PJM MRC/MC Preview: June 27, 2019

Below is a summary of the issues scheduled to be brought to a vote at the PJM Markets and Reliability and Members committees Thursday. Each item is listed by agenda number, description and projected time of discussion, followed by a summary of the issue and links to prior coverage in RTO Insider.

RTO Insider will be in Valley Forge, Pa., covering the discussions and votes. See next Tuesday’s newsletter for a full report.

Markets and Reliability Committee

1. Fuel Security Senior Task Force Charter (9:20-9:35)

PJM will ask the Markets and Reliability Committee to approve the charter for its controversial Fuel Security Senior Task Force on Thursday.

Stakeholders reluctantly endorsed a problem statement and issue charge in March after some doubted the necessity of the conversation and even inferred that PJM already had a solution in mind. (See PJM Stakeholders Reluctantly OK Fuel Security Initiative.)

If approved, the task force will report back to the MRC in September with any possible recommendations for addressing the first four key work activities outlined in the issue charge: providing education on the issue; quantifying the risk of selected scenarios that could risk fuel security; defining fuel/energy security; and determining whether there is a quantifiable and/or locational requirement for fuel/energy security. The MRC will provide a timeline for completion of the remaining goals at the September meeting.

2. Manual 6 Amendments (9:35-9:50)

Staff will seek endorsement of revisions to Manual 6: Financial Transmission Rights as part of their cover-to-cover review.

The revisions contain language reflecting recent and upcoming FTR market changes. They would remove all details on FTR credit policy, providing a reference to credit rules in the RTO’s Credit Policy and Attachment Q of the Tariff, which address the recently added mark-to-auction requirement.

Brian Chmielewski, manager of market simulation, said at last month’s MRC that staff are continuing their look into rule changes around FTR mark-to-auction credit requirements detailed in Section 6.7, but they’re moving ahead with default settlement rule updates, realignments to the OASIS refresh and the hourly cost component change, pending FERC approval.

3. Manual 14B Amendments (9:50-10:30)

LS Power’s proposed Manual 14B revisions are scheduled for a vote after two deferrals back to the Planning Committee for further work.

During the June PC meeting, PJM Manager of Transmission Planning Aaron Berner said stakeholders appeared close to agreeing on tweaks to the language and would be ready for an MRC discussion later that month.

Sharon Segner, vice president of LS Power, first offered the revisions at the January MRC meeting after expressing concern over the growing number of supplemental projects languishing in the Regional Transmission Expansion Plan. Supplemental projects are proposed by transmission owners and are not required for compliance with PJM’s reliability, operational performance or economic criteria.

Segner’s proposed language specifies that a TO’s supplemental project “will generally be removed from the RTEP” following a final order by a state siting agency rejecting it. A special session of the Planning Committee has been meeting over the last three months to review a variety of legal issues related to FERC Orders 890 and 1000. (See “RTEP Removal Language Vote Deferred, Again,” PJM MRC/MC Briefs: April 25, 2019.)

Berner will also present feedback received from stakeholders about the direction of the special PC discussion on the RTEP language. (See “RTEP Poll,” PJM PC/TEAC Briefs: June 13, 2019.)

Members Committee

1. Must-offer Exception Process (1:25-1:45)

The Members Committee will be asked to endorse rule changes for PJM’s must-offer exception process after months of debate among stakeholders.

The MRC endorsed a joint plan from PJM and the Independent Market Monitor in April that would strip capacity interconnection rights (CIRs) from generators seeking must-offer exceptions without a plan to become capable of meeting Capacity Performance requirements.

Stakeholders approved the proposal in a sector-weighted vote of 3.74 to 1.26, with unanimous support from both electric distributors and end-use customers. The two sectors shot down PJM’s original plan to take CIRs from resources after a three-year period of lost CP capability, which had been approved by 79% of the Market Implementation Committee in November. The sectors also rejected an alternative from Exelon that would have allowed capacity resources to switch voluntarily to energy-only status and disallowed PJM to force such a switch. (See Load Interests Endorse PJM-IMM Must-offer Proposal.)

– Christen Smith

Emergencies Prompt MISO to Re-examine LMR Protocols

By Amanda Durish Cook

TRAVERSE CITY, Mich. — MISO executives last week said they continue to seek ways to improve the RTO’s response to an increasing number of emergency events.

The issue became a point of discussion at a June 18 meeting of the MISO Board of Directors’ Markets Committee when the RTO and its Independent Market Monitor expressed different conclusions about the management of a mid-May emergency in MISO South.

Executive Director of System Operations Renuka Chatterjee said MISO experienced tight operating conditions in its southern region because of multiple forced outages coinciding with above-average temperatures. Planned outages totaled about 9 GW in MISO South on May 16 and unplanned outages and derates took another 7 GW offline.

“When we lose that many megawatts in such a short period of time, that’s outside of our band of tolerance,” Chatterjee said.

“We’re not aware of the reasons behind these forced outages yet. Operators have until the end of June to let us know,” she said, adding that MISO is considering requiring operators to more quickly report the reasons behind forced outages.

LMR
David Patton | © RTO Insider

But Monitor David Patton also pointed out that multiple generators extended their planned outages in May, exacerbating the situation.

“The planned outages that were supposed to go away get extended,” Patton explained. “If your outages don’t ramp down as quickly as you hoped, you get these tighter operating conditions in May.”

Altogether, the RTO said projected capacity shortages in mid-May “were reliably mitigated with good coordination and communication between MISO and its members in the southern region.”

But Patton has said he disagrees with the RTO’s decision to call an alert and deploy load-modifying resources in MISO South on May 16. (See “MISO South May Emergency,” Stakeholders: MISO System Fix Too Late for Summer.)

“Our conclusion is not quite the same as MISO’s,” Patton said at this month’s Market Subcommittee meeting.

During the emergency, MISO ended up retracting a call for LMRs with 12-hour lead times.

MISO’s decision-making behind conservative operations and emergency declarations has been “inconsistent,” Patton said. “We want to work with MISO to clarify what the triggers are so costs are reasonable event-to-event.”

Chatterjee said MISO has been declaring emergencies to access LMRs with some regularity since 2017.

LMR
Clair Moeller | © RTO Insider

MISO President Clair Moeller also pointed out the RTO used LMRs once in 2017, twice in 2018 and three times already in 2019. He said MISO will naturally find ways to improve the process as emergencies “dramatically increase.”

“We’re gaining experience by having experiences,” he said with a smile.

Moeller also pointed out that LMR operators that signed up to modify load might have to delay action to “become safe.” For instance, plant operators with a “crucible full of steel” can’t immediately work to shave load, he said.

“There’s turbulence behind the operating environment,” Moeller added.

The 5-Year Supply Picture

Despite the emergencies, MISO now doesn’t expect a capacity shortfall until 2023 or 2024 and predicts a generation surplus of about 3 to 6 GW in 2020, according to the most recent annual resource adequacy survey produced jointly by the RTO and the Organization of MISO States. (See Supply Future Brighter, OMS-MISO Survey Shows.) In four to five years, MISO could see anything from a 7-GW surplus to a 1.3- to 2.3-GW deficit.

“It’s not uncommon to see this kind of imbalance in the further-out years,” Chatterjee said, pointing out the difficulty of identifying long-term capacity deficiencies.

LMR
Barbara Krumsiek | © RTO Insider

“Is this causing any raised eyebrows? Is this similar to what we’ve seen in prior years?” Director Barbara Krumsiek asked.

Chatterjee responded that MISO must rely more heavily on intermittent resources and LMRs in the future. But she also noted recent implementation of three new short-term resource availability and need rulesets that impose stricter outage scheduling, tighten LMR availability requirements and enforce annual real power testing for demand response. (See FERC OKs MISO Outage Scheduling Rules, DR Testing.) The RTO will gauge the impact of the new rules over the next year and expects the associated “incentives” to improve supply, she said.

“I have a bit of a problem with the word ‘incentive.’ It’s more of a carrot than a stick, isn’t it?” Krumsiek asked. Chatterjee agreed.

Summertime Adequacy?

MISO foresees a 70% probability that it will declare an emergency to call on LMRs this summer despite having an estimated 149 GW of resources on hand to cover a 125-GW projected peak.

But Patton sees the summertime supply picture differently, predicting just 137 GW of available resources to manage a 124.7-GW peak — and just 129 GW in a realistic scenario with the usual emergency no-shows and unforeseen outages. He criticized as unrealistic MISO’s forecasting assumptions of unequivocal availability of emergency resources and no unforced outages.

“It’s frequent that we don’t see emergencies coming more than two hours in advance,” Patton said, noting that time constraints effectively disqualify many emergency resources. “If you don’t see the emergency coming, it’s almost useless to you.”

However, he said MISO’s ample import capability and willing neighbors make up for already tight margins.

Krumsiek inquired about MISO’s estimate that it was only able to access about 75% of LMRs that committed to being available last summer.

Chatterjee said MISO is expecting a similar response this summer as well, adding that “75 to 80% is actually a pretty good number.” She said the RTO may not always be able to call on LMRs in excess of their required start-up commitments.

Patton offered the prediction that capacity margins will likely fall as “fossil resources retire and suppliers continue to export capacity to PJM.” The Monitor said he remains concerned that capacity is increasingly being supplied by LMRs, which require an emergency declaration in order to be accessed. He said it is “increasingly important” that MISO begin making changes to its capacity market so the auction sends more efficient economic signals “to maintain an adequate resource base.”

Low Auction Prices, Again

Any changes in emergency declaration protocols must be considered in tandem with measures that make the capacity market more economic, Patton argued.

The bulk of MISO planning resources cleared at $2.99/MW-day in this year’s capacity auction; last year, most of the footprint cleared at $10/MW-day. (See Most MISO Zones Clear at $3/MW-day in 2019/20 PRA.)

Unsurprisingly, Patton again derided those prices as “close to zero.” He said the price is “well below” the $200/MW-day he estimates would motivate new generation investment or the $100/MW-day needed to keep older existing units in operation.

“I have to say that,” he said wryly. “It’s probably the biggest issue in MISO.”

MISO
MISO zonal resource adequacy projections | MISO

Patton also said MISO cleared a large generator in Michigan that will be unavailable for the entire 2019/20 planning year. If MISO disqualified the generator from the auction, prices in the Michigan’s Zone 7 might have hit $243.37/MW-day — right around the cost of new entry benchmark — instead of the $24.30/MW-day clearing price.

“We’re counting on a unit that’s on an approved planned outage for the entirety of the planning year,” Patton said.

“That to me says something is broken in MISO resource adequacy,” Independent Power Producers representative Mark Volpe said a day later at an Advisory Committee meeting.

Meanwhile, MISO reported an average 69.7 GW of load from March through May, with the 97.7-GW spring peak occurring March 5. Energy prices averaged $25.78/MWh, a 7% decline from last spring.

FERC Rejects SPP Settlements over ATRR

By Tom Kleckner

FERC last week rejected contested settlements filed by SPP regarding the annual transmission revenue requirements (ATRRs) for two cooperatives.

The commission said that as the settlements were contested, they couldn’t be approved under its guidelines and precedent set by a 1999 case involving Trailblazer Pipeline Co. It remanded both proceedings to the chief administrative law judge to resume hearings.

The first settlement, involving SPP, Corn Belt Power Cooperative, MidAmerican Energy, Basin Electric Power Cooperative, Alliant Energy Corporate Services and the Missouri Public Service Commission, revolves around the RTO’s 2015 Tariff revisions to accommodate Corn Belt’s ATRR as an incoming transmission-owning member (ER15-2028).

The commission accepted the proposed revisions, effective Oct. 1, 2015, and established hearing and settlement procedures. SPP submitted the settlement agreement in July 2017.

The agreement was initially opposed by FERC staff, Missouri River Energy Services (MRES) and the Western Area Power Administration on the grounds that the rate treatment for three Corn Belt grandfathered agreements (GFAs) was unjust and unreasonable and inconsistent with commission precedent. The GFAs provide in-kind transmission service to each of the settlement’s parties. (See “FERC Accepts ITC Midwest’s Interconnection Agreement,” FERC Approves Change to Eliminate Gaming in SPP Markets.)

The supporting parties argued that the GFA’s rate treatment, which credits all GFA revenues against Corn Belt’s revenue requirement, is consistent with the SPP Tariff. They said any attempt by non-settling parties to seek relief inconsistent with the Tariff provisions would amount to “collateral attacks on the SPP Tariff.”

ATRR
Corn Belt’s headquarters in Humboldt, Iowa | Corn Belt Power Cooperative

FERC noted its regulations provide that it may decide a contested settlement’s merits only if “the record contains substantial evidence upon which to base a reasoned decision or the commission determines that there is no genuine issue of material fact.”

The commission said it couldn’t approve the settlement under any of the first three approaches for reviewing contested settlements under its Trailblazer ruling, nor could it sever the contesting parties or contested issues under the fourth.

Under the first Trailblazer approach, “if there is an adequate record, the commission can address the contentions of the contesting parties on the merits,” which requires a merits determination on each contested issue. FERC found the supporting parties’ argument that Corn Belt has adhered to the Tariff because it is crediting the revenues from the GFAs against its revenue requirement to be unsupported.

Under the second Trailblazer approach, FERC may “approve a contested settlement as a package on the grounds that the overall result of the settlement is just and reasonable.” The commission said such a finding in this case “does not appear possible because certain crucial information needed to evaluate Corn Belt’s proposed revenue requirement is absent.”

It said there were two obstacles to the third Trailblazer approach: The record is insufficient to determine whether the settlement’s benefits outweigh the objections to it; and the contesting parties are located in Corn Belt’s zone and share a direct interest in the provisions relating to the utility’s revenue requirement.

FERC also used Trailblazer precedent in rejecting a contested settlement involving Northwest Iowa Power Cooperative (NIPCO), SPP, Basin Electric, MidAmerican and the Missouri PSC (ER15-2115).

ATRR
NIPCO towers over Western Iowa’s landscape | NIPCO

As in the Corn Belt case, SPP filed Tariff revisions in 2015 to allow for NIPCO’s ATRR when it joined the RTO as a transmission-owning member. The commission accepted the proposed revisions, effective Oct. 1, 2015, and set hearing and settlement procedures. SPP submitted the settlement agreement in July 2017.

MRES and WAPA opposed that settlement as well, objecting to its rate treatment of two NIPCO GFAs. The intervenors said other transmission owners will essentially subsidize transmission loads and shift the cost from NIPCO and its customers to the TOs.

The commission said it couldn’t approve the contested settlement under any of the first three Trailblazer approaches. It also said it couldn’t sever the contesting parties or contested issues under the fourth Trailblazer approach.

FERC Rejects PJM TMEP Rehearing Requests

By Christen Smith

FERC last week rejected a set of rehearing requests by PJM merchant transmission owners, New Jersey regulators and the New York Power Authority contesting the cost allocations for several cross-seams projects.

The commission’s ruling Thursday reaffirmed a July 2018 order that directed PJM and its TOs to submit compliance filings revising Tariff provisions regarding cost responsibility assignments for four targeted market efficiency projects (TMEPs) with MISO included in PJM’s Regional Transmission Expansion Plan (ER18614).

FERC had approved 41 PJM transmission projects but rejected the allocations for TMEPs b2971, b2973, b2974 and b2975, instituting a Section 206 proceeding to resolve the matter and ensure the Tariff contained clear language regarding allocations for the future. (See FERC OKs PJM RTEP Allocations, Sets TMEP 206 Proceeding.) The PJM TOs had argued that the RTO erred in not allocating project costs to Hudson Transmission Partners and Linden VFT, which operate merchant lines into New York City and had recently converted their firm transmission withdrawal rights to non-firm. Those lines would benefit from the TMEPs, the other TOs contended.

TMEP
| © RTO Insider

On July 31, 2018, PJM submitted a compliance filing updating the cost responsibility assignments to reflect Hudson and Linden, while the PJM TOs the next day submitted a separate filing clarifying that TMEP allocations would be assigned to merchant facilities.

Hudson, Linden and NYPA contested FERC’s rejection of the original cost allocations excluding merchant owners from the TMEP assignments. They argued that the commission misinterpreted PJM Tariff language that “limits all cost allocations … based on their actual firm transmission withdrawal rights.”

FERC rejected that argument, noting that the basis for cost allocation under the TMEP provision “is the net congestion incurred in PJM zones” regardless of merchant transmission facility contracts for firm or non-firm withdrawals rights.

“Customers of merchant transmission facilities without firm transmission withdrawal rights still receive benefits from TMEPs in the form of lower congestion costs,” the commission said. “PJM transmission owners make clear that the intent of the TMEP provision was to assign costs to merchant transmission facilities based on the net congestion relieved by the project.”

BPU Rebuffed

The commission also rejected the New Jersey Board of Public Utilities’ contention that FERC erred in accepting TMEPs b2955 and b2956 because the projects were no longer necessary after Hudson and Linden relinquished their firm withdrawal rights. The BPU argued that PJM should have therefore withdrawn the projects from the RTEP.

But FERC pointed out that PJM re-evaluated the projects after the merchant owners relinquished their firm withdrawal rights, citing an affidavit from Aaron Berner, the RTO’s manager of transmission planning, that explained why that move did not change the results of the RTO’s reliability studies that determined the rejected projects to still be “necessary.”

“Mr. Berner explained … that the analysis showed that injections of electricity by the merchant transmission facilities, not withdrawal from these facilities, contributed to the need for the projects. Because firm transmission withdrawal rights relate only to withdrawals from PJM, the relinquishments of the firm transmission withdrawal rights have no bearing on the need for projects b2955 and b2956,” FERC said.

The commission further accepted the cost allocation revisions submitted in PJM’s July 31, 2018, compliance filing that reflected Hudson and Linden’s pro rata share of the sum of the net transmission congestion charges paid by market buyers, as identified in the TMEP study. It also approved the PJM TOs’ Aug. 1, 2018, compliance filing clarifying the language regarding TMEP cost allocations.

FERC Stands Firm on Michigan Dam Closure

By Amanda Durish Cook

FERC last week denied a request to reconsider its decision to revoke the license for a small Michigan hydroelectric project over significant safety concerns.

The commission also rejected Boyce Hydro’s motion to transfer the license for its 4.8-MW Edenville Dam to another operator, Wolverine Hydro, calling the request moot in light of the revocation (P10808).

FERC ordered Edenville closed in February 2018, then revoked the dam’s license the following month after finding it had insufficient spillway capacity and that Boyce had a longstanding history of noncompliance with other safety measures. The commission denied Boyce’s request for rehearing on the closure early this year. (See Closed Michigan Dam Loses Rehearing Bid.)

Dam Closure
Edenville Dam spillway

In the order issued Thursday, FERC said it only entertains motions for reconsideration when a party can assert the commission “may have erred by overlooking or misunderstanding facts or arguments set forth in the party’s rehearing request.” Boyce didn’t pose that argument in its request for rehearing over the license, and its other arguments were “unconvincing,” the commission wrote.

“Here, Boyce Hydro does not claim that the commission misunderstood or misinterpreted its prior arguments. Thus, its pleading is not a proper request for reconsideration and we will not consider it as such. … To the extent that Boyce Hydro seeks to introduce new facts and arguments into the record, it is making an untimely, collateral attack on the now final revocation order.”

FERC made clear that revocation of the license was not up for negotiation and that Boyce’s only recourse now is to seek a new license.

“In any event, we have no ability to grant the relief that Boyce Hydro seeks. We have revoked the license for the Edenville Project, in orders that are now final. Accordingly, we currently have no jurisdiction over the Edenville project works. Should Boyce Hydro or any other entity wish to operate the project to generate electricity, they would need to seek a license to do so,” FERC said.

And because it could not reinstate the Edenville license, FERC said it also could not grant the request to transfer the license to Wolverine.

Boyce had claimed that it could secure a new power purchase agreement with Consumers Energy at a higher rate that would have allowed it to obtain a loan to “fund construction of auxiliary spillway capacity sufficient to pass the entire [probable maximum flood]” requirement, then pass the license to Wolverine.

But FERC said Boyce brought no “firm proof” that such a situation will play out.

FERC Rebuffs Challenges to Grand Gulf Ruling

By Amanda Durish Cook

FERC last week rejected separate rehearing requests from both sides in a dispute between the Louisiana Public Service Commission and System Energy Resources Inc. (SERI) over the return on equity rate for the company’s Grand Gulf Nuclear Station (EL18-142).

Entergy subsidiary SERI’s rehearing request centered on the question of whether FERC could legally probe the Grand Gulf ROE in two separate proceedings and set two separate 15-month refund periods.

FERC last August set to settlement procedures the Louisiana PSC’s complaint that the ROE in the unit power sales agreement (UPSA) formula rate for calculating the Grand Gulf costs billed to Entergy’s operating companies is unjust and unreasonable. The Louisiana regulator contested SERI’s capital structure and the depreciation rates included in the ROE. (See FERC Sets La. Entergy Complaint for Settlement.)

Grand Gulf
Grand Gulf Nuclear Station | Entergy

SERI owns 90% of the 1,400-MW Grand Gulf plant in Port Gibson, Miss., and sells the plant’s output under a FERC-regulated wholesale rate to Entergy’s Arkansas, Mississippi, Louisiana and New Orleans subsidiaries under the UPSA.

Regulators in Arkansas and Mississippi also claimed in 2017 that the 10.94% ROE used by SERI in its formula rate for energy sales from Grand Gulf is outdated and overcharges customers (EL17-41). (See FERC Opens Proceeding over Entergy Nuclear Power Sales.)

FERC put both complaints to settlement proceedings in order to reset SERI’s ROE, equity ratio and depreciation rates to just and reasonable levels. Because of the complaints’ similarities, the commission eventually consolidated them into one settlement process.

But SERI contended that FERC was in breach of the Federal Power Act because it set a second refund date for the Louisiana complaint, saying the law “precludes refunds for more than a 15-month period absent dilatory behavior on the part of the utility.”

The commission pointed out that it has yet to make any final determinations in the case and could dismiss a request for rehearing on that detail alone.

But it offered a deeper explanation for its denial of the premature challenge, saying “even if we were to consider SERI’s request for rehearing on the merits, we would deny it.”

The commission said it was not circumventing the 15-month refund period requirement because the two complaints were filed separately and, as such, the limitation applies separately to each complaint.

It also noted it is free to investigate the same ROE in two different proceedings and that SERI was incorrect in its assumption that the commission should have dismissed the Louisiana PSC complaint because it didn’t contain “new claims or changed circumstances sufficient to justify an additional proceeding.”

Instead, FERC pointed out, the two complaints are based on financial data from different time periods, and as such, are based on different factual records. According to the Louisiana PSC, the 2017 docket did not reflect more recent discounted cash flow data now available.

“Although the two complaint proceedings have been consolidated for purposes of hearing and settlement judge procedures, the commission may or may not reach the same conclusions regarding SERI’s ROE with respect to each complaint,” FERC said.

It also noted it has “previously allowed successive complaints when presented with new analysis.”

In the same order, FERC also denied the Louisiana PSC’s request to rehear the federal commission’s dismissal of the PSC’s complaint regarding SERI’s use of its own capital structure — rather than that of its parent Entergy — for setting the ROE for Grand Gulf to put the issue to settlement proceedings.

The PSC had conceded that its original complaint failed to apply FERC’s three-part test for determining the independence of an affiliate’s capital structure from that of its parent or to show that the test was inapplicable in SERI’s case. But it argued that its amended complaint was sufficient to support SERI’s adoption of Entergy’s capital structure or a structure appropriate for a utility with low risk.

In response, FERC pointed out the PSC admitted the commission did not err in its August 2018 order.

“There is thus no basis upon which to grant rehearing,” FERC wrote. “Moreover, the commission has already issued an order in response to the Louisiana commission’s amended complaint, establishing additional hearing and settlement judge procedures. We decline to address that matter further here.”

West Faces Big Challenges, NERC Chief Tells WECC

By Hudson Sangree

NERC CEO Jim Robb returned to his former workplace at the Western Electricity Coordinating Council last week for the first time since he took the nation’s top reliability job 15 months ago.

WECC
NERC CEO Jim Robb addresses the WECC board for the first time since he left the regional entity about 15 months ago. | WECC

His four years in Salt Lake City have proven useful in Atlanta and D.C., Robb told the WECC Board of Directors at its quarterly meeting. Many of the reliability challenges facing the U.S., including the shift to renewable energy and a major reliability coordinator transition, are centered in the Western Interconnection, which WECC oversees.

“The good news and the bad news, depending on how you feel about living in interesting times, is that almost all of these [challenges] have some amount of epicenter here in the West,” Robb said. “My training and experience here have served me very well in my new role on the Eastern seaboard.” (See New NERC Chief Not ‘Smartest Guy in the Room’.)

The RC transition that starts July 1, when CAISO takes over the role from Peak Reliability in CAISO’s California service territory, is a big concern for those whose job is to make sure the lights stay on, he said.

“The RC transition here in the West … I’ve described that as the single biggest reliability risk in the country over the next 18 months,” Robb said.

WECC
Robb’s replacement at WECC, Melanie Frye, listens intently to his presentation with other board members. | WECC

The new RCs taking over from Peak include CAISO’s RC West, SPP, BC Hydro and Gridforce. The transitions are planned on a staggered schedule through December. (See New RCs Tell WECC Transition on Schedule.)

Robb recognized the “tremendous amount of work going on” within those entities and at WECC to ensure a smooth handover, but he said people shouldn’t let their guard down. The new RCs “have to work together as seamlessly as one RC given the way the region is structured here,” he said. “That needs to continue to be a laser focus.”

Communications between multiple RCs in the Eastern Interconnection haven’t always met the “level of seamlessness and transparency” required, Robb said. In the West, lax performance would have even more of an impact on reliability, he said. (See RC Transition Fraught with Pitfalls, WECC Hears.)

Another major challenge is the pace of change in the mix of Western resources, he said. Traditional coal and nuclear baseload generation is being replaced by variable resources, such as wind and solar, with natural gas plants serving as backstops.

The switchover is “changing how we think about serving load,” Robb said.

NERC Presents Lessons Learned on Substation Fires

By Rich Heidorn Jr.

Consolidated Edison’s Anthony Natale has summarized what he’s learned about substation fires over two decades in several bullet points. But the biggest lesson, he says, is one of humility.

“These are low-frequency, high-hazard events. We don’t do them often enough to get good at them,” he said Wednesday during a NERC lessons-learned webinar.

That’s all the more reason, he said, for setting up a framework for responding to fires. It starts with identifying appropriate response techniques; memorializing the techniques into a policy; and then using the policy as a platform for training — training that includes the fire department.

“You cannot meet the fire department for the first time at the command post,” he said.

substation fires

Firefighters arrived before utility workers at this 2010 transformer fire in Denver, making matters worse by using water that may have spread burning transformer oil.

Natale joined representatives from Georgia Power, Florida Power & Light and the Midwest Reliability Organization for the webinar, which was hosted by Richard Hackman, NERC’s senior event analysis adviser for reliability risk management.

Hackman noted that although some utility substations are enclosed, most are outdoors, and many are in rural areas with volunteer fire departments with limited resources.

“We’re trying to help get that addressed by … getting these lessons learned out and getting the discussion going,” Hackman said. The webinar recording and slides are available for utilities to present to their fire departments.

Although the presentation included specific lessons from individual fires, Hackman said the “generic [lessons] are the most valuable.”

“The primary one is before any substation fire occurs, we need to have a working relationship between the electric utility and the fire department. [The utility needs] to describe the hazards in the substation to the fire department. The fire department needs to be able to explain their needs to the electric utilities.”

substation fires

Because not all fire departments have foam, Georgia Power has equipped small trailers with 5-gallon containers of foam concentrate and an oil spill response kit that it can deploy to fires. | Georgia Power

“Basically, everything in a substation is a hazard,” said Michael Bocovich, principal systems protection engineer for MRO, citing energized equipment, PCBs, toxins from burning plastics and metals, and porcelain that is extremely sharp when broken. Ground rods can be trip hazards, and “anything that’s in the air is a hazard for falling: bus section switches, insulators, conductors,” he continued.

“Some other hazards you may not think of also can include angered animals. I know racoons have been the source of many substation faults. They’re tough, mean animals. They can survive a fault, and they’re not very happy after that happens. I’ve also heard reports of bears in substations.”

Because of the hazards, utilities must train firefighters not to enter a substation without a utility escort, who can ensure equipment has been de-energized.

“You have to establish a policy up front because they’re going to employ their everyday tactics,” Natale said. “They’re going to get in and they’re going to search.”

substation fires

Con Edison posted these signs outside every point of access to its substations to remind firefighters not to enter without a utility worker escort. | Con Edison

To prevent that, Con Ed has posted signs outside its substations with the logos of both the utility and the New York Fire Department. “That sign is essentially a stop sign, and this is what keeps them from forcing entry,” Natale explained.

Bocovich described a 2010 transformer fire at a Denver substation that was captured on video. The substation was next door to the firehouse, so firefighters arrived immediately and began spraying water on the blaze before utility personnel arrived.

That was not a good idea. NERC says water should never be used on a transformer fire. It will sink below the transformer oil that is heated above the boiling temperature of water, causing a “boil over.”

“Water may have allowed burning oil to spread to other equipment,” Bocovich said. “There was another transformer on site that was destroyed by this fire also.”

Foam is the preferred firefighting technique for transformer fires and their oil. Because not all fire departments have foam, Georgia Power’s Scott Cox said, his utility has equipped small trailers with containers of foam concentrate and an oil spill response kit that it can deploy to fires.

“No water,” Natale emphasized. “You don’t want to sustain a boil-over because you’ll end up burning down the entire substation. Water is fine to use if you’re going to protect exposures. But you’re not knocking down a transformer fire with it.”

FERC OKs Cyber Reporting Rule

By Rich Heidorn Jr.

FERC on Thursday expanded NERC’s cyber incident reporting requirements, closing what it said was a gap in the critical infrastructure protection (CIP) reliability standards.

The new standard, CIP-008-6 (Cyber Security – Incident Reporting and Response Planning), revises the definitions of “cybersecurity incident” and “reportable cybersecurity incident.”

CIP
Simon Slobodnik, of the Office of Electric Reliability, and Leigh Anne Faugust, of the Office of General Counsel, gave a presentation on the revised CIP reliability standard.

It requires reporting of incidents — now classified as “cybersecurity incidents” — that compromise, or attempt to compromise, electronic security perimeters (ESP), electronic access control or monitoring systems (EACMS) or physical security perimeters associated with high- and medium-impact bulk electric system (BES) cyber systems and attempts to disrupt operation of a BES cyber system (RD19-3).

A “reportable cybersecurity incident” refers to an action that actually compromises or disrupts one or more reliability tasks on the BES.

The new standard is a response to a July 2018 FERC ruling in which the commission criticized the existing reporting threshold, which only required reporting cyber incidents that have “compromised or disrupted one or more reliability tasks.” Noting that NERC did not identify any reportable incidents in 2015 and 2016, FERC said the threshold understated the risks and could lead to bigger, more successful attacks. (See FERC Orders Expanded Cybersecurity Reporting.)

The new rule would require, for example, reporting on malware installed on a BES cyber system that performs one or more reliability tasks even if the system still operates.

The rule will apply to EACMS that perform authentication; monitoring and logging; access control; interactive remote access; and alerting.

It also specifies the minimum information that must be reported: the functional impact that the incident achieved or attempted to achieve, the attack vector used and the achieved or attempted level of intrusion.

The reports will be sent to the Electricity Information Sharing and Analysis Center (E-ISAC) and the Department of Homeland Security’s Industrial Control Systems Cyber Emergency Response Team (ICS-CERT).

Initial reports must be made within one hour of the responsible entity’s determination of a “reportable cybersecurity incident” and by the end of the next calendar day after determination of an attempt to compromise a BES cyber system, an ESP or an EACMS — or a “cybersecurity incident.”

FERC Chair Neil Chatterjee praised NERC’s speed in revising the standard and noted that no comments were filed in opposition.

Commissioner Cheryl LaFleur said the increased requirements will allow entities to learn from near misses and help the commission “identify emerging issues where we may need to enhance” standards.

“There is a well-documented statistical relationship — documented first as a safety pyramid in the industrial safety area, but applied to reliability in all kinds of industrial systems — between near misses and actual events. So, it’s very important that we learn from experience,” she said. “The expanded reporting will promote a culture of attention to cybersecurity, including all the details that make a network secure.”

CIP
Commissioner Cheryl LaFleur

Commissioner Bernard McNamee said cybersecurity “is so important that it has yet to be politicized in this town.”

“[It] is clear that everybody realizes that there are real threats out there [and] that industry and government … need to work together, and that constant vigilance is important to ensuring the security of our grid,” he said.

FERC estimated that 288 of the 1,414 unique NERC registered entities as of May 24, 2019, will be affected by the increased reporting requirements.

Single Points of Failure

The commission also issued a Notice of Proposed Rulemaking to adopt reliability standard TPL-001-5 (Transmission System Planning Performance Requirements), NERC’s proposal for addressing single points of failure of protection systems. It also responds to the commission’s directives on planned maintenance outages and stability analyses for spare equipment (RM19-10).

But the NOPR also would direct NERC to modify the standard to require corrective action plans for protection system single points of failure in combination with a three-phase fault if planning studies indicate the potential for cascading outages.

NERC’s proposal would require planning authorities and transmission planners to perform annual planning assessments considering a variety of system conditions and contingencies. For scenarios considered likely, known as “planning events,” the planning entity must develop a corrective action plan if it determines its system would experience performance issues. For scenarios considered to be less likely that could result in severe impacts such as cascading outages (“extreme events”), the planning entity must conduct an analysis to understand the potential impacts and identify potential mitigation measures.

CIP
Commissioner Bernard McNamee

FERC said the proposed standard will require more comprehensive study of the potential impacts of protection system single points of failure — nonredundant components of a protection system whose failure would affect normal clearing of faults.

“In particular, the modifications reflected in proposed reliability standard TPL-001-5 address the commission’s concern that the exclusion of known outages of less than six months in currently effective reliability standard TPL-001-4 could result in outages of significant facilities not being studied,” the commission said.

Not Extreme?

But the commission disagreed with NERC’s categorization of protection system single points of failure in combination with a three-phase fault as an “extreme event” that only requires study and not a corrective action plan. The NOPR would direct NERC to modify the standard to require corrective action plans for such events if planning studies indicate the potential for cascading.

NERC told FERC that its review of more than 12,000 protection system misoperations since 2011 showed that only 28 involved three-phase faults (10 breakers that failed to operate and 18 breakers that were slow to operate). NERC said none of the 10 failure-to-trip scenarios resulted in events that required reporting.

FERC, however, said the 10 incidents average to about one event every eight months. “Although we recognize that three-phase faults constitute a relatively small subset of all protection system operations, under the following measure of one protection system single point of failure every eight months, the occurrence of three-phase faults with misoperations could reasonably be viewed as regular occurrences.

“Based on the present record, it is unclear whether such contingencies are as rare as NERC maintains,” FERC continued. It cited a 2009 NERC Industry Advisory on three system disturbances over five years that were initiated by a protection system single point of failure in combination with a single-line-to-ground fault. “According to the Industry Advisory and supporting documentation, all three events evolved into either a multiphase fault or a three-phase fault with cascading,” FERC said.

It also cited a 2012 informational filing in which NERC “reported that it is not uncommon for a single-line-to-ground fault to evolve into a multiphase fault and … stated that studies solely on single-line-to-ground faults may understate the reliability risk of single points of failure of protection systems.”

The commission said the first draft of proposed standard TPL-001-5 included a requirement would have addressed protection system single points of failure in combination with a three-phase fault, but that the proposal was dropped because the team said, “industry comments . . . were particularly negative.”

The order noted a disagreement over whether mitigation measures addressing the issue could be costly.

“While we are aware of the potential for increased cost under this proposal, we understand that there are likely cost-effective actions. … For example, a corrective action plan … could add a redundant lockout relay in the control circuitry of a protection system, which would eliminate occurrence of those events reported in the 2009 NERC Industry Advisory. As another option, an entity could add control center monitoring and reporting functions to a DC battery bank or to a communication system of a communication-aided protection scheme so that system operators are aware of their failure.”

The commission asked for comments on the issue. Comments will be due 60 days after publication in the Federal Register.

EPA Finalizes CPP Replacement

By Rich Heidorn Jr.

The Trump administration on Wednesday finalized its repeal of the Obama administration’s Clean Power Plan, saying its replacement will correct its predecessor’s overreach of the Clean Air Act and restore power to the states.

Under the Affordable Clean Energy (ACE) rule, EPA has determined that the best system of emissions reductions (BSER) is heat-rate efficiency improvements that can be achieved at individual coal plants, not the “beyond the fence line” generation-shifting, fuel-switching and state emission caps required under the CPP.

EPA proposed the ACE rule last August. (See EPA: CPP Replacement Could Boost Coal-Fired Power by 6%.)

ACE

Andrew Wheeler | © RTO Insider

EPA Administrator Andrew Wheeler said in a statement that U.S. power sector CO2 emissions will fall by as much as 35% below 2005 levels after ACE’s full implementation. But most of the reductions will result from industry trends toward renewables and natural gas and away from coal.

The agency outlined the proposal at a press briefing Wednesday, insisting the briefing leader be referred to only as a “senior EPA official.” The official said EPA rejected carbon capture and sequestration as “not technically feasible and not cost effective,” although it said states could impose such requirements on their own.

The official dismissed comparisons with the CPP as “fictitious” because it was never implemented and was stayed by the Supreme Court.

“It’s a fantasy to say there’s any real comparison here. But even if you were to try and compare … even if we were to implement CPP beginning today, it would produce no real change in the glide path that the industry is on right now,” he said.

That’s because the CPP’s implementation was blocked, the official acknowledged, and because “the world keeps changing around us. There are fundamental changes occurring in the power sector that have nothing to do with our regulation and have everything to do with market economics and the shale gas boom. There’s a pronounced move out of coal and into gas; there’s a pronounced move into renewables for reasons unrelated to the price of gas.”

The official said the ACE rule is, in part, a recognition of state’s rights.

ACE

Trimble County 1, a 514-MW coal-fired unit between Louisville and Cincinnati | LG&E-KU

“The Obama administration actually imposed emission-reduction obligations on each and every state. We think that’s not EPA’s role,” he said. “We’re revising the framework regulations primarily to make it abundantly clear that we, as the federal government, identify [the] best technology; states … develop the emissions limits … and then we review and approve. The Clean Power Plan was way too federal-heavy, and this part of the ACE final rule is going to rebalance the relative role of the states and federal government.”

The new plan will cover about 600 coal-fired generating units at 300 facilities.

States will have three years from the date of the final rule to submit their plans for EPA approval, compared with nine months under the CPP. EPA will have 12 months to approve or reject state plans, up from four months under CPP. For states that fail to submit an approvable plan, EPA will have two years to develop its own plan, up from six months.

New Source Review

In its ACE proposal last year, EPA also proposed allowing states to adopt an hourly emissions increase test for determining whether power plant upgrades are a “major modification” triggering a new-source review under CAA Section 111d. Only projects that increase a plant’s hourly rate of pollutant emissions would need to undergo a full NSR analysis, which could result in additional pollution controls.

emissions were already decreasing without the Obama administration’s Clean Power Plan. | EPA

Under current rules, an NSR review can be triggered if annual emissions increase because of increased dispatch even if hourly emissions drop — putting it in conflict with the ACE plan, the official said.

“Our projection is that the cost of having to go through the permitting process and the cost of corresponding emission controls and measures would make an otherwise viable efficiency project not viable and not sustainable under a state plan.”

The official said EPA will be back within several months with a final revision to the NSR regulations. “We fully intend to finalize the new-source review fix, but frankly with everything we have in the final [ACE] rule, we’ve bitten off as much as we can chew.”

The official was asked about studies predicting that up to 28% of coal plants will increase their total emissions because the efficiency improvements will improve their competitiveness.

“We project at full implementation that emissions from the sector are going to decrease,” the official said. “It’s entirely possible that for some individual [plants], emissions may go up. But even if they go up based on greater utilization, the emissions rate will go down because that’s what this regulation would require.”

Reaction

Reaction to the plan was unsurprisingly split.

Coal lobbying group ACCCE called it a “sensible and legally sound approach to regulating carbon dioxide emissions from the nation’s coal fleet.”

“We are especially pleased the ACE rule provides flexibility to set reasonable carbon dioxide standards that do not force the premature retirement of more coal-fired generating units,” ACCCE CEO Michelle Bloodworth said. “For that reason, we commend EPA for not attempting to use environmental regulations to drive energy policy.”

U.S. Rep. Bill Johnson (R-Ohio) said the rule shows President Trump making good on his promise to end “the War on Coal.”

“The current leadership at the EPA understands we can have smart environmental regulations and protect coal jobs and our economy at the same time,” he said in a statement.

Rhea Suh, president of the Natural Resources Defense Council, vowed to fight the plan in court. “President Trump’s dirty power scheme would do nothing to address the rising economic costs and the increasing dangers wrought by climate change,” she said. “Instead, it would give polluters free rein and doom future generations to a dangerously hostile world.”

ACE

Coal heat rates by state | EIA

Analysts at ClearView Energy Partners noted that parties will have 60 days from the rule’s publication in the Federal Register to appeal, meaning the Trump administration would still be in office to defend the rule. “If there are significant delays to the pace of the appeal, the potential that a differently minded administration (should one be elected in 2020) could mount a less aggressive defense or reconsider the rulemaking (as the EPA under the Trump administration did) could grow.”

ClearView said the rule does not prevent states from enacting higher renewable portfolio standards or other climate measures. “Indeed, we think the less stringent replacement for CPP may further galvanize subnational decarbonization efforts,” they said.