ARLINGTON, Va. — While much of the energy industry is focused on the latest news on the reconciliation budget bill and its cuts to tax credits, the transmission sector is not — because it was left out of the Inflation Reduction Act.
“This, to me, was a flaw with the original Inflation Reduction Act,” Grid Strategies President Rob Gramlich said at Infocast’s Transmission and Interconnection Summit on June 25. “They really didn’t do much transmission; it was sort of overlooked.”
The Democrats passed the IRA using reconciliation, a process that allows the Senate to vote on items related to the budget without the threat of a filibuster, in 2022. With control of the White House and Congress, Republicans now are using the same process for their so-called One Big Beautiful Bill that includes cuts to many tax credits and programs from the IRA.
In between these two major bills, bipartisan permitting legislation did make it out of the Senate Energy and Natural Resources Committee in 2024 but never was brought to the floor. Permitting legislation should get another chance, but Gramlich said it will have to wait.
“Basically, you can’t do big permitting reform in a reconciliation/budget bill,” Gramlich said. “But they did have to try, because if you’re a Republican member of Congress, why would you not try that first and see what you can get that way? And also, why would you not try to do everything you can try to do with executive action?”
The budget bill is likely to take up most of Congress’ time over the next month, but once it is back in session this fall, Gramlich expects permitting will be taken up again.
Energy Secretary Chris Wright has said he hoped transmission could get similar treatment to natural gas pipelines, which shows some in the Trump administration support changes, MWR Strategies President Michael McKenna said. Support for changing permitting laws is growing on both sides of the aisle.
“The Republicans are going to find it much easier to live with if President Trump is still president, so I think the sweet spot is going to be starting in about eight or 10 months and going until the end of the Trump presidency,” McKenna said.
While the industry waits to see if Congress can pass a permitting bill, it is implementing major changes from FERC: Order 1920 on planning and cost allocation, and Order 2023 on interconnection queues.
Some of the regions already have rules in place that have led to significant regional transmission being built under the regimes in compliance with Order 1000. MISO and SPP have different markets, but both have transmission planning processes with significant buy-in from the states in their two large footprints, ITC Holdings Director of Federal Affairs Devin McMackin said.
“So hopefully, for us at least, that means it’s not going to be a particularly arduous process to implement the order, and we’ll kind of basically see some repetition of the continuous planning efforts that we already have,” McMackin said. “So, I’m fairly optimistic that the concepts that underlie 1920 in many cases are already in place.”
The cluster study approach in Order 2023 already was adopted in some markets before FERC started working on the rule, and more utilities adopted it while the order was pending, Gramlich said.
“But that doesn’t mean it didn’t have an impact: That three-year process really led everybody to that outcome, and that’s helpful,” Gramlich said. “It doesn’t mean that’s the end of the reforms or the process either. It just means that it’s kind of herding all the cats in that general direction.”
Regional Differences
FERC left certain details in implementing the orders up to the different regions, so their choices will have an impact on how much transmission planning is truly reformed by its recent orders, Zero-Emission Grid CEO Mike Tabrizi said. Sometimes transmission planning can become a standardized process where not much gets done, especially when it comes to meeting the minimum of maintaining compliance with NERC standards, he said.
“What happens is, every year they go through this compliance process because they are so overloaded with so many other tasks that they have on their hand,” Tabrizi said. “The goal is not to actually plan the system; the goal is actually to check the boxes for the compliance.”
Grid United President Kris Zadlo said Order 1920 did not seem like a big deal to him the first time he read it because it was standard operating practice when he joined the industry during a time of high load growth.
“Over the last 25 years, we’ve had essentially flat load growth in the United States, and it allowed us to be essentially reactive,” Zadlo said. “Like I would say, for the last two decades, we haven’t been doing transmission planning. Transmission planning means you’re planning for the future. You’re not reacting.”
The industry had seen such huge load growth in the 1960s and ’70s that it overbuilt the system, and that allowed planners to be reactive for longer than the lack of load growth on its own, Zadlo said.
“We didn’t inherit an industry that had strong regional institutions that were charged with infrastructure planning,” Gramlich said. “RTOs, in any case, are 25 years old. That wasn’t their original focus for the reasons we’ve described. It was more about markets.”
FERC’s regional transmission plan applies to RTO footprints, but it also applies to utilities outside of them that have formed regions like WestConnect, which covers parts of the Southwest. While it has held meetings over the years, hasn’t selected a transmission project for the entire region, New Mexico Public Regulation Commissioner Gabriel Aguilera said.
“They’ve never selected a regional transmission project since its inception in” 2002, Aguilera said. “And I don’t know if that is a little bit shocking to any of you; it’s a little bit shocking to me that there were no regional transmission needs identified. And, so, there is some work to do there, clearly.”
Order 1920 has caused states in the West to look at regional transmission planning again, with more diverse stakeholders, including state regulators, getting involved than in the WestConnect process, which Aguilera said has been dominated by incumbent utilities and some independent transmission developers.
Every region of the country could use more transmission capacity for various reasons, and the West is no different, though things have been changing significantly there in recent years, said former FERC Chair Richard Glick, now a consultant at GQ New Energy Strategies.
The Northwest used to think it could rely on cheap and plentiful hydropower, but recent years have made clear that it needs more access to imports from other parts of the Western Interconnection, Glick said.
“The Southwest, for instance, could bring in more power from the Northwest,” Glick said. “The problem is that the grid in the West is becoming increasingly congested. It’s more difficult to engage in those transactions, certainly at an economic level. So, there certainly is a growing recognition that transmission is needed.”
Order 1920 requires more anticipatory planning, so that should force all regions to improve their actual planning processes, but it’s an open question on how much regional transmission will get built, Glick said. The region faces unique issues like huge, non-FERC-jurisdictional utilities that have to opt into planning processes and cost allocation.
“Transmission planning regions cannot plan for the needs of the non-jurisdictional utilities unless those non-jurisdictional utilities volunteer to pay whatever is allocated in the cost allocation process,” Glick said. “And the odds of that happening are obviously very small.”
Load Growth
The return of load growth, caused by very high computing demand from data centers for artificial intelligence and other applications, was not known to FERC when Glick launched the rulemaking process that led to Order 1920, but it has changed the discussion around its implementation.
ELCON CEO Karen Onaran represents traditional industrial customers who also contribute to demand growth, but the hyperscale data centers have demoted her members from large load to “middle load,” she joked. A key policy goal of manufacturers is to keep the price of energy down because that makes their products more competitive.
“Over the past year [to] year-and-a-half, one of my major focuses is going around the country and talking to state-level manufacturers … who have been fighting against transmission for a long, long time and changing that narrative of it to say, ‘Yes, transmission is expensive, but not having transmission is even more expensive,’” Onaran said.
Order 1920’s shift to 20-year plans instead of 10 is well suited to the return to demand growth, Con Edison Transmission CEO Stuart Nachmias said.
“I think 10 years have been sort of the norm,” he added. “I think looking at longer before we had growing demands and growing needs were sort of pushed off as a little bit too theoretical. We don’t really know what’s going to happen, but now we really know that there is load and there are needs, and we can look out further.”
While the order faces some legal challenges, including the question of whether FERC can force transmission owners to file cost allocation agreements struck by states they disagree with, WIRES Executive Director Larry Gasteiger said it was important to get states supporting transmission.
“I completely recognize the importance of that engagement in order to have success in moving forward and getting state buy-in on some of these projects in order to move forward,” Gasteiger said. “So I agree, I think the community where some of the success stories have been — look at things like the MISO [Multi-Value Project] process, which was a whole array of projects that came out of a process, and the underlying theory behind them — it was something for everyone in that process at the end of the day, and you had large buy in among all of the involved states, and that was absolutely critical.”

