November 15, 2024

ClearPath: Nation’s Queue Processes Impeding Energy Transition

Conservative clean energy nonprofit ClearPath last week joined the chorus sounding the alarm over the nation’s congested generator interconnection queues, which it said are throwing a wrench in carbon-reduction goals.

In a new report, “All Queued Up and Nowhere to Go: The Massive Interconnection Challenge Facing Net-Zero Electricity Deployment,” the organization found that increasing queue delays are standing in the way of the clean energy transition, and it released a handful of recommendations aimed at the federal level.

The report concluded that federal agencies should enact policies that include coordinating interconnection and transmission planning processes; allowing expedited treatment for projects proposed in existing rights of way; offering grants and scholarships to electrical engineers who focus on interconnection; and providing technical assistance to those who oversee interconnection processes.

ClearPath analyzed interconnection processes used by transmission providers, utilities and grid operators. It found an average queue wait time of 3.7 years and a “massive backlog, making it incredibly difficult to deploy new generation and storage resources.” It said wait times for interconnection between 2000 and 2010 were just 2.1 years in comparison.

“The interconnection queue has become so dysfunctional that some transmission providers are freezing their process to work through the project backlog,” Spencer Nelson, ClearPath’s managing director for research, said in a press release. “Hundreds of gigawatts of new energy projects — predominantly wind, solar, natural gas, and storage — spend an increasingly long time in the interconnection process. This is now the biggest bottleneck for clean energy development.”

The organization said current net-zero models are “unrealistic” given the current congested queues and warned that the retirement of existing capacity is set to “outpace new additions due to interconnection inefficiencies.”

ClearPath said between 2010 and 2016, only 23% of generation projects entering various queues reached commercial operation. It blamed, in part, first-come, first-served study processes that encourage developers to submit more than one interconnection request in the hopes of landing on the cheapest interconnection points. When speculative placeholders withdraw requests, it causes “turmoil,” the report said.

The nonprofit cited Princeton University’s “Rapid Energy Policy Evaluation and Analysis Toolkit,” which shows that the U.S. requires 1,101 GW of additional wind and solar generation, 179 GW of natural gas generation with carbon capture technology, and 6 GW of nuclear generation by 2035 to reach net-zero emissions by 2050. Using those figures combined with the national average 23% rate of commercial success, ClearPath said 7,000 GW of capacity would need to enter queues to meet Princeton’s 1,300 GW of generation additions.

“Failure to address the current interconnection process at scale will limit the ability to reduce emissions affordably and could hurt grid reliability,” Nelson said. “At this point, achieving net-zero emissions in the U.S. by 2050 is impossible without major interconnection improvements.”

ClearPath said the U.S. needs record annual capacity additions, not feasible under current processes, to accomplish a net-zero midcentury mark. It said the nation should have somewhere between 74 and 156 GW of capacity additions per year. Though proposed capacity entering queues has recently grown to 500 GW per year, ClearPath said interconnection rates have dwindled.

The nonprofit wasn’t keen on FERC’s notice of proposed rulemaking for interconnection queue reform. (See RTOs, Utilities Push Back on Interconnection Deadlines, Penalties.)

The report said the NOPR’s proposals are not likely “transformative or flexible enough for the speed and scale of deployment required.”

It said many transmission providers have already tried FERC’s proposed fixes without much improvement, pointing to MISO’s multiple filings over the last decade to streamline its queue process.

ClearPath said the commission should embark on a rulemaking to integrate regional and interregional transmission planning with interconnection processes. It also said the U.S. Department of Energy should fund workforce development that specializes in interconnection and update its National Interest Electric Transmission Corridors (NIETCs) to issue more construction permits and provide technical interconnection assistance to states, utilities and RTOs and ISOs.

Finally, ClearPath recommended FERC, DOE and U.S. department of the Interior strengthen their coordination in permitting generation and transmission. It said the agencies should work together to expedite permitting at interconnection points for large, retiring power plants and for rights of way under the U.S. Department of Transportation. It said the agencies should also “proactively pre-site areas on federal land for clean energy and transmission projects along identified NIETCs.”

Suitors Line up for AEP’s Unregulated Renewable Assets

American Electric Power (NASDAQ:AEP) executives said Thursday that “the usual suspects” are interested in the company’s unregulated renewable energy assets as the company seeks to become a “pure play” regulated utility.

AEP launched the two-step sale process for the 1.37-GW portfolio in August and has accepted bids for the first phase of the auction process. The company announced the sale in February. (See AEP to Sell Unregulated Renewables Portfolio.)

Akins-Nick-2019-09-10-(RTO-Insider)-FI.jpgAEP CEO Nick Akins | © RTO Insider LLC

“Selling the portfolio will allow AEP to shift focus and rotate capital towards regulated businesses as we continue to transform our generation fleet and enhance transmission infrastructure,” CEO Nick Akins told financial analysts during a Thursday conference call. He said a sale agreement is on pace to be signed during the second quarter next year and to close by midyear.

The Columbus, Ohio-based company reported earnings of $684 million ($1.33/share), as compared with earnings of $796 million ($1.59/share) for the same quarter a year ago. The results exceeded analysts’ expectations of $1.56/share.

Transmission will be key to AEP’s earnings growth plan. The company plans nearly $26 billion in wires investment opportunities over the next five years as it focuses on “improving the reliability and resiliency of the grid and integrating new resources to support the clean energy economy,” CFO Julie Sloat said.

AEP said it is responding to a second subpoena from the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission related to a corruption probe into the passage of an Ohio nuclear and coal subsidy bill.

“We view it as a continuing part of the process. … We said we would be transparent, and we have been transparent, and we’ll continue to work in a positive fashion with the SEC,” Akins said. “They just need more information, and we’re going to supply it. We’ll continue to work with them to get this thing resolved.”

The first subpoena asked for documents related to the bill’s passage and AEP policies, financial processes and controls. Akins said the company has recognized it needed to make changes in a nonprofit’s governance, “and we made those changes.”

AEP’s share price finished the week at $89.40, up $1.96 after its pre-earnings close.

The analyst call marked Akins’ last after 11 years as AEP’s CEO. He will be replaced by Sloat, who takes over on Jan. 1. (See Akins Steps down as AEP President; Sloat to Become CEO.)

“I’m confident in [Sloat’s] deep knowledge of AEP, as well as the emphasis she places on consistency, quality of earnings and dividends and shareholder and customer value creation that will be instrumental to AEP’s continued success,” Akins said, marking the occasion with his trademark references to rock music.

Quoting Rush’s “Closer to the Heart” and Led Zeppelin’s “Thank You,” the rock musicophile said, respectively, “And the men and women who hold high places must be the ones who start to mold a new reality closer to the heart. … And so today, my world, it smiles.”

NextEra Again Exceeds Expectations

NextEra Energy (NYSE:NEE) said that a 13% increase during the third quarter in adjusted earnings year-over-year, reflecting continued strong performance by its utility and clean-energy subsidiaries, has the company well positioned to achieve its overall objectives for the year.

The Juno Beach, Fla.-based company delivered quarterly earnings of $1.69 billion ($0.86/share), compared to $447 million ($0.23/share) for the same period a year ago. Wall Street had expected earnings of 80 cents/share; NextEra has exceeded expectations for the past two years.

The Inflation Reduction Act’s passage “provides a tremendous opportunity set for us across the board,” CEO John Ketchum told analysts during a conference call Friday. “It creates a lot of immediate money opportunities for us going forward on wind, solar and on battery storage.”

NextEra Energy Resources, the company’s wholesale supplier subsidiary, added 2.3 GW of new renewable resources and storage projects during the quarter.

NextEra said Hurricane Ian’s landfall in September knocked out service to more than 2.1 million Florida Power & Light customers, but that a restoration workforce of about 20,000 workers and FPL’s grid-hardening and smart-grid investments restored service to about two-thirds of those affected customers after the first full day. It was the fastest restoration rate after a major hurricane, officials said.

The company’s share price closed Friday at $79.03, a gain of $3.56 (4.7%) on the day.

Xcel: IRA Will Lower Renewable Costs

Xcel Energy (NASDAQ:XEL) on Thursday reported third-quarter earnings of $649 million ($1.18/share), up from last year’s third quarter net total of $609 million ($1.13/share). The company cited capital investment recovery and other regulatory outcomes for the improvement.

CEO Bob Frenzel said the IRA’s passage will reduce the cost of the Minneapolis-based company’s clean energy transition and improve liquidity through tax credit transferability, besides providing “significant” customer benefits. He said the legislation will lower the cost of the recently approved 460-MW Sherco Solar project by more than 30% and also reduce the expense of the 10 GW of approved renewable resources in its Minnesota and Colorado resource plans.

“It shows the tremendous customer benefits of being an early leader in the clean energy transition,” Frenzel told analysts during Thursday’s call.

The quarter’s performance was short of analysts’ expectations of $1.22/share. However, Xcel’s share price closed the week at $65.37, up $2.80 (4.5%) from its pre-earnings close.

MISO Members Revisit Possibility of Resilience Obligations

MISO members have reopened the suggestion that the grid operator enact resilience criteria within its footprint, saying it has a role to play in preparing to withstand and recover from high-impact, low-probability events that wreak havoc on the system.

During an Advisory Committee teleconference Wednesday, several members said MISO could address resilience through projects that harden and build redundancy into the system, resource diversity and operational protocols. They said the RTO’s long-range transmission planning will reinforce the system, but it could do more in bolstering interregional links, which have proven invaluable during extreme weather events.

ITC Holding’s Brian Drumm said staff could establish minimum intraregional and interregional transfer levels.

“How do we know we’re resilient now if we don’t have metrics?” the Lignite Energy Council’s Jonathan Fortner asked, advocating for defined measures of adequate transmission capability and available generation.

The Union of Concerned Scientists’ Sam Gomberg said MISO “should be on the forefront” of partnering with national laboratories and agencies to understand evolving risks of climate change. He said the grid operator’s “blind spot” is that it doesn’t proactively analyze and plan for future risks “that the science is telling us are going to become numerous.”

Gomberg said MISO might define when heat waves and winter storms cross an “extreme” threshold. He said “smart, low-cost solutions or behaviors” could lower risks and that MISO, states and load-serving entities have a “huge opportunity” to save lives and lessen disruptive events’ economic devastation.

WEC Energy Group’s Chris Plante said the conversation was reminiscent of one the Advisory Committee held four years ago. He said continued attention on the topic without sets of criteria means that it is difficult to pin down resilience objectives.

Search for Small SPP-MISO Interregional Projects May be Fruitless

MISO and SPP prepared stakeholders last week for the possibility they may come up empty-handed in their joint hunt for interregional transmission upgrades.

SPP’s Neil Robertson said that the grid operators are still “hopeful” they can identify at least one beneficial targeted market efficiency project (TMEP) in their study. But he also said there’s a “strong possibility” that they won’t find any recommended upgrades.

“I think the likely outcome is we’re not going to have any … candidates come out of this first study, but I don’t want to close the door on this just yet,” Robertson told stakeholders Friday during a MISO-SPP Interregional Planning Stakeholder Advisory Committee (IPSAC).

“The cost of the solutions may far exceed the budget,” Robertson said, adding, “We’re still refining the congestion dollar values.”

MISO and SPP have said they would screen for possible TMEPs when a market-to-market flowgate has amassed $1 million or more in congestion costs over a two-year period. The RTOs catalogued seven permanent flowgates that have racked up between $10 and $43 million worth of congestion. (See MISO, SPP Identify Hotspots for Smaller Interregional Tx Projects; MISO, SPP Hunt for Small Interregional Tx Projects.)

They have proposed that TMEPs cost $20 million or less, must not be greenfield projects, be in service by the third summer peak from their approval, and completely cover their installed capital cost within four years of service through avoided congestion.

The grid operators borrowed many of their standards from MISO’s and PJM’s TMEP criteria.

Stakeholders remained adamant that the grid operators are using a cost cap that’s too restrictive to result in any valuable projects.

American Clean Power Association’s Daniel Hall asked whether the absence of qualifying TMEP projects means that the RTOs might consider “tweaking” the criteria to increase the cost threshold or payback period.

Robertson said staffs plan to hold lessons-learned discussions following the study’s conclusion but probably wouldn’t change criteria “purely in the interest of getting Project A or Project B across the finish line.”

“There is merit in shifting [these] criteria or [those] criteria, but we have to balance all of the considerations,” he said. Staffs are looking for upgrade candidates that “truly give us the return on investment we’re looking for” and are not entertaining a change to the $20 million cost cap at this time, Robertson said.

Several stakeholders said inflation has dated the proposed TMEP cost threshold.

Clean Grid Alliance’s Natalie McIntire argued that “the value of dollars changing” means that the cost maximum is “ripe for reconsideration.”

“You should consider keeping up with inflation,” she told the RTOs’ planners.

American Electric Power’s Brian Johnson agreed and said MISO should “right-size the figure to match market conditions.” He said with the current criteria, a TMEP would have to be “almost across the street” for MISO and SPP to recommend it.

The grid operators said they will announce any project candidates during a Dec. 12 IPSAC meeting.

Robertson also said the RTOs are working out a way for one RTO’s transmission owners to fund an upgrade on the other RTO’s system when it stands to benefit them. Robertson said situations where a TO will overwhelmingly benefit from a project on the other side of the seams are becoming increasingly commonplace.

He said the grid operators could “pass the funding across the fence” should there be cross-border construction under MISO and SPP’s interregional planning process.

NEPOOL to Consider Raising ISO-NE Board Age Limit

NEPOOL stakeholders will consider whether to increase the age limit for members of ISO-NE’s Board of Directors this week, as the grid operator looks to expand the pool of candidates for the job.

The proposal, put forward by NextEra Energy’s Michelle Gardner, will get a vote at the Participants Committee this week.

A provision of the current ISO-NE and NEPOOL rules, in place since the Participants Agreement was adopted in 2004, prohibits anyone over the age of 70 from being elected or re-elected to the board.

Gardner plans to argue that best practices have changed since 2004, according to her presentation. Her proposal would raise the age limit to 75.

Two other RTOs have age limits of 75, and the rest have no limits at all, she says.

“In recent years, the age limit has contributed to difficulty in finding high-quality director candidates to serve on the ISO board,” according to Gardner’s presentation. It’s “challenging for actively employed executives to serve” on the board because of the time commitment it requires. And as many executives are now working full-time jobs into their 60s, “the present age limit shortens their service window.”

ISO-NE’s Code of Conduct also limits the ability of stakeholders to consider candidates who have been recently affiliated with market participants or are invested in companies that interact with ISO-NE. FERC’s interlock rule also comes into play.

ISO-NE spokesperson Matt Kakley said the grid operator supports the change.

“Making this change would bring ISO New England in line with our ISO and RTO peers and corporate best practices,” Kakley wrote in an email to RTO Insider. “Increasing the age limit will allow for a broader pool of candidates while maintaining existing parameters laid out in our Code of Conduct and FERC’s interlock rules.”

The board will meet on Tuesday, the day before the Participants Committee, for its first public meeting as part of a commitment by ISO-NE to the New England states to be more accessible and transparent.

HECO Pilot to Fund EV Chargers at Commercial Buildings

Hawaiian Electric (HECO) said last week that it is accepting applications for Charge Up Commercial, a three-year pilot program aimed at reducing the upfront costs for the installation of electric vehicle charging station infrastructure.

The $5 million “make-ready” pilot program will provide up to 30 applicants as much as $90,000 each to install the infrastructure necessary for Level 2 EV charging stations. HECO will install and maintain all infrastructure up to the charging station location, while applicants are responsible for buying, installing and maintaining the charging station itself. Applicants must also install a minimum of four and maximum of six charging ports.

The pilot program is available for non-residential locations such as stores, office buildings and fleet facilities, as well as apartments and condominiums, on all the islands except for Kauai.

The charging stations will dovetail with HECO’s commercial EV charging rates, which apply a time-of-use rate to reduce energy costs during the midday hours when there is an abundance of solar energy on the grid.

Charge Up Commercial is also compatible with HECO’s EV Charging Station Rebate program, which offsets some of the cost of installing an EV charging station for commercial and multi-unit dwellings.

In the Charge Up Commercial handbook, HECO CEO Shelee Kimura said part of the pilot program’s value is to provide charging ability to EV owners who live in apartment buildings or condominiums, where it is generally more difficult to charge EVs in than a house. Kimura noted that apartments and condominiums “make up a full 37% of Hawaii’s housing stock.”

HECO will accept additional applications on a rolling basis if there are leftover funds after the first 30 applicants.

ESSC To-do List: Labor Shortage, Forest Management, Transformers

Duane Highley (US Energy Association) Content.jpgDuane Highley, Tri-State Generation and Transmission Association | U.S. Energy Association

Solving workforce issues, making transformers easier to replace and improving forest management are among the issues dominating the attention of the Electricity Subsector Coordinating Council, Co-chair Duane Highley said Friday.

The ESSC has been discussing how the industry can deploy federal funding from the Inflation Reduction Act and the Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act “that would basically triple the rate of expansion of our energy transition,” Highley said during a United States Energy Association virtual press briefing on transmission.

“The No. 1 factor that’s limiting us right now is labor availability. There’s just not enough people,” said Highley, CEO of Colorado-based Tri-State Generation and Transmission Association. “And so despite the will — we might have all the money in the world — if we don’t have the people, we’re not going to get it done. And this is a global problem. It’s not even just limited to us.”

Highley said the ESSC’s wildfire working group is completing efforts with the U.S. Forest Service and Bureau of Land Management to create master special-use permits that will simplify the removal of vegetation under transmission lines.

“We’ve had, in the past, to get separate permits for every single forest district, every single company,” he said. “And what we’re on the verge of completing now … is a master special-use permit that’s going to allow [access] to be negotiated once. And then we can get in and do the work we need to do without so many extra hoops to jump through.”

Getting Away from Bespoke Transformers

Maria Robinson (US Energy Association) Content.jpgMaria Robinson, DOE Grid Deployment Office | U.S. Energy Association

Highley and Maria Robinson, director of the U.S. Department of Energy’s Grid Deployment Office, also spoke of efforts to improve the supply of transformers.

Highley said the ESSC, a public-private partnership formed to improve energy resilience after the Sept. 11, 2001, terrorist attacks, has made major strides. “We’re much better today than we were two decades ago,” he said. “One of the things we’re looking at hard right now is the Defense Production Act capabilities that [the Department of Defense] has been given, and it might allow them to engage in helping make transformer supplies better.”

Robinson cited the Solid State Power Substation Technology Roadmap, a research and development effort being led by DOE’s Office of Electricity to reduce the criticality of substation components.

“One of the biggest issues is that transformers … are made to spec. They’re not modular in any way, shape or form,” Robinson said. “And there’s a lot of investment going into research to allow for more modular parts, recognizing that when you’re ordering a very specific design, it could take months or years for that to come in. And from a resilience perspective, we want to make sure that we’re able to rebuild more quickly than that.”

Ukrainian officials said earlier this month that Russia’s strikes on the nation’s infrastructure had destroyed about 30% of its autotransformers.

Asked what lessons the Russian attacks might hold for U.S. resilience efforts, Highley said: “Defense in depth; redundancy. It’s what’s always saved us, no matter what happens, whether it’s weather, cyberattack or physical kinetic attack.”

Florida’s Transmission Stands Tall

Philip Moeller (US Energy Association) Content.jpgPhilip Moeller, Edison Electric Institute | U.S. Energy Association

Also speaking at the briefing was former FERC Commissioner Philip Moeller, now executive vice president of the Edison Electric Institute, who touted the hardening investments made by Florida’s utilities before Hurricane Ian in September.

“In the last hurricane, we didn’t lose any transmission structures in Florida,” Moeller said. “So that tells you that the infrastructure investments — the hardening, the adaptation, the resilience — actually pay dividends.”

Moeller cited studies estimating that power outages in Florida can result in economic losses of $1 billion per day.

“So to the extent you can invest to correct those outages, that’s a pretty good bargain,” he said. “It also points out [the optionality value of] transmission. … As populations change; when congestion occurs; as public policies change; as fuel choices change, transmission is the infrastructure that gives us optionality.”

Robinson said DOE has $10.5 billion in funding to improve grid resilience and innovation through matching grants, “specifically looking at some of that hardening work that needs to happen, both at the transmission and distribution levels.”

Moeller said additional federal funding also will help expand cybersecurity programs to “more of the smaller energy companies and utilities throughout the country, so that we can have a more comprehensive approach toward the cyber threats that are out there.”

More East-west Transmission

Michael Skelly (US Energy Association) Content.jpgMichael Skelly, Grid United | U.S. Energy Association

Highley and Michael Skelly, founder and CEO of transmission developer Grid United, also talked about the need for more interregional transmission to address reliability problems and the solar duck curve.

“We need a national will to build national transmission east [to] west. So much of what we have now is north to south,” Highley said. “The RTOs even tend to be oriented north to south — if you look at CAISO, you look at SPP, if you look at MISO — and that’s why we have duck curve problems. … A duck curve exists because the sun sets on a time zone all at once. And if you could move that east and west, you wouldn’t have a duck curve at all.”

Skelly was asked whether Texas policymakers might consider making ERCOT FERC-jurisdictional by interconnecting with the Eastern and/or Western grids in response to the blackouts following the February 2021 winter storm.

“I would say the chances of Texas joining the rest of the country, electrically speaking, are between zero and none,” Skelly replied. “But I do think that the prospects for DC connections between ERCOT and elsewhere are fairly good.”

ERCOT currently has transfer capacity of only 1,200 MW with “the outside world, as we in Texas, like to call it,” Skelly said. His company is proposing a project that would connect West Texas and El Paso. He also mentioned Pattern Energy’s Southern Spirit project, a 400-mile line between East Texas and Mississippi.

“I think we’ll see more projects like that. And they’re beneficial, because … ERCOT has tremendous amounts of wind and solar. And these lines would allow ERCOT to share that abundance with the rest of the country, and also provide reliability to ERCOT during stressful grid conditions,” Skelly continued.

“I know ERCOT has had kind of a rough go in many respects. But one of the reasons that Texas has so much renewable energy — we lead the country in wind; we will soon lead the country in solar — is precisely because of its independence. You have one jurisdiction that can make decisions around grid expansion [with] fairly low barriers to entry. … So I don’t think things will change in terms of like FERC jurisdiction, but I do think there’s opportunities to connect us through these DC connections, and those will be beneficial all around.”

DTE Energy Pledges Fast-tracked Energy Transition

DTE Energy executives promised a more aggressive clean energy transition during their third-quarter earnings call Thursday.

Pointing to the Inflation Reduction Act, the utility’s leadership told financial analysts to expect a speedier resource changeover when it files a new integrated resource plan with the Michigan Public Service Commission in early November. CEO Jerry Norcia said the plan will detail how DTE plans to accelerate its decarbonization efforts.

DTE earned $311 million ($1.60/share) for the quarter, $21 million higher in a year-over-year comparison because of deferred tax amortization and lower operations and maintenance expenses.  

Norcia said “climate change remains our generation’s defining public policy issue.” He said the utility is committed to investing in clean energy and grid modernization to ensure reliability against extreme weather and to accommodate new load from electric vehicles.

“We are focusing on updating and improving our aging infrastructure for this additional demand while continuing to provide safe, reliable and affordable energy,” Norcia said. “Two important factors affecting our grid are climate change and emerging electrification technologies. We need to build the grid of the future to ensure we can continue to provide clean, safe, reliable and affordable energy.”

Norcia promised a “shift towards renewables and natural gas and away from coal generation.”

CFO Dave Ruud said the IRA will help accelerate DTE’s clean energy transition and keep customer costs in check. Norcia said the legislation’s passage will have “a very positive impact” on the company’s IRP, lower the cost of renewable investments and improve the affordability of carbon-capture and storage technologies.

“We have now the opportunity to invest greater amounts in our renewables build-out, so very positive impact overall,” Norcia said.

He also said DTE’s voluntary renewables program, MIGreenPower, continues to show “substantial growth” with a new 400-MW customer joining this week, bringing the program’s subscription to 2.1 GW.

DTE Energy has a goal to achieve net-zero carbon emissions by 2050.

Last month, the Ann Arbor City Council voted 10-1 to fund a $500,000 feasibility study on breaking away from DTE Energy. City officials have said their existing clean energy plans are an obstacle to meeting the city’s goal to achieve carbon-neutrality by 2030.

Activist group Ann Arbor for Public Power said DTE “fails to provide reliable electricity, charges residents more than the national average and gets more than 50% of its power from coal.”

The earnings call came as DTE and Consumers Energy face an audit from the Michigan PSC over compliance with outage and safety regulations. Last summer, storms left Michigan ratepayers on extended outages, leading to inquiries from state regulators. (See Mich. PSC Issues Emergency Order Following Devastating Storms.)

Norcia said he thinks the audit will ultimately strengthen DTE’s relationship with the commission and better align their views on the utility’s investments. He said current discussions with PSC staff are “really collaborative.”

Norcia said DTE’s grid averages 99.9% availability and its best-in-class utility performance is about 99.97%. He said all of DTE’s capital investment plans are “pointed at how do we get to that 99.97% availability for our grid.”

“So, I feel that this process with the Commission will create stronger alignment,” Norcia said, adding that DTE has systems that must be “replaced, modernized and automated.”

NJ BPU OKs $1.07B OSW Transmission Expansion

The New Jersey Board of Public Utilities voted unanimously Wednesday to spend $1.07 billion on transmission upgrades to deliver 6,400 MW of offshore wind generation to the PJM grid, saying the projects would minimize costs, environmental impacts and permitting risks (Docket No. QO20100630).

The BPU made its selection from among 80 proposals submitted by 13 developers in response to a solicitation issued by PJM at the BPU’s request under FERC Order 1000’s State Agreement Approach.

The solicitation asked for four categories of transmission upgrade proposals, including Option 2 for new offshore transmission connection facilities — extending the PJM grid into the ocean — and Option 3 for new offshore transmission network facilities. (See PJM Sees Wide Range of Costs in NJ OSW Tx Proposals.)

Andrea Hart (NJ BPU) Content.jpgAndrea Hart, N.J. Board of Public Utilities | NJ BPU

But Andrea Hart, BPU’s senior program manager for offshore wind, said BPU staff and consultants Brattle Group rejected those options as too costly, narrowing its selection to Option 1b proposals for new onshore transmission connection facilities and Option 1a proposals for upgrades to resolve reliability criteria violations resulting from the generation injections.

Hart said most of the Option 2 proposals connected only a single project to each offshore substation, resulting in no reduction in the number of export cables compared with a baseline scenario without coordinated procurement. In addition, transmission-only projects would not qualify for the 30% federal investment tax credit available to generation projects, foregoing as much as $2.2 billion in subsidies. The Option 3 proposals, which were contingent on Option 2, were also rejected. “Staff remains optimistic that the costs of a coordinated transmission will continue to decrease, which could open the door for procurement of option two facilities through a future SAA solicitation,” she said.

In addition to $575 million in necessary Option 1a upgrades, staff selected what it called the Larrabee Tri-Collector Solution, which includes parts of FirstEnergy’s Jersey Central Power and Light’s 1b proposal (NYSE:FE) and pieces of Mid-Atlantic Offshore Development’s Option 2 proposal.

Substation Interconnection (Mid-Atlantic Offshore Development) Content.jpgThe Mid-Atlantic Offshore Development proposal will provide routes to three points of interconnection on Jersey Central Power and Light’s transmission system: the 230-kV Larrabee substation, two 500-kV transmission lines to the Smithburg substation, and one 230-kV line to the Atlantic substation. | Mid-Atlantic Offshore Development

 

The centerpiece of the $504 million project will be a new substation adjacent to JCP&L’s existing Larrabee substation. Mid-Atlantic Offshore Development, a joint venture of Shell New Energies US (NYSE:SHEL) and EDF Renewables North America (OTCMKTS:ECIFY), will build the AC portion of the new Larrabee Collector Station to accommodate three future HVDC circuits. The project will include sufficient land for the installation of up to four DC converter stations. “This will ensure robust competition is maintained — upholding open-access transmission principles — throughout future OSW solicitations,” the board said.

The collector station will use existing JCP&L rights of way to distribute up to 4,890 MW to three points of interconnection (POI): the Smithburg 500-kV, the Larrabee 230-kV substation and the Atlantic 230-kV.

Although the BPU’s order does not provide a shore crossing solution under the SAA, its order noted that the MAOD proposal identified the National Guard Training Center at Sea Girt as the preferred crossing point.

The board said the Larrabee collector is “an innovative transmission solution, creating a single onshore POI while leveraging existing rights of ways, an outcome that would not have been possible without coordinated planning and a competitive solicitation.”

“The awarded projects also position the state to seek direct federal funding for future expansions of the OSW transmission grid, including the potential to award a full OSW backbone in connection with the board’s future OSW solicitations, and preserves preferable interconnection locations and transmission corridors for future use,” the board said.

Although the MAOD-JCP&L Option 1b solution was intended to connect three 1,200-MW HVDC systems, PJM said the equipment in the AC substation can handle up to 4,530 MW of future injections from DC converter stations. 

“PJM’s analysis suggests that this provides an excellent platform for accessing additional headroom on the PJM system with modest additional upgrades in the future,” the BPU said. 

The Missing Link

The SAA solicitation was intended to provide sufficient transmission to provide 6,400 MW of OSW capacity, helping the state meet its original goal of 7,500 MW of OSW by 2035. Ocean Wind I, which was awarded offshore wind renewable energy certificates for 1,100 MW in the state’s first OSW solicitation, is not eligible to use the capacity resulting from the SAA. 

The BPU acknowledged that the transmission projects it selected under the SAA would not prevent future OSW generators from proposing different landing points or different routes from their landing points to the Larrabee collector. 

Joseph Fiordaliso (NJ BPU) Content.jpgBPU Chair Joseph Fiordaliso | NJ BPU

As a result, the board said it will require a successful bidder in its third OSW solicitation, scheduled for the first quarter of 2023, to “prebuild” a single corridor from the shore crossing to the Larrabee collector, ensuring a single onshore transmission corridor. 

In September, Gov. Phil Murphy increased the state’s OSW goal to 11,000 MW by 2040. The board’s order directs staff to begin a second round of coordinated transmission planning to meet the increased goal, potentially including a new SAA solicitation.

Pending approval of the PJM board, the RTO will include the projects selected by the BPU in its Regional Transmission Expansion Plan as baseline public policy projects.

In addition to the Larrabee collector, the BPU approved $575 million in upgrades to existing onshore transmission identified by PJM as necessary to support the OSW injections, including:

  • PSE&G’s proposed Brunswick to Deans and Deans subprojects and Windsor to Clarksville subproject: $40.3 million;
  • LS Power’s additional Hope Creek-Silver Run 230-kV submarine cable plus upgrade: $61.2 million;
  • Atlantic City Electric’s proposal to reconductor the Richmond-Waneeta 230-kV line: $16.9 million;
  • Transource’s North Delta A proposal: $109.68 million;
  • PPL to reconductor the Gilbert-Springfield 230-kV: $380,000;
  • PECO to replace four Peach Bottom 500-kV breakers: $5.6 million; and
  • BGE to upgrade one Conastone 230-kV breaker: $1.3 million.

Because the State Agreement Approach requires New Jersey to assume 100% of the costs of the $1.07 billion in spending, the bills of average residential customers will increase by $1.03/month, the BPU said.

The BPU said its selections would save $900 million over the baseline scenario, evidence of the board’s “prudent and careful” approach, BPU Chair Joseph Fiordaliso said.

Dianne Solomon (NJ BPU) Content.jpgBPU Commissioner Dianne Solomon | NJ BPU

But Commissioner Dianne Solomon said she was concerned about the costs of this and future transmission expansions. “I’m sure my fellow commissioners agree we must work with others in our region to oversee and share the costs of the build out of offshore wind,” she said.

The BPU’s order said “it may be beneficial, prior to initiation of the second SAA, to review with other states, both inside and outside the PJM region, the potential for jointly undertaking an offshore wind planning process and incorporating those larger needs into this future SAA. While such a multistate process may present additional complexities, it is also likely to reduce costs to ratepayers by identifying even more robust regional solutions by considering a wider range of public policy needs, and by enabling the sharing of costs with other states who participate in the SAA process.”

Comments

MAOD did not respond to a request for comment. FirstEnergy spokesperson Chris Hoenig called the award “a landmark development opportunity in new, regulated transmission assets.”

PJM CEO Manu Asthana called the BPU’s action “an important milestone in the development of offshore wind in the U.S.”

“We see the State Agreement Approach as a model for how states can leverage PJM’s processes to advance their policy goals,” he added.

NERC Board Approves New Cold Weather Standards

The ERO Enterprise’s work preparing the bulk electric system for extreme winter weather is far from over despite the completion of the initial effort to update reliability standards in response to last year’s winter storms, members of NERC’s Board of Trustees said Wednesday.

Meeting virtually, the board voted unanimously to adopt the new standards EOP-012-1 (Extreme cold weather preparedness and operations) and EOP-011-3 (Emergency operations), along with their implementation plan. Both standards were produced as part of Project 2021-07, begun by NERC last year in response to its joint inquiry with FERC into the February 2021 winter storm that forced thousands of megawatts of generating capacity offline in Texas and led to several days of forced outages across the state. (See FERC, NERC Release Final Texas Storm Report.)

With the acceptance of the board, the new standards will now be submitted to FERC for approval.

Jim Robb (NERC) Content.jpgNERC CEO Jim Robb | NERC

At Wednesday’s meeting, NERC CEO Jim Robb described the new standards as the fulfillment of a promise that he and FERC Chairman Richard Glick made at the height of last February’s crisis.

“I remember being on the phone with Chairman Glick … and the one thing that the chairman and I committed at that point — to each other and effectively to all the citizens of North America — was that we weren’t going to let the lessons of this event go unheeded,” Robb said. “And we reiterated that commitment in several forums … that enough was enough and that we were really going to move forward to make sure that whatever we learned out of this event would inform all of our actions around extreme weather and cold weather preparedness.”

The joint inquiry recommended that NERC implement significant changes to its standards, and Project 2021-07 was intended as the first part of a three-phase response to the report. Four of FERC’s recommendations are addressed by the new standards:

  • to require generator owners (GOs) that experience outages or other issues because of freezing to create a corrective action plan (CAP) for the affected equipment and determine whether to revise its cold-weather preparedness plan to account for the CAP;
  • to require GOs and generator operators to conduct annual unit-specific cold-weather preparedness plan training;
  • to require GOs to retrofit existing generating units and design new units to operate to a specified ambient temperature and weather conditions; and
  • to require transmission owners and operators, and distribution providers, to separate circuits used for manual load shed from circuits used for underfrequency load shed and undervoltage load shed, or serving critical loads.

Howard Gugel, NERC’s vice president of engineering and standards, told trustees that these four recommendations were chosen for the focus of the first phase because the joint report suggested they be completed before the winter of 2022-23. The remaining six recommendations are intended to be addressed in the second phase, to be completed before winter of next year.

Trustees Support Standards, with Reservations

While board members supported the new standards in general terms, their comments made clear that this week’s vote is not the end of the conversation. Trustee Sue Kelly called Project 2021-07 merely “a down payment” on the work needed to properly address the grid’s vulnerability to severe weather, specifically saying that “this version of EOP-012 should [not] be the end of the discussion on winterization of generating units.”

She noted that the standard, as written, allows GOs to essentially opt out of implementing freeze protection measures by giving them the authority to define the “technical, commercial or operational constraints” that would “preclude the ability” to install these measures. She warned that this concession to GOs would “leave their reliability coordinators with a reduced set of generation resources to work with during the winter season.”

Howard Gugel (NERC) Content.jpgHoward Gugel, NERC | NERC

Observing that EOP-012-1 requires GOs to document “fuel supply and inventory concerns” in their cold weather preparedness plans, Trustee Jim Piro asked Gugel whether generators “have the ability to cause the upstream system” — specifically natural gas pipelines that feed generators — “to also winterize their systems.”

Gugel acknowledged that the standard does not give GOs that power. He suggested that such a requirement “could be placed within their fuel contracts” and added that the joint report does recommend separately that the gas industry do something to address winter preparedness in its own system.

Piro also asked whether the standard gives NERC any visibility into GOs that do opt out of the freeze protection measures, so that their potential unavailability can be factored into the organization’s winter reliability assessments. Gugel said NERC does have several means of gathering that data, from requesting it as part of the normal information gathering for the reliability assessments, to issuing alerts to compel utilities to report whether they have opted out.

While calling the new standards “a major step forward,” Trustee Roy Thilly reminded attendees that winter preparedness is “a very complex issue” that “is going to impose some pretty significant costs” on utilities. He made clear that although he sympathizes with the financial concerns of the industry, NERC cannot let this issue influence its decisions about changes that may be needed to ensure reliability.

“NERC has been, and needs always to be, concerned with and understand the cost it’s imposing on industry through reliability standards. We do that by looking at cost-benefit analysis, and we rely very heavily on industry … [which] is really in the best position to inform that analysis,” Thilly said. “But the issue of the ability to recover through rates and market tariffs is outside of NERC’s jurisdiction and … our control.”

“It’s very important that NERC urge FERC, RTOs, municipal and co-op boards and councils, and states, to take the steps necessary to enable recovery by industry participants of reasonable costs incurred to comply with mandatory NERC reliability requirements,” he added. “But it’s beyond our scope to get there, and we can’t not adopt a needed reliability standard because of concerns [about] cost recovery.”