FERC Order 693, which it said suggested RTOs and ISOs could tie employee compensation to compliance with reliability standards as a means of reducing repeat incurrences of penalties. The order also declined to provide grid operators blanket authority to recover penalty costs from members on a generic basis.

Under the board’s recommendation, the reduction in compensation would be reflected as a surplus in the administrative fee’s true-up for 2018, which would reduce the fee for 2019.

The West Texas Municipal Power Agency (WTMPA), created by the cities of Lubbock, Brownfield, Floydada and Tulia to increase their negotiating strength, intervened in the docket. While it did not protest the cost allocation plan or waiver request, it urged FERC to “strictly and expressly limit such findings to this case” if it approved them. The agency asked that interested parties be allowed access to information about the penalties and cost allocation, contending that it would be otherwise impossible for ratepayers to determine whether the penalty’s allocation was just, reasonable and not unduly discriminatory.

FERC regulations provide that any participant in a proceeding can make a written request to the filer for a copy of the document’s complete, nonpublic version. The request must include a signed copy of the filer’s protective agreement and a statement of the person’s “right to party or participant status or a copy of their motion to intervene or notice of intervention.”

SPP members Evergy, Oklahoma Gas & Electric and Western Farmers Electric Cooperative also intervened in the docket.

FERC Seeks More Details on Pleasant Prairie Recovery

By Amanda Durish Cook

FERC on Tuesday ordered a closer look into whether We Energies accurately estimated customer savings stemming from the retirement of the Pleasant Prairie coal plant in southeastern Wisconsin.

The commission’s Dec. 11 ruling accepted, then suspended, We Energies subsidiary Wisconsin Electric Power Co.’s new wholesale tariff that includes the remaining costs on the plant, setting the rate for hearing and settlement judge procedures over the company’s claims of ratepayer savings related to the shutdown (ER19-103).

We Energies in April permanently closed the 1,190-MW coal plant, which entered service in 1980.

Pleasant Prairie Power Plant | We Energies

At retirement, Pleasant Prairie had an unamortized plant balance of approximately $665 million, which We Energies sought to amortize over about 23 years through an adjustment to its rate base. The company contended the recovery is just and reasonable, citing FERC’s 1996 decision to allow Yankee Atomic Electric Co. to recover from ratepayers 100% of its remaining unamortized investment in its nuclear plant after a study showed the plant’s operating costs exceeded the value of the its energy output.

Between 2003 and 2007, We Energies invested $365 million worth of capital, environmental and reliability investments into Pleasant Prairie, all of which were approved by the Public Service Commission of Wisconsin.

“Although Pleasant Prairie has reliably served Wisconsin Electric’s customers for nearly 38 years, its value to customers began to decrease significantly after 2008 due to a significant loss of industrial load following the recession in 2007-2008 and improvements in energy efficiency; declining energy prices in MISO as a result of increased competition from natural gas and renewable energy resources; and a corresponding reduction in Pleasant Prairie’s dispatch in MISO markets,” the company told FERC.

We Energies says Pleasant Prairie’s retirement will save retail and wholesale customers anywhere from $2 billion to $3.2 billion.

But wholesale customer Great Lakes Utilities challenged the customer savings estimates, arguing that We Energies’ assumptions of a hypothetical carbon tax imposed in 2028 and other pricey environmental regulations on the coal plant are “not sufficiently supported.”

The commission agreed that the cost-savings assumptions could use more evaluation.

FERC said it “cannot determine on the record before us whether the third prong of the test set forth in Yankee Atomic has been satisfied such that there will be substantial savings for customers as a result of Pleasant Prairie’s retirement.”

In the Yankee Atomic decision, FERC said a 100% recovery of a prematurely retired plant’s unamortized balance is warranted when three criteria are met: the investment and retirement decisions are prudent, the plant has already provided years of beneficial service to customers and the retirement results in “substantial cost savings to customers.”

While FERC said We Energies demonstrated prudent investment and retirement decisions, and that Pleasant Prairie was beneficial to customers over its nearly four decades of reliable operation, it could not definitively answer without further proceedings whether the company would achieve substantial customer cost savings from retirement of the plant.

MISO to Evaluate Storage in Transmission Planning

By Amanda Durish Cook

CARMEL, Ind. — MISO officials are still hashing out how they can best model and analyze energy storage-as-transmission in the RTO’s transmission planning process.

During a Dec. 10 Reliability Subcommittee meeting, MISO Senior Manager of Expansion Planning Edin Habibovic said planning for storage-as-transmission boils down to four key modeling factors:

  • Determining the voltage, thermal or stability need;
  • Asking if storage is the most effective, efficient and economical solution;
  • Examining what level of megawatt or mega volt amps of injection is needed to resolve the issue; and
  • Investigating how long the reliability issue usually lasts.
Edin Habibovic | ©  RTO Insider

Habibovic said MISO also must study how frequently a storage asset would have to operate to resolve a reliability issue and how that cycling may impact the operational life of the asset. He also said MISO will need to look into seasonal load levels to estimate how often the asset may be dispatched in scenarios under the RTO’s annual Transmission Expansion Plan (MTEP).

Storage solutions would also be evaluated to make sure charging and discharging don’t cause harm either to the MISO transmission system or to generation projects in the definitive planning phase in the interconnection queue, Habibovic said.

“Just like any other reliability project, it can’t solve one problem and cause another,” he said.

But storage could be dispatched to minimize transmission system upgrade needs from generation projects in the definitive planning phase of the interconnection queue, he said. The result would be more flexibility in modeling the definitive planning phase.

WPPI Energy’s Steve Leovy asked if MISO would employ a storage-as-a-transmission-asset (SATA) study process on solutions submitted for MTEP 19. Habibovic said MISO would study storage projects and might provide additional MISO assessments and discussions about the study results and feasibility of such projects. MISO already has at least one proposed storage project lined up for study under Appendix A of MTEP 19.

So far, MISO is only proposing a model for storage to act as a transmission reliability solution, solving thermal, voltage or stability issues. The RTO is leaving more complex SATA issues for later rules. (See Few Clear Lines in MISO Storage as Tx Plan.)

MISO is accepting stakeholder comment on the challenges and benefits of incorporating transmission-level storage in reliability planning through Jan. 7.

Inverter Projects to Prove Stability

MISO has added an option for owners of inverter-based generation to prove the system won’t suffer degraded reliability because of their projects.

In October the RTO said it was mulling requiring owners of inverter-based resources to supply their short-circuit ratios at the point of interconnection before completing an application to enter the queue. (See MISO Moving to Head off Inverter-based Instability.)

Interconnection customers with an inverter-based project can now demonstrate a stable interconnection later in the queue process using one of two demonstration methods.

According to MISO interconnection engineer Warren Hess, project owners can either submit an Electromagnetic Transients Program (EMTP) study report confirming stable operation or, by the first decision point about 120 days into the queue, submit a short-circuit ratio at the point of interconnection and a manufacturer’s letter stating the equipment operates reliably.

As with the first proposal, any project owner unable to prove stable operation must either add equipment to raise the short-circuit ratio or reduce the size of the project.

MISO is accepting another round of feedback on the proposal through Jan. 2.

NYISO Forecasts Adequate Capacity for Winter

By Michael Kuser

NYISO said Tuesday it will have adequate capacity on hand to meet its forecasted peak demand of 24,269 MW for the 2018/19 winter season, well under last winter’s peak of 25,081 MW.

The ISO expects capacity resources, including imports and demand response, to total 43,943 MW this winter, ISO Vice President of Market Operations Emilie Nelson said in a review of the winter outlook.

Installed generation amounts to 41,539 MW, while the ISO has acquired external capacity of 1,519 MW for the winter. Projected demand response resources equal 884 MW, Nelson said.

NYISO long-term winter forecast for 2018 to 2025, including transmission and distribution losses. The low and high forecasts are at the 10th and 90th percentiles for extreme weather conditions, respectively. | NYISO

The ISO forecasts a capacity margin of 11,436 MW based on a 50/50 winter peak forecast with average winter weather conditions consisting of composite statewide temperatures of 15 degrees F. More extreme temperatures in the model (approximately 5 degrees statewide) result in a higher forecasted 90/10 peak load of 25,884 MW, with marginal capacity of 9,821 MW.

“Last winter’s peak [on Jan. 5] occurred during a two-week cold snap, and the all-time winter peak of 25,738 MW occurred in January 2014, during what was called the polar vortex,” Nelson said.

In response to the harsh winter five years ago, “we have fine-tuned many of the things we do in advance of the winter season,” Nelson said. The ISO enhanced its winter reliability planning by providing stronger incentives for generators to secure fuel for winter peak demand needs and improved its monitoring of the natural gas system and checking of generator fuel inventories.

“In preparing for the winter 2018/19, we start by conducting a generator fuel survey … and also we like to understand any arrangements they have in place for replacement fuel,” Nelson said. “This is particularly important in New York, because so many of our generators are located along waterways that allow replenishment of fuel storage through the winter.”

When considering resupply, the focus is on oil, which is typically used as a backup fuel in New York, prompting the ISO to differentiate between resources with fuel tanks that will be drawn down throughout the season and those that can resupply from barges as needed, Nelson said.

In the spirit of testing for extremes, the ISO forecast models a loss of natural gas scenario, which is less about replenishment than demand coming from both homes and power generators, she said.

FERC Rejects SPP Confidentiality over NERC Fine

By Tom Kleckner

FERC on Monday denied SPP’s request for waivers from regulations guiding the confidential treatment of information in its explanation of how it allocated costs related to a NERC fine, the amount of which has not been publicly disclosed because of grid security concerns (ER19-97).

SPP filed the Section 205 request in October with an explanation of its allocation of costs associated with a NERC fine for alleged violations of reliability standards. The heavily redacted public version of the request shows the RTO asked for waivers from the requirement to include a protective agreement and from the regulations authorizing release of the filing’s confidential version to entities signing a nondisclosure agreement. SPP claimed that disclosing the information could jeopardize its system’s security.

But FERC ruled that “SPP has neither adequately supported its concerns nor justified the adverse effect that its waiver request would have on participants in this proceeding.” As the cost allocation plan did not include a proposed protective agreement, the commission dismissed it. It did so without prejudice, meaning it did not rule on SPP’s approach to covering the penalty cost.

FERC noted intervenors would be willing to sign a protective agreement to review SPP’s filing and evaluate its proposed cost allocation.

SPP
SPP’s headquarters in Little Rock, Ark. | WER Architects

In the cost allocation filing, SPP said it paid the penalty costs using surplus funds, although a Tariff provision allows the recovery of such costs by direct assignment or cost allocations to members or market participants. The RTO’s Board of Directors approved offsetting the costs with employee compensation funds for 2018, an approach SPP said it adopted from FERC Order 693, which it said suggested RTOs and ISOs could tie employee compensation to compliance with reliability standards as a means of reducing repeat incurrences of penalties. The order also declined to provide grid operators blanket authority to recover penalty costs from members on a generic basis.

Under the board’s recommendation, the reduction in compensation would be reflected as a surplus in the administrative fee’s true-up for 2018, which would reduce the fee for 2019.

The West Texas Municipal Power Agency (WTMPA), created by the cities of Lubbock, Brownfield, Floydada and Tulia to increase their negotiating strength, intervened in the docket. While it did not protest the cost allocation plan or waiver request, it urged FERC to “strictly and expressly limit such findings to this case” if it approved them. The agency asked that interested parties be allowed access to information about the penalties and cost allocation, contending that it would be otherwise impossible for ratepayers to determine whether the penalty’s allocation was just, reasonable and not unduly discriminatory.

FERC regulations provide that any participant in a proceeding — or that has filed a motion to intervene or notice of intervention — can make a written request to the filer for a copy of the document’s complete, nonpublic version. The request must include a signed copy of the filer’s protective agreement and a statement of the person’s “right to party or participant status or a copy of their motion to intervene or notice of intervention.”

SPP members Evergy, Oklahoma Gas & Electric and Western Farmers Electric Cooperative also intervened in the docket.

Commissioner Kevin McIntyre, who has been battling health issues, did not vote on the order.

Overheard at gridCONNEXT 2018

By Rich Heidorn Jr.

Consumers not Benefiting from Smart Grid, Advocate Says

gridCONNEXT
John Gartner of Navigant Research (at podium) moderated a discussion on electrifying city bus fleets at gridCONNEXT 2018 last week. Appearing on the panel were, left to right, Lisa Jerram, American Public Transportation Association; Stephanie Medeiros, ABB; Ryan Popple, Proterra; and Michael Smith, Constellation. | © RTO Insider

WASHINGTON — When it comes to the smart grid, count consumer advocate David Springe as a nonbeliever.

He began his talk at gridCONNEXT 2018 last week with a vendor’s definition: “Smart grid is the convergence of information and operational technologies applied to the electric grid, allowing sustainable options to customers and improved security, reliability and efficiency to utilities.”

gridCONNEXT
David Springe, National Association of State Utility Consumer Advocates (NASUCA) | © RTO Insider

Then Springe gave the consumer advocate’s definition: “Smart grid employs new technologies that are more expensive and less secure than the current technologies to give pricing flexibility that customers don’t want, to communicate with small and smart appliances customers don’t own.”

Although he wrote that definition eight years ago, Springe, executive director of the National Association of State Utility Consumer Advocates (NASUCA), said it still applies. “The vast majority of customers don’t interact with their meters; [they] aren’t on time-of-use rates,” he said.

Customers, he said, have seen little benefit from replacing $100 analog meters that were depreciated over 30 years with digital meters that cost twice as much and are depreciated over only five years. “Frankly, all that meter infrastructure was pretty much used to read meters once a month. We spent a lot of money. If we did it under the premises of providing something that consumers wanted, we failed.

“There’s a million great ideas out there that only need somebody’s money to make it happen,” he continued. Consumer advocates “see this at the ground level where all these grand ideas that are being shared in this room show up on the utility balance sheet, show up on the utility bill.”

Instead of lusting after new technology, Springe said, utilities and regulators should focus on increasing efficiency and reducing costs through outsourcing and cloud computing. “Why does every utility have its own communication system? Meter system? Back office systems?” he asked.

Springe said consumers are seeing reduced generation costs swamped by increases in distribution and transmission charges.

Former FERC Chair Jon Wellinghoff | © RTO Insider

That’s due in part to antiquated cost-of-service ratemaking that is preventing innovations that could save consumers money, said former FERC Chair Jon Wellinghoff, who shared a panel with Springe.

Wellinghoff is much more bullish on new technology, such as transmission devices that can add capacity without reconductoring or adding new substations.

He cited a project that Pacific Gas and Electric is building in West Oakland, which will combine distribution-level storage, behind-the-meter controls for demand response and distributed generation, and the aggregation of rooftop solar to address reliability concerns over the retirement of a Dynegy generator. The $100 million project won out over a $300 million proposal to add a new 230-kV transmission line.

That was good news for consumers, but not for PG&E, which won’t get to earn a return on the more expensive transmission investment, said Wellinghoff, who served for seven years as Nevada’s consumer advocate before joining FERC.

“We have to reconcile this somehow … so that utilities will have … incentives aligned with what we all would like to have for consumers, which is [an] efficient, cost-effective system that is clean,” he said.

Narrow Window for Energy Legislation in 2019

The conference also featured discussions on prospects for energy legislation in the new Congress.

Jason Hartke, Alliance to Save Energy | © RTO Insider

The new Democratic House majority will have only a few months to work with Senate Republicans and President Trump on energy policy before the 2020 presidential election intrudes, said Jason Hartke, president of the Alliance to Save Energy.

Hartke said likely Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D-Calif.) will face a challenge managing the tension between “a whole lot of excited new members who want to do things like build the Green New Deal versus [veteran Rep. Paul] Tonko [D-N.Y.] talking about singles and doubles.” (See Optimism Rising on EVs as Sales Hit 1 Million Mark.)

Hartke said a bipartisan infrastructure bill that includes spending for grid modernization and electric vehicle charging is “the one opportunity for a home run.” But he said the fate of such legislation hinges on whether Trump engages and can win the support of the Republican-controlled Senate.

“We’re working hard now for a tax extenders package that makes sense. Right now, the House package is looking backwards, so it’s retroactive [extending already expired tax breaks]. We want it to look forward, so you could actually change behavior.”

Andrew Shaw, Dentons | © RTO Insider

Attorney Andrew Shaw, senior managing associate with Dentons, said new members who campaigned on bold action on climate change will be motivated to support smaller changes so they can take credit for legislative accomplishments.

“Something like an infrastructure bill — which faces a lot of hurdles undoubtedly — is a vehicle that you could maybe get some of those wins, because everybody wants to be able to go back home and be able to talk about what they’re doing,” Shaw said.

“It’s not a given that energy’s going to be in the mix” in an infrastructure bill,” said Amit Ronen, deputy chief of staff to Sen. Maria Cantwell (D-Wash.) in a separate discussion. “It’s something we’ve got to educate members … on.”

Amit Ronen, deputy chief of staff to Sen. Maria Cantwell (D-Wash.) | © RTO Insider

Ronen noted that Cantwell, the ranking member of the Energy and Natural Resources Committee, cosponsored the $7,500 passenger EV tax credit with Orrin Hatch (R-Utah).

“So now we’re looking at, is there a role for the government in incentivizing electrification of other transportation? We’re talking about boats, trucks, buses, even planes, which two years ago I wouldn’t have even thought … was possible.”

Shaw said there has been some progress in the last six years in building consensus on climate change, noting the introduction last month of a bipartisan bill that would set a carbon tax beginning at $15 per metric ton in 2019. The bill is based on the carbon dividend proposal offered last year by Republican party elders James A. Baker III and George P. Schultz. (See Lott, Breaux Join Push for Baker-Schultz CO2 Dividend Plan.)

“Unfortunately, in the House we did lose some more moderate [Republicans] who do believe in climate change science and were willing to engage,” Shaw acknowledged.

Corporate Decarbonization

Amy Davidsen, Climate Group | © RTO Insider

Companies are “being forced to act [on decarbonization] because government has failed us,” said Amy Davidsen, North America executive director for the Climate Group, which manages RE100, a collaborative of more than 150 businesses that have committed to using 100% renewable electricity.

Bill Weihl | © RTO Insider

Bill Weihl, former Google “green energy czar,” predicted RE 100 companies will grow to more than 300 in the next several years.

Weihl said the big innovation the last few years has been less about technology and more about development of new products, such as the two dozen “green” tariffs in 15 states.

Hans Royal, Schneider Electric | © RTO Insider

But Hans Royal, director of strategic renewables for Schneider Electric, said many of the tariffs are too expensive or put too much risk on corporate buyers to be effective.

Electrifying Bus Transit

The two-day conference also provided an update on accelerating efforts to electrify city bus fleets.

Lisa Jerram, American Public Transportation Association | © RTO Insider

“The orders for battery electric [buses] are ramping up really rapidly,” said Lisa Jerram, director of bus, paratransit and surface transit for the American Public Transportation Association.

Jerram said only about half of city transit buses are now pure diesel, down from 90% 10 years ago.

Compressed natural gas powers about 25% of fleets now, with hybrid diesel-electrics comprising about 20%, according to Jerram and Ryan Popple, CEO of electric bus maker Proterra.

Ryan Popple, Proterra | © RTO Insider

But Jerram said many transit agencies need utilities’ assistance to make the transition. “They don’t understand utility systems that well; they don’t understand rate structures,” she said. Utilities also can help bus operators manage the logistics of charging in their depots and on routes, she said.

Popple said his company has received orders from 39 states. “If you add up the cities that have already mandated that they’re going electric — that includes … cities like Seattle and New York City — 10,000 of the 70,000 buses on the road are already politically mandated to go electric. So it’s coming. And the things that we figure out on the bus side you’ll need to them again at larger scale in school bus and truck [conversions].”

Europe’s Challenges

The conference heard a keynote address from Laurent Schmitt, secretary-general of the European Network of Transmission System Operators (ENTSO-E), which he described as “kind of the FERC of Europe.” The organization has 43 transmission system operators in 36 countries.

Laurent Schmitt, European Network of Transmission System Operators (ENTSO-E) | © RTO Insider

Schmitt said although the Nordic countries are blessed with offshore wind, it is a challenge to move the power to load centers. “Our system does not get planned as efficiently as what we would like, and it’s getting very hard to get transmission lines [sited] in Europe, especially getting people from certain states understanding that they have to build the line for the sake of other Europeans,” he said.

Schmitt said Europe does not use LMPs, “but I think we will have to go into a similar model in the future” to address scarce grid capacity.

Europe also faces challenges as renewables replace traditional generation, he said. Fossil fuels (coal, gas, oil, mixed fuels and peat) were responsible for 43% of Europe’s energy production in 2017, with renewables adding 33% and nuclear 22%.

“Are we going to be able to maintain frequency … when we have no rotating mass?” he asked.